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The relationship between compartment models and their stochastic counterparts:A comparative study with examples of the COVID-19 epidemic modeling

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Journal of Biomedical Research 2024年第2期38卷 175-188,I0016-I0018页

作者： Ziyu Zhao Yi Zhou Jinxing Guan yan yan Jing Zhao Zhihang peng Feng Chen yang Zhao fang Shao Department of Biostatistics School of Public HealthNanjing Medical UniversityNanjingJiangsu 211166China Nanjing Hanwei Public Health Research Institute Co. LtdNanjingJiangsu 210005China China International Cooperation Center for Environment and Human Health Center for Global HealthNanjing Medical UniversityNanjingJiangsu 211166China The Center of Biomedical Big Data and the Laboratory of Biomedical Big Data Nanjing Medical UniversityNanjingJiangsu 211166China Jiangsu Key Lab of Cancer Biomarkers Prevention and TreatmentCollaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Personalized MedicineNanjing Medical UniversityNanjingJiangsu 211166China

Deterministic compartment models(CMs)and stochastic models,including stochastic CMs and agent-based models,are widely utilized in epidemic modeling.However,the relationship between CMs and their corresponding stochastic models is not well understood.The present study aimed to address this gap by conducting a comparative study using the susceptible,exposed,infectious,and recovered(SEIR)model and its extended CMs from the coronavirus disease 2019 modeling literature.We demonstrated the equivalence of the numerical solution of CMs using the Euler scheme and their stochastic counterparts through theoretical analysis and simulations.Based on this equivalence,we proposed an efficient model calibration method that could replicate the exact solution of CMs in the corresponding stochastic models through parameter adjustment.The advancement in calibration techniques enhanced the accuracy of stochastic modeling in capturing the dynamics of epidemics.However,it should be noted that discrete-time stochastic models cannot perfectly reproduce the exact solution of continuous-time CMs.Additionally,we proposed a new stochastic compartment and agent mixed model as an alternative to agent-based models for large-scale population simulations with a limited number of agents.This model offered a balance between computational efficiency and accuracy.The results of this research contributed to the comparison and unification of deterministic CMs and stochastic models in epidemic modeling.Furthermore,the results had implications for the development of hybrid models that integrated the strengths of both frameworks.Overall,the present study has provided valuable epidemic modeling techniques and their practical applications for understanding and controlling the spread of infectious diseases.

关键词： compartment models agent-based models compartment-agent mixed models comparative study COVID-19

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Thermal and mechanical behavior of casting copper alloy wheel during wheel and belt continuous casting process

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China Foundry 2024年第1期21卷 82-90页

作者： Kun Gao yan peng School of Mechanical Engineering Yanshan UniversityQinhuangdao 066004HebeiChina

To investigate the thermal and mechanical behavior of casting wheel,a two-dimensional thermoelastic-plastic finite element model was used to predict the temperature,stress and distortion distribution of the casting wheel during the wheel and belt continuous casting process.The effects of grinding thickness and casting speed on the thermal and mechanical behaviors of the center of the hot face of the casting wheel were discussed in detail.In each rotation,the casting wheel passes through four different spray zones.The results show that the temperature distribution of the casting wheel in different spray zones is similar,the temperature of the hot face is the highest and the temperature reaches the peak in the spray zoneⅢ.The stress and distortion depend on the temperature distribution,and the maximum stress and distortion of the hot face are 358.2 MPa and 1.82 mm,respectively.The temperature at the center of the hot face decreases with increasing grinding thickness and increases with increasing casting speed.

关键词： casting wheel finite element model grinding thickness casting speed hot face spray zones

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Association of preschool children behavior and emotional problems with the parenting behavior of both parents

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World Journal of Clinical Cases 2024年第6期12卷 1084-1093页

作者： Su-Mei Wang Shuang-Qin yan fang-fang Xie Zhi-Ling Cai Guo-peng Gao Ting-Ting Weng fang-Biao Tao Department of Child Health Ma’anshan Maternal and Child Health CenterMa’anshan 243011Anhui ProvinceChina Department of Maternal Child and Adolescent HealthSchool of Public HealthAnhui Medical UniversityHefei 230032Anhui ProvinceChina

BACKGROUND Parental behaviors are key in shaping children’s psychological and behavioral development,crucial for early identification and prevention of mental health issues,reducing psychological trauma in childhood.AIM To investigate the relationship between parenting behaviors and behavioral and emotional issues in preschool children.METHODS From October 2017 to May 2018,7 kindergartens in Ma’anshan City were selected to conduct a parent self-filled questionnaire-Health Development Survey of Preschool Children.Children’s Strength and Difficulties Questionnaire(Parent Version)was applied to measures the children’s behavioral and emotional performance.Parenting behavior was evaluated using the Parental Behavior Inventory.Binomial logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between the detection rate of preschool children’s behavior and emotional problems and their parenting behaviors.RESULTS High level of parental support/participation was negatively correlated with conduct problems,abnormal hyperactivity,abnormal total difficulty scores and abnormal prosocial behavior problems.High level of maternal support/participation was negatively correlated with abnormal emotional symptoms and abnormal peer interaction in children.High level of parental hostility/coercion was positively correlated with abnormal emotional symptoms,abnormal conduct problems,abnormal hyperactivity,abnormal peer interaction,and abnormal total difficulty scores in children(all P0.05),after calculating ratio of odds ratio values.CONCLUSION Our study found that parenting behaviors are associated with behavioral and emotional issues in preschool children.Overall,the more supportive or involved the parents are,the fewer behavioral and emotional problems the children experience;conversely,the more hostile or controlling the parents are,the more behavioral and em

关键词： Children Preschool age Parenting Behavioral Parenting problems

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Numerical simulation of fluid flow and free surface fluctuations during wheel and belt casting process

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Journal of Iron and Steel Research(International) 2024年第5期31卷 1117-1126页

作者： Kun Gao yan peng National Engineering Research Center for Equipment and Technology of Cold Strip Rolling Yanshan UniversityQinhuangdao066004HebeiChina

The unstable fluid flow and severe free surface fluctuations in the wheel and belt caster can affect the quality of the cast bar.The lower level height tends to entrap inclusions in the molten metal.On the other hand,the higher level height makes the production process more dangerous due to the overflow of high temperature fluid from the mold.A computational model of the molten metal pouring process was established.The transient fluid flow and free surface fluctuations behavior were calculated using the three-dimensional large eddy simulation model and the volume of fluid model.The results show that the flow velocity of the main jet gradually decreases under the influence of the low kinetic energy fluid in the mold.There is an obvious oscillation in the tail of the jet,while the flow field is asymmetric in space.The jet is closer to the inside radius side due to the Coanda effect,and there is a recirculation zone on the inside radius and the outside radius respectively,according to the 10 s time-averaged results.Compared with the industrial observation and simulation results,the shape of the free surface is a wave that varies with time.In addition,the free surface height is lowest and the flow velocity is highest in the region near the jet.

关键词： Fluid flow Free surface Wheel and belt caster Large eddy simulation Volume of fluid method

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Simple preparation of C(CS)/g-C_(3)N_(4)/Co carbon aerogel and its catalytic performance for ammonium perchlorate

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Defence Technology（防务技术） 2024年第3期33卷 186-196页

作者： Yujie yan Bo Jin Rufang peng State Key Laboratory of Environment-friendly Energy Materials School of Materials Science and EngineeringSouthwest University of Science and TechnologyMianyang621010China

Biomass chitosan(CS)was used as a template,graphitic phase carbon nitride(g-C_(3)N_(4))with high nitrogen content and certain catalytic activity was used as a dopant,and nano-transition metal cobalt(Co)was used as a catalytic center point.The carbon aerogel(C(CS)/g-C_(3)N_(4)/Co)with a three-dimensional network-like structure was prepared by assembling the three materials through experimental operations such as freeze-drying and high-temperature carbonization.It was demonstrated by scanning and transmission characterization that the CS in the carbon aerogel could provide more active sites for the cobalt nanoparticles,and the doping of graphite-phase carbon nitride as a template dispersed the cobalt nanoparticles and changed the conductivity of the CS.To investigate the catalytic effect of carbon aerogel on ammonium perchlorate(AP),it was investigated by differential thermal analyzer and TG thermal analysis.This carbon aerogel was very effective in catalyzing AP,and the 10 wt% content of the catalyst reduced the AP pyrolysis peak from 703.9 to 595.5 K.And to further investigate the synergistic effect of the three materials,further carbon aerogels such as C(CS)/Co,g-C_(3)N_(4)/Co were prepared and applied to catalyze AP,and the same ratio reduced the AP pyrolysis peak by 98.1℃ and 97.7℃.This result indicates a synergistic effect of the assembly of the three materials.

关键词： g-C_(3)N_(4) Chitosan Co Ammonium perchlorate Pyrolysis kinetics

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Paracrine function amplifies pro-tumor electrochemical signal within neuron-glioma synapses

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Science China(Life Sciences) 2024年第6期67卷 1318-1320页

作者： yan Hu Peishan Hu Xiaozhong peng Key Laboratory of Birth Defects and Related Diseases of Women and Children of MOE State Key Laboratory of BiotherapyWest China Second University HospitalSichuan UniversityChengdu 610041China Guangdong Institute of Gastroenterology Department of General SurgeryGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Colorectal and Pelvic Floor DiseasesThe Sixth Affiliated HospitalSun Yat-sen UniversityGuangzhou 510655China Department of Molecular Biology and Biochemistry Institute of Basic Medical SciencesMedical Primate Research CenterNeuroscience CenterChinese Academy of Medical SciencesSchool of Basic Medicine Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijing 100730China State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity Institute of Basic Medical Sciences Chinese Academy of Medical SciencesSchool of Basic Medicine Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijing 100730China Institute of Laboratory Animal Science Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences&Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijing 100730China

Neuronal activity plays a pivotal role in various physiological processes,including tissue development,homeostasis,and adaptability.Advances in recent years have improved our understanding of neuronal activity in brain cancers,such as glioblastoma(GBM)and diffuse midline gliomas(DMG),which are among the most prevalent and lethal cancers affecting children and adults.Generally,the neurons regulate brain cancers via two routes.

关键词： glioma homeostasis function

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An axisymmetric characteristic model for enhancing prediction of centrifugal compressor characteristics

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Chinese Journal of Aeronautics 2024年第4期37卷 203-215页

作者： peng REN Xiangjun fang Zeyu JIAO Ying HAN School of Energy and Power Engineering Beihang UniversityBeijing 100191China Guangdong Key Laboratory of Modern Control Technology Institute of Intelligent ManufacturingGuangdong Academy of SciencesGuangzhou 510070China

Rapid and accurate determination of compressor characteristic maps is essential for the initial design of centrifugal compressors in aircraft power systems. The accuracy of existing methodologies, which rely on combinations of loss models, varies significantly depending on the compressor's geometry and operational range. This variance necessitates substantial experimental or Computational Fluid Dynamics(CFD) data for coefficient calibration. To address this challenge, this study presents an axisymmetric characteristic model for compressor performance assessment. This model incorporates the factors of blade angle, meridional passage area, and the radial deflection angle of meridional streamlines of the compressor. These factors are derived from fundamental aerodynamic equations encompassing mass, momentum, and energy conservation of the compressor. In contrast to conventional one-dimensional approaches, the proposed method reduces the number of loss coefficients and more effectively accounts for the impact of geometric alterations on centrifugal compressor properties. Furthermore, the model reduces dependence on experimental and CFD data. Efficacy of the model is validated using experimental data from four distinct types of centrifugal compressors. Correlation analysis reveals that the model's coefficients can be expressed as functions of the ratio of the Reynolds number to the impeller tip speed. This ratio serves as a characteristic parameter for the design and optimization of centrifugal compressors. Consequently, the proposed method offers an efficient and accurate means for the quick computation of centrifugal compressor characteristics. This is of great significance for improving the efficiency of centrifugal compressors and reducing energy consumption.

关键词： Centrifugal compressor Positive problem Characteristic prediction Aerodynamic characteristic Axisymmetric model

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Emerging mechanisms and implications of c GAS-STING signaling in cancer immunotherapy strategies

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Cancer Biology & Medicine 2024年第1期21卷 45-64页

作者： Jiawen Zhang Sihui Yu Qiao peng Ping Wang Lan fang Tongji University Cancer Center Shanghai Tenth People’s HospitalSchool of MedicineTongji UniversityShanghai 200072China Reproductive Medicine Center Department of Obstetrics and GynecologyShanghai General HospitalShanghai Jiao Tong University School of MedicineShanghai 201620China Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology Zhongshan HospitalFudan UniversityShanghai 200032China

The intricate interplay between the human immune system and cancer development underscores the central role of immunotherapy in cancer treatment.Within this landscape,the innate immune system,a critical sentinel protecting against tumor incursion,is a key player.The cyclic GMP-AMP synthase(c GAS)and stimulator of interferon genes(STING)pathway has been found to be a linchpin of innate immunity:activation of this signaling pathway orchestrates the production of type I interferon(IFN-α/β),thus fostering the maturation,differentiation,and mobilization of immune effectors in the tumor microenvironment.Furthermore,STING activation facilitates the release and presentation of tumor antigens,and therefore is an attractive target for cancer immunotherapy.Current strategies to activate the STING pathway,including use of pharmacological agonists,have made substantial advancements,particularly when combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors.These approaches have shown promise in preclinical and clinical settings,by enhancing patient survival rates.This review describes the evolving understanding of the c GAS-STING pathway's involvement in tumor biology and therapy.Moreover,this review explores classical and non-classical STING agonists,providing insights into their mechanisms of action and potential for optimizing immunotherapy strategies.Despite challenges and complexities,the c GAS-STING pathway,a promising avenue for enhancing cancer treatment efficacy,has the potential to revolutionize patient outcomes.

关键词： cGAS-STING pathway type I interferon cyclic dinucleotide STING agonist cancer immunotherapy

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Treatment of anastomotic stricture after rectal cancer operation by magnetic compression technique:A case report

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World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024年第5期16卷 1443-1448页

作者： Miao-Miao Zhang Huan-Chen Sha Hai-Rong Xue Yuan-Fa Qin fang-fang Dong Li Zhang Yi Lyu Xiao-peng yan Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong UniversityXi’an 710061Shaanxi ProvinceChina Shaanxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Magnetic Medicine The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong UniversityXi’an 710061Shaanxi ProvinceChina Department of Gastroenterology The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong UniversityXi’an 710061Shaanxi ProvinceChina

BACKGROUNDThe treatment of postoperative anastomotic stenosis(AS)after resection of colorectalcancer is challenging.Endoscopic balloon dilation is used to treat stenosisin such cases,but some patients do not show improvement even after multipleballoon dilations.Magnetic compression technique(MCT)has been used for gastrointestinalanastomosis,but its use for the treatment of postoperative AS aftercolorectal cancer surgery has rarely been reported.CASE SUMMARYWe report a 72-year-old man who underwent radical resection of colorectal cancerand ileostomy one year ago.An ileostomy closure was prepared six months ago,but colonoscopy revealed a narrowing of the rectal anastomosis.Endoscopic balloondilation was performed three times,but colonoscopy showed no significantimprovement in stenosis.The AS was successfully treated using MCT.CONCLUSIONMCT is a minimally invasive method that can be used for the treatment of postoperativeAS after colorectal cancer surgery.

关键词： Rectostenosis Magnetic surgery Magnetic Surgery Clinic Rectal cancer Magnetic compression technique Case report

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Kinetic model of vibration screening for granular materials based on biological neural network

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Particuology 2024年第5期88卷 98-106页

作者： Zhan Zhao yan Zhang fang Qin Mingzhi Jin School of Agricultural Engineering Jiangsu UniversityZhenjiang212013China Shandong Academy of Agricultural Machinery Sciences Ji'nan250100China

The kinetic model is the theoretical basis for optimizing the structure and operation performance of vibration screening devices.In this paper,a biological neurodynamic equation and neural connections were established according to the motion and interaction properties of the material under vibration excitation.The material feeding to the screen and the material passing through apertures were considered as excitatory and inhibitory inputs,respectively,and the generated stable neural activity landscape was used to describe the material distribution on the 2D screen surface.The dynamic process of material vibration screening was simulated using discrete element method(DEM).By comparing the similarity between the material distribution established using biological neural network(BNN)and that obtained using DEM simulation,the optimum coefficients of BNN model under a certain screening parameter were determined,that is,one relationship between the BNN model coefficients and the screening operation parameters was established.Different screening parameters were randomly selected,and the corresponding relationships were established as a database.Then,with straw/grain ratio,aperture diameter,inclination angle,vibration strength in normal and tangential directions as inputs,five independent adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems(ANFIS)were established to predict the optimum BNN model coefficients,respectively.The training results indicated that ANFIS models had good stability and accuracy.The flexibility and adaptability of the proposed BNN method was demonstrated by modeling material distribution under complex feeding conditions such as multiple regions and non-uniform rate.

关键词： Kinetic model Material distribution Vibration screening Biological neural network DEM simulation Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems

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