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Impact of Drought on Agriculture in the Indo-Gangetic Plain,India

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2017年第3期34卷 335-346页

作者： reshmita nath Debashis nath Qian LI Wen CHEN Xuefeng CUI Center for Monsoon System Research Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China School of System Sciences Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China Key Laboratory of Middle Atmosphere and Global Environmental Observations Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China Meteorology and Climate Unit School of Mathematical ScienceUniversity College DublinDublin 4Ireland

In this study, we investigate the spatiotemporal characteristics of drought in India and its impact on agriculture during the summer season （April-September）. In the analysis, we use Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index （SPEI） datasets between 1982 and 2012 at the six-monthly timescale. Based on the criterion SPEI 〈 -1, we obtain a map of the number of occurrences of drought and find that the humid subtropical Upper Middle Gangetic Plain （UMGP） region is highly drought-prone, with an occurrence frequency of 40%-45%. This UMGP region contributes at least 18%-20% of India＇s annual cereal production. Not only the probability of drought, but the UMGP region has become increasingly drought-prone in recent decades. Moreover, cereal production in the UMGP region has experienced a gradual declining trend from 2000 onwards, which is consistent with the increase in drought-affected areas from 20%-25% to 50%-60%, before and after 2000, respectively. A higher correlation coefficient （-0.69） between the cereal production changes and drought-affected areas confirms that at least 50% of the agricultural （cereal） losses are associated with drought. While analyzing the individual impact of precipitation and surface temperature on SPEI at 6 month timescale [SPEI （6）] we find that, in the UMGP region, surface temperature plays the primary role in the lowering of the SPEI. The linkage is further confirmed by correlation analysis between SPEI （6） and surface temperature, which exhibits strong negative values in the UMGP region. Higher temperatures may have caused more evaporation and drying, which therefore increased the area affected by drought in recent decades.

关键词： drought agriculture SPEI Indo-Gangetic Plain temperature precipitation potential evapotranspiration

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基于分层分区法的中国历史耕地数据的网格化重建

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地理学报 2016年第7期71卷 1144-1156页

作者：魏希文缪丽娟江源 nath reshmita 崔雪锋北京师范大学资源学院北京100875 南京信息工程大学地理与遥感学院南京210044 中国科学院大气物理研究所季风系统研究中心北京100029 北京师范大学系统科学学院北京100875

网格化历史耕地数据集能为历史时期耕地变化研究提供更精确的支持,并且为全球环境气候变化研究模型模拟提供驱动数据。本文综合考虑了中国历代土地利用开发的特点及自然人文因子对耕地的影响,设计了一套对中国耕地先分区再分层分配的网... 详细信息

网格化历史耕地数据集能为历史时期耕地变化研究提供更精确的支持,并且为全球环境气候变化研究模型模拟提供驱动数据。本文综合考虑了中国历代土地利用开发的特点及自然人文因子对耕地的影响,设计了一套对中国耕地先分区再分层分配的网格化方法。基于国内3个主流区域耕地数据研究成果,采用上述方法建立了1820年(清仁宗嘉庆二十五年)和1936年(民国二十五年)中国10 km×10 km分辨率的耕地数据集,并绘制了分布图。本文还利用国内具有代表性的区域数据集对重建结果进行对比验证。结果表明,该方法可以保证耕地数量的权威性,并且建立具有区域性的高精度历史耕地数据集。

关键词：中国历史耕地分区分层网格化重建

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应用生态网络分析方法评价中国经济系统的可持续性

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生态学报 2016年第24期36卷 7942-7950页

作者：胡科刘晓磊魏希文 nath reshmita 崔雪锋西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院兰州730070 北京师范大学全球变化与地球系统科学研究院地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室北京100875 中国科学院大气物理研究所季风系统研究中心北京100029

将生态网络分析方法应用于中国经济系统的可持续性分析。依据1987—2010年的投入产出数据,构建中国经济系统的货币网络流,用生态网络指标量化经济系统的网络特征和变化情况,探讨中国经济系统中增长与发展的变化及其可持续性。主要结论有... 详细信息

将生态网络分析方法应用于中国经济系统的可持续性分析。依据1987—2010年的投入产出数据,构建中国经济系统的货币网络流,用生态网络指标量化经济系统的网络特征和变化情况,探讨中国经济系统中增长与发展的变化及其可持续性。主要结论有:(1)1987—2010年间中国经济系统的总吞吐量呈指数增长趋势,网络规模不断增长。(2)1987—2010年间中国经济的系统效率在波动中呈增加趋势,但增长幅度较小。从长期阶段看,1997—2010年间的系统效率和组织能力比1987—1995年间有明显提高,表明经济系统在后期获得了一定程度的发展。但系统效率在2002年达到高点后呈现下降趋势。(3)1987—2010年间中国经济系统的上升性和发展能力都在持续提高,但主要来自规模增长。增长和发展的量化结果表明,1987—2010年间中国经济系统上升性的提高,90%来自总吞吐量(增长),只有10%来自效率改进(发展)。(4)1987—2010年间的中国经济系统的α平均值为0.138,远小于0.37或0.33的可持续性最优平衡点,系统处于缺乏效率的不可持续的状态。要提高经济系统的可持续性,需要提高经济系统的效率(结构)和组织能力。

关键词：生态网络分析中国经济系统增长发展可持续性

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中国生猪生产耗水及影响因素分析

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资源科学 2016年第1期38卷 110-118页

作者：刘晓磊栾一博胡科 reshmita nath 崔雪锋北京师范大学全球变化与地球系统科学研究院地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室北京100875 中国科学院大气物理研究所季风系统研究中心北京100029

随着城市化的发展和人均收入的提高,中国居民对猪肉的需求日益增长。猪肉生产耗水量大,其包括饲料作物生长所消耗的水,也包括生猪生产过程所消耗的水。本文从生猪生产的角度计算了2001-2012年生猪生产耗水,结果表明生猪生产水足迹由200... 详细信息

随着城市化的发展和人均收入的提高,中国居民对猪肉的需求日益增长。猪肉生产耗水量大,其包括饲料作物生长所消耗的水,也包括生猪生产过程所消耗的水。本文从生猪生产的角度计算了2001-2012年生猪生产耗水,结果表明生猪生产水足迹由2001年的3.39m^3/kg下降到2012年的3.31m^3/kg,但生猪生产耗水却从2001年的1910亿m^3上升到2012年的2650亿m^3,增长了38.95%。运用对数平均迪氏指数法(Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index,LMDI)对影响生猪生产耗水的因素进行了分析。在影响生猪生产耗水的3个因素中,人口的增长和猪肉消费量的增加导致生猪生产耗水的增加,而生猪生产水足迹的降低则会降低生猪生产耗水,三者中,猪肉消费量对生猪生产耗水的贡献最大。同时,农场耗水所占比例不断增加。本研究第一次揭示了长时间尺度,中国大、中、小规模化及散养养殖情况下,生猪生产水足迹的变化以及生产耗水。这有助于处理中国生猪产业的快速发展和耗水量不断增加的关系,促进生猪产业的可持续发展。

关键词：水足迹生猪生产规模化粮食安全

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Identification of Black Dragon forest fire in Amur River Basin Using Satellite Borne NDVI Data and Its Impact on Long Range Transport of Pollutants:A Case Study

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Journal of Atmospheric Science Research 2019年第3期2卷 6-10页

作者： Ankita nath reshmita nath Vivekananda College West Bengal State UniversityIndia Department of Earth System Science/Institute for Global Change Studies Tsinghua UniversityBeijing100084China

The Greater Hinggan Forest was the world’s largest stand of evergreens,along the Black Dragon River(also known as Amur),which forms the border between Chinese Manchuria and Soviet *** Dragon fire ranks as one of the worst environmental disasters of the 20th century and it burned about 18 million acres of conifer *** the 2nd week of May,1987,we observe more than 10K rise in brightness temperature over a wide region in the China-Russia *** weekly mean NDVI data shows the changes in greenness after the forest fire broke *** NDVI value is positive with persistent greenness and vegetation in the Amur River valley,but from the 2nd week of May onwards the reddish patch appears to spread over the entire region,indicates the burned *** addition,we observe the impact of Black Dragon forest fire on tropospheric ozone concentration,aerosol index away from the location over North Pacific Ocean.A clear increase in atmospheric pollutants can be noticed after the forest fire event and the long range transports are confirmed with 72 hours NOAA HYSPLIT forward trajectory analysis.

关键词： Black Dragon forest fire NDVI Ozone Aerosol Transport HYSPLIT model

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Fractional order prey-predator model incorporating immigration on prey:Complexity analysis and its control

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International Journal of Biomathematics 2024年第5期17卷 285-317页

作者： Md.Jasim Uddin Chandra nath Podder Departmentof Mathematics University of Dhaka Dhaka-1000Bangladesh

In this paper,the Caputo fractional derivative is assumed to be the prey-predator *** order to create Caputo fractional differential equations for the prey-predator model,a discretization process is first *** fixed points of the model are categorized *** identify requirements for the fixed points of the suggested prey-predator model's local asymptotic *** demonstrate analytically that,under specific parametric conditions,a fractional order prey-predator model supports both a Neimark-Sacker(NS)bifurcation and a Flip *** present evidence for NS and Flip bifurcations using central manifold and bifurcation *** parameter values and the initial conditions have been found to have a profound impact on the dynamical behavior of the fractional order prey-predator *** the bifurcation parameter is increased,the system displays chaotic *** simulations are shown to demonstrate chaotic behaviors like bifurcations,phase portraits,invariant closed cycles,and attractive chaotic sets in addition to validating analytical *** suggested prey-predator dynamical system's chaotic behavior will be controlled by the OGY and hybrid control methodology,which will also visualize the chaotic state for various biological parameters.

关键词： Prey-predator model Caputo fractional derivative Flip and Neimark-Sacker(NS)bifurcations immigration chaos control numerical simulation

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Random Amplification Polymorphic DNA and Agro-Morphological Traits-Based Fingerprinting for Detection of Genetic Divergence in Indian Black Rice

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Rice science 2024年第4期31卷 366-370,I0004-I0014页

作者： Manisha SHARMA Dhananjay RATURI Vijay Rani RAJPAL Manju CHAUDHARY Soom nath RAINA Apekshita SINGH Amity Institute of Biotechnology Amity University Uttar PradeshSector-125UP 201313India Department of Botany Hansraj CollegeUniversity of DelhiDelhi 110007India

In this study, 32 black rice genotypes spanning diverse geographies in India were evaluated at both phenotypic and DNA sequence levels to gain insights into their genetic makeup. Significant variations were observed f... 详细信息

关键词： Indian Morphological Traits

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Dengue hemorrhagic fever with rectus sheath hematoma:A case report

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Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine 2024年第3期17卷 136-138页

作者： Boudhayan Bhattacharjee Hardik Patel Rucha Karad Vasireddy Teja Agnibho Mondal Soumendra nath Haldar Bibhuti Saha Department of Infectious Diseases and Advanced Microbiology School of Tropical MedicineKolkataIndia

Rationale:Acute pain is a medical emergency that requires prompt abdominal evaluation and ***,a mosquito-borne arboviral infection,can lead to complications such as acute abdominal *** concerns:A 72-year-old hypertensive female presented with high-grade intermittent fever with chills and rigors for four *** was diagnosed with dengue fever(NS1Ag-reactive)the day before admission.A contrast-enhanced computed tomography of the abdomen showed a hematoma along the rectus sheath which was managed conservatively as per surgical ***:Dengue hemorrhagic fever with rectus sheath ***:Blood transfusion and fluid ***:Ten days after discharge,the patient reproted no pain in the right iliac fossa and the size of the hematoma was significantly ***:Although it is rarely seen as a cause of acute abdomen,complaints of adnominal pain should never be ignored in critical or convalescent phase of dengue *** investigations should be promptly conducted as hematoma is often difficult to be diagnosed *** in diagnosis of rectus sheath hematoma can be fatal.

关键词： Dengue fever Rectus sheath hematoma Surgical emergency Acute appendicitis

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Optimizing Biodiesel Production from Karanja and Algae Oil with Nano Catalyst:RSMand ANN Approach

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Energy Engineering 2024年第9期121卷 2363-2388页

作者： Sujeet Kesharvani Sakhi Katre Suyasha Pandey Gaurav Dwivedi Tikendra nath Verma Prashant Baredar Energy Centre Maulana Azad National Institute of TechnologyBhopal462003India Department of Mechanical Engineering Maulana Azad National Institute of TechnologyBhopal462003India

This study delves into biodiesel synthesis from non-edible oils and algae oil sources using Response Surface Methodology(RSM)and an Artificial Neural Network(ANN)model to optimize biodiesel *** of *** and Karanja oils is utilized,aiming to reduce free fatty acid content to 1%through single-step *** reveals peak biodiesel yield conditions:1%catalyst quantity,91.47 min reaction time,56.86℃reaction temperature,and 8.46:1 methanol to oil molar *** ANN model outperforms RSM in yield prediction *** impact assessment yields an E-factor of 0.0251 at maximum yield,indicating responsible production with minimal *** analysis reveals significant cost savings:30%-50%reduction in raw material costs by using non-edible oils,10%-15%increase in production efficiency,20%reduction in catalyst costs,and 15%-20%savings in energy *** optimized process reduces waste disposal costs by 10%-15%,enhancing overall economic ***,the widespread adoption of biodiesel offers economic,environmental,and social benefits to a diverse range of stakeholders,including farmers,producers,consumers,governments,environmental organizations,and the transportation *** among these stakeholders is essential for realizing the full potential of biodiesel as a sustainable energy solution.

关键词： Non-edible oil algae RSM ANN optimization environmental factor

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Modeling measles transmission in adults and children:Implications to vaccination for eradication

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2024年第4期9卷 1007-1026页

作者： Anjana Pokharel Khagendra Adhikari Ramesh Gautam Kedar nath Uprety Naveen K.Vaidya Padma Kanya Multiple Campus Tribhuvan UniversityKathmanduNepal Mathematical Biology Research Center KathmanduNepal Amrit Campus Tribhuvan UniversityKathmanduNepal Ratna Rajya Laxmi Campus Tribhuvan UniversityKathmanduNepal Central Department of Mathematics Tribhuvan UniversityKathmanduNepal Department of Mathematics and Statistics San Diego State UniversitySan DiegoCAUSA Computational Science Research Center San Diego State UniversitySan DiegoCAUSA Viral Information Institute San Diego State UniversitySan DiegoCAUSA

Despite the availability of successful vaccines,measles outbreaks have occurred frequently in recent years,presumably due to the lack of proper vaccination ***,measles cases in adult groups,albeit small in number,indicate that the previously neglected adult group may need to be brought into vaccine coverage to achieve WHO's goal of measles eradication from the *** this study,we develop a novel transmission dynamics model to describe measles cases in adults and children to evaluate the role of adult infection in persistent measles cases and vaccination programs for *** of our model,validated by measles cases from outbreaks in Nepal,provides the vaccination reproduction number(conditions for measles eradication or persistence)and the role of contact network *** results highlight that while children are primary targets for measles outbreaks,a small number of infections in adults may act as a reservoir for measles,causing obstacles to ***,our model analysis shows that while impactful controls can be achieved by children-focused vaccines,a combined adult-child vaccination program may help assert eradication of the disease.

关键词： Measles eradication Measles reservoir Adult-child vaccination Adults and children groups Nepal

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