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Risk assessment of oil and gas investment environment in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative

Petroleum Science 2024年第2期21卷 1429-1443页

作者： Bao-Jun Tang Chang-Jing Ji Yu-Xian Zheng Kang-Ning Liu Yi-Fei Ma Jun-Yu Chen Center for Energy and Environmental policy research Beijing Institute of TechnologyBeijing100081China School of Management and Economics Beijing Institute of TechnologyBeijing100081China Collaborative Innovation Center of Electric Vehicles in Beijing BeijingChina Sustainable Development research institute for Economy and Society of Beijing BeijingChina institute of Carbon Neutrality ShanghaiTech UniversityShanghai201210China

With the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative, China is deepening its cooperation in oil and gas resources with countries along the Initiative. In order to better mitigate risks and enhance the safety of investments, it is of significant importance to research the oil and gas investment environment in these countries for China's overseas investment macro-layout. This paper proposes an indicator system including 27 indicators from 6 dimensions. On this basis, game theory models combined with global entropy method and analytic hierarchy process are applied to determine the combined weights, and the TOPSIS-GRA model is utilized to assess the risks of oil and gas investment in 76 countries along the Initiative from 2014 to 2021. Finally, the GM(1,1) model is employed to predict risk values for 2022-2025. In conclusion, oil and gas resources and political factors have the greatest impact on investment environment risk, and 12 countries with greater investment potential are selected through cluster analysis in conjunction with the predicted results. The research findings may provide scientific decisionmaking recommendations for the Chinese government and oil enterprises to strengthen oil and gas investment cooperation with countries along the Belt and Road Initiative.

关键词： Belt and Road Initiative Oil and Gas Investment Risk assessment

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Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia:Evidence from rural Tajikistan

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Journal of Integrative Agriculture 2024年第8期23卷 2853-2867页

作者： Yuhan Zhao Chen Qian Yumei Zhang Xiande Li Kamiljon T.Akramov institute of Agricultural Economics and Development Chinese Academy of Agricultural SciencesBeijing 100081China Academy of Global Food Economics and policy College of Economics and ManagementChina Agricultural UniversityBeijing 100083China International Food policy research institute(IFPRI) WashingtonD.C.20005USA

Food security has been long understudied in the context of Central *** present an analysis examining household-level food demand for Tajikistan and assessing the magnitude of its food security changes during the COVID-19 *** on an extensive household survey data set from Tajikistan,we estimate the expenditure,income,and price elasticities for nine food categories using the QUAIDS ***,we develop a microsimulation model using the estimated elasticities to assess the dual impact of declining remittance income and rising food prices stemming from the pandemic *** are significant differences in demand elasticities across food groups,with high elasticities observed for nutritious foods,such as meat,fruit,eggs,and milk,in rural ***,our findings show that changes in remittance income and food prices significantly negatively affected food security for rural households during the COVID-19 *** findings have important implications for policymakers concerned about rural livelihoods and food security in remittance-receiving economies during the post-pandemic period.

关键词： international remittances food security COVID-19 Tajikistan Central Asia

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Small-signal Stability Criteria in Power Electronics-dominated Power Systems:A Comparative Review

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Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy 2024年第4期12卷 1003-1018页

作者： Qifan Chen Siqi Bu Chi Yung Chung Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineer The Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityHong KongChina Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering Shenzhen Research InstituteCentre for Grid ModernisationInternational Centre of Urban Energy NexusCentre for Advances in Reliability and SafetyResearch Institute for Smart Energyand Policy Research Centre for Innovation and TechnologyThe Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityHong KongChina

To tackle emerging power system small-signal stability problems such as wideband oscillations induced by the large-scale integration of renewable energy and power electronics,it is crucial to review and compare existing small-signal stability analysis *** this basis,guidance can be provided on determining suitable analysis methods to solve relevant small-signal stability problems in power electronics-dominated power systems(PEDPSs).Various mature methods have been developed to analyze the small-signal stability of PEDPSs,including eigenvalue-based methods,Routh stability criterion,Nyquist/Bode plot based methods,passivity-based methods,positive-net-damping method,lumped impedance-based methods,bifurcation-based methods,*** this paper,the application conditions,advantages,and limitations of these criteria in identifying oscillation frequencies and stability margins are reviewed and compared to reveal and explain connections and discrepancies among ***,efforts are devoted to mathematically proving the equivalence between these small-signal stability ***,the performance of these criteria is demonstrated and compared in a 4-machine 2-area power system with a wind farm and an IEEE 39-bus power system with 3 wind farms.

关键词： Impedance-based method oscillation analysis power electronic converter power electronics-dominated power system renewable power generation small-signal stability

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Amorphous BaTiO_(3) Electron Transport Layer for Thermal Equilibrium-Governed γ-CsPbl_(3) Perovskite Solar Cell with High Power Conversion Efficiency of 19.96%

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Energy & Environmental Materials 2024年第3期7卷 291-302页

作者： Changhyun Lee Chanyong Lee Kyungjin Chae Taemin Kim Seaeun Park Yohan Ko Yongseok Jun Department of Energy Environment policy and Technology Graduate School of Energy and Environment(KU-KIST Green School)Korea UniversitySeoul 02841Republic of Korea Nano Electronic Materials and Components research Center Gumi Electronics and Information Technology Research Institute(GERI)Gumi 39171Republic of Korea Energy Materials research Center Clean Energy Research DivisionKorea Institute of Science and Technology(KIST)Seoul 02792Republic of Korea

Compared to organic-inorganic hybrid perovskites,the cesium-based allinorganic lead halide perovskite(CsPbI_(3))is a promising light absorber for perovskite solar cells owing to its higher resistance to thermal ***,additional research is required to reduce the nonradiative recombination to realize the full potential of CsPbI_(3).Here,the diffusion of Cs ions participating in ion exchange is proposed to be an important factor responsible for the bulk defects inγ-CsPbI_(3)*** based on first-principles density functional theory reveal that the[PbI_(6)]^(4-)octahedral tilt modifies the perovskite crystallographic properties inγ-CsPbI_(3),leading to alterations in its bandgap and crystal *** addition,by substituting amorphous barium titanium oxide(a-BaTiO_(3))for TiO_(2)as the electron transport layer,interfacial defects caused by imperfect energy levels between the electron transport layer and perovskite are ***-resolution transmission electron microscopy and electron energy loss spectroscopy demonstrate that a-BaTiO_(3)forms entirely as a single phase,as opposed to Ba-doped TiO_(2)hybrid nanoclusters or separate domains of TiO_(2)and BaTiO_(3)***,inorganic perovskite solar cells based on the a-BaTiO_(3)electron transport layer achieved a power conversion efficiency of 19.96%.

关键词： amorphous BaTiO_(3) electron transport layer moisture γ-CsPbI_(3)

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Bolstering integrity in environmental data science and machine learning requires understanding socioecological inequity

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Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2024年第5期18卷 171-179页

作者： Joe F.Bozeman III School of Civil and Environmental Engineering Georgia Institute of TechnologyAtlantaGA30332USA School of Public policy Georgia Institute of TechnologyAtlantaGA30332USA

Socioecological inequity in environmental data science—such as inequities deriving from data-driven approaches and machine learning(ML)—are current issues subject to debate and *** is growing consensus around embedding equity throughout all research and design domains—from inception to administration,while also addressing procedural,distributive,and recognitional ***,practically doing so may seem onerous or daunting to *** current perspective helps to alleviate these types of concerns by providing substantiation for the connection between environmental data science and socioecological inequity,using the Systemic Equity Framework,and provides the foundation for a paradigmatic shift toward normalizing the use of equity-centered approaches in environmental data science and ML *** the integrity of environmental data science and ML is just beginning from an equity-centered tool development and rigorous application *** this end,this perspective also provides relevant future directions and challenges by overviewing some meaningful tools and strategies—such as applying the Wells-Du Bois Protocol,employing fairness metrics,and systematically addressing irreproducibility;emerging needs and proposals—such as addressing data-proxy bias and supporting convergence research;and establishes a ten-step path ***,the work that environmental scientists and engineers do ultimately affect the well-being of us all.

关键词： Equity Bias Machine Learning Data Science Justice Systemic Equity

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Challenges and opportunities for battery health estimation:Bridging laboratory research and real-world applications

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Journal of Energy Chemistry 2024年第2期89卷 434-436,I0011页

作者： Te Han Jinpeng Tian C.Y.Chung Yi-Ming Wei Center for Energy and Environmental policy research Beijing Institute of TechnologyBeijing 100081China School of Management and Economics Beijing Institute of TechnologyBeijing 100081China Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering and research Centre for Grid Modernization The Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityKowloon 999077Hong KongChina

Addressing climate change demands a significant shift away from fossil fuels,with sectors like electricity and transportation relying heavily on renewable *** to this transition are energy storage systems,notably lithium-ion *** time,these batteries degrade,affecting their efficiency and posing safety *** and predicting battery aging is essential,especially estimating its state of health(SOH).Various SOH estimation methods exist,from traditional model-based approaches to machine learning approaches.

关键词： Energy storage systems State of health Multi-source data Scientific AI Data-sharing mechanism

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Market-based solution in China to finance the clean from the dirty

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Fundamental research 2024年第2期4卷 324-333页

作者： Haoqi Qian Rong Ma Libo Wu institute for Global Public policy Fudan UniversityShanghai 200433China LSE-Fudan research Centre for Global Public policy Fudan UniversityShanghai 200433China School of Economics Fudan UniversityShanghai 200433China Shanghai institute for Energy and Carbon Neutrality Strategy Fudan UniversityShanghai 200433China

Financial incentives play a key role in promoting renewable energy investments that can help China achieve the‘dual carbon’*** national emissions trading scheme(ETS)and the renewable energy portfolio standard(RPS)are two existing market-based policy instruments that can generate stable expected returns for low-carbon *** paper studies the interactive distribution effects of these two market-based *** use the micro-level thermal power plant data to investigate the abatement effects of the national ETS,in which the details show that the existing rate-based ETS will result in higher negative impacts on power units,whose installed capacities are smaller than 400 *** interactive distribution effects between the two markets will occur when the permit allocation standards of the national ETS become stricter than the existing *** in Eastern China and Northern China will face high pressure on costs in both ETS and RPS *** the levels of the permit allocation standards are set as 70%of the existing ones and the carbon price is assumed to be 200 yuan/ton in 2030,the annual market size of the national ETS will be nearly 100 billion yuan,and the annual market size is predicted to be 250 billion *** the existing rate-based national ETS,the China Certified Emission Reduction(CCER)mechanism will have an offsetting effect,which should be taken into serious consideration during the policy-making processes in the future.

关键词： Emission trading scheme Renewable energy portfolio standard Green finance policy interactions China certified emission reduction Distribution effect

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New Rural Community Construction or Retention Development:A Comparative Analysis of Rural Settlement Transition Mechanism in Plain Agriculture Area of China Based on Actor Network Theory

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Chinese Geographical Science 2024年第3期34卷 436-452页

作者： QU Yanbo DONG Xiaozhen MA Wenqiu ZHAO Weiying School of Public Administration and policy Shandong University of Finance and EconomicsJinan 250014China institute of Land Science and policy Shandong University of Finance and EconomicsJinan 250014China College of Engineering China Agricultural UniversityBeijing 100083China

It is an important way to realize rural revitalization and sustainable development to guide rural settlement transition(RST)in an appropriate *** paper uses actor network theory(ANT)to construct a theoretical framework for the study of *** two typical villages with different transition paths in rural areas of North China Plain as examples,this paper reveals the mechanism of RST and makes a comparative *** results show that:1)after identifying problems and obligatory passage point,key actors recruit heterogeneous actors into the actor network by entrusting them with common interests,and realize RST under the system operation.2)Rural settlements under different transition paths have similarities in the problems to be solved,collective actions and policy factors,but there are differences in the transition process,mechanism and *** actor network and mechanism of RST through the path of new rural community construction are more complex and the transition effect is more *** contrast,the degree of RST of retention development path is limited if there is no resource and location advantage.3)Based on the applicable conditions of different paths,this paper designs a logical framework of‘Situation-Structure-Behavior-Result’to scientifically guide the identification of RST paths under the background of rural revitalization.

关键词： rural settlement transition(RST) actor network theory(ANT) transition path transition mechanism plain area China

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A systematic review of climate change impacts,adaptation strategies,and policy development in West Africa

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Regional Sustainability 2024年第2期5卷 13-25页

作者： Camillus Abawiera WONGNAA Alex Amoah SEYRAM Suresh BABU Department of Agricultural Economics Agribusiness and ExtensionKwame Nkrumah University of Science and TechnologyKumasi00233Ghana International Food policy research institute Washington20005USA

Climate change studies are diverse with no single study giving a comprehensive review of climate change impacts,adaptation strategies,and policy development in West *** unavailability of an all-inclusive study to serve as a guide for practitioners affects the effectiveness of climate change adaptation strategies proposed and adopted in the West African *** purpose of this study was to review the impacts of climate change risks on the crop,fishery,and livestock sectors,as well as the climate change adaptation strategies and climate-related policies aimed at helping to build resilient agricultural production systems in West *** review process followed a series of rigorous stages until the final selection of 56 articles published from 2009 to ***,the results highlighted the adverse effects of climate change risks on food *** found a continuous decline in food crop ***,the livestock sector experienced morbidity and mortality,as well as reduction in meat and milk *** fishery sector recorded loss of fingerlings,reduction in fish stocks,and destruction of mariculture and *** West Africa,climate-smart agriculture technologies,physical protection of fishing,and inclusion of gender perspectives in programs appear to be the major adaptation *** study therefore recommends the inclusion of ecosystem and biodiversity restoration,weather insurance,replacement of unsafe vessels,and strengthening gender equality in all climate change mitigation programs,as these will help to secure enough food for present and future generations.

关键词： Climate change Climate extreme events Food security Adaptation strategies Climate-smart agriculture West Africa

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Could the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism promote climate mitigation?An economy-wide analysis

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Advances in Climate Change research 2024年第3期15卷 557-571页

作者： Kun ZHANG Yun-Fei YAO Xiang-Yan QIAN Yu-Fei ZHANG Qiao-Mei LIANG Yi-Ming WEI College of Economics and Management Beijing University of TechnologyBeijing 100124China Center for Energy and Environmental policy research Beijing Institute of TechnologyBeijing 100081China School of Management and Economics Beijing Institute of TechnologyBeijing 100081China Beijing Key Laboratory of Energy Economics and Environmental Management Beijing 100081China Sinopec research institute of Petroleum Engineering SinopecBeijing 100101China College of Economics and Management Nanjing Agricultural UniversityNanjing 210095China

Due to concerns about carbon leakage and sectoral competitiveness,the European Union(EU)proposed implementing the carbon border adjustment mechanism(CBAM).The effectiveness and potential negative consequences of CBAM have aroused extensive *** the perspective of the economy-wide analysis,this study uses a global computable general equilibrium model to explore the rationality of CBAM from the aspects of socioeconomic impact and the effects of promoting climate ***,the potential alternative mechanism of CBAM is *** results show that CBAM can reduce the EU's gross domestic product(GDP)loss;however,the GDP loss in all other regions ***,CBAM raises household welfare losses in most regions,including the ***,although CBAM can reduce the marginal abatement cost in eight regions,it comes at the cost of greater economic ***,the economic and household welfare cost of raising emissions reduction targets in regions like the USA and Japan is substantially higher than the impact of passively accepting the CBAM;therefore,CBAM's ability to drive ambitious emission reduction initiatives may be ***,for the potential alternative mechanism,from the perspective of reducing economic cost and household welfare losses,the EU could implement domestic tax cuts in the short-term and promote global unified carbon pricing in the long-term.

关键词： Border adjustment mechanism Computable general equilibrium model Carbon price Climate policy Global carbon pricing

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