A Global Reliability Assessment Method on Aging Offshore Platforms with Corrosion and Cracks

作     者：嵇春艳 李珊珊 陈明璐 

作者机构：School of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering Jiangsu University of Scienceand Technology 

出 版 物：《China Ocean Engineering》 (中国海洋工程（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2009年第23卷第2期

页      面：199-210页

核心收录：

学科分类：081505[工学-港口、海岸及近海工程] 08[工学] 0815[工学-水利工程] 0824[工学-船舶与海洋工程] 0814[工学-土木工程] 082401[工学-船舶与海洋结构物设计制造] 080102[工学-固体力学] 0801[工学-力学（可授工学、理学学位）] 

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.50609009) 

主　　题：aging offshore platform reliability assessment corrosion fatigue crack 

摘      要：Corrosion and fatigue cracks are major threats to the structural integrity of aging offshore platforms. For the rational estimation of the safety levels of aging platforms, a global reliability assessment approach for aging offshore platforms with corrosion and fatigue cracks is presented in this paper. The base shear capacity is taken as the global ultimate strength of the offshore platforms. It is modeled as a random process that decreases with time in the presence of corrosion and fatigue crack propagation. And the corrosion and fatigue crack growth rates in the main members and key joints are modeled as random variables. A simulation method of the extreme wave loads which are applied to the structures of offshore platforms is proposed too. Furthermore, the statistics of global base shear capacity and extreme wave loads are obtained by Monte Carlo simulation method. On the basis of the limit state equation of global failure mode, the instantaneous reliability and time dependent reliability assessment methods are both presented in this paper. Finally the instantaneous reliability index and time dependent failure probability of a jacket platform are estimated with different ages in the demonstration example.