Forecasting tropical cyclone rainfall and flooding hazards and impacts
作者机构：NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction CenterUSA India Meteorological DepartmentIndia Shanghai Typhoon InstituteCMAChina LaReunion RSMCMeteo-FranceFrance Mexico Meteorological ServiceUSA Bureau of MeteorologyAustralia PAGASAPhilippines
出 版 物：《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》 (热带气旋研究与评论（英文版）)
年 卷 期：2023年第12卷第2期
页 面：100-112页
学科分类：07[理学] 070601[理学-气象学] 0706[理学-大气科学]
基 金：Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, CAMS Chinese Medical Association, CMA
主 题：Rainfall Flooding Storm size Topography
摘 要：This review summarizes the rapporteur report on advances in monitoring and forecasting of rainfall associated with tropical cyclones(TCs)and its impact during 2014–18,as presented to the 10th International Workshop on TCs(IWTC-10)held in Bali,Indonesia during 5th–9th December *** physical processes that can modulate TC rainfall distribution,including topography,storm motion,vertical wind shear,and intensity,along with the fundamental physics of rain bands and clouds as simulated by numerical models,diurnal variation of rainfall,and various synoptic and mesoscale features controlling the rainfall distribution are briefly *** to the dynamic core and physical processes in global models are providing useable forecasts nearly up to 7 *** report also summarizes,some tools that have been developed to predict TC *** there is a tendency for operational forecasting centers to utilize multi-model ensemble systems for rainfall forecasting that demonstrate superior performance than individual models,ensemble members,or even single model *** impacts include pluvial and fluvial floods,and *** techniques developed by various forecasting centers to assist in predicting and communicating the impacts associated with these events are also presented in this report.
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