Assessment of Socio-Economic Impacts of the December 2011 Flood Event in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania

作     者：Doreen M. Anande Philbert M. Luhunga 

作者机构：Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) Section Tanzania Meteorological Agency Dar es Salaam Tanzania Hankuk University of Foreign Studies (HUFS) Seoul South Korea Research Section Tanzania Meteorological Agency Dar es Salaam Tanzania 

出 版 物：《Atmospheric and Climate Sciences》 (大气和气候科学（英文）)

年 卷 期：2019年第9卷第3期

页      面：421-437页

学科分类：1002[医学-临床医学] 100214[医学-肿瘤学] 10[医学] 

主　　题：Extreme Rainfall Impacts Based Flood Forecasting Models (IBFFMs) Socio Economic Impacts Impact Based Flood Early Warning System (IBFEWS) 

摘      要：Floods are the most devastating hazards that have significant adverse impacts on people and their livelihoods. Their impacts can be reduced by investing on: 1) improving the forecasting skills of extreme and heavy rainfall events, 2) development of Impacts Based Flood Early Warning System (IBFEWS) and 3) effective communication of impacts from anticipated extreme or heavy rainfall event. The development of IBFEWS however, requires a complete understanding of factors that relates to the formation of extreme or heavy rainfall events and their associated socio-economic impacts. This information is crucial in the development of Impacts Based Flood Forecasting Models (IBFFMs). In this study, we assess the socio-economic impacts of the December 2011 flood event in Dar es Salaam as the preliminary stage in the development of IBFFMs for the City of Dar es Salaam. Data from household survey collected using systematic random sampling techniques and structured questionnaires are used. The survey was conducted to acquire respondent’s views on the causes of floods impacts, adaptive capacity to extreme or heavy rainfall events and adaptation options to minimize flood impact. It is found that the main causes of floods were river overflow due to heavy rainfall and blocked drainage system. Poor infrastructure such as drainage and sewage systems, and ocean surge were identified to be the causes of observed impacts of the December 2011 flood event in Dar es Salaam. Death cases analysis showed that 43 people were reported dead. The flood event damaged properties worth of 7.5 million Tanzania shillings. Furthermore, the Tanzania Government spent a total amount of 1.83 billion Tanzanian shillings to rescue and relocate vulnerable communities that lived-in low-lying areas of Jagwani to high ground areas of Mabwepande in Kinondoni district.