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Projections of Wind Changes for 21st Century in China by Three Regional Climate Models

Chinese Geographical Science 2010年第3期20卷 226-235页

作者： JIANG Ying Luo Yong ZHAO Zongci SHI Ying xu yinlong ZHU Jinhong National Climate Center of China Beijing 100081 China Center for Wind and Solar Energy Resources Assessment China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China Laboratory for Climate Studies China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences Beijing 100081 China Illinois State Water Survey Department of Natural Resources University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Champaign Illinois 61820 USA

This paper examines the capability of three regional climate models (RCMs), i.e., RegCM3 (the International Centre for Theoretical Physics Regional Climate Model), PRECIS (Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies) and CMM5 (the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University-the National Center for Atmospheric Research of USA, NCAR Mesoscale Model) to simulate the near-surface-layer winds (10 m above surface) all over China in the late 20th century. Results suggest that like global climate models (GCMs), these RCMs have the certain capability of imitating the distribution of mean wind speed and fail to simulate the greatly weakening wind trends for the past 50 years in the country. However, RCMs especially RegCM3 have the better capability than that of GCMs to simulate the distribution and change feature of mean wind speed. In view of their merits, these RCMs were used to project the variability of near-surface-layer winds over China for the 21st century. The results show that 1) summer mean wind speed for 2020-2029 will be lower compared to those in 1990-1999 in most area of China; 2) annual and winter mean wind speed for 2081-2100 will be lower than those of 1971-1990 in the whole China; and 3) the changes of summer mean wind speed for 2081-2100 are uncertain. As a result, although climate models are absolutely necessary for projecting climate change to come, there are great uncertainties in projections, especially for wind speed, and these issues need to be further explored.

关键词： wind speed projection regional climate model global climate model

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Synergistic effects of CdS in sodium titanate based nanostructures for hydrogen evolution

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Chinese Chemical Letters 2018年第9期29卷 1417-1420页

作者： Fei Wang Zigui Kan Fei Cao Qi Guo yinlong xu Caiyu Qi Caolong Li Key Laboratory of Biomedical Functional Materials China Pharmaceutical University Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology Jiangsu Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Cleaning Materials (ECM) Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology School of Basic Science China Pharmaceutical University

In this paper, nanotubes and nanoribbons of sodium titanate structures were synthesized via hydrothermal methods in alkaline solution. CdS decorated titanate nanotubes and nanoribbons were therefore constructed for exploring the performance of hydrogen evolution and synergistic effect of CdS based titanate structures. CdS decorated titanate nanotubes and nanoribbons were characterized by high resolution transmission electron microscopy （HRTEM）, X-ray diffraction （XRD）, UV-vis, Brunauer- Emmett-Teller （BET） and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy （XPS） measurements. CdS encapsuled in titanate nanotubes （CdS-ETNTs） showed the best capacity of H2 evolution by water splitting and stability than that from the other two structures, i.e., CdS doped titanate nanotubes （CdS-DTNTs） and CdS doped titanate nanoribbons （CdS-DTNRs）, which could be explained by the synergistic effect of decorated CdS with sodium titanate structures and confinement effect of CdS nanoparticles encapsuled inside

关键词： CdS Sodium titanate nanotubes Sodium titanate nanoribbons H2 generation Synergistic effect

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Research Progress in Agricultural Vulnerability to Climate Change

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Advances in Climate Change Research 2011年第4期2卷 203-210页

作者： Shengcai Tao yinlong xu Ke Liu Jie Pan Shiwei Gou Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture Chinese Academy of Agricultuvul Sciences Beijing 100081 China Key Open Laboratory of Agro-Environment and Climate Change Agriculture Ministry of China Beijing 100081 China Meteorological Bureau o.f Shenzhen Municipality Shenzhen 518040 China

With the deepening of climate change research, more attention has been paid to vulnerability to climate change. Compared with water resources, forests and other natural ecosystems, agriculture is more vulnerable to climate change, thereby scientifically assessing agricultural vulnerability to climate change is of great significance to the formulation of rational and effective adaptation strategies. In this paper, the authors give a comprehensive review of the research from the perspective of the definition of climate change vulnerability and agricultural vulnerability to climate change, research topics, and evaluation methodologies. Existing problems in current research, including scenario application, methods, and uncertainties, are analyzed, and meanwhile, a vision of the direction for future research in assessment of agricultural vulnerability is also presented.

关键词： climate change vulnerability agriculture

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Analyses on the climate change responses over China under SRES B2 scenario using PRECIS

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Chinese Science Bulletin 2006年第18期51卷 2260-2267页

作者： xu yinlong ZHANG Yong LIN Erda LIN Wantao DONG Wenjie Richard Jones David Hassell Simon Wilson Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences Beijing 100081 China Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China National Climate Center Beijing 100081 China Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research Exeter EXI 3PB UK

The PRECIS,a regional climate model system developed at the UK Met Office Hadley Cen- tre for Climate Prediction and Research,which is nested in one-way mode within the HadAM3P,a higher-resolution version of the atmospheric com- ponent of the Hadley Centre climate model HadCM3,is employed to simulate the baseline (1961—1990) climate for evaluation of model’s capacity of simu- lating present climate and analyze the future climate change responses in the time-slice of 2071—2100 (2080s) under SRES B2 scenario over China relative to baseline average. It is indicated from the com- parison of the simulated baseline climate with in situ observation that PRECIS can simulate the local dis- tribution characteristics of surface air temperature over China quite well; generally speaking,the simu- lation for precipitation in the north of China and in winter is better than in the south of China and in summer,respectively; the simulation of precipitation in summer is sensitive to topography,and the simu- lated precipitation values are lower than observations over southeast coastal areas. It is shown from the analyses on the simulated climate change responses in 2080s under SRES B2 scenario relative to base- line that there would be an obvious surface air tem- perature increase in the north of China relative to that in the south of China,and especially in Northwest China and Northeast China,the amplitude ofsummer mean surface air temperature increments could reach 5℃; there would be an overall increase of the simulated precipitation in 2080s under SRES B2 scenario over most areas of China,while there would be significant precipitation decreases in South China in winter; there would be obvious precipitation decreases in Northeast China and North China in summer with high surface air temperature increase. However,it presents an obvious precipitation in- crease over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in summer.

关键词：地面气温降水 PRECIS 气候变化中国

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Northward-shift of temperature zones in China＇s eco-geographical study under future climate scenario

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Journal of Geographical Sciences 2010年第5期20卷 643-651页

作者： WU Shaohong ZHENG Du YIN Yunhe LIN Erda xu yinlong Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research CAS Beijing 100101 China Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research CAS Beijing 100085 China Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture CAAS Beijing 100081 China

Despite the well-documented effects of global climate change on terrestrial species＇ ranges, eco-geographical regions as the regional scale of ecosystems have been poorly studied especially in China with diverse climate and ecosystems. Here we analyse the shift of temperature zones in eco-geographical study over China using projected future climate scenario. Projected climate data with high resolution during 1961-2080 were simulated using regional climate model of PRECIS. The number of days with mean daily temperature above 10℃ and the mean temperature of January are usually regarded as the principal criteria to indicate temperature zones, which are sensitive to climate change. Shifts due to future climate change were calculated by comparing the latitude of grid cells for the future borderline of one temperature zone with that for baseline period （1961-1990）. Results indicated that the ranges of Tropical, Subtropical, Warm Temperate and Plateau Temperate Zones would be enlarged and the ranges of Cold Temperate, Temperate and Plateau Sub-cold Zones would be reduced. Cold Temperate Zone would probably disappear at late this century. North bor- derlines of temperature zones would shift northward under projected future climate change, especially in East China. Farthest shifts of the north boundaries of Plateau Temperate, Subtropical and Warm Temperate Zones would be 3.1°, 5.3° and 6.6° latitude respectively. Moreover, northward shift would be more notably in northern China as future temperature increased.

关键词： temperature zone climate change shift eco-geographical study

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Validation of the effects of temperature simulated by multi-model ensemble and prediction of mean temperature changes for the next three decades in China

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Research in Cold and Arid Regions 2012年第1期4卷 56-64页

作者： Ke Liu Jie Pan ShengCai Tao yinlong xu Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences Beijing 100081 China Key Laboratory of Agro-Environment ＆ Climate Change of Agriculture Beijing 100081 China

Using series of daily average temperature observations over the period of 1961-1999 of 701 meteorological stations in China, and simulated results of 20 global climate models （such as BCCR_BCM2.0, CGCM3T47） during the same period as the observation, we validate and analyze the simulated results of the models by using three factor statistical method, achieve the results of mul- ti-model ensemble, test and verify the results of multi-model ensemble by using the observation data during the period of 1991-1999. Finally, we analyze changes of the annual mean temperature result of multi-mode ensemble prediction for the period of 2011-2040 under the emission scenarios A2, A1B and B 1. Analyzed results show that：（1） Global climate models can repro- duce Chinese regional spatial distribution of annual mean temperature, especially in low latitudes and eastern China. （2） With the factor of the trend of annual mean temperature changes in reference period, there is an obvious bias between the model and the observation. （3） Testing the result of multi-model ensemble during the period of 1991-1999, we can simulate the trend of temper- ature increase. Compared to observation, the result of different weighing multi-model ensemble prediction is better than the same weighing ensemble. （4） For the period of 20ll-2040, the growth of the annual mean temperature in China, which results from multi-mode ensemble prediction, is above 1℃. In the spatial distribution of annual mean temperature, under the emission scenarios of A2, A1B and B 1, the trend of growth in South China region is the smallest, the increment is less than or equals to 0.8℃; the trends in the northwestern region and south of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are the largest, the increment is more than 1℃.

关键词： global climate model different weighing multi-model ensemble same weighing multi-model ensemble wanning

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Efficient Minimum Spanning Tree Algorithms on the Reconfigurable Mesh

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Journal of Computer Science & Technology 2000年第2期15卷 116-125页

作者：万颖瑜许胤龙顾晓东陈国良 Department of Computer Science and Technology University of Science and Technology of China National High Performance Computation Center at Hefei Hefei P.R. China

The reconfigurable mesh consists of an array of processors interconnected by a reconfigurable bus system. The bus system can be used to dynamically obtain various interconnection patterns among the processors. Recently, this model has attracted a lot of attention. In this paper, two efficient algorithms are proposed for computing the minimum spanning tree of an n-vertex undirected graph. One runs on an n×n reconfigurable mesh with time complexity of O(log^2 n). The other runs with time complexity of O(log n) on an n^(1+E)×n reconfigurable mesh, where < E < 1 is a constant. All these improve the previously known results on the reconfigurable mesh.

关键词： parallel algorithm reconfigurable mesh graph algorithm minimum spanning tree

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基于工作负载感知的固态硬盘阵列系统的架构设计与研究

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计算机研究与发展 2019年第4期56卷 755-766页

作者：张强梁杰许胤龙李永坤中国科学技术大学计算机科学与技术学院合肥230026 安徽省高性能计算重点实验室(中国科学技术大学) 合肥230026

在RAID-0阵列中设计了一种基于冷热数据分离存储的固态硬盘阵列系统架构HA-RAID,并结合滑动窗口技术进行优化.其主要思想是,利用固定长度的滑动窗口将阵列系统中的盘划分为普通盘和热点盘,热点盘专门存放热数据,普通盘存放普通数据,且... 详细信息

在RAID-0阵列中设计了一种基于冷热数据分离存储的固态硬盘阵列系统架构HA-RAID,并结合滑动窗口技术进行优化.其主要思想是,利用固定长度的滑动窗口将阵列系统中的盘划分为普通盘和热点盘,热点盘专门存放热数据,普通盘存放普通数据,且阵列中各盘的角色随着滑动窗口的移动而不断变化.在8块商用固态硬盘组成的RAID-0阵列系统上对HA-RAID予以实验分析.实验结果表明,相比于未引入冷热数据分离机制的原始RAID-0做法,HA-RAID可以将热数据相对均匀地存储到各个盘上,很好地实现了阵列系统级的负载和磨损均衡,从而将阵列中热点盘出现的比例降低到几乎为0.在真实的企业级工作负载下,相比原始RAID-0,HA-RAID减少12.01%～41.06%的平均响应时间,很好地实现了阵列系统级的I/O性能提升.

关键词： SSD阵列架构设计冷热数据区分 RAID-0 负载均衡响应时间

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对一种快速双重指数模算法的复杂度研究

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中国科学技术大学学报 2010年第11期40卷 1166-1172页

作者：金海旻许胤龙王石中国科学技术大学计算机系安徽合肥230026 香港城市大学计算机系中国香港999077

最近提出了一种采用标准符号数二进制码(canonic signed-digit binary representation,CSDBR)来计算AXBY(modN)的快速双重指数模算法.该算法声明当指数的长度为k时,该算法平均仅需要1.306k次模乘.由于已知的此类算法至少需要1.503k次模... 详细信息

最近提出了一种采用标准符号数二进制码(canonic signed-digit binary representation,CSDBR)来计算AXBY(modN)的快速双重指数模算法.该算法声明当指数的长度为k时,该算法平均仅需要1.306k次模乘.由于已知的此类算法至少需要1.503k次模乘,该算法具有明显的性能优势.然而,无论是该算法的提出者还是其他研究者均没有给出正确的复杂度分析.本文通过利用马尔科夫链模型对该算法进行正式的复杂度研究并进行一定规模的统计实验后证实,实际上该算法平均需要1.556k次模乘.这项研究的意义在于揭示到目前为止,基于标准符号数位码的双重指数模算法的最高性能仍然无法降低到1.5k次模乘以下.

关键词：双重指数模模乘标准符号数二进制码马尔科夫链海明距离

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东北地区农业适应气候变化技术体系框架研究

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科技导报 2018年第15期36卷 67-76页

作者：李阔许吟隆中国农业科学院农业环境与可持续发展研究所

随着气候变化及其所带来的影响日益显著,目前适应气候变化越来越成为全球关注的热点问题。东北地区是中国重要的粮食生产基地,气候变化影响下东北农业生产变化将直接引起中国粮食安全问题。从气候变化角度着手,梳理了气候变化对东北农... 详细信息

随着气候变化及其所带来的影响日益显著,目前适应气候变化越来越成为全球关注的热点问题。东北地区是中国重要的粮食生产基地,气候变化影响下东北农业生产变化将直接引起中国粮食安全问题。从气候变化角度着手,梳理了气候变化对东北农业影响的关键问题,分析指出近年来气候变化对东北地区农业4个最突出的影响：热量资源呈现增加趋势,旱涝灾害频次与强度增大,极端低温冷害事件下降,农业病虫害损失显著加重。针对这4个关键问题,从作物抗逆品种选育、作物应变耕作栽培、农田基本建设、种植结构调整、病虫害防治、农业保险等不同方面形成东北农业适应技术体系框架。

关键词：适应气候变化技术体系框架东北地区农业

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