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Incorporation of near-real-time hospital occupancy data to improve hospitalization forecast accuracy during the COVID19 pandemic

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2022年第1期7卷 277-285页

作者： Alexander Preiss Emily Hadley Kasey Jones Marie C.D.Stoner Caroline Kery Peter Baumgartner Georgiy Bobashev Jessica Tenenbaum Charles Carter Kimberly Clement Sarah Rhea RTI International Research Triangle ParkNCUSA Explosion BerlinGermany North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services RaleighNCUSA North Carolina State University Department of Population Health and PathobiologyRaleighNCUSA

Public health decision makers rely on hospitalization forecasts to inform COVID-19 pandemic planning and resource *** forecasts are most relevant when they are accurate,made available quickly,and updated *** rapidly adapted an agent-based model(ABM)to provide weekly 30-day hospitalization forecasts(i.e.,demand for intensive care unit[ICU]beds and non-ICU beds)by state and region in North Carolina for public health decision *** ABM was based on a synthetic population of North Carolina residents and included movement of agents(i.e.,patients)among North Carolina hospitals,nursing homes,and the *** assigned SARSCoV-2 infection to agents using county-level compartmental models and determined agents’COVID-19 severity and probability of hospitalization using synthetic population characteristics(e.g.,age,comorbidities).We generated weekly 30-day hospitalization forecasts during MayeDecember 2020 and evaluated the impact of major model updates on statewide forecast accuracy under a SARS-CoV-2 effective reproduction number range of *** the 21 forecasts included in the assessment,the average mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)was 7.8%for non-ICU beds and 23.6%for ICU *** the major model updates,integration of near-real-time hospital occupancy data into the model had the largest impact on improving forecast accuracy,reducing the average MAPE for non-ICU beds from 6.6%to 3.9%and for ICU beds from 33.4%to 6.5%.Our results suggest that future pandemic hospitalization forecasting efforts should prioritize early inclusion of hospital occupancy data to maximize accuracy.

关键词： forecast hospital adapted

Anti-epileptic and Neuroprotective Effects of Ultra-low Dose NADPH Oxidase Inhibitor Dextromethorphan on Kainic Acid-induced Chronic Temporal Lobe Epilepsy in Rats

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Neuroscience Bulletin 2024年第5期40卷 577-593页

作者： Jing-Jing Yang Ying-Xin Liu Yan-Fang Wang Bi-Ying Ge Ying Wang Qing-Shan Wang Sheng Li Jian-Jie Zhang Ling-Ling Jin Jau-Shyong Hong Sheng-Ming Yin Jie Zhao College of Basic Medical Sciences Dalian Medical UniversityDalian116044China Department of Neurology The First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical UniversityDalian116011China National and Local Joint Engineering research Center for Drug research and Development of Neurodegenerative Diseases Dalian116044China School of Public Health Dalian Medical UniversityDalian116044China Neurobiology Laboratory National Institute of Environmental Health SciencesNational Institutes of HealthResearch Triangle ParkDurhamNC27709USA

Neuroinflammation mediated by microglia and oxidative stress play pivotal roles in the development of chronic temporal lobe epilepsy(TLE).We postulated that kainic acid(KA)-Induced status epilepticus triggers microglia-dependent inflammation,leading to neuronal damage,a lowered seizure threshold,and the emergence of spontaneous recurrent seizures(SRS).Extensive evidence from our laboratory suggests that dextromethorphan(DM),even in ultra-low doses,has anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective effects in many animal models of neurodegenerative *** results showed that administration of DM(10 ng/kg per day;subcutaneously via osmotic minipump for 4 weeks)significantly mitigated the residual effects of KA,including the frequency of SRS and seizure *** addition,DM-treated rats showed improved cognitive function and reduced hippocampal neuronal *** found suppressed microglial activation-mediated neuroinflammation and decreased expression of hippocampal gp91^(phox) and p47^(phox) proteins in KA-induced chronic TLE ***,even after discontinuation of DM treatment,ultra-low doses of DM continued to confer long-term anti-seizure and neuroprotective effects,which were attributed to the inhibition of microglial NADPH oxidase 2 as revealed by mechanistic studies.

关键词： Temporal lobe epilepsy Dextromethorphan NADPH oxidase Ultra-low dose

Method to assess component contribution to toxicity of complex mixtures： Assessment of puberty acquisition in rats exposed to disinfection byproducts

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Journal of Environmental Sciences 2017年第8期29卷 311-321页

作者： Shahid Parvez Glenn E.Rice Linda K.Teuschler Jane Ellen Simmons Thomas F.Speth Susan D.Richardson Richard J.Miltner E.Sidney Hunter Ⅲ Jonathan G.Pressman Lillian F.Strader Gary R.Klinefelter Jerome M.Goldman Michael G.Narotsky Indiana University Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public Health Department of Environmental Health Sciences IUPUI Campus Indianapolis IN 46202 USA National Center for Environmental Assessment Office of Research and Development U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Cincinnati OH 45268 USA Lincla Teuschler and Associates St. Petersburg FL 33707 USA National Health and Environmental Effects research Laboratory Office of Research and Development U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park NC 27711 USA National Risk Management research Laboratory Office of Research and Development U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Cincinnati OH 45268 USA Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry University of South Carolina Columbia SC 29208 USA

A method based on regression modeling was developed to discern the contribution of component chemicals to the toxicity of highly complex, environmentally realistic mixtures of disinfection byproducts（DBPs）. Chemical disinfection of drinking water forms DBP *** of concerns about possible reproductive and developmental toxicity, a whole mixture（WM） of DBPs produced by chlorination of a water concentrate was administered as drinking water to Sprague–Dawley（S–D） rats in a multigenerational study. Age of puberty acquisition,i.e., preputial separation（PPS） and vaginal opening（VO）, was examined in male and female offspring, respectively. When compared to controls, a slight, but statistically significant delay in puberty acquisition was observed in females but not in males. WM-induced differences in the age at puberty acquisition were compared to those reported in S–D rats administered either a defined mixture（DM） of nine regulated DBPs or individual DBPs. Regression models were developed using individual animal data on age at PPS or VO from the DM study. Puberty acquisition data reported in the WM and individual DBP studies were then compared with the DM models. The delay in puberty acquisition observed in the WM-treated female rats could not be distinguished from delays predicted by the DM regression model, suggesting that the nine regulated DBPs in the DM might account for much of the delay observed in the WM. This method is applicable to mixtures of other types of chemicals and other endpoints.

关键词： Drinking water disinfection byproducts DBP Puberty delay Four Lab Study Mixtures risk assessment

Role of inflammation in the pathogenesis of parkinson's disease:models,mechanisms,and therapeutic interventions

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Role of inflammation in the pathogenesis of Parkinson's dise...

Gene Compass:A Toolbox for Genomics-Assisted Breeding

第十二届全国神经精神药理学学术交流会

作者： Hong Jau-Shyong Neuropharmacology Section Lab.of Pharmacology & Chemistry NIEHS/NIHResearch Triangle ParkNCUSA

The theme of this talk is first to describe newly created rodent parkinsons disease (PD) models that mimic the progressive disease development in PD patients. With these models, we have elucidated the novel mechanisms of microglial activation that lead to inflammation - mediated neurodegeneration. These insights have then led us to develop innovative anti - inflammatory therapy for PD 1. Creation of inflammation -mediated rodent PD models

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Gene Compass:A Toolbox for Genomics-Assisted Breeding

Enhanced Methane Sorption in Densified Forms of a Porous Polymer Network

中国遗传学会植物遗传和基因组学专业委员会2007年学术研讨会

作者： Charles Chilcott Molly Dunn Laurent G-rivet Christopher Basten Linda Ambroso Gayle Dace Nikoll Long Gilles Gay John Salmeron Ian Puddephat John Arbuckle Robert Dietrich Joseph Clarke Erik Legg Syngenta Biotechnology Inc.3054 Cornwallis RoadResearch Triangle ParkNC 27709USA

Molecular marker discovery is essential in molecular ***-centric polymorphisms have potential to lead to the discovery of genes that responsible to the traits of *** the candidate gene based approach for marker discov...

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Materials Sciences and Applications 2014年第6期5卷 387-394页

作者： Austin C. Kizzie Anne Dailly Lamar Perry Marty A. Lail Weigang Lu Thomas O. Nelson Mei Cai Hong-Cai Zhou Department of Chemistry Texas A&M University College Station USA General Motors Global research and Development Warren USA RTI International Research Triangle Park USA

Multi-gram synthesis and densification is presented for a porous polymer network (PPN-4) examined as a possible vehicular methane storage material. Compaction at 17,000 psi doubled the bulk density of the material and unexpectedly increased microporosity within the material. As a result, the densified material exhibits higher excess gravimetric methane uptake and improved total volumetric methane uptake relative to the powder.

关键词： Adsorbents Polymers Methane Energy Transportation

The Transactivating Function 2 (AF-2) of Estrogen Receptor (ER) <i>α</i>Is Indispensable for ER<i>α</i>-Mediated Physiological Responses and AF-1 Activity

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Open Journal of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases 2013年第4期3卷 12-19页

作者： Yukitomo Arao Katherine J. Hamilton Kenneth S. Korach Receptor Biology Section Laboratory of Reproductive and Developmental Toxicology National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences/NIH Research Triangle Park North Carolina USA

Estrogen has various physiological functions and the estrogen receptor (ER) is a key regulator of those functions. ERα is a ligand-dependent transcription factor and that activity is mediated by the transactivating function-1 (AF-1) in the N-terminal domain and transactivating function-2 (AF-2) in the C-terminal ligand-binding domain. The functions of ERα AF-1 and AF-2 have been characterized by various in vitro experiments, however, there is still less information about the in vivo physiological functions of ERα AF-1 and AF-2. Recently, we established a genetically mutated ERα AF-2 knock-in mouse (AF2ERKI) that possessed L543A, L544A mutated-ERα. This AF-2 core mutation disrupted AF-2 function and resulted in ERα null phenotypes. This mouse model revealed that proper AF-2 core structure and function were indispensable for ERα-mediated physiological responses and AF-1 functionality. AF2ER mutation reverses the ERα antagonists to agonists and that activity is mediated by AF-1 solely. The pure antagonist, ICI182780/fulvestrant, activated several estrogen-mediated physiological responses in the AF2ERKI mouse. The AF2ERKI mouse model will be useful to discern estrogen physiological functions which involve AF-1.

关键词： Knock-In Mouse SERMs Antagonist Reversal

INFLUENCE OF p53 SMALL DOUBLE STRANDED RNA INTERFERENCE ON HEPATOMA CELL LINE SK-HEP-1

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Chinese Journal of Cancer research 2005年第1期17卷 22-27页

作者：曹晓哲朱明华祝峙冯菲赵梅兰陈颖刘晓红 Department of Pathology Changhai Hospital Second Military Medical University Shanghai 200433 China NIEHS/NIH BIDG 101 MD F2-04 Res. Triangle Park NC 27709 USA

Objective: The effects on cell-cycle and p53 expression in hepatoma cell line SK-Hep-1 were explored by transfecting exogenous p53 small double stranded RNA (dsRNA) into the SK-Hep-1 cells. Methods: p53 dsRNA and EGFP dsRNA were synthesized. SK-Hep-1 (wtp53) cell line was transfected with 200 ng and 400 ng p53 dsRNA or EGFP and EGFP+EGFP dsRNA (as positive control) or 9% NaCl (as blank control) by liposome transfection technique. Flow cytometry was adopted to measure the effects of p53 dsRNA on cell cycle. Expression of p53 protein was detected by Western-Blotting at 48 h after transfecting p53 dsRNA. Results: The number of G0-G1 phase SK-Hep-1 cells, which were transfected with 200 ng p53 dsRNA, was decreased by 52.53% comparing with the control, and decreased by 50.29% (P0.05) comparing with the positive control cells transfected with same dosage of EGFP+EGFP dsRNA. After 48 h, p53 protein expression was not detected in the SK-Hep-1 cells transfected with p53 dsRNA. Conclusion: p53 dsRNA can obviously improve the proliferation of SK-Hep-1 cells, and suppress p53 protein expression of SK-Hep-1 cells, the former may be related to of the latter.

关键词： p53 RNA interference (RNAi) Hepatocellular carcinoma SK-Hep-1

Marine invasions enter the genomic era： three lessons from the past, and the way forward

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Current Zoology 2016年第6期62卷 629-642页

作者： Frederique VIARD Patrice DAVID John A. DARLING Sorbonne Universites UPMC Univ Paris 06 CNRS UMR 7144 Lab. Adaptation Et Diversite En Milieu Marin Team Div&Co Station Biologique De Roscoff Roscoff 29682 France CEFE UMR 5175 CNRS-Universite De Montpellier- UM III-EPFIE 1919 Route De Mende Montpellier Cedex 34293 France National Exposure research Laboratory United States Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park NC 27711 USA

The expanding scale and increasing rate of marine biological invasions have been documented since the early 20th century. Besides their global ecological and economic impacts, non-indigenous species （NIS） also have attracted much attention as opportunities to explore important eco-evolutionary processes such as rapid adaptation, long-distance dispersal and range expansion, and secondary contacts between divergent evolutionary lineages. In this context, genetic tools have been extensively used in the past 20 years. Three important issues appear to have emerged from such studies. First, the study of NIS has revealed unexpected cryptic diversity in what had previously been assumed homogeneous entities. Second, there has been surprisingly little evidence of strong founder events accompanying marine introductions, a pattern possibly driven by large propagule loads. Third, the evolutionary processes leading to successful invasion have been difficult to ascertain due to faint genetic signals. Here we explore the potential of novel tools associated with high-throughput sequencing （HTS） to address these still pressing issues. Dramatic increase in the number of loci accessible via HTS has the potential to radically increase the power of analyses aimed at species delineation, exploring the population genomic consequences of range expansions, and examining evolutionary processes such as admixture, introgression, and adaptation. Nevertheless, the value of this new wealth of genomic data will ultimately depend on the ability to couple it with expanded ＂traditional＂ efforts, including exhaustive sampling of marine populations over large geographic scales, integrated taxonomic analyses, and population level exploration of quantitative trait differentiation through common-garden and other laboratory experiments.

关键词： biological invasions cryptic species cryptogenic species eco-evolutionary processes genornics metabarcoding