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Linking key intervention timings to rapid declining effective reproduction number to quantify lessons against COVID-19

作     者:Zhihang Peng Wenyu Song Zhongxing Ding Quanquan Guan Xu Yang Qiaoqiao Xu Xu Wang Yankai Xia Zhihang Peng;Wenyu Song;Zhongxing Ding;Quanquan Guan;Xu Yang;Qiaoqiao Xu;Xu Wang;Yankai Xia

作者机构:Department of Epidemiology and BiostatisticsSchool of Public HealthNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing 211166China Key Laboratory of Modern Toxicology of Ministry of EducationSchool of Public HealthNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing 211166China 

出 版 物:《Frontiers of Medicine》 (医学前沿(英文版))

年 卷 期:2020年第14卷第5期

页      面:623-629页

核心收录:

学科分类:1002[医学-临床医学] 100201[医学-内科学(含:心血管病、血液病、呼吸系病、消化系病、内分泌与代谢病、肾病、风湿病、传染病)] 10[医学] 

基  金:The study was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.81673275 and 91846302) the National S&T Major Project Foundation of China(Nos.2018ZX10715002-004 and 2018ZX10713001-001) the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(PAPD) 

主  题:COVID-19 epidemic control comparison Chinese experience 

摘      要:Coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)is currently under a global pandemic *** efficiency of containment measures and epidemic tendency of typical countries should be *** this study,the efficiency of prevention and control measures in China,Italy,Iran,South Korea,and Japan was assessed,and the COVID-19 epidemic tendency among these countries was *** showed that the effective reproduction number(Re)in Wuhan,China increased almost exponentially,reaching a maximum of 3.98 before a lockdown and rapidly decreased to below 1 due to containment and mitigation strategies of the Chinese *** Re in Italy declined at a slower pace than that in China after the implementation of prevention and control *** Re in Iran showed a certain decline after the establishment of a national epidemic control command,and an evident stationary phase occurred because the best window period for the prevention and control of the epidemic was *** epidemic in Japan and South Korea reoccurred several times with the Re fluctuating *** epidemic has hardly rebounded in China due to the implementation of prevention and control strategies and the effective enforcement of *** countries suffering from the epidemic could learn from the Chinese experience in containing COVID-19.

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