Co-Benefits of CO2 and NOx Emission Control in China's Cement Industry
Co-Benefits of CO2 and NOx Emission Control in China’s Cement Industry作者机构：Policy Research Centre for Environment and Economy Ministry of Environmental Protection of the People's Republic of China Environmental Defense Fund Environmental Defense Fund China Program
出 版 物：《Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies》 (城市与环境研究(英文))
年 卷 期：2016年第4卷第4期
页 面：106-125页
学科分类：083002[工学-环境工程] 0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 08[工学] 0833[工学-城乡规划学]
主 题：Cement industry CO 2 abatement NO x reduction co-benefit analysis Gompertz model MAP-TIMES model
摘 要：Over the past 30 years, China’s cement industry has experienced rapid development. In this study the authors estimate the emissions trend, emissions control policies, and costs of the policies in China’s cement industry under various economic growth scenarios. First, the authors develop a bottom-up energy system — multi-pollutant abatement planning(MAP) model for China’s cement industry based on the existing productivity, a set of retrofitting options and new investments, alternative fuels, and various available emission control technologies. Second, the authors identify key drivers of cement demand to develop scenarios for future cement demand(2012–2030) and corresponding output peak time under high/low economic growth conditions. Third,the authors consider three scenarios including current policies without carbon control(BAU),moderately low carbon scenario(MLC), and radically low carbon scenario(RLC). The scenarios are being built up with different emission control goals and also compared by costs with estimation of marginal abatement cost curve for cement industry. Finally, based on the estimates the authors suggest a cost-efficient green/low carbon development roadmap for China’s cement sector,considering best available technological options and policy instruments. The study estimates the benefits of co-controlling air pollutants and CO2emissions, and proposes an innovative mechanism to deal with air pollution and climate change.
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