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CAS-ESM2.0 Dataset for the Carbon Dioxide Removal Model Intercomparison Project(CDRMIP)

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第5期41卷 989-1000页

作者： Jiangbo JIN Duoying JI Xiao DONG Kece FEI Run GUO Juanxiong HE Yi YU Zhaoyang CHAI He ZHANG Dongling ZHANG Kangjun CHEN Qingcun ZENG International center for Climate and Environment Sciences Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment dynamics Second Institute of OceanographyMinistry of Natural ResourcesHangzhou 310012China State Key Laboratory of earth surface Processes and Resource Ecology College of Global Change and Earth System ScienceBeijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid dynamics Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China

Understanding the response of the earth system to varying concentrations of carbon dioxide(CO_(2))is critical for projecting possible future climate change and for providing insight into mitigation and adaptation strategies in the near *** this study,we generate a dataset by conducting an experiment involving carbon dioxide removal(CDR)—a potential way to suppress global warming—using the Chinese Academy of Sciences earth system Model version 2.0(CASESM2.0).A preliminary evaluation is *** model is integrated from 200–340 years as a 1%yr^(−1) CO_(2) concentration increase experiment,and then to~478 years as a carbon dioxide removal experiment until CO_(2) returns to its original ***,another 80 years is integrated in which CO_(2) is kept *** in the 2-m temperature,precipitation,sea surface temperature,ocean temperature,Atlantic meridional overturning circulation(AMOC),and sea surface height are all *** the ramp-up period,the global mean 2-m temperature and precipitation both increase while the AMOC *** of all the above variables change in the opposite direction in the ramp-down period,with a delayed peak relative to the CO_(2) *** CO_(2) returns to its original value,the global mean 2-m temperature is still~1 K higher than in the original state,and precipitation is~0.07 mm d^(–1) *** the end of the simulation,there is a~0.5°C increase in ocean temperature and a 1 Sv weakening of the *** model simulation produces similar results to those of comparable experiments previously reported in the literature.

关键词： CAS-ESM2.0 CDRMIP carbon dioxide removal AMOC temperature precipitation sea surface height

A Neural-network-based Alternative Scheme to Include Nonhydrostatic Processes in an Atmospheric Dynamical Core

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第6期41卷 1083-1099,I0002,I0003页

作者： Yang XIA Bin WANG Lijuan LI Li LIU Jianghao LI Li DONG Shiming XU Yiyuan LI Wenwen XIA Wenyu HUANG Juanjuan LIU Yong WANG Hongbo LIU Ye PU Yujun HE Kun XIA Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for earth system Modeling and Department of Earth System ScienceTsinghua UniversityBeijing 100084China State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid dynamics Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China Innovation Group 311020008 Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong LaboratoryZhuhai 519000China Shanghai Ecological Forecasting and Remote Sensing center Shanghai 200030China Key Laboratory of earth system Modeling and Prediction China Meteorological AdministrationBeijing 100081China College of Ocean Sciences University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100049China

Here,a nonhydrostatic alternative scheme(NAS)is proposed for the grey zone where the nonhydrostatic impact on the atmosphere is evident but not large enough to justify the necessity to include an implicit nonhydrostatic solver in an atmospheric dynamical *** NAS is designed to replace this solver,which can be incorporated into any hydrostatic models so that existing well-developed hydrostatic models can effectively serve for a longer *** advances in machine learning(ML)provide a potential tool for capturing the main complicated nonlinear-nonhydrostatic *** this study,an ML approach called a neural network(NN)was adopted to select leading input features and develop the *** NNs were trained and evaluated with 12-day simulation results of dry baroclinic-wave tests by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)*** forward time difference of the nonhydrostatic tendency was used as the target variable,and the five selected features were the nonhydrostatic tendency at the last time step,and four hydrostatic variables at the current step including geopotential height,pressure in two different forms,and potential temperature,***,a practical NAS was developed with these features and trained layer by layer at a 20-km horizontal resolution,which can accurately reproduce the temporal variation and vertical distribution of the nonhydrostatic *** by the NN-based NAS,the improved hydrostatic solver at different horizontal resolutions can run stably for at least one month and effectively reduce most of the nonhydrostatic errors in terms of system bias,anomaly root-mean-square error,and the error of the wave spatial pattern,which proves the feasibility and superiority of this scheme.

关键词： neural network nonhydrostatic alternative scheme atmospheric model dynamical core

Regional Emigration——China's New Approach to Geo-Disaster Mitigation

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Journal of earth Science 2024年第5期35卷 1786-1788页

作者： Haijun Qiu Wen Nie Liang Zhou Yingdong Wei Jiading Wang Shaanxi Key Laboratory of earth surface system and Environmental Carrying Capacity College of Urban and Environmental SciencesNorthwest University Quanzhou Institute of Equipment Manufacturing Haixi InstitutesChinese Academy of Sciences Faculty of Geomatics Lanzhou Jiaotong University State Key Laboratory of Continental dynamics Department of GeologyNorthwest University

INTRODUCTION In southern Shaanxi, China, the government is implementing a “pre-emptive” migration away from remote mountains and contiguous areas with extreme poverty(Figure 1). The direct aim is to eradicate extreme poverty and protect the ecological integrity in mountainous areas. However, this policy can not only reduce human damage to natural protected areas and wildlife habitats, but more importantly, bid farewell to the areas where geo-disasters are frequent, the risk of farmers' exposure to disasters is eliminated.

关键词： extreme Figure mountains

Application of the Conditional Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Exponent to Second-Kind Predictability

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第9期41卷 1769-1786页

作者： Ming ZHANG Ruiqiang DING Quanjia ZHONG Jianping LI Deyu LU State Key Laboratory of earth surface Processes and Resource Ecology(ESPRE)/Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disasters of Chinese Ministry of EducationBeijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China Department of Ocean Science Hong Kong University of Science and TechnologyHong KongChina College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences/Frontiers Science center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and earth system(DOMES)/Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography Ministry of Education/Academy of the Future Ocean/Center for Ocean Carbon NeutralityOcean University of ChinaQingdao 266100China Laoshan Laboratory Qingdao 266237China State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid dynamics(LASG) Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China College of earth Science University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100049China

In order to quantify the influence of external forcings on the predictability limit using observational data,the author introduced an algorithm of the conditional nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent(CNLLE)*** effectiveness of this algorithm is validated and compared with the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent(NLLE)and signal-to-noise ratio methods using a coupled Lorenz *** results show that the CNLLE method is able to capture the slow error growth constrained by external forcings,therefore,it can quantify the predictability limit induced by the external *** this basis,a preliminary attempt was made to apply this method to measure the influence of ENSO on the predictability limit for both atmospheric and oceanic variable *** spatial distribution of the predictability limit induced by ENSO is similar to that arising from the initial conditions calculated by the NLLE *** similarity supports ENSO as the major predictable signal for weather and climate *** addition,a ratio of predictability limit(RPL)calculated by the CNLLE method to that calculated by the NLLE method was *** RPL larger than 1 indicates that the external forcings can significantly benefit the long-term predictability *** instance,ENSO can effectively extend the predictability limit arising from the initial conditions of sea surface temperature over the tropical Indian Ocean by approximately four months,as well as the predictability limit of sea level pressure over the eastern and western Pacific ***,the impact of ENSO on the geopotential height predictability limit is primarily confined to the troposphere.

关键词： conditional nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent second-kind predictability coupled Lorenz model ENSO

Increased glacier melt enhances future extreme floods in the southern Tibetan Plateau

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Advances in Climate Change Research 2024年第3期15卷 431-441页

作者： He SUN Tan-Dong YAO Feng-Ge SU Tinghai Ou Zhihua HE Guoqiang TANG Deliang CHEN State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau earth system Environment and Resources(TPESER)Institute of Tibetan Plateau ResearchChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100101China Regional Climate Group Department of Earth SciencesUniversity of GothenburgGothenburg 40530Sweden Centre for Hydrology University of SaskatchewanSaskatoon S7N 1K2Canada Climate and Global dynamics National Center for Atmospheric ResearchBoulder CO 80307USA

Mountainous areas are of special hydrological concern because topography and atmospheric conditions can result in large and sudden floods,posing serious risks to water-related safety in neighbouring *** Yarlung Zangbo(YZ)River basin is the largest river basin on the Tibetan Plateau(TP),but how floods will discharge in this basin and how the role of glacier melt in floods will change throughout the 21st-century under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios(SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5)remain ***,we comprehensively address this scientific question based on a well-validated large-scale glacier-hydrology *** results indicate that extreme floods was projected to increase in the YZ basin,and was mainly reflected in increased duration(4–10 d per decade)and intensity(153–985 m^(3)s^(−1)per decade).Glacier runoff was projected to increase(2–30 mm per decade)throughout the 21st-century,but there was also a noticeable decrease or deceleration in glacier runoff growth in the late first half of the century under the SSP2-4.5,and in the latter half of the century under the *** melt was projected to enhance the duration(12%–23%)and intensity(15%–21%)of extreme floods under both SSPs,which would aggravate the impact of future floods on the socioeconomics of the YZ *** effect was gradually overwhelmed by precipitation-induced floods from glacier areas to YZ *** study takes the YZ basin as a projection framework example to help enrich the understanding of future flood hazards in basins affected by rainfall-or meltwater across the TP,and to help policy-makers and water managers develop future plans.

关键词： floods glacier Tibetan

Boosting spring runoff into the sea by reservoir regulation and its potential for estuarine fishery recovery

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Science China earth Sciences 2024年第5期67卷 1591-1603页

作者： Xiao WU Houjie WANG Yongyong FAN Naishuang BI Chiyuan MIAO Jingping XU Zuosheng YANG College of Marine Geosciences Key Laboratory of Submarine Geosciences and Prospecting Technologyand Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth SystemOcean University of ChinaQingdao 266100China Laoshan National Laboratory Qingdao 266061China Institute of the Yellow River Estuary and Coast Science Dongying 257000China State Key Laboratory of earth surface Processes and Resource Ecology Faculty of Geographical ScienceBeijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China Department of Ocean Science&Engineering Southern University of Science and TechnologyShenzhen 518055China

With global surge in reservoir construction over the past decades,river systems worldwide have been profoundly ***,flow manipulation by reservoirs has altered the natural hydrological processes,resulting in extensive modifications of fluvial-marine *** the adverse ecological consequences of reservoirs has become a global concern and has garnered increasing *** Yellow River,as one of the most extensively manipulated river systems globally,has experienced substantial changes in the amount and timing of water discharge due to the presence of numerous reservoirs scattered throughout its catchment *** alterations have caused physicochemical changes in the estuary and subsequent modifications to the estuarine *** recent years,the Yellow River Conservancy Committee initiated the release of water through the Xiaolangdi Dam during the major spawning period of fisheries,specifically in the spring,with the aim of improving the estuarine ecological *** 2011 to 2020,a total of 84.05 km^(3)of water was discharged from the Xiaolangdi Reservoir during spring seasons,of which 40%(33.16 km^(3))constituted water impounded within the reservoir during preceding ***,the spring water discharge from the Yellow River to the sea increased significantly from 1.50 km^(3)/yr to 3.46 km^(3)/yr in the past decade,leading to a decrease in estuarine salinity by 1.6 *** estuarine fishery resources,such as fish eggs in the Yellow River estuary,have demonstrated evident *** reservoir regulation in the Yellow River,which has successfully enhanced spring water discharge and subsequently restored estuarine fishery resources,presents an effective attempt for mitigating the adverse ecological effects associated with reservoirs.

关键词： Reservoir regulation Water release Spring runoff Estuarine ecosystem Yellow River

The influence of proxy selection on global annual mean temperature reconstructions during the Common Era

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Science China earth Sciences 2024年第8期67卷 2522-2534页

作者： Bao YANG Xia LI Minhui HE Feng WANG Yesi ZHAO Peng ZHANG Jianglin WANG Frontiers Science center for Critical earth Material Cycling School of Geography and Ocean ScienceNanjing UniversityNanjing 210023China Key Laboratory of Desert and Desertification Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and ResourcesChinese Academy of SciencesLanzhou 730000China Centre Eau Terre Environnement Institut National de la Recherche ScientifiqueQuébecQCG1K 9A9Canada GEOTOP Research Centre in the dynamics of the earth system MontréalQC H2X 3Y7Canada

The reconstruction of global annual mean temperatures made by the PAGES 2k Consortium in 2019 represents one of the most influential sequences of global climate variability over the Common ***,it is still not clear how the reconstruction can be influenced by the selection of reconstruction methods and the selection of proxy records with different temporal resolutions over different *** adopt a widely used Composite-Plus-Scale method to elucidate the effects of the selection of the proxy records on temperature *** ensure the uniformity of data,different types of proxy records spanning the past~2000 years from the PAGES 2k proxy network were used to investigate the potential effects of proxy selection in hemispheric and global temperature reconstructions during the past two *** long-term trends,spectral characteristics,and volcanic responses of the annual temperatures were studied based on the *** results reveal a significant cooling trend in the global annual mean temperature using both tree-ring and non-tree-ring records during the 1–1850CE period,and show that the cooling exhibits a stronger trend in the Southern Hemisphere(SH)than that in the Northern Hemisphere(NH).Yet,the long-term trends vary according to different combinations of proxy *** reconstructions based on different types of proxies also exhibit different features in terms of volcanic responses and spectral ***-ring-based temperature reconstructions show stronger cooling responses to tropical volcanic eruptions,while non-tree-ring-based reconstructions suggest less robust volcanic responses,which may be related to dating uncertainties and low temporal resolution of the ***-ring width records tend to preserve a substantial proportion of high-frequency(200 years)*** are needed to reduce uncertainti

关键词： Millennial cooling trend Global climate change Proxy records Volcanic eruptions Spectral properties Common Era

The Predictability Limit of Oceanic Mesoscale Eddy Tracks in the South China Sea

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第9期41卷 1661-1679页

作者： Hailong LIU Pingxiang CHU Yao MENG Mengrong DING Pengfei LIN Ruiqiang DING Pengfei WANG Weipeng ZHENG LASG Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China Laoshan Laboratory Qingdao 266237China College of earth and Planetary Sciences University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100049China Marine Science and Technology College Zhejiang Ocean UniversityZhoushan 316022China State Key Laboratory of earth surface Processes and Resource Ecology Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100872China center for Monsoon system Research(CMSR) Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100190China

Employing the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent (NLLE) technique, this study assesses the quantitative predictability limit of oceanic mesoscale eddy (OME) tracks utilizing three eddy datasets for both annual and seasonal means. Our findings reveal a discernible predictability limit of approximately 39 days for cyclonic eddies (CEs) and 44 days for anticyclonic eddies (AEs) within the South China Sea (SCS). The predictability limit is related to the OME properties and seasons. The long-lived, large-amplitude, and large-radius OMEs tend to have a higher predictability limit. The predictability limit of AE (CE) tracks is highest in autumn (winter) with 52 (53) days and lowest in spring (summer) with 40 (30) days. The spatial distribution of the predictability limit of OME tracks also has seasonal variations, further finding that the area of higher predictability limits often overlaps with periodic OMEs. Additionally, the predictability limit of periodic OME tracks is about 49 days for both CEs and AEs, which is 5-10 days higher than the mean values. Usually, in the SCS, OMEs characterized by high predictability limit values exhibit more extended and smoother trajectories and often move along the northern slope of the SCS.

关键词： predictability mesoscale eddy nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent South China Sea seasonal variability

Influence of Transportation Accessibility on Urban-rural Income Disparity and Its Spatial Heterogeneity

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Chinese Geographical Science 2024年第3期34卷 453-467页

作者： HUANG Xiaoyan KANG Chenchen YIN Chun TANG Junqing Northwest Land and Resources Research center Global Regional and Urban Research InstituteShaanxi Normal UniversityXi’an 710119China School of Resource and Environmental Sciences Wuhan UniversityWuhan 430079China International Institute of Spatial Lifecourse Health(ISLE) Wuhan UniversityWuhan 430079China School of Urban Planning and Design Shenzhen Graduate SchoolPeking UniversityShenzhen 518055China Key Laboratory of earth surface system and Human-earth Relations of Ministry of Natural Resources of China Shenzhen Graduate SchoolPeking UniversityShenzhen 518055China

Transportation accessibility has been treated as an important means of reducing the urban-rural income ***,only a few studies have examined the effects of different types of transportation accessibility on urban-rural income disparity and their spatial *** on data from 285 prefecture-level(and above)Chinese cities in 2000,2005,2010,2015,and 2020,this study uses spatial econometric models to examine how highway accessibility and railway accessibility influence the urban-rural income disparity and to identify their spatial *** result reveals that highway accessibility and railway accessibility have‘coreperiphery’ring-like circle *** urban-rural income disparity exhibits strong spatial clustering *** highway accessibility and railway accessibility are negatively associated with urban-rural income disparity,and the former having a greater effect ***,there is a substitution effect between highway accessibility and railway accessibility in the whole ***,these associations differ in geographic *** the central region,highway accessibility is more important in reducing the urban-rural income disparity,but its effect is weakened with the increase of railway *** the western region,railway accessibility has a larger effect on narrowing the urban-rural income disparity,and this effect is strengthened by the increase of highway *** conclude that improving transportation accessibility is conducive to reducing the urban-rural income disparity but its effect is spatial *** and railways should be developed in a coordinated manner to promote an integrated transport network system.

关键词： transport accessibility income gap regional divergence spatial heterogeneity urban and rural areas China