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Analyses on the climate change responses over China under SRES B2 scenario using PRECIS

Chinese Science Bulletin 2006年第18期51卷 2260-2267页

作者： XU Yinlong ZHANG Yong LIN Erda LIN Wantao DONG Wenjie Richard Jones david hassell Simon Wilson Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences Beijing 100081 China Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China National Climate Center Beijing 100081 China Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research Exeter EXI 3PB UK

The PRECIS,a regional climate model system developed at the UK Met Office Hadley Cen- tre for Climate Prediction and Research,which is nested in one-way mode within the HadAM3P,a higher-resolution version of the atmospheric com- ponent of the Hadley Centre climate model HadCM3,is employed to simulate the baseline (1961—1990) climate for evaluation of model’s capacity of simu- lating present climate and analyze the future climate change responses in the time-slice of 2071—2100 (2080s) under SRES B2 scenario over China relative to baseline average. It is indicated from the com- parison of the simulated baseline climate with in situ observation that PRECIS can simulate the local dis- tribution characteristics of surface air temperature over China quite well; generally speaking,the simu- lation for precipitation in the north of China and in winter is better than in the south of China and in summer,respectively; the simulation of precipitation in summer is sensitive to topography,and the simu- lated precipitation values are lower than observations over southeast coastal areas. It is shown from the analyses on the simulated climate change responses in 2080s under SRES B2 scenario relative to base- line that there would be an obvious surface air tem- perature increase in the north of China relative to that in the south of China,and especially in Northwest China and Northeast China,the amplitude ofsummer mean surface air temperature increments could reach 5℃; there would be an overall increase of the simulated precipitation in 2080s under SRES B2 scenario over most areas of China,while there would be significant precipitation decreases in South China in winter; there would be obvious precipitation decreases in Northeast China and North China in summer with high surface air temperature increase. However,it presents an obvious precipitation in- crease over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in summer.

关键词：地面气温降水 PRECIS 气候变化中国

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利用PRECIS分析SRES B2情景下中国区域的气候变化响应

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科学通报 2006年第17期51卷 2068-2074页

作者：许吟隆张勇林一骅林而达林万涛董文杰 Richard Jones david hassell Simon Wilson 中国农业科学院农业环境与可持续发展研究所北京100081 中国科学院大气物理研究所北京100029 国家气候中心北京100081 Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research Exeter EX1 3PBUK

利用Hadley气候预测与研究中心的区域气候模式系统PRECIS单向嵌套该中心全球海．气耦合气候模式HadCM3高分辨率的大气部分HadAM3P，分析PRECIS对中国区域当代气候的模拟能力和SRESB2情景下2071-2100时段（2080s）相对于气候基准时段（1... 详细信息

利用Hadley气候预测与研究中心的区域气候模式系统PRECIS单向嵌套该中心全球海．气耦合气候模式HadCM3高分辨率的大气部分HadAM3P，分析PRECIS对中国区域当代气候的模拟能力和SRESB2情景下2071-2100时段（2080s）相对于气候基准时段（1961～1990年）中国区域的气候变化响应．气候基准时段的模拟结果与观测资料的对比分析表明：PRECIS能够很好地模拟中国区域地面气温的局地分布特征；总体上讲，PRECIS对中国北方地区降水的模拟效果优于南方地区，模拟的冬季降水型态分布较好，而夏季降水对地形比较敏感，东南沿海地区降水的模拟值偏低．对SRESB2情景下相对于气候基准时段的气候变化响应分析表明：2080s中国北方地区增温幅度明显大于南方，西北和东北地区尤为显著，其夏季平均气温增幅可达50℃以上；中国大部分地区降水量呈增加趋势；冬季华南地区降水量明显减少；夏季东北和华北地区气温增幅大而降水量减少明显，而长江以南地区降水量显著增加．

关键词：地面气温降水 PRECIS SRES B2情景气候变化响应

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SRES A2情景下中国区域的气候变化响应分析

SRES A2情景下中国区域的气候变化响应分析

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2007农业环境科学峰会

作者：许吟隆张勇 Richard Jones david hassell david Hein 中国农业科学院农业环境与可持续发展研究所

本文利用 Hadley 气候预测与研究中心的区域气候模式系统 PRECIS 分析 SRES A2情景下2071—2100 时段相对于气候基准时段（1961—1990年）中国区域的气候变化响应。结果表明:SRES A2情景下2080s 中国区域年、冬季和夏季平均的增温幅度在... 详细信息

本文利用 Hadley 气候预测与研究中心的区域气候模式系统 PRECIS 分析 SRES A2情景下2071—2100 时段相对于气候基准时段（1961—1990年）中国区域的气候变化响应。结果表明:SRES A2情景下2080s 中国区域年、冬季和夏季平均的增温幅度在2.5℃以上,西北地区增温幅度最为显著,夏季增温幅度达6℃, 部分地区可达6.5℃以上;东北地区增温亦很显著,年平均和冬季增温可达4.5℃,夏季增温可达5.5℃。 A2情景下2080s 中国全境年平均降水呈现出一致的增加趋势;冬季南方降水减少但沿黄河流域的降水明显增加;夏季的变化趋势与冬季相比呈现出相反的趋势,长江中下游以南的大部分地区降水量显著增加,而黄土高原地区降水明显减少,与之对应的是该地区温度的明显增加。

关键词：地面气温降水 PRECIS SRES A2情景气候变化响应

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Coastal wetlands in Lianyungang,Jiangsu Province,China:probably the most important site globally for the Asian Dowitcher(Limnodromus semipalmatus)

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Avian Research 2021年第3期12卷 364-374页

作者： Ziyou Yang Jing Li Yongxiang Han Chris J.hassell Kar-Sin Katherine Leung david S.Melville Yat-tung Yu Lin Zhang Chi-Yeung Choi Spoon-Billed Sandpiper(Shanghai)Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd.Shanghai 201100China Lianyungang Xugou Primary School Lian-yungang 222042China Global Flyway Network PO Box 3089BroomeWA 6725Australia Hong Kong Waterbirds Ringing Group Mai Po Nature ReserveHong KongChina 1261 Dovedale Road RD 2 WakefieldNelson 7096New Zealand Hong Kong Bird Watching Society 7CV Ga Building532 Castle Peak RoadLai Chi KokKowloonHong KongChina School of Environmental Science and Engineering Southern University of Science and TechnologyShenzhen 518055China

Background:Despite an increasing number of surveys and a growing interest in birdwatching,the population and distribution of Asian Dowitcher(Limnodromus semipalmatus),a species endemic to the East Asian-Australasian and Central Asian Flyways,remains poorly understood,and published information about the species is largely *** boreal spring 2019,over 22,432 Asian Dowitchers were recorded in a coastal wetland at Lianyungang,Jiangsu Prov-ince,China,constituting 97.5%of its estimated global ***:In 2019 and 2020,we conducted field surveys at Lianyungang to determine the numbers of Asian Dow-itchers using the area during both southward and northward *** also assessed the distribution and abun-dance of Asian Dowitchers elsewhere along the China coast by searching literature and consulting expert ***:The coastal wetlands of Lianyungang are the most important stopover site for Asian Dowitchers during both northward and southward migrations;they supported over 90%of the estimated global population during north-ward migration in two consecutive years(May 2019 and 2020).This area also supported at least 15.83%and 28.42%(or 30.74%and 53.51%using modelled estimates)of the global population during southward migration in 2019 and 2020 *** wetlands in the west and north of Bohai Bay also have been important stopover sites for the species since the *** comprehensive,long-term monitoring data are lacking,available evidence sug-gests that the population of the species may have ***:The high concentration of Asian Dowitchers at Lianyungang during migration means the species is highly susceptible to human disturbances and natural stochastic *** coastal wetlands of Lianyungang should be protected and potentially qualify for inclusion in China’s forthcoming nomination for World Heritage listing of Migratory Bird Sanctuaries along the Coast of Yellow Sea-Bohai Gulf of China(Phase II)in ***

关键词： Lianyungang Limnodromus semipalmatus Shorebird Stopover ecology Yellow Sea World Heritage

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Detecting the non-breeding region and migration route of Whimbrels(Numenius phaeopus rogachevae)in the East Asian–Australasian Flyway

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Avian Research 2022年第1期13卷 72-77页

作者： Fenliang Kuang Wei Wu david Li Chris J.hassell Grace Maglio Kar-Sin K.Leung Jonathan T.Coleman Chuyu Cheng Pavel S.Tomkovich Zhijun Ma Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze EstuaryInstitute of Eco-ChongmingSchool of Life SciencesFudan UniversityShanghai200433China School of Resources Environment and Chemistry Chuxiong Normal UniversityChuxiongYunnan675000China Shanghai Chongming Dongtan National Nature Reserve Shanghai202183China National Parks Board Singapore718925Singapore Global Flyway Network PO Box 3089BroomeWA6725Australia Australasian Wader Studies Group BroomeWA6725Australia Hong Kong Waterbirds Ringing Group Hong Kong999077China Queensland Wader Study Group 22 Parker StreetShailer ParkQLD4128Australia Zoological Museum Lomonosov Moscow State UniversityBolshaya Nikitskaya Str.2Moscow125009Russia

Determining the migration routes and connections of migratory birds at the population level helps clarify intraspecific differences in *** subspecies have been recognized in the Whimbrel(Numenius phaeopus)in *** is the most recently described *** breeds in Central Siberia,while its non-breeding region and migration routes are still *** tracked the migration of Eurasian Whimbrels captured at three non-breeding sites(Moreton Bay in east coast of Australia,Roebuck Bay in Northwest Australia and Sungei Buloh Wetland in Singapore)and two migration stopover sites(Chongming Dongtan and Mai Po Wetland in China).We determined the breeding sites and inferred the subspecies of the tagged birds in the East Asian–Australasian Flyway(EAAF)based on the known breeding distribution of each *** the 30 tagged birds,6 and 21 birds bred in the breeding range of *** and variegatus,respectively;one bred in the presumed transition area between the breeding range of *** and rogachevae,and two bred in the region between the breeding range of *** and *** birds that bred in the *** breeding range spent their non-breeding season in the northern Sumatra,Singapore,East Java and Northwest Australia and mainly stopped over along China's coasts during *** of our birds bred in the exclusive breeding range of the phaeopus *** studies have predicted that rogachevae whimbrels migrate along the Central Asian Flyway and spend the non-breeding season in West India and East *** found that at least some rogachevae whimbrels migrate along the EAAF and spend the non-breeding season in Southeast Asia and *** *** is at best sparsely distributed in the EAAF in the west region,or possibly does not occur at all.

关键词： Migratory connectivity Non-breeding area Numenius phaeopus Satellite tracking Stopover site Subspecies

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Predicting the non-breeding distributions of the two Asian subspecies of Black-tailed Godwit using morphological information

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Avian Research 2023年第1期14卷 1-6页

作者： Bing-Run Zhu Mo A.Verhoeven Chris J.hassell Katherine K-S Leung Dmitry Dorofeev Qiang Ma Krairat Eiamampai Jonathan T.Coleman Uchrakhzaya Tserenbat Gankhuyag Purev-Ochir david Li Zhengwang Zhang Theunis Piersma Conservation Ecology Group Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life SciencesUniversity of Groningen9747AGthe Netherlands Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering College of Life SciencesBeijing Normal UniversityBeijing100875China Hunan Global Messenger Technology Co. LtdChangshaChangsha410205China Netherlands Institute of Ecology(NIOO-KNAW) 6708 PBWageningenthe Netherlands Department of Coastal Systems NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea ResearchDen Burg1790 ABTexelthe Netherlands Global Flyway Network BroomeWestern Australia6725Australia Australasian Wader Studies Group Western Australia(north)Australia Hong Kong Waterbirds Ringing Group Mai Po Nature ReserveHongKongChina All-Russian Research Institute for Environmental Protection Moscow117628Russia Chongming Dongtan National Nature Reserve Shanghai202183China Department of National Park Wildlife and Plant ConservationMinistry of Natural Resource and EnvironmentBangkok10900Thailand Queensland Wader Study Group Brisbane4128Australia Mongolian Bird Conservation Center Ulaanbaatar210351Mongolia Sungei Buloh Wetland Reserve National Parks Board 718925Singapore CEAAF Centre for East Asian-Australasian Flyway Studies Beijing Forestry UniversityBeijing100083China

Until recently,Limosa limosa melanuroides was thought to be the only subspecies of Black-tailed Godwit in the East Asian-Australasian *** this reason,all previous occurrences and counts of Black-tailed Godwits in the flyway have been assigned to ***,a larger-bodied subspecies,bohaii,has recently been discovered in the *** a result,the occurrence of Black-tailed Godwits in the flyway needs to be reconsidered such that the specific distribution of each subspecies becomes *** this end,we developed a simple discriminant function to assign individuals to subspecies based on their bill and wing ***-validation with individuals known to be bohaii or melanuroides,based on molecular analysis,showed the developed function to be 97.7%*** applied to measurements of godwits captured at 22 sites across 9 countries in East-Southeast Asia and Australia,we found that bohaii and melanuroides occurred at most sites and overlapped in their distribution from Kamchatka to *** examined photos from all along the flyway to verify this surprising result,confirming that both subspecies co-occur in most *** on these results,we hypothesise that bohaii and melanuroides from the west of their breeding ranges mostly migrate over Chinese *** of both subspecies from the east of their ranges are expected to migrate along the Pacific *** encourage ringing groups in East-Southeast Asia and Australia to use this simple method to keep adding knowledge about Black-tailed Godwits in the East Asian-Australasian Flyway.

关键词： DFA Discriminant function analysis East Asian-Australasian Flyway Limosa limosa

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上海黄浦江东岸开放空间贯通概念规划

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城市建筑 2017年第12期14卷 92-97页

作者： Jon Hazelwood Richard Mullane david Tickle Andrew Wilkinson Sharon Wright Ciaran Acton 蔡宽洲 Georgia Darling Jessica Lock Richard MacRae Calum Nesbitt 王翀张凌 hassell设计有限公司

上海是一座以创新创意领先于世又极富试验精神的城市。浦东的天际线象征着这座城市是如何用仅仅20年时间就“华丽转身”成为一座国际现代大都市的。黄浦江东岸的这项贯通计划带来的改变，将进一步释放这座城市的潜能，创造出世界级的公... 详细信息

上海是一座以创新创意领先于世又极富试验精神的城市。浦东的天际线象征着这座城市是如何用仅仅20年时间就“华丽转身”成为一座国际现代大都市的。黄浦江东岸的这项贯通计划带来的改变，将进一步释放这座城市的潜能，创造出世界级的公共空间，改善亲水渠道，增强河畔的娱乐性。hassell为东岸项目带来的概念规划方案旨在创造一片依河而建的城市森林，这一方案进入了最终的入围名单。东岸城市森林是一座由200万棵树组成、延绵不断的森林地，每棵树都代表着一个孩子的成长，200万棵树与上海的200万个孩子一同成长。

关键词：概念规划黄浦江开放空间上海贯通城市森林公共空间大都市

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星际探索卓瑞尔天文台“第一道光”射电天文馆

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室内设计与装修 2023年第6期 70-73页

作者： Julian Gitsham Gary Collins Adam Atraktzi Oliver Kampshoff Sarah Willats Clive Lewis Kaja Swiezewska Trang Dao david Brown(摄影) hassell 不详

“第一道光”射电天文馆由建筑事务所hassell设计。该项目建成开放后,世界各地的访客在著名的卓瑞尔天文台的参观体验得到很大提升,他们将射电天文学理论,转化成了迷人的星际探索。作为这块场地上最大的公共建筑,展馆的设计以捕捉太空... 详细信息

“第一道光”射电天文馆由建筑事务所hassell设计。该项目建成开放后,世界各地的访客在著名的卓瑞尔天文台的参观体验得到很大提升,他们将射电天文学理论,转化成了迷人的星际探索。作为这块场地上最大的公共建筑,展馆的设计以捕捉太空爱好者的好奇心为主旨,引发人们科学探索的欲望,在广袤无垠太空收获天文学的发现。

关键词：建筑事务所射电天文学公共建筑广袤无垠瑞尔天文馆天文台好奇心

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