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Probabilistic Estimation of Hazard on Engineering Site Based on the Intensity of Historic Earthquakes and A Preliminary Comparison with Seismic Hazard Analysis

Probabilistic Estimation of Hazard on Engineering Site Based on the Intensity of Historic Earthquakes and A Preliminary Comparison with Seismic Hazard Analysis

作     者:Zhang Jie and Shen JianwenSeismological Bureau of Anhui Province,Hefei 230031,China 

出 版 物:《Earthquake Research in China》 (中国地震研究(英文版))

年 卷 期:1995年第9卷第1期

页      面:36-44页

学科分类:070801[理学-固体地球物理学] 07[理学] 0708[理学-地球物理学] 

主  题:Historical seismological data Seismic risk evaluation 

摘      要:This paper introduces a new method to estimate the seismic hazard on engineering *** method is mainly based on intensity data of historical *** obvious feature of the method is to use some ideas of seismic hazard analysis and considering regional seismicity *** authors depict the comprehensive method to estimate the related parameters and predict the seismic hazards for 14 sites as practical *** problems are also *** with seismic hazard analysis,this method has certain advantages,such as simpler computation,lower uncertainty and smaller sensitivity *** total hazard P(I≥i)of a site can be examined with real historic *** result given by the method in this paper can be more stable than that given by seismic hazard analysis nowadays.

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