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Linking key intervention timings to rapid declining effective reproduction number to quantify lessons against COVID-19

引用

Frontiers of Medicine 2020年第5期14卷 623-629页

作者： Zhihang Peng Wenyu Song Zhongxing Ding Quanquan Guan Xu Yang Qiaoqiao Xu Xu Wang Yankai Xia Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics School of Public HealthNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing 211166China Key Laboratory of Modern Toxicology of Ministry of Education School of Public HealthNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing 211166China

Coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)is currently under a global pandemic *** efficiency of containment measures and epidemic tendency of typical countries should be *** this study,the efficiency of prevention and control measures in China,Italy,Iran,South Korea,and Japan was assessed,and the COVID-19 epidemic tendency among these countries was *** showed that the effective reproduction number(Re)in Wuhan,China increased almost exponentially,reaching a maximum of 3.98 before a lockdown and rapidly decreased to below 1 due to containment and mitigation strategies of the Chinese *** Re in Italy declined at a slower pace than that in China after the implementation of prevention and control *** Re in Iran showed a certain decline after the establishment of a national epidemic control command,and an evident stationary phase occurred because the best window period for the prevention and control of the epidemic was *** epidemic in Japan and South Korea reoccurred several times with the Re fluctuating *** epidemic has hardly rebounded in China due to the implementation of prevention and control strategies and the effective enforcement of *** countries suffering from the epidemic could learn from the Chinese experience in containing COVID-19.

关键词： COVID-19 epidemic control comparison Chinese experience

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