China's Growth Deceleration: Causes and Future Growth Prospect
作者机构：Institute of New Structural Economics Peking University Beijing 100871 China Institute of South-South Cooperation and Development Peking University Beijing 100871 China National School of Development Peking University Beijing 100871 China
出 版 物：《Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities》 (中国高等学校学术文摘·经济学（英文版）)
年 卷 期：2019年第14卷第1期
页 面：26-52页
学科分类：11[军事学] 02[经济学] 0202[经济学-应用经济学] 1202[管理学-工商管理] 0201[经济学-理论经济学] 0701[理学-数学]
主 题：China economic growth deceleration causes countermeasures external factors cyclical factors structural reforms growth potential wellfunctioning market econmy hig-growth rate medium-high growth
摘 要：China s growth decelerated substantially after 2010. This paper argues that the main cause for the deceleration is external and cyclical, China has a potential growth rate of 8%, the economy has good investment opportunities and resources, and China is likely to achieve a medium-high growth rate of around 6.5% in the coming years. The paper also examines the various structural reforms that can help China to release its growth potential and complete the transition to a well-functioning market economy.
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