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Impacts of climate change and human activities on vegetation dynamics on the Mongolian Plateau, East Asia from 2000 to 2023

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Journal of Arid Land 2024年第8期16卷 1062-1079页

作者： YAN Yujie CHENG Yiben XIN Zhiming ZHOU Junyu ZHOU Mengyao WANG Xiaoyu School of Soil and Water Conservation Beijing Forestry UniversityBeijing 100083China Experimental center of desert Forestry Chinese Academy of ForestryDengkou 015200China Inner Mongolia Dengkou desert Ecosystem national Observation Research Station National Forestry and Grassland AdministrationDengkou 015200China

The Mongolian Plateau in East Asia is one of the largest contingent arid and semi-arid areas of the *** the impacts of climate change and human activities,desertification is becoming increasingly severe on the Mongolian *** the vegetation dynamics in this region can better characterize its ecological *** this study,based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)images,we calculated the kernel normalized difference vegetation index(kNDVI)on the Mongolian Plateau from 2000 to 2023,and analyzed the changes in kNDVI using the Theil-Sen median trend analysis and Mann-Kendall significance *** further investigated the impact of climate change on kNDVI change using partial correlation analysis and composite correlation analysis,and quantified the effects of climate change and human activities on kNDVI change by residual *** results showed that kNDVI on the Mongolian Plateau was increasing overall,and the vegetation recovery area in the southern region was significantly larger than that in the northern *** 50.99%of the plateau showed dominant climate-driven effects of temperature,precipitation,and wind speed on kNDVI *** analysis showed that climate change and human activities together contributed to 94.79%of the areas with vegetation *** human activities promoted the recovery of local vegetation,and climate change inhibited vegetation growth in the northern part of the Mongolian *** study provides scientific data for understanding the regional ecological environment status and future changes and developing effective ecological protection measures on the Mongolian Plateau.

关键词： kernel normalized difference vegetation index(kNDVI) human activities climate change partial correlation analysis composite correlation analysis residual analysis Mongolian Plateau

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A CMIP6-based assessment of regional climate change in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains

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Journal of Arid Land 2024年第2期16卷 195-219页

作者： LIU Xinyu LI Xuemei ZHANG Zhengrong ZHAO Kaixin LI Lanhai Faculty of Geomatics Lanzhou Jiaotong UniversityLanzhou 730070China national-Local Joint Engineering Research center of Technologies and Applications for national Geographic State Monitoring Lanzhou 730070China Gansu Provincial Engineering Laboratory for national Geographic State Monitoring Lanzhou 730070China State Key Laboratory of desert and Oasis Ecology Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China Research center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia Chinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China

Climate warming profoundly affects hydrological changes,agricultural production,and human *** and semi-arid areas of China are currently displaying a marked trend of warming and *** Chinese Tianshan Mountains(CTM)have a high climate sensitivity,rendering the region particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate *** this study,we used monthly average temperature and monthly precipitation data from the CN05.1 gridded dataset(1961-2014)and 24 global climate models(GCMs)of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)to assess the applicability of the CMIP6 GCMs in the CTM at the regional *** on this,we conducted a systematic review of the interannual trends,dry-wet transitions(based on the standardized precipitation index(SPI)),and spatial distribution patterns of climate change in the CTM during *** further projected future temperature and precipitation changes over three terms(near-term(2021-2040),mid-term(2041-2060),and long-term(2081-2100))relative to the historical period(1961-2014)under four shared socio-economic pathway(SSP)scenarios(i.e.,SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSP3-7.0,and SSP5-8.5).It was found that the CTM had experienced significant warming and wetting from 1961 to 2014,and will also experience warming in the future(2021-2100).Substantial warming in 1997 was captured by both the CN05.1 derived from interpolating meteorological station data and the multi-model ensemble(MME)from the CMIP6 *** MME simulation results indicated an apparent wetting in 2008,which occurred later than the wetting observed from the CN05.1 in *** GCMs generally underestimated spring temperature and overestimated both winter temperature and spring precipitation in the *** and wetting are more rapid in the northern part of the *** the end of the 21st century,all the four SSP scenarios project warmer and wetter conditions in the CTM with multiple dry-wet ***,the rise in precipitation fails to counterbal

关键词： climate change Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6) global climate models(GCMs) shared socio-economic pathway(SSP)scenarios standardized precipitation index(SPI) Chinese Tianshan Mountains

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Near-surface wind field characteristics of the desert-oasis transition zone in Dunhuang,China

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Journal of Arid Land 2024年第5期16卷 654-667页

作者： PAN Jiapeng ZHANG Kecun AN Zhishan ZHANG Yu Key Laboratory of desert and desertification&Dunhuang Gobi and desert Ecology and Environment Research Station Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and ResourcesChinese Academy of SciencesLanzhou 730000China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China

The desert-oasis transition zone(DOTZ)serves as a buffer area between the desert and *** its wind field characteristics is of great significance for the prevention and control of aeolian disasters in the *** this study,we used meteorological data during 2013–2019 from the portable meteorological stations at five sites(site A on the edge of the oasis,sites B,C,and D in the DOTZ,and site O in the desert)in Dunhuang,China to analyze the near-surface wind field characteristics and their causes,as well as to reveal the key role of the DOTZ in oasis *** results showed that the mean wind speed,frequency of sand-driving wind,and directional variability of wind decreased from west to east within the DOTZ,and wind speed was significantly affected by air *** terrain influenced the prevailing winds in the region,mainly from northeast and *** some areas adjacent to the oasis were controlled by southeasterly *** indicated that the near-surface wind field characteristics of the DOTZ were caused by the combined effects of local terrain and surface hydrothermal *** site D,the annual drift potential(DP)was 24.95 vector units(VU),indicating a low wind energy environment,and the resultant drift direction(RDD)showed obvious seasonal ***,the DOTZ played an important buffering role between the desert and *** with the desert,the mean wind speed in the oasis decreased by 64.98%,and the prevailing wind direction was more *** results of this study will be useful in interpreting the aeolian activity of the DOTZ in Dunhuang.

关键词： desert-oasis transition zone near-surface wind field hydrothermal difference sand-driving wind aeolian environment Dunhuang

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Applicability of different indices for delineating the boundary of arid region: A case study in northwestern China

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Journal of Earth Science 2024年

作者： Xue Peng Xiang Li Yingyibing Shen Xuehua Che Shipei Dong Zhuolun Li Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education)， College of Earth and Environmental Sciences， center for Glacier and desert Research， Lanzhou University

Arid regions are vital components of Earth's land surface. Clarifying the area/boundary of arid region is crucial for comprehending area changes and potential mechanisms. However， the accuracy and applicability of arid region boundary delineated by different indices remain unclear. In this study， the annual precipitation （AP）， humidity index （H）， and aridity index （K） were calculated for delineating arid region of China using 106 meteorological stations during 1990–2019. The results suggest that AP and H can accurately delineate arid region， because they are consistent with the distribution of typical soil and vegetation in arid region， whereas K is not. Moreover， AP is the best index for delineating arid region in regions with limited meteorological data， especially in studying long-term patterns and mechanisms of area changes. The accuracy of delineating arid region using H is enhanced in regions with abundant meteorological data. Over the past 30 years， influenced by the increase of atmospheric moisture influx and precipitation， the area in arid region of northwestern China decreased by 70×103–90×103km2， resulting in the present area of approximately 1.55×106km2. This study provides appropriate indices for delineating arid region， contributing to improving our knowledge of regional responses difference to climate change.

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Distribution assessment of soil erosion with revised RUSLE model in Tianshan Mountains

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Journal of Mountain Science 2024年第3期21卷 850-866页

作者： WEI wenyu LIU Ya ZHANG Lixia LI Lanhai State Key Laboratory of desert and Oasis Ecology Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China Reaserch center of Educational in Xinjiang Xinjiang Normal UniversityUrumqi 830017China

aSoil degradation caused by soil erosion is one of the world's most critical environmental *** erosion in the Tianshan Mountains has caused various environmental problems in the surrounding *** study used remote sensing data to analyze the distribution of the factors influencing soil erosion,and the revised universal soil loss equation(RUSLE)to calculate the total amount and distribution characteristics of soil erosion in the Tianshan Mountains in *** to the large error of RUSLE in soil erosion estimation in mountainous areas,this study modified RUSLE equation based on the characteristics of snow cover in the Tianshan *** results show that the average soil erosion was 1690.3 t/(km^(2)·year),of which insignificant erosion,slight erosion and moderate erosion accounted for 42,8%,22.4%and 9.9%,*** erosion and above accounted for 13.3%.The accuracy of the soil erosion modulus calculated by the RUSLE was only 61.9%,with an average error of 1631.9 t/(km^(2)·year).The average error of the double-coefficient correction method was 1259.1 t/(km^(2)·year),and the average error of the modified formula method was reduced by 40.3%compared with the RUSLE,reaching 973.7 t/(km^(2)·year),and its accuracy reached 76.2%.Very severe erosion and catastrophic erosion are distributed on mountain ridges with higher elevation and on the northern area with higher *** cover has a certain inhibitory effect on soil erosion,and snow cover in alpine mountains is a factor that cannot be ignored in soil erosion research.

关键词： RUSLE Snow cover Erosion categories High-elevation area

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Potential distribution of Haloxylon ammodendron in Central Asia under climate change

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Journal of Arid Land 2024年第9期16卷 1255-1269页

作者： CHEN Zhuo SHAO Minghao HU Zihao GAO Xin LEI Jiaqiang Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China national Engineering Technology Research center for desert-Oasis Ecological Construction Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China University of Emergency Management Beijing 101601China

Understanding the spatial distribution of plant species and their dynamic changes in arid areas is crucial for addressing the challenges posed by climate *** ammodendron shelterbelts are essential for the protection of plant resources and the control of desertification in Central *** far,the potential suitable habitats of *** in Central Asia are still uncertain in the future under global climate change *** study utilised the maximum entropy(MaxEnt)model to combine the current distribution data of *** with its growth-related data to analyze the potential distribution pattern of *** across Central *** results show that there are suitable habitats of *** in the Aralkum desert,northern slopes of the Tianshan Mountains,and the upstream of the Tarim River and western edge of the Taklimakan desert in the Tarim Basin under the current climate *** period from 2021 to 2040 is projected to undergo significant changes in the suitable habitat area of *** in Central Asia,with a projected 15.0% decrease in the unsuitable habitat *** areas farther from the ocean,such as the Caspian Sea and Aralkum desert,will continue to experience a decrease in the suitable habitats of *** exhibiting frequent fluctuations in the habitat suitability levels are primarily found along the axis stretching from Astana to Kazakhskiy Melkosopochnik in *** regions can transition into suitable habitats under varying climate conditions,requiring the implementation of appropriate human intervention measures to prevent *** climate conditions are expected to cause an eastward shift in the geometric centre of the potential suitable habitats of ***,with the extent of this shift amplifying alongside more greenhouse gas *** study can provide theoretical support for the spatial configuration of *** shelterbelts and desertification co

关键词： Haloxylon ammodendron potential suitable habitats climate change desertification maximum entropy(MaxEnt)model Central Asia Aralkum desert

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Accurate Shortwave Radiation Simulation with a Two-Layer Aerosol Model in Xinjiang Region

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Journal of Meteorological Research 2024年第1期38卷 69-87页

作者： Guan HUANG Yonghang CHEN Qiong LIU Pengtao WANG Qianshan HE Qing HE Shuai LI Weiling SHAO Ting FAN School of Tourism&Research Institute of Human Geography Xi’an International Studies UniversityXi’an 710128 center for Silk Road and Eurasian Civilization Studies Xi’an International Studies UniversityXi’an 710128 College of Environmental Science and Engineering Donghua UniversityShanghai 201620 Shanghai Meteorological Service Shanghai 200030 Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health Shanghai 200030 Taklimakan desert Meteorology Field Experiment Station of China Meteorological Administration Institute of Desert MeteorologyUrumqi 830002 Xinjiang Climate Centre Xinjiang Meteorological ServiceUrumqi 830002

To harness the rich solar energy resources in Xinjiang Region of Northwest China,this study tries to address the issue of lack of downward surface shortwave radiation(DSSR)observations and the need to improve the accuracy of satellite retrieval and numerical simulation of DSSR under varied sky and meteorological conditions.(1)A two-layer aerosol model specific to Xinjiang was developed to capture the vertical distributions of aerosols based on multiple data sources including lidar,GPS sounding,ground meteorological observations,and profiles from the ECMWF reanalysis version 5(ERA5)*** results show that the ERA5/PBLH(planetary boundary layer height)and ERA5/ALH(aerosol layer height)could be used to establish the two-layer aerosol model and characterize the vertical distribution of aerosols in Xinjiang Region.(2)Using the Santa Barbara Discrete Atmospheric Radiative Transfer(SBDART)model,a localized inverse model of clear-sky DSSR was *** parameter adjustment and using the optimal combination of input parameters for DSSR simulation together with the two-layer aerosol model,the model-simulated DSSR(DSSRSBD)under clear-sky conditions improved significantly compared to the initial results,with all fitting indices greatly improved.(3)In addition,the study demonstrated that the impact of the two-layer aerosol model on DSSR was more pronounced under dust conditions than clear-sky conditions.(4)Using the localized clear-sky DSSR inversion model and its required parameters,simulations were also conducted to capture the spatiotemporal distribution of DSSR under clear-sky conditions in Xinjiang from 2017 to *** annual average DSSR_(SBD)under clear-sky conditions in Xinjiang during 2017–2019 was 606.78 W m^(-2),while DSSR from CERES(DSSR_(CER))under the same conditions was generally higher(703.95 W m^(-2)).(5)It is found that satellite remote sensing products experienced data loss in high-altitude snow areas,where numerical simulation technology could ser

关键词： downward surface shortwave radiation(DSSR) aerosol vertical distribution Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System(CERES) Santa Barbara Discrete Atmospheric Radiative Transfer(SBDART) Xinjiang

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The influence of proxy selection on global annual mean temperature reconstructions during the Common Era

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Science China Earth Sciences 2024年第8期67卷 2522-2534页

作者： Bao YANG Xia LI Minhui HE Feng WANG Yesi ZHAO Peng ZHANG Jianglin WANG Frontiers Science center for Critical Earth Material Cycling School of Geography and Ocean ScienceNanjing UniversityNanjing 210023China Key Laboratory of desert and desertification Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and ResourcesChinese Academy of SciencesLanzhou 730000China Centre Eau Terre Environnement Institut National de la Recherche ScientifiqueQuébecQCG1K 9A9Canada GEOTOP Research Centre in the Dynamics of the Earth System MontréalQC H2X 3Y7Canada

The reconstruction of global annual mean temperatures made by the PAGES 2k Consortium in 2019 represents one of the most influential sequences of global climate variability over the Common ***,it is still not clear how the reconstruction can be influenced by the selection of reconstruction methods and the selection of proxy records with different temporal resolutions over different *** adopt a widely used Composite-Plus-Scale method to elucidate the effects of the selection of the proxy records on temperature *** ensure the uniformity of data,different types of proxy records spanning the past~2000 years from the PAGES 2k proxy network were used to investigate the potential effects of proxy selection in hemispheric and global temperature reconstructions during the past two *** long-term trends,spectral characteristics,and volcanic responses of the annual temperatures were studied based on the *** results reveal a significant cooling trend in the global annual mean temperature using both tree-ring and non-tree-ring records during the 1–1850CE period,and show that the cooling exhibits a stronger trend in the Southern Hemisphere(SH)than that in the Northern Hemisphere(NH).Yet,the long-term trends vary according to different combinations of proxy *** reconstructions based on different types of proxies also exhibit different features in terms of volcanic responses and spectral ***-ring-based temperature reconstructions show stronger cooling responses to tropical volcanic eruptions,while non-tree-ring-based reconstructions suggest less robust volcanic responses,which may be related to dating uncertainties and low temporal resolution of the ***-ring width records tend to preserve a substantial proportion of high-frequency(200 years)*** are needed to reduce uncertainti

关键词： Millennial cooling trend Global climate change Proxy records Volcanic eruptions Spectral properties Common Era

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Comparative Assessment of Impacts of Future Climate Change on Runoff in Upper Daqinghe Basin,China

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Chinese Geographical Science 2024年第3期34卷 564-578页

作者： INGABIRE Romaine CHANG Yuru LIU Xia CAO Bo UMUGWANEZA Adeline SHEN Yanjun Key Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources Hebei-Key Laboratory of Water Saving AgricultureCenter for Agricultural Re-sources ResearchInstitute of Genetics and Developmental BiologyChinese Academy of SciencesShijiazhuang 050022China Uni-versity of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China State Key Laboratory of desert and Oasis Ecology Xinjiang Insti-tute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China

Assessing runoff changes is of great importance especially its responses to the projected future climate change on local scale basins because such analyses are generally done on global and regional scales which may lead to generalized conclusions rather than specific *** change affected the runoff variation in the past in the upper Daqinghe Basin,however,the climate was mainly considered uncertain and still needs further studies,especially its future impacts on runoff for better water resources management and *** with a set of climate simulations,a daily conceptual hydrological model(MIKE11-NAM)was applied to assess the impact of climate change on runoff conditions in the Daomaguan,Fuping and Zijingguan basins in the upper Daqinghe *** hydrological data(2008–2017)were used to evaluate the applicability of the MIKE11-NAM *** bias correction,future projected climate change and its impacts on runoff(2025–2054)were analysed and compared to the baseline period(1985–2014)under three shared social economic pathways(SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,and SSP5-8.5)scenarios from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)*** MIKE-11 NAM model was applicable in all three Basins,with both R^(2)and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficients greater than 0.6 at daily scale for both calibration(2009–2011)and validation(2012–2017)periods,*** uncertainties remain,temperature and precipitation are projected to increase compared to the baseline where higher increases in precipitation and temperature are projected to occur under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios,respectively in all the *** changes will range between 12%–19%whereas temperature change will be 2.0℃–2.5℃ under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios,*** addition,higher warming is projected to occur in colder months than in warmer ***,the runoff of these three basins is projected to respond to projected climate changes differe

关键词： runoff climate change MIKE11-NAM model Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6) upper Daqinghe Basin,China

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Rapid mass loss and disappearance of summer-accumulation type hanging glacier

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Advances in Climate Change Research 2022年第1期13卷 73-81页

作者： Chun-Hai XU Zhong-Qin LI Fei-Teng WANG Pu-Yu WANG Jian-Xin MU State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and ResourcesChinese Academy of Sciences.Lanzhou730000China national cryosphere desert data center Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and ResourcesChinese Academy of SciencesLanzhou 730000China

Hanging glaciers hold the absolute dominant number in West China and their changes had important influences on local hydrology,sea-level rise and natural hazards(snow/ice avalanches).However,logistic and operational difficulties have resulted in the lack of in-situ-measured data,leaving us with poor knowledge of the changing behaviors of this type of ***,we presented the spatiotemporal pattern of seasonal and annual mass changes of a mid-latitude hanging glacier in the Tien Shan based on repeated terrestrial laser scanning(TLS)surveys during the period *** distributed glacier surface elevation changes exhibited highly spatiotemporal variability,and the winter elevation changes showed slight surface lowering at the upper elevations and weak thickening at the glacier terminus,which was contrary to altitudinal elevation changing patterns at the summer and annual *** balance processes of the hanging glacier mainly occurred during summer and the winter mass balance was nearly balanced(-0.10±0.15 m w.e.).The glacier exhibited more rapid mass loss than adjacent other morphological glacier and the estimated response time of the glacier to climate change was very short(6-9 years),indicating hanging glaciers will experience rapid wastage and disappearance in the future even with climate change mitigation.

关键词： Hanging glaciers Mass balance processes Glacier disappearance Tien Shan Climate change

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