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Assessing the Performance of CMIP6 Models in Simulating Droughts across Global Drylands

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第2期41卷 193-208页

作者： Xiaojing YU Lixia ZHANG Tianjun ZHOU Jianghua ZHENG LASG Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters Nanjing University of Information Science&TechnologyNanjing 210044China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China College of Geography&remote sensing Sciences Xinjiang UniversityUrumqi 830046China

Both the attribution of historical change and future projections of droughts rely heavily on climate modeling. However,reasonable drought simulations have remained a challenge, and the related performances of the current state-of-the-art Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6(CMIP6) models remain unknown. Here, both the strengths and weaknesses of CMIP6 models in simulating droughts and corresponding hydrothermal conditions in drylands are *** the general patterns of simulated meteorological elements in drylands resemble the observations, the annual precipitation is overestimated by ~33%(with a model spread of 2.3%–77.2%), along with an underestimation of potential evapotranspiration(PET) by ~32%(17.5%–47.2%). The water deficit condition, measured by the difference between precipitation and PET, is 50%(29.1%–71.7%) weaker than observations. The CMIP6 models show weaknesses in capturing the climate mean drought characteristics in drylands, particularly with the occurrence and duration largely underestimated in the hyperarid Afro-Asian areas. Nonetheless, the drought-associated meteorological anomalies, including reduced precipitation, warmer temperatures, higher evaporative demand, and increased water deficit conditions, are reasonably reproduced. The simulated magnitude of precipitation(water deficit) associated with dryland droughts is overestimated by 28%(24%) compared to observations. The observed increasing trends in drought fractional area,occurrence, and corresponding meteorological anomalies during 1980–2014 are reasonably reproduced. Still, the increase in drought characteristics, associated precipitation and water deficit are obviously underestimated after the late 1990s,especially for mild and moderate droughts, indicative of a weaker response of dryland drought changes to global warming in CMIP6 models. Our results suggest that it is imperative to employ bias correction approaches in drought-related studies over drylands by using CMIP6 o

关键词： droughts hydrothermal conditions drylands CMIP6 model evaluation

A New Algorithm of Rain Type Classification for GPM Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar in Summer Tibetan Plateau

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第11期41卷 2093-2111页

作者： Yunfei FU Liu YANG Zhenhao WU Peng ZHANG Songyan GU Lin CHEN Sun NAN School of Earth and Space Sciences CMA-USTC Laboratory of Fengyun Remote SensingUniversity of Science and Technology of ChinaHefei 230026China Hubei Key Laboratory for Heavy Rain Monitoring and Warning Research Institute of Heavy RainChina Meteorological AdministrationWuhan 430205China National Satellite Meteorological Center China Meteorological AdministrationBeijing 100081China

In this study, a new rain type classification algorithm for the Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar(DPR) suitable over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) was proposed by analyzing Global Precipitation Measurement(GPM) DPR Level-2 data in summer from 2014 to 2020. It was found that the DPR rain type classification algorithm(simply called DPR algorithm) has mis-identification problems in two aspects in summer TP. In the new algorithm of rain type classification in summer TP,four rain types are classified by using new thresholds, such as the maximum reflectivity factor, the difference between the maximum reflectivity factor and the background maximum reflectivity factor, and the echo top height. In the threshold of the maximum reflectivity factors, 30 d BZ and 18 d BZ are both thresholds to separate strong convective precipitation, weak convective precipitation and weak precipitation. The results illustrate obvious differences of radar reflectivity factor and vertical velocity among the three rain types in summer TP, such as the reflectivity factor of most strong convective precipitation distributes from 15 d BZ to near 35 d BZ from 4 km to 13 km, and increases almost linearly with the decrease in height. For most weak convective precipitation, the reflectivity factor distributes from 15 d BZ to 28 d BZ with the height from 4 km to 9 km. For weak precipitation, the reflectivity factor mainly distributes in range of 15–25 d BZ with height within 4–10 km. It is also shows that weak precipitation is the dominant rain type in summer TP, accounting for 40%–80%,followed by weak convective precipitation(25%–40%), and strong convective precipitation has the least proportion(less than 30%).

关键词： satellite precipitation radar rain type classification method Tibetan Plateau strong convective precipitation

An empirical method for joint inversion of wave and wind parameters based on SAR and wave spectrometer data

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Acta Oceanologica Sinica 2024年第5期43卷 133-144页

作者： Yong Wan Xiaona Zhang Shuyan Lang Ennan Ma Yongshou Dai College of Oceanography and Space Informatics China University of PetroleumQingdao 266580China National Satellite Marine Application Center Beijing 100081China Key Laboratory of Space Ocean remote sensing and Application Ministry of Natural ResourcesBeijing 100081China College of Control Science and Engineering China University of PetroleumQingdao 266580China

Synthetic aperture radar(SAR)and wave spectrometers,crucial in microwave remote sensing,play an essential role in monitoring sea surface wind and wave ***,they face inherent limitations in observing sea surface *** systems,for instance,are hindered by an azimuth cut-off phenomenon in sea surface wind field *** spectrometers,while unaffected by the azimuth cutoff phenomenon,struggle with low azimuth resolution,impacting the capture of detailed wave and wind field *** study utilizes SAR and surface wave investigation and monitoring(SWIM)data to initially extract key feature parameters,which are then prioritized using the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)*** research further addresses feature collinearity through a combined analysis of feature importance and correlation,leading to the development of an inversion model for wave and wind parameters based on XGBoost.A comparative analysis of this model with ERA5 reanalysis and buoy data for of significant wave height,mean wave period,wind direction,and wind speed reveals root mean square errors of 0.212 m,0.525 s,27.446°,and 1.092 m/s,compared to 0.314 m,0.888 s,27.698°,and 1.315 m/s from buoy data,*** results demonstrate the model’s effective retrieval of wave and wind ***,the model,incorporating altimeter and scatterometer data,is evaluated against SAR/SWIM single and dual payload inversion methods across different wind *** comparison highlights the model’s superior inversion accuracy over other methods.

关键词： synthetic aperture radar(SAR) wave spectrometer extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost) joint inversion method wave and wind parameters

Magnetized magma intrusions being sources of a weak and a strong lunar magnetic anomaly revealed by 3D distribution of magnetization

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Earth and Planetary Physics 2024年第5期8卷 711-727页

作者： HongYi Wang Shuo Yao ZeLin Li Liang Hui Guo Jing Yang ChangLi Yao Yuan Fang ZhaoJin Rong School of Geophysics and Information Technology Research Center of Lunar and Planetary Remote Sensing Exploration China University of Geosciences (Beijing) Key Laboratory of Intraplate Volcanoes and Earthquakes (China University of Geosciences Beijing) Ministry of Education Hebei University of Engineering Key Laboratory of Earth and Planetary Physics Institute of Geology and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences

In this work, we aim to investigate the origin of the magnetic carriers in the lunar crust and the intensity of the ancient dynamo field. The magnetization and depth range of magnetic carriers are studied under a weak and a strong magnetic anomaly in Mare Tranquillitatis and in Oceanus Procellarum, respectively, where the surface ages are 3.6 and 3.3 billion years. A sophisticated threedimensional amplitude inversion software program from a geophysical survey is used to reconstruct the distributions of magnetization in the lunar crust. Because no globally measured surface magnetic field exists for the Moon, a crustal magnetic anomaly model with a grid resolution of 0.2° is used. The depth range of the magnetic source is fixed by the boundary identified by a relative criterion, which is 20%of the recovered maximum magnetization. The central burial depths of the magnetic carriers are approximately 15 km and 25 km under Reiner Gamma and Mare Tranquillitatis, respectively. The volumes of the two magnetic sources are at scales of 104 and 105 km3,respectively. The aforementioned differences may imply a hotter crust under Reiner Gamma than Mare Tranquillitatis by 3.3 billion *** results support the view that the magma intrusions magnetized by an ancient magnetic field could be the origin of magnetic anomalies under Reiner Gamma and Mare Tranquillitatis. Compared with previous works, the maximum magnetization of 3 A/m under Reiner Gamma supports the intensity of the field being several microteslas.

关键词： lunar magnetic anomaly 3D distribution of magnetization Reiner Gamma Mare Tranquillitatis

Comparison of bulk snow density measurements using different methods

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Advances in Climate Change Research 2024年第4期15卷 658-668页

作者： Hang SU Xin-Yue ZHONG Bin CAO Yuan-Tao HU Lei ZHENG Tingjun ZHANG State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science Wuhan UniversityWuhan 430072China Key Laboratory of remote sensing of Gansu Province Heihe Remote Sensing Experimental Research StationNorthwest Institute of Eco-Environment and ResourcesChinese Academy of SciencesLanzhou 730000China Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Environment and ResourcesNational Tibetan Plateau Data CenterInstitute of Tibetan Plateau ResearchChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100101China Climate Centre of Shaanxi Province Xi'an71000China School of Geospatial Engineering and Science Sun Yat-sen University and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)Zhuhai 519082China Key Laboratory of Westem China's Environmental Systems(Ministry of Education).College of Earth and Environmental Sciences Lanzhou Universiny Lanzhou 730000China

Snow density is one of the basic properties used to describe snow cover characteristics,and it is critical for remote sensing retrieval,water resources assessment and modeling *** are many instruments available to measure snow density in ***,there are mea-surement errors of snow density for bulk and layers or gravimetric and electronic instruments,which may affect the accuracy of remote sensing retrieval and model *** in China,due to the noticeable heterogeneity of snowpacks,it is necessary to evaluate in detail the performance and applicability of snow density instruments in different snowpack *** study evaluated the performance of different snow density instruments:the Federal Sampler,the model VS-43 snow density cylinder(VS-43),the wedge snow density cutter(WC1000 and WC25O),and the Snow *** average bulk snow density of all instrument measurements was set as the reference value for *** results showed that as compared with the reference,the VS-43 cylinder presented the best performance for bulk snow density measurement in the measured range with the lowest RMSE(11 kg m-3),BIAS(3 kg m-3),and MRE(1.6%).For layer observation,bulk snow density was overestimated by 8.1%with WC1000 and underestimated by 11.4%with Snow Fork which was the worst performance compared with the reference value,and there were greater measurement errors of snow density in the depth hoar than other snow *** with grassland,the uncertainty of snow density measurements was slightly lower in ***,the Federal Sampler and VS-43 cylinder are more suitable for bulk snow density measurement in deep snowpack regions across China,and it is recommended to use WC1000,WC250 and Snow Fork to measure the snow density of snow layers in the snow stratigraphy.

关键词： Snowdensity Measurement Uncertainty comparison

A long-term daily gridded snow depth dataset for the Northern Hemisphere from 1980 to 2019 based on machine learning

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Big Earth Data 2024年第2期8卷 274-301页

作者： Yanxing Hu Tao Che Liyun Dai Yu Zhu Lin Xiao Jie Deng Xin Li Key Laboratory of remote sensing of Gansu Province Heihe Remote Sensing Experimental Research StationNorthwest Institute of Eco-Environment and ResourcesChinese Academy of SciencesLanzhouChina College of Resources and Environment University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Resources and Environment(TPESRE)Institute of Tibetan Plateau ResearchChinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina Yunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security Institute of International Rivers and Eco-SecurityYunnan UniversityKunmingChina National Forestry and Grassland Administration Key Laboratory of Forest Resource Conservation and Ecological Safety on the Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River Sichuan Province Key Laboratory of Ecological Forestry Engineering on the Upper Reaches of the Yangtze RiverCollege of ForestrySichuan Agricultural UniversityChengduChina

A high-quality snow depth product is very import for cryospheric science and its related *** long time-series snow depth products covering the Northern Hemisphere can be divided into two categories:remote sensing snow depth products and reana-lysis snow depth ***,existing gridded snow depth products have some *** sensing-derived snow depth products are temporally and spatially discontinuous and tend to underestimate snow depth,while reanalysis snow depth products have coarse spatial resolutions and great *** overcome these problems,in our previous work we proposed a novel data fusion framework based on Random Forest Regression of snow products from Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System(AMSR-E),Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-2(AMSR2),Global Snow Monitoring for Climate Research(GlobSnow),the Northern Hemisphere Snow Depth(NHSD),ERA-Interim,and Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications,ver-sion 2(MERRA-2),incorporating geolocation(latitude and longitude),and topographic data(elevation),which were used as input indepen-dent *** than 30,000 ground observation sites were used as the dependent variable to train and validate the model in different time *** fusion framework resulted in a long time series of continuous daily snow depth product over the Northern Hemisphere with a spatial resolution of 0.25°.Here,we compared the fused snow depth and the original gridded snow depth products with 13,272 observation sites,showing an improved precision of our *** evaluation indices of the fused(best original)dataset yielded a coeffi-cient of determination R2 of 0.81(0.23),Root Mean Squared Error(RMSE)of 7.69(15.86)cm,and Mean Absolute Error(MAE)of 2.74(6.14)*** of the bias(88.31%)between the fused snow depth and in situ observations was in the range of−5 cm to 5 *** accuracy assessment of independent snow observation sites-Sodank

关键词： Snow depth datasets machine learning data fusion Northern Hemisphere

Mapping upland crop–rice cropping systems for targeted sustainable intensification in South China

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The Crop Journal 2024年第2期12卷 614-629页

作者： Bingwen Qiu Linhai Yu Peng Yang Wenbin Wu Jianfeng Chen Xiaolin Zhu Mingjie Duan Key Laboratory of Spatial Data Mining&Information Sharing of Ministry of Education Academy of Digital China(Fujian)Fuzhou UniversityFuzhou 350116FujianChina Key Laboratory of Agricultural remote sensing Ministry of Agriculture and Rural AffairsBeijing 100081China Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics The Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityKowloon 999077Hong KongChina

Upland crop-rice cropping systems(UCR)facilitate sustainable agricultural *** UCR cultivation mapping is needed to ensure food security,sustainable water management,and rural ***,datasets describing cropping systems are limited in spatial coverage and crop *** UCR is more challenging than crop identification and most existing approaches rely heavily on accurate phenology calendars and representative training samples,which limits its applications over large *** describe a novel algorithm(RRSS)for automatic mapping of upland crop-rice cropping systems using Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar(SAR)and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument(MSI)*** indicator,the VV backscatter range,was proposed to discriminate UCR and another two indicators were designed by coupling greenness and pigment indices to further discriminate tobacco or oilseed *** RRSS algorithm was applied to South China characterized by complex smallholder rice cropping systems and diverse topographic *** study developed 10-m UCR maps of a major rice bowl in South China,the Xiang-Gan-Min(XGM)*** performance of the RRSS algorithm was validated based on 5197 ground-truth reference sites,with an overall accuracy of 91.92%.There were7348 km^(2) areas of UCR,roughly one-half of them located in *** UCR was represented mainly by oilseed-UCR and tobacco-UCR,which contributed respectively 69%and 15%of UCR *** patterns accounted for only one-tenth of rice production,which can be tripled by intensification from single rice *** to complex and fragmented subtropical regions suggested the spatiotemporal robustness of the RRSS algorithm,which could be further applied to generate 10-m UCR datasets for application at national or global scales.

关键词： Cropping-pattern mapping Paddy rice Sentinel-1/2 China Sustainable intensification

Arctic Sea Ice Variations in the First Half of the 20th Century:A New Reconstruction Based on Hydrometeorological Data

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第8期41卷 1483-1495,1686-1693页

作者： Vladimir A.SEMENOV Tatiana A.ALDONINA Fei LI Noel Sebastian KEENLYSIDE Lin WANG A.M.Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS Moscow 119017Russia Institute of Geography RAS Moscow 119017Russia Geophysical Institute University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate ResearchBergen 5007Norway Nansen Environmental and remote sensing Center Bergen 5007Norway Center for Monsoon System Research Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China

The shrinking Arctic sea-ice area(SIA) in recent decades is a striking manifestation of the ongoing climate *** of the Arctic sea ice have been continuously observed by satellites since 1979, relatively well monitored since the 1950s, but are highly uncertain in the earlier period due to a lack of observations. Several reconstructions of the historical gridded sea-ice concentration(SIC) data were recently presented based on synthesized regional sea-ice observations or by applying a hybrid model–empirical approach. Here, we present an SIC reconstruction for the period1901–2019 based on established co-variability between SIC and surface air temperature, sea surface temperature, and sea level pressure patterns. The reconstructed sea-ice data for March and September are compared to the frequently used Had ISST1.1 and SIBT1850 datasets. Our reconstruction shows a large decrease in SIA from the 1920 to 1940 concurrent with the Early 20th Century Warming event in the Arctic. Such a negative SIA anomaly is absent in Had ISST1.1 data. The amplitude of the SIA anomaly reaches about 0.8 mln km^(2) in March and 1.5 mln km^(2) in September. The anomaly is about three times stronger than that in the SIBT1850 dataset. The larger decrease in SIA in September is largely due to the stronger SIC reduction in the western sector of the Arctic Ocean in the 70°–80°N latitudinal zone. Our reconstruction provides gridded monthly data that can be used as boundary conditions for atmospheric reanalyses and model experiments to study the Arctic climate for the first half of the 20th century.

关键词： Arctic sea ice Arctic climate early 20th century warming climate variability

Monitoring absolute vertical land motions and absolute sea-level changes from GPS and tide gauges data over French Polynesia

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Geodesy and Geodynamics 2024年第1期15卷 13-26页

作者： Xianjie Li Jean-Pierre Barriot Bernard Ducarme Marania Hopuare Yidong Lou Geodesy Observatory of Tahiti University of French PolynesiaFaa'a 98702French Polynesia Catholic University of Louvain Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research(ELI)1348 Louvain-la-NeuveBelgium GNSS Research Center Wuhan UniversityWuhan 430079China State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying Mapping and Remote SensingWuhan UniversityWuhan 430079China

In this study,we estimate the absolute vertical land motions at three tidal stations with collocated Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)receivers over French Polynesia during the period 2007-2020,and obtain,as ancillary results,estimates of the absolute changes in sea level at the same *** verify our processing approach to determining vertical motion,we first modeled vertical motion at the International GNSS Service(IGS)THTI station located in the capital island of Tahiti and compared our estimate with previous independent determinations,with a good *** obtained the following estimates for the vertical land motions at the tide gauges:Tubuai island,Austral Archipelago-0.92±0.17 mm/yr,Vairao village,Tahiti Iti:-0.49±0.39 mm/yr,Rikitea,Gambier Archipelago-0.43±0.17 mm/*** absolute variations of the sea level are:Tubuai island,Austral Archipelago 5.25±0.60 mm/yr,Vairao village,Tahiti Iti:3.62±0.52 mm/yr,Rikitea,Gambier Archipelago 1.52±0.23 mm/*** discuss these absolute values in light of the values obtained from altimetric measurements and other means in French Polynesia.

关键词： GPS Tide gauges Sea level changes Vertical land motion