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A credible traffic prediction method based on self-supervised causal discovery

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Science China(Information Sciences) 2024年第5期67卷 244-258页

作者： Dan WANG Yingjie LIU Bin SONG State Key laboratory of Integrated services Networks Xidian University

Next-generation wireless network aims to support low-latency, high-speed data transmission services by incorporating artificial intelligence(AI) technologies. To fulfill this promise, AI-based network traffic prediction is essential for pre-allocating resources, such as bandwidth and computing power. This can help reduce network congestion and improve the quality of service(QoS) for users. Most studies achieve future traffic prediction by exploiting deep learning and reinforcement learning, to mine spatio-temporal correlated variables. Nevertheless, the prediction results obtained only by the spatio-temporal correlated variables cannot reflect real traffic changes. This phenomenon prevents the true prediction variables from being inferred, making the prediction algorithm perform poorly. Inspired by causal science, we propose a novel network traffic prediction method based on self-supervised spatio-temporal causal discovery(SSTCD). We first introduce the Granger causal discovery algorithm to build a causal graph among prediction variables and obtain spatio-temporal causality in the observed data, which reflects the real reasons affecting traffic ***, a graph neural network(GNN) is adopted to incorporate causality for traffic prediction. Furthermore,we propose a self-supervised method to implement causal discovery to to address the challenge of lacking ground-truth causal graphs in the observed data. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the SSTCD method.

关键词： wireless network traffic prediction causal discovery self-supervised

Establishment of an Iron Deficiency Model by Iron Depletion in Pregnant Rats

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Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024年第2期37卷 210-215页

作者： CHEN Xi HAN Chao ZHAO Jin Peng SHEN Shi WANG Li Yuan REN Shou WANG Tong Lei MA Yan XU Ze Chao HUO Jun Sheng Key laboratory of Trace Element Nutrition National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of ChinaNational Institute for Nutrition and HealthChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 100050China

Anemia,a global public health problem,has significant adverse consequences on the cognitive development of children and the work capacity of adults;affecting social and economic ***,roughly 43%of children under five years of age,38%of pregnant women,and 29%of nonpregnant women had *** during pregnancy significantly increases the risk of low birth weight and preterm birth.A 10 g/L increase in hemoglobin has been estimated to decrease the risk of maternal and perinatal mortality by 29%and 28%.

关键词： mortality pregnancy anemia

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health benefits from the rapid reduction in ambient exposure to air pollutants after China's clean air actions:progress in efficacy and geographic equality

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national Science Review 2024年第2期11卷 103-113页

作者： Tao Xue Ruohan Wang Meng Wang Yanying Wang Dan Tong Xia Meng Conghong Huang Siqi Ai Fangzhou Li Jingyuan Cao Mingkun Tong Xueqiu Ni Hengyi Liu Jianyu Deng Hong Lu Wei Wan Jicheng Gong Shiqiu Zhang Tong Zhu Institute of Reproductive and Child health National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health/Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases(PKU) School of Public Health Peking University Health Science Centre State Environmental Protection Key laboratory of Atmospheric Exposure and Health Risk Management and Center for Environment and Health Peking University Advanced Institute of Information Technology Peking University Department of Epidemiology and Environmental health School of Public Health and Health ProfessionsUniversity at Buffalo State Key Joint laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control College of Environmental Sciences and EngineeringPeking University Department of Earth System Science Tsinghua University School of Public health Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and Key Laboratory of Health Technology Assessment of the Ministry of HealthFudan University College of Land Management Nanjing Agricultural University national&Local Joint Engineering Research Center for Rural Land Resources Use and Consolidation Clean Air Asia

Clean air actions （CAAs） in China have been linked to considerable benefits in public ***,whether the beneficial effects of CAAs are equally distributed geographically is *** high-resolution maps of the distributions of major air pollutants (fine particulate matter[PM2.5]and ozone[O3]) and population,we aimed to track spatiotemporal changes in health impacts from,and geographic inequality embedded in,the reduced exposures to PM2.5and O3from 2013 to *** used a method established by the Global Burden of Diseases *** analyzing the changes in loss of life expectancy（LLE） attributable to PM2.5and O3,we calculated the gain of life expectancy （GLE） to quantify the health benefits of the air-quality ***,we assessed the geographic inequality embedded in the GLE using the Gini index （GI）.Based on risk assessments of PM2.5and O3,during the first stage of CAAs（2013 to 2017）,the mean GLE was 1.87 *** of the sum of the GLE was disproportionally distributed in about one quarter of the population exposed （GI 0.44）.During the second stage of CAAs（2017 to 2020）,the mean GLE increased to 3.94 months and geographic inequality decreased （GI 0.18）.According to our assessments,CAAs were enhanced,from the first to second stages,in terms of not only preventing premature mortality but also ameliorating health *** enhancements were related to increased sensitivity to the health effects of air pollution and synergic control of PM2.5and *** findings will contribute to optimizing future CAAs.

关键词： clean air action public health inequality fine particulate matter ozone

circRNAs deregulation in exosomes derived from BEAS-2B cells is associated with vascular stiffness induced by PM_(2.5)

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Journal of Environmental Sciences 2024年第3期137卷 527-539页

作者： Qingping Liu Yaling Zhang Bin Han Mengruo Wang Huaifang Hu Jie Ning Wentao Hu Meiyu Chen Yaxian Pang Yuanyuan Chen Lei Bao Yujie Niu Rong Zhang Department of Toxicology Hebei Medical UniversityShijiazhuang 050017China State Key laboratory of Environment health(Incubation) Key Laboratory of Environment and HealthMinistry of EducationKey Laboratory of Environment and Health(Wuhan)Ministry of Environmental ProtectionSchool of Public HealthTongji Medical CollegeHuazhong University of Science and TechnologyWuhan 430030China China CDC Key laboratory of Environment and Population health National Institute of Environmental HealthChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 100021China Occupational health and Environmental health Hebei Medical UniversityShijiazhuang 050017China Hebei Key laboratory of Environment and Human health Hebei Medical UniversityShijiazhuang 050017China

As an environmental pollutant,ambient fine particulate matter (PM_(2.5)) was linked to cardiovascular *** molecular mechanisms underlying PM_(2.5)-induced extrapulmonary disease has not been elucidated *** this study the ambient PM_(2.5)exposure mice model we established was to explore adverse effects of vessel and potential ***-term PM_(2.5)exposure caused reduced lung function and vascular stiffness in *** chronic PM_(2.5)induced migration and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) phenotype in BEAS-2B *** PM_(2.5)treatment,the circRNAs and mRNAs levels of exosomes released by BEAS-2B cells were detected by competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) array,which contained 1664 differentially expressed circRNAs (DE-circRNAs) and 308 differentially expressed m RNAs (DE-mRNAs).By bioinformatics analysis on host genes of DE-circRNAs,vascular diseases and some pathways related to vascular diseases including focal adhesion,tight junction and adherens junction were ***,ceRNA network was constructed,and DE-mRNAs in ceRNA network were conducted functional enrichment analysis by Ingenuity Pathway Analysis,which indicated that hsa_circ_0012627,hsa_circ_0053261and hsa_circ_0052810 were related to vascular endothelial ***,it was verified experimentally that Exo^(PM2.5)could induce endothelial dysfunction by increased endothelial permeability and decreased relaxation in *** present study,we investigated in-depth knowledge into the molecule events related to PM_(2.5) toxicity and pathogenesis of vascular diseases.

关键词： Fine particulate matter Vascular stiffness Exosome ceRNA microarray Endothelial dysfunction

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Disease Burden and Costs Associated with Multiple Sclerosis in China:A Cross-sectional Analysis of Nationwide Survey Data

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Neuroscience Bulletin 2024年第4期40卷 533-538页

作者： Yusheng Jia Xuanqi Qiao Jin Zhao Hainan Li Shanlian Hu Min Hu Department of health Economics School of Public HealthFudan UniversityShanghai200032China national health Commission Key laboratory of health Technology Assessment Fudan UniversityShanghai200032China

DearEditors,Multiple sclerosis(MS)is a chronic,autoimmune neurological disorder characterized by inflammatory demyelination of the central nervous system;it is associated with reduced mobility,cognitive impairment,and numerous comorbidities[1].Global MS incidence(2.1 per 100,000 person-years)and prevalence(30.1 per 100,000)have increased in recent years,and its prevalence is notably higher in Western countries,ranging from~30 to 200 cases per 100,000[2].In China,recent epidemiological research has shown that the crude prevalence was 2.44 per 100,000 in 2016[3],and the age-and sex-adjusted incidence was 0.235 per 100,000 person-years[4].Despite the relatively low prevalence compared with the global average,China has extensively addressed the well-being of over 30,000 MS patients,enrolling MS in China's First national List of Rare Diseases in 2018.

关键词： prevalence impairment autoimmune

Mitigate noisy data for smart IoT via GAN based machine unlearning

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Science China(Information Sciences) 2024年第3期67卷 62-78页

作者： Zhuo MA Yilong YANG Yang LIU Xinjing LIU Jianfeng MA School of Cyber Engineering Xidian University State Key laboratory of Integrated services Networks (ISN)

With the development of IoT applications, machine learning dramatically improves the utility of variable IoT systems such as autonomous driving. Although the pretrain-finetune framework can cope well with data heterogeneity in complex IoT scenarios, the data collected by sensors often contain unexpected noisy data, e.g., out-of-distribution(OOD) data, which leads to the reduced performance of fine-tuned models. To resolve the problem, this paper proposes Mu GAN, a method that can mitigate the side-effect of OOD data via the generative adversarial network(GAN)-based machine unlearning. Mu GAN follows a straightforward but effective idea to mitigate the performance loss caused by OOD data, i.e., “flashbacking” the model to the condition where OOD data are excluded from model training. To achieve the goal, we design an adversarial game, where a discriminator is trained to identify whether a sample belongs to the training set by observing the confidence score. Meanwhile, a generator(i.e., the target model) is updated to fool the discriminator into believing that the OOD data are not included in the training set but others do. The experimental results show that benefiting from the high unlearning rate(more than 90%) and retention rate(99%), Mu GAN succeeds in lowering the model performance degradation caused by OOD data from 5.88% to 0.8%.

关键词： machine unlearning generative adversarial network out of distribution data Internet of Thing neural network

Statement on Establishment of Public health Protection Guideline for Cold Spells—China

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China CDC weekly 2024年第5期6卷 92-94页

作者： Tiantian Li Qinghua Sun Chen Chen Qing Wang Jie Ban Runmei Ma Yi Zhang Lijun Pan Yuanyuan Liu Qiutong Li Leyao Chang Hanshuo Zhang Yirong Liu Miaoyou Niu Xiangxiang Wei Lin Wang China CDC Key laboratory of Environment and Population health National Institute of Environmental HealthChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina

Cold spells are extreme weather events characterized by the invasion of cold air from high latitudes into the middle and low latitudes,resulting in significant *** spells have various adverse health effects,including epidermal damage,respiratory tract spasms,respiratory immune abnormalities,acute cardiopulmonary diseases,and exacerbation of urinary and endocrine *** response to the frequent cold spells in recent years.

关键词： respiratory invasion acute

Association of Thallium Exposure with Decreased Renal Function among Chinese Adults—China,2017-2018

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China CDC weekly 2024年第34期6卷 867-871,I0007-I0010页

作者： Zheng Zhang Miao Zhang Yingli Qu Feng Zhao Saisai Ji Zheng Li Bing Wu Chunxian Lyu Haocan Song Qi Sun Yawei Li Xu Zhang Xulin Zheng Yidan Qiu Zihan Lu Hui Fu Lanjing Xu Wenli Zhang Yufei Luo Fangyu Li Jiayi Cai Yuanduo Zhu Ying Zhu Zhaojin Cao Yuebin Lyu Xiaoming Shi China CDC Key laboratory of Environment and Population health National Institute of Environmental HealthChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina Center for Global health School of Public HealthNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing CityJiangsu ProvinceChina Department of Big Data in health Science School of Public HealthZhejiang UniversityHangzhou CityZhejiang ProvinceChina Department of Occupational health and Environment health School of Public HealthAnhui Medical UniversityHefei CityAnhui ProvinceChina School of Public health China Medical UniversityShenyang CityLiaoning ProvinceChina national Key laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases(NITFID) National Institute of Environmental HealthChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina

Summary What is already known about this topic?Thallium(Tl)is significantly more toxic than heavy metals such as lead,cadmium,and ***,previous studies examining the relationship between Tl exposure and the risk of chr... 详细信息

关键词： Renal kidney mercury

Epidemiological Characteristics of Fracture Among Children Aged 6-17 Years-China,2019-2021

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China CDC weekly 2024年第32期6卷 799-803,I0001页

作者： Lu Cui Qian Gan Juan Xu Peipei Xu Titi Yang Wei Cao Hongliang Wang Haoyan Guo Ruihe Luo Jianfen Zhang Hui Pan Wenhua Zhao Zhenyu Yang Yuxiang Yan Qian Zhang Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics School of Public HealthCapital Medical UniversityBeijingChina national Institute for Nutrition and health Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina Key laboratory of Public Nutrition and health National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of ChinaBeijingChina

Summary What is already known about this topic?Fractures are a common and serious injury among *** many studies have utilized clinical data,there is a lack of large-scale community-based research in *** is added by this report?This cross-sectional study provides national and regionally representative data on the prevalence of fractures among Chinese children aged 6–17 years(6.93%),with higher rates observed in males than in females(8.13%vs.5.71%)and in rural areas compared to urban areas(7.22%vs.6.62%).The most common site of fracture was the upper limbs(4.24%,accounting for 63.0%of fractures).What are the implications for public health practice?The need to enhance awareness of fracture prevention is critical,particularly for children in rural areas and males in middle *** recommend that local authorities increase investments in educational programs and child safety ***,promoting balanced diets for children,training in proper exercise techniques,and reinforcing participation in outdoor sports are essential.

关键词： prevention utilized children