Do farmers care about climate change? Evidence from five major grain producing areas of China

作     者：SONG Chun-xiao LIU Rui-feng Les Oxley MA Heng-yun 

作者机构：College of Economics and ManagementHenan Agricultural UniversityZhengzhou 450002P.R.China Department of Economics and FinanceUniversity of WaikatoHamilton 3240New Zealand 

出 版 物：《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 (农业科学学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2019年第18卷第6期

页      面：1402-1414页

核心收录：

学科分类：0710[理学-生物学] 0832[工学-食品科学与工程（可授工学、农学学位）] 0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 1004[医学-公共卫生与预防医学(可授医学、理学学位)] 0905[农学-畜牧学] 09[农学] 0906[农学-兽医学] 0901[农学-作物学] 0703[理学-化学] 0902[农学-园艺学] 0713[理学-生态学] 

基　　金：supported by the National Social Science Fund of China (14BGL093) the International Development Research Center (107093-001) the Specialized Research Fund for the Jointed Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China (20124105110006) the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71403082) the 2017 Annual Scientific and Technological Innovation of Henan Province Talent (Humanities and Social Sciences) Support Program, China (2017-cxrc-002) the Young Backbone Teachers Scheme of Henan Colleges and Universities, China (2015GGJS-085) the Henan Province Philosophy and Social Science Planning Project, China (2017BJJ033) 

主　　题：China major grain producing areas determinants climate change perception irrigation areas 

摘      要：Using a logistic model,this paper empirically investigated farmers’perception of climate change and its determinants based on a field survey of 1 350 rural households across five major grain producing provinces in China.The results show:i)There is an apparent difference in perception levels for long-term temperature and precipitation changes.Specifically,57.4%of farmers perceived the long-term temperature change correctly,but only 29.7%of farmers perceived the long-term precipitation change correctly;ii)The factors influencing the farmers’perceptions are almost completely different between precipitation and temperature,the former are mostly agriculture related,while latter are mostly non-agriculture related,except for farm size;and iii)Farmers are not expected to pay more attention to long-term precipitation changes over the crop growing seasons,because less than 30%of farmers can correctly perceive long-term precipitation change.Therefore,to improve the accuracy of farmers’perceptions of climate change,the government is recommended to:i)enhance education and training programs;ii)speed up land transfer and expand household land farm size;iii)develop farmer cooperative organizations;iv)invest more in agricultural infrastructure,specifically in major grain producing regions;and v)improve the agricultural environment and increase farming income.