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The risk of mpox importation and subsequent outbreak potential in Chinese mainland: a retrospective statistical modelling study

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Infectious Diseases of Poverty 2024年第1期13卷 63-73页

作者： Xiaowei Deng Yuyang Tian Junyi Zoul Juan Yang Kaiyuan Sun Hongjie Yu School of Public Health Key Laboratory of Public Health SafetyMinistry of EducationFudan UniversityShanghai 200032China Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies Fogarty International CenterNational Institutes of HealthBethesdaMDUSA

Background The 2022-2023 mpox(monkeypox)outbreak has spread rapidly across multiple countries in the non-endemic region,mainly among men who have sex with men(MSM).In this study,we aimed to evaluate mpox's importation risk,border screening effectiveness and the risk of local outbreak in Chinese *** We estimated the risk of mpox importation in Chinese mainland from April 14 to September 11,2022 using the number of reported mpox cases during this multi-country outbreak from *** and the international air-travel data from Official Aviation *** constructed a probabilistic model to simulate the effectiveness of a border screening scenario during the mpox outbreak and a hypothetical scenario with less stringent quarantine *** we further evaluated the mpox outbreak potential given that undetected mpox infections were introduced into men who have sex with men,considering different transmissibility,population immunity and population *** We found that the reduced international air-travel volume and stringent border entry policy decreased about 94% and 69% mpox importations *** the quarantine policy,15-19% of imported infections would remain *** a case of mpox is introduced into active MSM population with almost no population immunity,the risk of triggering local transmission is estimated at 42%,and would rise to>95% with over six *** Our study demonstrates that the reduced international air-travel volume and stringent border entry policy during the COvID-19 pandemic reduced mpox importations ***,the risk could be sub-stantially higher with the recovery of air-travel volume to pre-pandemic *** could emerge as a public health threat for Chinese mainland given its large MSM community.

关键词： Mpox(Monkeypox) Importation risk International air travel Statistical modelling Men who have sex with men

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Strip flatness prediction of cold rolling based on ensemble methods

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Journal of Iron and Steel Research(International) 2024年第1期31卷 237-251页

作者： Wu-quan Yang Zhi-ting Zhao Liang-yu Zhu Xun-yang Gao Li Wang School of Mechanical and Power Engineering Shenyang University of Chemical TechnologyShenyang110142LiaoningChina

Aiming at the problem of insufficient prediction accuracy of strip flatness at the outlet of cold tandem rolling,the prediction performance of strip flatness based on different ensemble methods was studied and a high-precision prediction ensemble model of strip flatness at the outlet was ***,based on linear regression(LR),K nearest neighbors(KNN),support vector regression,regression trees(RT),and backpropagation neural network(BPN),bagging,boosting,and stacking ensemble methods were used for ensemble ***,three existing ensemble models,i.e.,random forest,extreme random tree(ET)and extreme gradient boosting,were used to conduct experiments and compare the *** research shows that bagging,boosting,and stacking three ensemble methods have the most significant improvement in the prediction accuracy of the regression trees model,which is increased by 5.28%,6.51%,and 5.32%,*** the same time,the stacking ensemble method improves both the simple model and the complex model,and the improvement effect on the simple base model is the greatest,which is 4.69%higher than that of the base model *** all of the ensemble models,the stacking ensemble model of level-1(ET,AdaBoost-RT,LR,BPN)paired with level-2(LR)was discovered to be the best model(EALB-LR)and can be further studied for industrial applications.

关键词： Tandem cold rolling Flatness prediction Machine learning Ensemble method

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Probing the interseismic locking state of the Xianshuihe fault based on a viscoelastic deformation model

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science China Earth sciences 2024年第1期67卷 134-145页

作者： Yage ZHU Faqi DIAO Fei CHEN Yuebing WANG Zhigang SHAO Rongjiang WANG Xiong XIONG Hubei Subsurface Multi-Scale Imaging key Laboratory School of Geophysics and GeomaticsChina University of GeosciencesWuhan 430074China China Earthquake Networks Center Beijing 100045China Institute of Earthquake Forecasting China Earthquake AdministrationBeijing 100036China

The interseismic locking state of tectonic faults is essential for regional seismic hazard ***,it is challenging to obtain this parameter reliably due to the weak deformation and complex model *** better probe the fault locking state,more reliable physical models and well-covered observations are *** we investigate the locking state of the Xianshuihe fault based on a new-developed viscoelastic deformation ***,we combine GPS velocities from 13 new near-field stations and existing stations in this region to improve the spatial *** to the theoretical predictions,our results indicate that the elastic model will clearly overestimate the fault locking depth and seismic moment accumulation rate,and the fault slip rate inferred from the elastic model is slightly lower than that from the viscoelastic *** on the locking distribution inferred from the viscoelastic model,we identify four potential asperities on the Xianshuihe *** importantly,we find a clear spatial correlation between the fault locking distribution and the rupture extent of historical earthquakes,which indicates that the fault locking state may control the rupture extent and thus the magnitude of *** addition,our results show that the 2022 M6.8 Luding earthquake only ruptured the south part of a potential asperity,and the accumulated energy in the northern unruptured area is equivalent to an Mw6.9 earthquake,where the seismic hazard deserves special attention.

关键词： Fault kinematics Viscoelastic relaxation effect GPS observations Seismic hazard The 2022 M6.8 Luding earthquake

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Triple signal amplification electrochemical sensing platform for Hg^(2+) in water without direct modification of the working electrode

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Frontiers of Environmental science & Engineering 2024年第7期18卷 157-167页

作者： Liuyin Hu Jiahua Cui Tao Lu Yalin Wang Jinping Jia School of Environmental science and Engineering Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityShanghai 200240China School of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityShanghai 200240China International Copper Association Ltd.Shanghai 200020China

An ultrasensitive electrochemical biosensor to detect trace Hg^(2+)in environmental samples was developed utilizing nanogold-decorated magnetic reduced graphene oxide(MrGO-AuNPs),exonuclease III-assisted target cycle(Exo Ⅲ-ATC)and hybridization chain reaction(HCR)synergistic triple signal *** MrGO-AuNPs is a superior carrier for capture DNA(cDNA)and acts as magnetic media for automatic separation and *** innovative utilization of the magnetism and improved sensing efficiency obviates the need for direct modification and repeated polishing of the working ***,the three DNA hairpins(cDNA,methylene blue(MB)labeled HP1 and HP2)further contribute to biosensor specificity and *** cDNA captures Hgt,it activates Exo Ⅲ-ATC due to the formation of a sticky end in the DNA stem via thymine-Hig-thymidine(T-Hg^(2+)-T),this leads to the hydrolysis of self-folded DNA by Exo Ⅲ-ATC to form"key"DNA(kDNA).The kDNA subsequently initiates HCR,resulting in massive super-sandwich structures(kDNA-[HP1/HP2])carrying signaling molecules on MrGO-AuNPs,and this overall structure serves as a signal probe(SP).Leveraging magnetic adsorption,the SP was automatically adsorbed onto the magneto-glass carbon electrode(MGCE),generating an amplified *** biosensor's detection limit(LOD)was 3.14 pmol/L,far below the limit of 10 nmol/L for mercury in drinking water set by the US *** biosensor also showed excellent selectivity when challenged by interfering ions,and the results of its application in actual samples indicate that it has good potential for practical applications in environmental monitoring.

关键词： Electrochemical sensing Hg^(2+) Amplification Graphene Hybridization chain reaction ExonucleaseⅢ

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Fast charge transfer kinetics in Sv-ZnIn_(2)S_(4)/Sb_(2)S_(3)S-scheme heterojunction photocatalyst for enhanced photocatalytic hydrogen evolution

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Rare Metals 2024年第2期43卷 533-542页

作者： Wei Li Jia-Jun Li Zhi-Fei Liu Hong-Yu Ma Peng-Fei Fang Rui Xiong Jian-Hong Wei key Laboratory of Artificial Micro-and Nano-Structures of Ministry of Education School of Physics and TechnologyWuhan UniversityWuhan430072China

Constructing a S-scheme heterojunction with tight interface contact and fast charge transfer is beneficial to improving the photocatalytic hydrogen evolution ***,a unique one-dimensional(1D)/two-dimensional(2D)S-scheme heterojunction containing 1D Sb_(2)S_(3) nanorods and 2D ZnIn_(2)S_(4) with affluent sulfur vacancies(denoted as Sv-ZnIn_(2)S_(4)@Sb_(2)S_(3)) was *** introduced sulfur vacancy can promote the effective adsorption of H+for the following interfacial hydrogen-evolution ***,the larger contact area and stronger electron interaction between Sb_(2)S_(3) and ZnIn_(2)S_(4) effectively inhibits the recombination of photo-generated electron–hole pairs and abridges the migration distance of *** a result,the optimal Sv-ZnIn_(2)S_(4)@Sb_(2)S_(3) sample achieves H_(2) evolution activity of 2741.3 mol·h^(−1)·g^(−1),which is 8.6 times that of pristine ZnIn_(2)S_(4) and 3.0 times that of the Sv-ZnIn_(2)S_(4) *** on the experimental result,the photo-reactivity S-scheme mechanism of hydrogen evolution from water splitting with Sv-ZnIn_(2)S_(4)@Sb_(2)S_(3) is *** work provides an effective method for developing S-scheme heterojunction composites of transition metal sulfide with high hydrogen evolution performance.

关键词： ZnIn_(2)S_(4) nanosheets S-scheme heterojunction Sulfur vacancy Charge transfer and separation Photocatalytic H_(2)evolution

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Odorant-binding protein 19 in Monochamus alternatus involved in the recognition of a volatile strongly emitted from ovipositing host pines

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Insect science 2024年第1期31卷 134-146页

作者： Ruinan Yang Dongzhen Li Shancheng Yi Yi Wei Manqun Wang Hubei Insect Resources Utilization and Sustainable Pest Management key Laboratory College of Plant Science and TechnologyHuazhong Agricultural UniversityWuhanChina key Laboratory of Forest Protection of national Forestry and Grassland Administration Ecology and Nature Conservation InstituteChinese Academy of ForestryBeijingChina

Monochamus alternatus is the primary carrier of pine wood nematodes,which pose a serious threat to Pinus *** many *** emerging *** adults feed on heathy host pines,while matured adults transfer to stressed host pines for mating and *** odorant-binding proteins(OBPs)of *** have been proved to aid in the complex process of host *** clarify the corresponding relations between OBPs and pine volatiles,more OBPs need to be *** this research,MaltOBP19 showed a specific expression in the antennae and mouthparts of ***,and it was marked in 4 types of antenna sensilla by *** binding assays demonstrated the high binding affinity of MaltOBP19 with camphene and myrcene in *** Y-tube olfactory experiments,*** adults were attracted by camphene and RNAi of OBP19 via microinjection significantly decreased their attraction *** induced phobotaxis,but RNAi had no significant effect on this ***,we found that ingesting dsOBP19 produced by a bacteria-expressed system with a newly constructed vector could lead to the knockdown of *** results suggest that MaltOBP19 may play a role in the process of host conversion via the recognition of camphene,which has been identified to be strongly released in stressed host *** addition,it is proved that knockdown of OBP can be achieved by oral administration of bacteria-expressed double-stranded RNA in *** adults,providing a new perspective in the control of ***.

关键词： bacteria-expressed dsRNA camphene Japanese pine sawyer beetle MaltOBP19 RNAi stressed host pines

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Microenvironmental effects on growth response of Pinus massoniana to climate at its northern boundary in the Tongbai Mountains,Central China

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Journal of Forestry Research 2024年第1期35卷 44-57页

作者： Jianfeng Peng Jiayue Cui Jinbao Li Meng Peng Yongtao Ma Xiaoxu Wei Jinkuan Li Xuan Li Yamen Liu Jiaxin Li College of Geography and Environmental science Henan UniversityKaifeng 475004People’s Republic of China key Laboratory of Earth System Observation and Simulation of Henan Province Kaifeng 475004People’s Republic of China Department of Geography University of Hong KongHong KongSARPeople’s Republic of China HKU Shenzhen Institute of Research and Innovation Shenzhen 518057People’s Republic of China Henan Academy of Forestry Zhengzhou 450000People’s Republic of China

The Tongbai Mountains is an ecologically sensi-tive region and the northern boundary of Pinus massoniana *** analyze the effect of different microenvironments on tree growth response to climate factors,we developed standard chronologies for earlywood width(EWW),late-wood width(LWW),and total ring width(TRW)of *** at two sampling sites on slopes with different orientations,then analyzed characteristics of the chronolo-gies and their correlations with climate variables from five stations in the region and with a regional normalized differ-ence vegetation index(NDVI).Statistical results showed that the TRW/EWW/LWW chronology consistency and charac-teristics(mean sensitivity,signal to noise ratio,expressed population signal)for trees growing on the southeastern slope were much higher than for trees on the northeastern *** indicated that temperature in current March and August has a significant positive effect on TRW/EWW/LWW formation,and the effect on the northeastern slope was weaker than on the southeastern *** to temperature,precipitation has more complicated effects on tree growth,but the effect on the northeastern slope was also generally weaker than on the southeastern ***-wise linear regression analyses showed that temperature in August was the main limiting factor at the two sampling ***,the response of tree growth on the southeast-ern slope as determined by the NDVI is better than on the northeastern slope,and the TRW/EWW/LWW chronologies for the southeastern slope explained over 50%of the total NDVI variances in ***,the results indicate that the difference in the climate response of *** at two sampling sites is clearly caused by differences in the microenvironment,and such differences should be properly considered in future studies of forest dynamics and climate reconstructions.

关键词： Tree-rings Pinus massoniana lamb Microenvironment Radial growth Climate-growth response

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A dynamic regulation of nitrogen on floret primordia development in wheat

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The Crop Journal 2024年第1期12卷 271-280页

作者： Zhen Zhang Yujing Li Yuxun Wu Xiaoyu Zheng Xiaolei Guo Wan Sun Zhencai Sun Zhimin Wang Yinghua Zhang College of Agronomy and Biotechnology China Agricultural UniversityBeijing 100193China College of Biological sciences China Agricultural UniversityBeijing 100193China Engineering Technology Research Center for Agriculture in Low Plain Areas Cangzhou 061800HebeiChina

Nitrogen(N)fertilization is critical for spike and floret development,which affects the number of fertile florets per spike(NFFs).However,the physiological regulation of the floret development process by N fertilization is largely unknown.A high temporal-resolution investigation of floret primordia number and morphology,dry matter,and N availability was conducted under three N fertilization levels:0(N0),120(N1)and 240(N2)kg ha^(−1).Interestingly,fertile florets at anthesis stage were determined by those floret primordia with meiotic ability at booting stage:meiotic ability was a threshold that predicted whether a floret primordium became fertile or abortive *** the developmental rate of the 4th floret primordium in the central spikelet was accelerated and then they acquired meiotic ability,the NFFs increased gradually as N application increased,but the increase range decreased under *** were no differences in spike N concentration among treatments,but leaf N concentration was increased in the N1 and N2 ***,dry matter accumulation and N content of the leaf and spike in the N1 and N2 treatments was increased as compared to ***,optimal N fertilization increased leaf N availability and transport of assimilates to spikes,and allowed more floret primordia to acquire meiotic ability and become fertile florets,finally increasing *** was no difference in leaf N concentration between N1 and N2 treatment,whereas soil N concentration at 0–60 cm soil layers was higher in N2 than in N1 treatment,implying that there was still some N fertilization that remained ***,improving the leaf’s ability to further use N fertilizer is vital for greater NFFs.

关键词： Fertile florets Floret primordia Grain number Meiotic ability Morphological development

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Interface strengthening for thermal sprayed WC-10Co4Cr coating subjected to pulsed magnetic treatment

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Rare Metals 2024年第2期43卷 780-795页

作者： Cheng-Kai Qian Qu Liu Heng Wang Ke-Jian Li Zhi-Peng Cai Department of Mechanical Engineering Tsinghua UniversityBeijing100084China Tianjin Research Institute for Advanced Equipment Tsinghua UniversityTianjin300304China State key Laboratory of Tribology in Advanced Equipment Tsinghua UniversityBeijing100084China

The reliability of the coated industry components demands ideal fatigue properties of the coating,and it is mainly determined by the performance of the *** this study,pulsed magnetic treatment(PMT)was applied to the thermal sprayed WC-10Co4Cr coating,and the fatigue lifetime of the coated bolt increased by 219.82%under an imitation of the operating mode *** tests further proved that both the adhesion and cohesion strength were improved after PMT,and they benefit from the interface strengthening *** formation of coherent WC/Co interfaces was characterized by in-situ transmission electron microscopy(TEM),and the molecular dynamic simulations indicate that the work of separation of these interfaces is much higher than the original disordered *** stress was relaxed and distributed more homogeneously after PMT,and it mainly contributes to the coating/substrate *** work provides a new post-treatment method focusing on the interfaces in the WC-based coating and gives insight into its mechanism so that it is hopeful to be applied to other kinds of coatings.

关键词： Cemented carbide coating Pulsed magnetic treatment Interface strengthening Fatigue properties Adhesion strength

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Exceptional electrostrain with minimal hysteresis and superior temperature stability under low electric field in KNN-based lead-free piezoceramics

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Journal of Advanced Ceramics 2024年第3期13卷 364-372页

作者： Huan Liu Yijin Hao Ziqi Yang Tianyi Feng Bin Su Xin Zhang Mengping Xue Bo-Ping Zhang Jing-Feng Li Beijing Municipal key Laboratory of New Energy Materials and Technologies School of Materials Science and EngineeringUniversity of Science and Technology BeijingBeijing 100083China State key Laboratory of New Ceramics and Fine Processing School of Materials Science and EngineeringTsinghua UniversityBeijing 100084China

Over the past two decades,(K_(0.5)Na_(0.5))NbO_(3)(KNN)-based lead-free piezoelectric ceramics have made significant ***,attaining a high electrostrain with remarkable temperature stability and minimal hysteresis under low electric fields has remained a significant *** address this long-standing issue,we have employed a collaborative approach that combines defect engineering,phase engineering,and relaxation *** LKNNS-6BZH ceramic,when sintered at T_(sint)=1170℃,demonstrates an impressive electrostrain with a d_(33) value of 0.276%and 1379 pm·V^(-1)under 20 kV·cm^(-1),which is comparable to or even surpasses that of other lead-free and Pb(Zr,Ti)O_(3)***,the electrostrain performance of this ceramic remains stable up to a temperature of 125℃,with the lowest hysteresis observed at 9.73%under 40 kV·cm^(-1).These excellent overall performances are attributed to the presence of defect dipoles involving V′_(A)-V∙∙_(O) and B′_(Nb)-V∙∙O,the coexistence of R-O-T multiphase,and the tuning of the trade-off between long-range ordering and local *** work provides a lead-free alternative for piezoelectric actuators and a paradigm for designing piezoelectric materials with outstanding comprehensive performance under low electric fields.

关键词： lead-free piezoelectric ceramics temperature stability electrostrain potassium sodium niobate low hysteresis

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