Dynamic analysis and assessment for sustainable development

作     者：SHI Xiao\|qing (Department of Systems Ecology, Research Center for Eco\|Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China. ) 

作者机构：Department of Systems Ecology Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences Chinese Academy of Sciences 北京 100085 

出 版 物：《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 (环境科学学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2002年第14卷第1期

页      面：88-94页

核心收录：

学科分类：12[管理学] 1204[管理学-公共管理] 083001[工学-环境科学] 0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 08[工学] 

基　　金：TheNationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChina (Nos.79930 80 0 7990 0 0 2 1 39770 149) 

主　　题：sustainable development assessment dynamic analysis 

摘      要：The assessment of sustainable development is crucial for constituting sustainable development strategies. Assessment methods that exist so far usually only use an indicator system for making sustainable judgement. These indicators rarely reflect dynamic characteristics. However, sustainable development is influenced by changes in the social\|economic system and in the eco\|environmental system at different times. Besides the spatial character, sustainable development has a temporal character that can not be neglected; therefore the research system should also be dynamic. This paper focuses on this dynamic trait, so that the assessment results obtained provide more information for judgements in decision\|making processes. Firstly the dynamic characteristics of sustainable development are analyzed, which point to a track of sustainable development that is an upward undulating curve. According to the dynamic character and the development rules of a social, economic and ecological system, a flexible assessment approach that is based on tendency analysis, restrictive conditions and a feedback system is then proposed for sustainable development.