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Prediction of BRIC Stock Price Using ARIMA,SutteARIMA,and Holt-Winters

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Computers, Materials & Continua 2022年第1期70卷 523-534页

作者： Ansari Saleh Ahmar pawan kumar singh Nguyen Van Thanh Nguyen Viet Tinh Vo Minh Hieu Department of Statistics Faculty of Mathematics and Natural ScienccesUniversitas Negeri MakassarMakassar90223Indonesia School of Humanities and Social Sciences Thapar Institute of Engineering and TechnologyPatiala147004India Faculty of Commerce Van Lang UniversityHo Chi Minh City70000Vietnam

The novel coronavirus has played a disastrous role in many countries *** outbreak became a major epidemic,engulfing the entire world in lockdown and it is now speculated that its economic impact might be worse than economic deceleration and *** paper identifies two different models to capture the trend of closing stock prices in Brazil(BVSP),Russia(***),India(BSESN),and China(SSE),i.e.,(BRIC)*** predict the stock prices for three daily time periods,so appropriate preparations can be undertaken to solve these ***,we compared the ARIMA,SutteARIMA and Holt-Winters(H-W)methods to determine the most effective model for predicting *** stock closing price of BRIC country data was obtained from Yahoo *** data dates from 01 November 2019 to 11 December 2020,then divided into two categories-training data and test *** data covers 01 November 2019 to 02 December *** days(03December 2020 to 11December 2020)of datawas tested to determine the accuracy of the models using training data as a *** measure the accuracy of the models,we obtained the means absolute percentage error(MAPE)and mean square error(MSE).Prediction model Holt-Winters was found to be the most suitable for forecasting the Brazil stock price(BVSP)while MAPE(0.50)and MSE(579272.65)with Holt-Winters(smaller than ARIMA and SutteARIMA),model SutteARIMA was found most appropriate to predict the stock prices of Russia(***),India(BSESN),and China(SSE)when compared to ARIMA and *** andMSE with SutteARIMA:Russia(MAPE:0.7;MSE:940.20),India(MAPE:0.90;MSE:207271.16),and China(MAPE:0.72;MSE:786.28).Finally,Holt-Winters predicted the daily forecast values for the Brazil stock price(BVSP)(12 December to 14 December 2020 i.e.,115757.6,116150.9 and 116544.1),while SutteARIMA predicted the daily forecast values of Russia stock prices(***)(12 December to 14 December 2020 i.e.,3238.06,3241.54 and 3245.01),India stock price(BSESN)(

关键词： SutteARIMA Holt-Winters ARIMA stock price COVID-19

Malignant pleural mesothelioma:The disdained member of thoracic oncology!

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World Journal of Experimental Medicine 2024年第3期14卷 1-10页

作者： Divya Khosla pawan kumar singh Bharath A Chhabria Vaishali Kataria Navneet singh Rakesh Kapoor Department of Radiotherapy and Oncology Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and ResearchChandigarh 160012India Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine Pandit Bhagwat Dayal Sharma Postgraduate Institute of Medical SciencesRohtak 124001India Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine Ramaiah Memorial HospitalBengaluru 560054India Department of Pulmonary Medicine Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and ResearchChandigarh 160012India

Pleural mesothelioma is a very aggressive malignancy that arises from the pleural mesothelial cell lining and is linked strongly to prior asbestos *** ban on asbestos has helped to lower the incidence,but in developing countries like India,it is expected to *** has an extended latency period usually progressing over decades and presents with nonspecific *** has a median survival ranging between 10-22 *** diagnosis of malignant pleural mesothelioma is challenging and is done using computed tomography(CT),magnetic resonance imaging,or positron emission tomography-CT,with the last two predicting the resectability of the tumor better than CT alone.A pleural biopsy along with an array of immunohistochemical markers,such as p16,BRCA1 associated protein 1,and claudin-4,are required for a definitive *** genetic alterations have prognostic significance as *** current histological subtype identification is indispensable for decision making because of the new therapeutic avenues being *** combination of nivolumab and ipilimumab-based immunotherapy outperformed platinum and pemetrexed-based chemotherapy in terms of survival benefit and improved quality of life especially for non-epithelioid ***,the latter continues to be a robust treatment option for patients with the epithelioid *** is recommended for resectable cases with radiotherapy being indicated in neoadjuvant,adjuvant,and palliative settings along with systemic *** review article provides an overview of epidemiology,etiology,clinical manifestations,diagnostic approaches(including immunohistochemical and genetic markers),staging,and multidisciplinary approaches to current treatment for malignant pleural mesothelioma using surgery,chemotherapy,immunotherapy,and *** also sheds light on some recent studies(EMPHACIS,CALGB30901,Checkmate-743,etc.)that have led to significant developments in recent years with clinically mean

关键词： Chemotherapy Diagnosis Immunotherapy Malignant pleural mesothelioma Radiotherapy

Natural Remedies against Multi-Drug Resistant <i>Mycobacterium tuberculosis</i>

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Journal of Tuberculosis Research 2015年第4期3卷 171-183页

作者： Ramesh Pandit pawan kumar singh Vipin kumar Value Addition Research and Development Department-Human Health National Innovation Foundation (NIF)-India Ahmedabad India

Tuberculosis (TB), caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis is an infectious deadly disease and the treatment of which is one of the most severe challenges at the global level. Currently more than 20 chemical medications are described for the treatment of TB. Regardless of availability of several drugs to treat TB, the causative agent, M. tuberculosis is nowadays getting resistant toward the conventional drugs and leading to conditions known as Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) and extensively drug resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB). This situation has terrified the global health community and raised a demand for new anti-tuberculosis drugs. Medicinal plants have been used to cure different common as well as lethal diseases by ancient civilizations due to its virtue of variety of chemical compounds which may have some important remedial properties. The aim of the present review is to focus the anti-tubercular medicinal plants native to India as well as the plants effective against MDR or XDR-TB across the globe. In the present review, we have addressed 25 medicinal plants for TB and 16 plants effective against MDR-TB testified from India and 23 herbal plants described for MDR-TB across the world during 2011-2015. These herbal plants can serve as promising candidates for developing novel medications to combat multidrug resistant M. tuberculosis.

关键词： Drug Resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis Medicinal Plants MDR or XDR-TB

Calculations for Density of Quark Core Consisting of Mono Flavored Closely Packed Quarks inside Neutron Star

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International Journal of Astronomy and Astrophysics 2015年第4期5卷 258-266页

作者： Jehangir A. Dar pawan kumar singh Ram Swaroop Plasma Waves and Particle Acceleration Laboratory Department of Physics Indian Institute of Technology Delhi New Delhi India Department of Physics ARSD College University of Delhi (South Campus) New Delhi India North Bengal Science Centre National Council of Science Museums Ministry of Culture Government of India Siliguri India

The attempt has been taken to calculate the density of stars possessing quark matter core using sphere packing concept of crystallography. The quark matter has been taken as solid in nature as predicted in references 36 and 37, and due to immense gravitational pressure at the core of the star the densest packing of quarks as spheres has been assumed to calculate the packing fraction Φ, thus the density ρ of the matter. Three possible types of pickings—mono-sized sphere packing, binary sphere packing and ternary sphere packing, have been worked out using three possible types of quark matter. It has been concluded that no value about the ρ of quark matter can be calculated using binary and ternary packing conditions and for mono-sized packing condition different flavor quark matters of different values in the density have been calculated using results from the experiments done by HI, ZEUS, L3 and CDF Collaborations about the radius limit of quark. For example, for u quark matter ρ ranges from 4.0587 × 1048 - 7.40038 × 1048 MeV/c2 cm3 using results of L3 Collaboration, for s quark matter 15.91794 × 1048 - 17.6866 × 1048 MeV/c2 cm3, etc.

关键词： Neutron Star Packing Fraction Quark Matter Quark Gluon Matter Kepler’s Conjecture Theorem Neutron

Formalising and Detecting Community Structures in Real World Complex Networks

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Journal of Systems Science & Complexity 2021年第1期34卷 180-205页

作者： kumar pawan DOHARE Ravins School of Sciences Indira Gandhi National Open UniversityNew Delhi 110068India Centre for Interdisciplinary Research in Basic Sciences Jamia Millia IslamiaNew Delhi 110025India

Community structure is an integral characteristic of real world networks whichever processes or areas they emerge from. This paper addresses the problem of community structure detection theoretically as well as computationally. The authors introduce a number of concepts such as the neighbourhood and strength of a subgraph, p-community, local maximal p-community, hubs, and outliers that play elemental role in formalising the concept of community structure in complex networks. A few preliminary results have been derived that lead to the development of an algorithm for community structure detection in undirected unweighted networks. The algorithm is based on a local seed expansion strategy that uses the concept of interaction coefficient. The authors have analysed the algorithm on a number of parameters such as accuracy, stability, and quality on synthetic and real world networks from different areas.

关键词： Algorithm hub local maximal p-community outlier p-community strength of a subgraph

Synthesis and characterization of rare earth metal doped tungsten trioxide photocatalyst for degradation of Rhodamine B dye

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Journal of Rare Earths 2023年第9期41卷 1302-1310,I0002页

作者： Pooja Nehra Amita Khatri Anil kumar Satyendra singh pawan S.Rana Department of Physics Deenbandhu Chhotu Ram University of Science and TechnologyMurthal1339SonipatHaryanaIndia Special Centre for Nanoscience Jawaharlal Nehru University New Delhi10067India

Nowadays,it is concern for researchers that due to high recombination rate of photogenerated charge carriers in tungsten trioxide(WO_(3)) nanoparticles,the future applications are limited in the field of *** we attempt to synthesize tungsten trioxide nanoparticles with different doping concentrations of lanthanum i.e.2 wt%,4 wt%,6 wt% and 8 wt%.The synthesized samples were characterized by using various characterization techniques:X-ray diffraction(XRD),Raman spectroscopy,Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy(FTIR),photoluminescence spectra(PL),transmission electron microscopy(TEM),energy dispersive X-ray(EDX) and UV-Vis ***_(3) retains its monoclinic structure even after doping which was confirmed by XRD *** helps to descry functional groups present in the *** size of nanoparticles was calculated by using *** confirms the absence of any impurity in the synthesized *** spectroscopy confirms the presence of a large number of imperfections induced in the lattice of WO_(3).The rate of recombination was analyzed by photoluminescence(PL) spectroscopy and is minimum in 4 wt% doping of *** optical bandgap was calculated using UV-Vis spectroscopy and becomes narrow along with the doping ***,it is found that doping of La in WO_(3) has considerably ameliorate the photocatalytic activity by reducing rate of recombination due to the trapping of electrons by defects introduced in the *** decolorization of Rhodamine B(RhB) dye was performed and the values of c/c_0 and rate constant(k) confirm that the 4 wt% doping shows maximum degradation *** kinetic study for photodegradation of Rhodamine B was done by using various kinetic models and results show that the reaction follows first order kinetics very ***,optimum doping of lanthanum increases the decolorization ability of WO_(3) towards RhB dye.

关键词： Photocatalytic activity WO_(3)nanoparticles Rhodamine B dye Rare earth doping Visible light

Multi-temporal forest cover dynamics in Kashmir Himalayan region for assessing deforestation and forest degradation in the context of REDD+ policy

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Journal of Mountain Science 2016年第8期13卷 1431-1441页

作者： Akhlaq Amin WANI pawan kumar JOSHI Ombir singh Sumera SHAFI Faculty of Forestry Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Sciences and Technology of Kashmir School of Environmental Sciences Jawaharlal Nehru University Silviculture Division Forest Research Institute (FRI) KVK Pulwama Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Sciences and Technology of Kashmir

The role of forests is being actively considered under the agenda of REDD＋（Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation plus） aimed at reducing emissions related to changes in forest cover and forest quality. Forests in general have undergone negative changes in the past in the form of deforestation and degradation, while in some countries positive changes are reported in the form of conservation, sustainable management of forests and enhancement of carbon stock. The present study in the Kashmir Himalayan forests is an effort to assess historical forest cover changes that took place from 1980 to 2009 and to predict the same for 2030 on the basis of past trend using geospatial modeling approach. Landsat data （Multispectral Scanner （MSS）, Thematic Mapper （TM） and Enhanced Thematic Mapper （ETM＋）） was used for the years 1980, 199o and （2001, 2009） respectively and change detection analysis between the dates was performed. The maps generated were validated through ground truthing. The study area （3375.62 km^2） from 1980-2009 has uffered deforestation and forest degradation of about 126 km^2 and 239.02 km^2 respectively which can be claimed under negative options of REDD＋, while as the area that experienced no change （1514 km^2） can be claimed under conservation. A small area （23.31 km^2） observed as positive change can be claimed under positive options. The projected estimates of forest cover for 2030 showed increased deforestation and forest degradation on the basis of trend analysis using Cellular Automata （CA） Markov modeling. Despite the fact that country as a whole has registered a net positive change in the past few decades, but there are regions like Kashmir region of western Himalaya which have constantly undergoing deforestation as well as degradation in the past few decades.

关键词： Deforestation Degradation Coniferous forests Carbon emission Himalaya

Syncytes during male meiosis resulting in 2n pollen grain formationin Lindelofia longiflora ***

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Journal of Systematics and Evolution 2011年第5期49卷 406-410页

作者： Vijay kumar singhAL pawan kumar RANA Puneet kumar Department of Botany Punjabi University

Lindelofia longiflora(Royle ex Benth.) ***(Cl.) Brand(Family:Boraginaceae) is investigated cytologically(n = 12) for the first time from the cold deserts of Pangi Valley,Chamba District(Himachal Pradesh) in *** report the formation of syncytes and 2n pollen grains in the *** meiosis,the majority of the pollen mother cells(PMCs) exhibited 12 bivalents,equal segregation of chromosomes during anaphases,regular tetrads,and normal-sized pollen grain ***,two proximate PMCs fused during the early stages of prophase-I and resulted in the formation of *** frequency of syncytes in the accession is rather low,at 25 out of 1866(1.33%).Such syncyte PMCs are detectable during meiosis due to their larger size compared to typical *** syncytes or polyploid cells showed normal 24 bivalents and depicted perfectly regular meiotic *** the products of such PMCs yield 2n or larger sized pollen grains that are almost double the size of typical normal or n pollen *** origin of syncytes as a consequence of the fusion of meiocytes during the early stages of meiosis-I could be attributed to low temperature stress conditions prevailing in the Pangi Valley,where temperature during May and June dip to below freezing,the time the plants enters the reproductive/flowering bud *** is possible that such apparently fertile 2n pollen grains originating from syncytes might play a role in the origin of intraspecific polyploids in the species.

关键词： bivalents cold deserts low temperature stress Pangi Valley PMCs pollen grains.

A neighborhood proximity based algorithm for overlapping community structure detection in weighted networks

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Frontiers of Computer Science 2019年第6期13卷 1353-1355页

作者： pawan kumar Ravins DOHARE Centre for Interdisciplinary Research in Basic Sciences Jamia Millia IslamiaNew Delhi-110025India

1 Introduction Many real networks are inherently composed of overlapping structure at modular level where nodes have multiple ***,many real networks are equipped with several metadata such as ground truth,node and edge weights which make the whole business of community detection ***,there are a few well known algorithms,e.g.,CPMw[1]that can detect overlapping community structure in weighted *** it comes to the application of an algorithm,the desired output depends on the right choice of parameters.

关键词： networks structure algorithm