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Evolution and Determinants of Population Agglomeration in Less Developed Metropolitan Areas:A Case Study of the Taiyuan Metropolitan Area,China

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Chinese Geographical Science 2024年第4期34卷 739-751页

作者： QIN Zhiqin LIANG Ye AN Shuwei DOU Yongjing school of economics and Management Shanxi UniversityTaiyuan 030031China school of Urban economics and Public Affairs Capital University of Economics and BusinessBeijing 100070China school of Geography Science Taiyuan Normal UniversityJinzhong 030619China

It is of importance to enhance the urban areas'capacity for population aggregation in underdeveloped regions,aiming to rectify the imbalanced and insufficient pattern of economic development in *** the Taiyuan Metropolitan Area(TMA)in central China as a case study,this paper examines the evolutionary process and characteristics of population agglomeration from 2000 to 2020,and identifies factors associated with agglomeration and their spatial *** findings indicated that:1)against the background of sustained population shrinkage in the provincial area,the TMA showed a demographic trend of steady increase,albeit with a decelerated growth *** the metropolitan area,urban population size continued to grow rapidly,whereas the rural areas endured sustained *** in city size continued to widen,and the polarization of concentrated population in the core cities kept increasing.2)Agglomerations in both secondary and service industries had significant positive effects on local population agglomeration,with the former effect being *** economic development,government fiscal expenditure,and financial advancement all contributed to facilitating local population *** a spatial spillover perspective,service agglomeration and financial development promoted population agglomeration in surrounding ***,fiscal expenditure inhibited such *** for industrial agglomeration and regional economic development,their spatial spillover effects were *** results obtained reveal several policy implications aimed at enhancing the population agglomeration capacity of the metropolitan area in underdeveloped regions during the new era.

关键词： population agglomeration population shrinkage spatial spillover effects Taiyuan Metropolitan Area(TMA) China

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Will the State-owned Capital Transfer Policy Enhance the Sustainability of the Urban Employee Basic Pension Insurance Fund in China?

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China & World Economy 2024年第3期32卷 98-129页

作者： Jia Wang Huan Liu Mei Li Han Li school of economics Xiamen UniversityChina school of economics and Management Nanjing Agricultural UniversityChina school of economics and Management Wuhan UniversityChina

To analyze the efect of the state-owned capital transfer policy on the sustainability of China's urban employee basic pension insurance fund(CUEBPIF),this study develops an actuarial model for pension *** results reveal the following:(i)Without policy intervention,the CUEBPIF would face a deficit in 2027 and a cumulative shortfall of RMB207.44 trillion by 2050,and the proportion of fiscal subsidies for the CUEBPIF in the total fiscal expenditure would increase to 12.86 percent in 2050.(i)Based on a delayed retirement policy,the transfer of 10 percent of state-owned capital can delay the onset of the fund deficit by 6 years,and the accumulated shortfall in 2050 would fall to RMB39.42 trillion,and the proportion of fiscal subsidies would decrease by I1.77 percentage points.(ii)The state-owned capital transfer policy can improve the sustainability of the CUEBPIF and reduce the burden of enterprise social security contributions when the transfer ratio increases to 20 percent.

关键词： burden of enterprise social security contributions delayed retirement policy state-owned capital transfer policy sustainability of basic pension insurance fund

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Global Spillovers of China's Monetary Policy

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China & World Economy 2024年第3期32卷 1-30页

作者： Wenni Lei Dongzhou Mei Mi Zhang school of economics Minzu University of ChinaChina school of International Trade and economics Central University of Finance and EconomicsChina

Spillovers from China's monetary policy have become increasingly obvious with China's growing importance in the global economy and its close economic and trade ties with the *** study establishes a proxy structure vector autoregression model to investigate the magnitude and transmission channel of spillovers from China to global and regional economies,taking advantage of high-frequency changes in asset prices in the financial markets to identify monetary policy *** analysis reveals that China's monetary policy can affect the global economy by influencing international trade and commodity prices but there is no evidence of China's monetary policy affecting global financial *** in China's monetary policy can cause a decline in world output whereas expansion in monetary policy can support global trade and *** study also finds that the response of emerging Asian economies to China's monetary policy shock was nearly twice that of developed economies,while the transmission path did not *** results of this study are consistent with the stylized fact that China's monetary policy plays an important role in the global trade and commodity cycle,although it does not drive the global financial cycle.

关键词： China's monetary policy commodity prices external instruments global trade spillovers

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Foreign Ownership and International Trade Performance in China

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China & World Economy 2024年第2期32卷 42-72页

作者： Zhiyuan Li Yichun Lin Mingyao Xu school of economics Fudan University Shanghai Institute of International Finance and economics China school of economics Fudan UniversityChina

We investigate the causal relationship between foreign ownership and international trade performance by comparing foreign-acquired firms with similar domestic-acquired firms in China with regard to changes in their post-acquisition international trade *** findings indicate that foreign ownership significantly enhanced the probability of both exporting and importing,and strongly increased trade *** ownership took effect from the year of the acquisition and persisted for at least 2 *** stimulated both processing trade and ordinary trade,and expanded products and trading ***-acquisition trade performance also exhibited heterogeneity based on the different pre-acquisition and post-acquisition *** for the underlying mechanisms,we show that firms experienced significant output expansion,increased export dependence,and eased financial constraints after foreign acquisition.

关键词： domestic acquisition foreign acquisition foreign ownership international trade performance

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Interregional Value-Added Tax in the Era of E-Commerce: Tax Policy Design Based on Big Data from Online Retailing

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Journal of Social Computing 2024年第1期5卷 46-57页

作者： Yu Chen Luwei Xiang Hu Yang school of Public Finance and Taxation Central University of Finance and EconomicsBeijing 100008China school of Management and economics The Chinese University of Hong KongShenzhen 518172China school of Information Central University of Finance and EconomicsBeijing 100008China

The value-added tax(VAT)in China is levied and allocated based on the origin *** the background of the increasing substitution of online retail for traditional offline retail,this mechanism will exacerbate the disparity of regional tax revenue,and intensify tax competition among local ***,reconsidering the allocation mechanism of value-added tax in China can be an important policy decision,and it is influenced by various economic and social ***,we utilize large-scale retail transaction data from an e-commerce platform to measure regional disparities in retail and consumption among different regions and then reveals present tax policy results in revenue imbalance in different ***,we establish a model based on game theory to illustrate how the origin principle leads to fierce tax competition among ***,by establishing and solving tax allocation models between local governments and the central government,this study simulates and calculates the degree of revenue imbalance under different scenarios and attempts to propose policy *** results indicate that implementing the destination principle will reduce regional tax ***,adjusting the allocation ratio between the central government and local governments based on city levels is advantageous for further reducing regional tax revenue disparities.

关键词： value-added tax e-commerce destination principle origin principle

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Climbing the Export Quality Ladder:Role of Human Capital

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China & World Economy 2024年第2期32卷 125-159页

作者： Xiaogang He Ruifeng Teng Dawei Feng school of Applied economics Jiangxi University of Finance and EconomicsChina

This study assesses the effect of human capital expansion on China's export product *** employs the difference-in-differences(DID)framework based on a quasi-natural experiment investigating the 1999 higher education enrollment expansion as the exogenous policy *** empirical results confirm that human capital expansion appreciably improved the quality of China's export *** capital expansion promoted the transformation and upgrading of old products and the development of new products in term of intensive margin;it strengthened the endowment advantages of incumbent high-quality export enterprises while preventing low-quality enterprises from entering the market through price competition on the extensive *** prevented quality ***,the study reveals that the improvement effect driven by human capital came from both innovation-induced and managerial efficiency improvement channels and was more prominent for large or foreign-funded enterprises in the eastern *** findings highlight the role of human capital in China's remarkable export performance from an endogenous growth perspective.

关键词： endogenous growth export product higher education expansion human capital quality improvement

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Crowding-in or Crowding-out:How Infrastructure Investment Affects Household Consumption

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China Finance and Economic Review 2024年第1期13卷 43-66页

作者： Zhiyu Yan Yufei Yuan Yi Xue school of International Business and economics University of International Business and Economics

This paper constructs a dynamic model of household consumption decisions and accordingly designs empirical analyses to identify how infrastructure investment affects private *** estimation results of provincial panel data reveal that infrastructure investment can not only indirectly promote household consumption through the income channel but also directly promote household consumption expansion through the expectations channel,with a significant"crowding-in"***,the effect is significantly weaker in provinces with a lower housing supply elasticity,showing the"crowding-out"pattern through the wealth *** survey data provide an explanation for individual *** investment has a greater pushing effect on house prices in provinces with a lower housing supply *** house price growth has significant"crowding-out"effects on the consumption of wealthy *** not only significantly weakens the driving effect of infrastructure investment on aggregate household consumption,but also increases wealth inequality in the long *** paper explains how infrastructure investment affects household consumption and the corresponding role played by house prices,providing empirical evidences for theoretical studies related to macro-regulatory policies in China.

关键词： infrastructure investment household consumption housing supply elasticity macro regulatory policies

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Defining Cities by Water: Addressing Capital Misallocation in a Race to Conserve Resources

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China Economist 2024年第1期19卷 86-102页

作者： Yao Peng Li Jinze school of economics Qufu Normal UniversityQufuChina school of economics Shandong UniversityJinanChina school of economics Ocean University of ChinaQingdaoChina

As part of its efforts to promote a sustainable and high-quality development,China has pledged to reduce water consumption and create a water-efficient *** the basis of identifying the institutional root causes of excessive capital allocation and excessive water consumption in China’s water-intensive industrial sectors,this study elaborates how the national water-efficient cities assessment contributes to optimized capital *** research shows that national water-efficient cities assessment has motivated local governments to compete for water *** conserve water,local governments regulated the entry and exit of water-intensive enterprises,discouraged excessive investments in water-intensive sectors,and phased out obsolete water-intensive capacities within their *** approach has resulted in mutually beneficial outcomes,including improved allocation of capital,enhanced water efficiency,and reduced *** paper offers policy recommendations for establishing a water-efficient society throughout the 14^(th) Five-Year Plan(2021-2025)period by presenting empirical evidence on the policy effects of resource efficiency evaluation.

关键词： Competitive evaluation for resource efficiency national water-efficient cities assessment capital misallocation water efficiency emissions abatement

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Stimulating Start-up Investment Through Government-Sponsored Venture Capital: Theory and Chinese Evidence

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Journal of Systems Science & Complexity 2024年第5期37卷 2021-2053页

作者： NI Xuanming ZHENG Tiantian GAO Feng ZHAO Huimin school of Software and Microelectronics Peking University school of economics and Management Tsinghua University school of Business Sun Yat-sen University

Government-sponsored venture capital(GVC) has been used to support financially constrained start-ups as an important policy tool in China. Typically, to motivate the social capital to invest in start-ups, GVC provides subsidies for them to bridge the funding gap in the early-stage venture capital market. However, the effect and mechanism of GVC affecting social capital investment have not been clearly studied. In this paper, the authors not only develop a game model to analyze this issue in theory, but conduct an empirical study by analyzing the 14741 records matched by propensity score matching(PSM) of Chinese venture capital market data from 2011 to 2021. The proposed findings are as the follows. Firstly, the subsidies offered by GVC will simultaneously increase the returns and risks of investments in start-ups of social capital with more volatile incentive effect of GVC. The incentive effect of GVC is only effective when the returns resulting from the subsidies outweigh the risks they introduce. In the context of the Chinese venture capital market, the incentive effect of GVC is effective. Secondly, the incentive effect of GVC is more pronounced in high-tech industries, which can be attributed to the signaling effect facilitated by GVC. In this context, the subsidy mainly helps social capital to bear the costs associated with screening potential investments. Thirdly, the incentive effect of GVC is more significant in underdeveloped venture capital markets, which can be explained by the “virtuous cycle” effect, in which GVC plays a pioneering role in establishing a more robust early-stage market trading system. By examining these three points, this study contributes to a better understanding of how GVC can effectively guide social capital investment, especially in the Chinese landscape.

关键词： Government-sponsored venture capital fund incentive effect social capital subsidy venture capital

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On the Pathwise Uniqueness of Solutions of One-dimensional Reflected Stochastic Differential Equations with Jumps

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Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica 2024年第1期40卷 149-163页

作者： Hua Zhang school of Statistics and Data Science&Key Laboratory of Data Science in Finance and economics Jiangxi University of Finance and EconomicsNanchang330013China

In this paper, we are concerned with the problem of the pathwise uniqueness of one-dimensional reflected stochastic differential equations with jumps under the assumption of non-Lipschitz continuous coefficients whose... 详细信息

关键词： reflected diffusion processes with jumps pathwise uniqueness local time Meyer It?'s formula

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