Estimation and Projection of the HIV Epidemic Trend among the Migrant Population in China

作     者：MENGXiaoJun WANG Lu Susan CHAN Kathleen Heather REILLY PENG ZhiHang GUO Wei DING GuoWei DING ZhengWei QIN QianQian 

作者机构：National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 102206 China Department of Public Health Nanjing Medical University Nanjing 210029 Jiangsu China 

出 版 物：《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 (生物医学与环境科学（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2011年第24卷第4期

页      面：343-348页

核心收录：

学科分类：01[哲学] 0101[哲学-哲学] 08[工学] 080203[工学-机械设计及理论] 010108[哲学-科学技术哲学] 0802[工学-机械工程] 

基　　金：Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Shandong Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Yunnan Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangxi Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Sichuan Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Liaoning Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Hubei Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Xinjiang Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Henan Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanxi Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Chongqing 

主　　题：China Transients and migrants Estimation and projection package HIV/AIDS 

摘      要：Objective The migrant population is a vulnerable group for HIV infection in *** potential epidemic trends among migrants is critical for developing HIV preventative measures in this *** The Estimation and Projection Package （EPP） model was used to process prefecture and county-level surveillance data to generate HIV prevalence and epidemic trends for migrant populations in *** The prevalence of HIV among migrants in 2009 was estimated at 0.075% （95% CI：0.042%,0.108%） in *** HIV epidemic among migrants is likely to increase over the next 5 years,with the prevalence expected to reach 0.110% （95% CI：0.070%,0.150%） by *** Although the 2009 estimates for the HIV/AIDS epidemic in China indicate a slower rate of increase compared with the national HIV/AIDS epidemic,it is estimated to persistently increase among migrants over the next 5 *** will have a strong impact on the overall future of the HIV epidemic trend in China and evidence-based prevention and monitoring efforts should be expanded for this vulnerable population.