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The Influence of Airflow Transport Pathways on Precipitation during the Rainy Season in the Liupan Mountains of Northwest China

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第11期41卷 2215-2229页

作者： Yujun QIU Chunsong LU Zhiliang SHU Peiyun DENG Key Laboratory of Aerosol-Cloud-Precipitation of China Meteorological administration Nanjing University of Information Science&TechnologyNanjing 210044China Key Laboratory for Meteorological Disaster Monitoring and Early Warning and risk management of Characteristic Agriculture in Arid Regions China Meteorological AdministrationYinchuan 750002China Ningxia Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Reduction Yinchuan 750002China

This study investigates the influence of airflow transport pathways on seasonal rainfall in the mountainous region of the Liupan Mountains(LM) during the rainy seasons from 2020 to 2022, utilizing observational data from seven ground gradient stations located on the eastern slopes, western slopes, and mountaintops combined with backward trajectory cluster analysis. The results indicate 1) that the LM's rainy season, characterized by overcast and rainy days, is mainly influenced by cold and moist airflows(CMAs) from the westerly direction and warm and moist airflows(WMAs) from a slightly southern direction. The precipitation amounts under four airflow transport paths are ranked from largest to smallest as follows: WMAs, CMAs, warm dry airflows(WDAs), and cold dry airflows(CDAs). 2) WMAs contribute significantly more to the intensity of regional precipitation than the other three types of airflows. During localized precipitation events,warm airflows have higher precipitation intensities at night than cold airflows, while the opposite is true during the afternoon. 3) During regional precipitation events, water vapor content is the primary influencing factor. Precipitation characteristics under humid airflows are mainly affected by high water vapor content, whereas during dry airflow precipitation, dynamic and thermodynamic factors have a more pronounced impact. 4) During localized precipitation events, the influence of dynamic and thermodynamic factors is more complex than during regional precipitation, with the precipitation characteristics of the four airflows closely related to their water vapor content, air temperature and humidity attributes, and orographic lifting. 5) Compared to regional precipitation, the influence of topography is more prominent in localized precipitation processes.

关键词： regional precipitation localized precipitation airflow transport water vapor flux instability energy topographic influence

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Seismic risk Model for the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region, China:Considering Epistemic Uncertainty from the Seismic Hazard Models

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International Journal of Disaster risk Science 2024年第3期15卷 434-452页

作者： Jian Ma Katsuichiro Goda Kai Liu Silva Vitor Anirudh Rao Ming Wang Key Laboratory of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration Institute of Engineering MechanicsChina Earthquake Administration Key Laboratory of Earthquake Disaster Mitigation Ministry of Emergency Management School of National safety and Emergency management Beijing Normal University Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Urban Disasters Digital Twin Department of Earth Sciences Western University Global Earthquake Model Foundation

This study presents a probabilistic seismic risk model for the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region in China. The model comprises a township-level residential building exposure model, a vulnerability model derived from the Chinese building taxonomy,and a regional probabilistic seismic hazard model. The three components are integrated by a stochastic event-based method of the OpenQuake engine to assess the regional seismic risk in terms of average annual loss and exceedance probability curve at the city, province, and regional levels. The novelty and uniqueness of this study are that a probabilistic seismic risk model for the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region in China is developed by considering the impact of site conditions and epistemic uncertainty from the seismic hazard model.

关键词： Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region Epistemic uncertainty Seismic risk assessment Seismic risk model

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Characteristics of life-cycle carbon dioxide emissions of arterial highway maintenance and the influencing factors

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Advances in Climate Change Research 2024年第4期15卷 751-765页

作者： Yao WANG Yuan-Qing WANG Shu-Juan JI Si-Jia SUN Shu-Hong MA Ya-Nan GAO Key Laboratory of Transport Industry of management Control and Cycle Repair Technology for Traffic Network Facilities in Ecological Security Barrier Area Chang'an UniversityXi'an 710064China Guangzhou Aids to Navigation Office Southem Navigation Service CenterMaritime Safety AdministrationGuangzhou 51000China

With the focus of highway development transitioning from construction to maintenance,a comprehensive understanding of the characteristics and influencing factors of carbon dioxide(CO_(2))emissions from highway maintenance activities is crucial for formulating effective strategies to promote the low-carbon development of road ***,the quantitative relationships between CO_(2) emissions from highway maintenance schemes and factors such as pavement deterioration,traffic volume,and road grade remain unclear owing to a lack of compre-hensive,multi-category,and real *** real maintenance data from 340 arterial highway segments in China,this study conducts the life cycle assessment(LCA)to estimate CO_(2) emissions from maintenance activities and examines the primary emission sources among various structural layers and ***,multiple linear regression(MLR)analysis is conducted to investigate the impact of traffic volume,road grade,and pavement deterioration on CO_(2) emissions from maintenance projects,and factors influencing the early-stage degradation of pavement *** results demonstrate that average CO_(2) emissions from heavy rehabilitation projects are 6.97 times higher than those from medium rehabilitation *** from heavy rehabilitation projects exhibit a significantly negative linear relationship with the riding quality index(RQI)before maintenance(p<0.05),and emissions from medium rehabilitation projects show a significant negative linear relationship with the pavement condition index(PCI)before maintenance(p<0.05).Emissions from heavy and medium rehabilitation projects are significantly positively correlated with heavy vehicle traffic volume before maintenance(p<0.05).Moreover,the early-stage degradation of PCI after heavy rehabilitation and RQI after medium rehabilitation exhibit significantly negative linear relationships with their respective in-dicators before maintenance(p<0.05).The early-stage d

关键词： Life cycle assessment(LCA) Arterial highway Maintenance Emission factor Pavement performance Traffic volume

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Dominant woody plant species recognition with a hierarchical model based on multimodal geospatial data for subtropical forests

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Journal of Forestry Research 2024年第3期35卷 111-130页

作者： Xin Chen Yujun Sun State Forestry&Grassland administration Key Laboratory of Forest Resources&Environmental management Beijing Forestry UniversityBeijing 100083People's Republic of China

Since the launch of the Google Earth Engine(GEE)cloud platform in 2010,it has been widely used,leading to a wealth of valuable ***,the potential of GEE for forest resource management has not been fully *** extract dominant woody plant species,GEE combined Sen-tinel-1(S1)and Sentinel-2(S2)data with the addition of the National Forest Resources Inventory(NFRI)and topographic data,resulting in a 10 m resolution multimodal geospatial dataset for subtropical forests in southeast *** and texture features,red-edge bands,and vegetation indices of S1 and S2 data were computed.A hierarchical model obtained information on forest distribution and area and the dominant woody plant *** results suggest that combining data sources from the S1 winter and S2 yearly ranges enhances accuracy in forest distribution and area extraction compared to using either data source ***,for dominant woody species recognition,using S1 winter and S2 data across all four seasons was *** terrain factors and removing spatial correlation from NFRI sample points further improved the recognition *** optimal forest extraction achieved an overall accuracy(OA)of 97.4%and a maplevel image classification efficacy(MICE)of 96.7%.OA and MICE were 83.6%and 80.7%for dominant species extraction,*** high accuracy and efficacy values indicate that the hierarchical recognition model based on multimodal remote sensing data performed extremely well for extracting information about dominant woody plant *** the results using the GEE application allows for an intuitive display of forest and species distribution,offering significant convenience for forest resource monitoring.

关键词： Google Earth Engine Sentinel Forest resource inventory data Dominant woody plant species Subtropics Model performance

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Numerical Sensitivity Studies on Effects of Ice Nucleating Processes on Electrification in Thunderstorms

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Journal of Tropical Meteorology 2024年第2期30卷 149-167页

作者：师正曲凯悦李璐滢管啸林孙京崔雪东胡佳瑞吴子珉 School of Emergency management Nanjing University of Information Science and TechnologyNanjing 210044 China Hubei Key Laboratory for Heavy Rain Monitoring and Warning Research Institute of Heavy RainChina Meteorological AdministrationWuhan 430205 China Zhejiang Meteorological safety Technology Center Hangzhou 310008 China

This study employed numerical simulations to explore the impact of varying ice nucleation processes on the microphysics and electrification within thunderstorm clouds.A two-dimensional cumulus model,incorporating both noninductive and inductive charge separation schemes,was *** findings revealed that the freezing nucleation mechanism significantly influenced the microphysical development,electrification,and charge structure of *** freezing generated a large quantity of small ice crystals near the cloud tops,which were primarily responsible for the development of positive charge regions through a non-inductive charging ***,heterogeneous freezing resulted in larger ice crystals,enhancing graupel formation and leading to a more rapid and intense charge separation rate of around-15°*** crystals formed heterogeneously and charged negatively during the development stage,resulting in an inverted dipole charge *** both immersion and homogeneous freezing processes were considered,the competition between these two distinct freezing processes resulted in reduced cloud water content and weaker *** conditions of low cloud water content at lower storm levels,graupel particles were negatively charged through non-inductive charging,causing the charge structure to quickly revert to a normal dipole structure.

关键词： homogeneous freezing heterogeneous freezing immersion freezing non-inductive charging charge structure

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Stock Markets,Financial Depth,and Economic Growth in China:Evidence from ARDLModel

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China Finance and Economic Review 2024年第1期13卷 88-111页

作者： Afef Bouattour Maha Kalai Kamel Helali Higher Institute of Business administration of Sfax University of Sfax Faculty of Economics and management of Sfax University of Sfax

The relationship between financial development and economic growth in China is *** this perspective,this article aims to identify this relationship using both capital market and banking intermediation indicators,which were rarely considered in the previous *** autoregressive model with staggered lags(ARDL)examines the long-run cointegration relationship between 1980 and *** results suggest that the contribution of different subsectors of the Chinese financial system to economic growth *** development of the money market has a negative impact,whereas market capitalization has a positive impact on economic growth in *** the contribution of the banking system to China's economic growth,the two variables measuring the depth of financial institutions showed opposite impacts in both the short and long *** important policy implications,regulators need to ensure a pro-growth environment,effectively regulate the informal banking system,and prevent potential financial risks by revising policies.

关键词： stock markets financial depth economic growth China ARDL

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Predicting Hurricane Evacuation Decisions with Interpretable Machine Learning Methods

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International Journal of Disaster risk Science 2024年第1期15卷 134-148页

作者： Yuran Sun Shih‑Kai Huang Xilei Zhao Department of Civil and Coastal Engineering University of FloridaGainesvilleFL 32611USA Department of Emergency management and Public administration Jacksonville State UniversityJacksonvilleAL 36265USA

Facing the escalating effects of climate change,it is critical to improve the prediction and understanding of the hurricane evacuation decisions made by households in order to enhance emergency *** studies in this area often have relied on psychology-driven linear models,which frequently exhibited limitations in *** present study proposed a novel interpretable machine learning approach to predict household-level evacuation decisions by leveraging easily accessible demographic and resource-related predictors,compared to existing models that mainly rely on psychological *** enhanced logistic regression model(that is,an interpretable machine learning approach) was developed for accurate predictions by automatically accounting for nonlinearities and interactions(that is,univariate and bivariate threshold effects).Specifically,nonlinearity and interaction detection were enabled by low-depth decision trees,which offer transparent model structure and robustness.A survey dataset collected in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita,two of the most intense tropical storms of the last two decades,was employed to test the new *** findings show that,when predicting the households’ evacuation decisions,the enhanced logistic regression model outperformed previous linear models in terms of both model fit and predictive *** outcome suggests that our proposed methodology could provide a new tool and framework for emergency management authorities to improve the prediction of evacuation traffic demands in a timely and accurate manner.

关键词： Artifcial Intelligence(AI) Decision-making modeling Hurricane evacuation Interpretable machine learning Nonlinearity and interaction detection

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A risk assessment method considering risk attributes and work safety informational needs and its application

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Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering 2024年第4期68卷 253-262页

作者： Cong Luo Yunsheng Zhao Ke Xu School of Political Science and Public administration Shandong UniversityQingdao 266200China Faculty of Engineering China University of GeosciencesWuhan 430074China Department of Emergency management of Hubei Province Wuhan 430064China

The technological revolution has spawned a new generation of industrial systems,but it has also put forward higher requirements for safety management accuracy,timeliness,and *** assessment needs to evolve to address the existing and future challenges by considering the new demands and advancements in safety *** study aims to propose a systematic and comprehensive risk assessment method to meet the needs of process system safety *** methodology first incorporates possibility,severity,and dynamicity(PSD)to structure the“51X”evaluation indicator system,including the inherent,management,and disturbance risk ***,the four-tier(risk point-unit-enterprise-region)risk assessment(RA)mathematical model has been established to consider supervision *** in conclusion,the application of the PSD-RA method in ammonia refrigeration workshop cases and safety risk monitoring systems is presented to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed PSD-RA method in safety *** findings show that the PSD-RA method can be well integrated with the needs of safety work informatization,which is also helpful for implementing the enterprise's safety work responsibility and the government's safety supervision responsibility.

关键词： risk assessment Safey “51X”evaluation indicator system Four-tier risk assessment model risk attributes Process system

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Seismic performance evaluation of water supply pipes installed in a full-scale RC frame structure based on a shaking table test

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Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration 2024年第1期23卷 163-178页

作者： Wu Houli Guo Endong Wang Jingyi Dai Xin Dai Chenxi Key Laboratory of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration Institute of Engineering MechanicsChina Earthquake AdministrationHarbin 150080China Key Laboratory of Earthquake Disaster Mitigation Ministry of Emergency ManagementHarbin 150080China

As an important part of nonstructural components,the seismic response of indoor water supply pipes deserves much *** paper presents shaking table test research on water supply pipes installed in a full-scale reinforced concrete(RC)frame *** material pipes and different methods for penetrating the reinforced concrete floors are combined to evaluate the difference in seismic *** response spectra and pipe acceleration amplification factors based on test data are discussed and compared with code provisions.A seismic fragility study of displacement demand is conducted based on numerical *** acceleration response and displacement response of different combinations are *** results show that the combination of different pipe materials and different passing-through methods can cause obvious differences in the seismic response of indoor riser pipes.

关键词： water supply pipe different materials shaking table test amplification factor seismic fragility

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Exploring the characteristics of microbial community and enzyme activity in the aged refuse landfill environment of Taiyuan, China

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Pedosphere 2024年第5期34卷 879-891页

作者： Fen HOU Junjie DU Yuzhou MENG Xihui WU Department of Land Resource management School of Public Administration Shanxi University of Finance and Economics College of Life Science Shanxi Engineering Research Center of Microbial Application Technologies Shanxi Normal University

Municipal solid waste landfill is the main disposal option for domestic garbage, in which microbial activities play an important role. However, despite the widespread practice of landfilling, the metagenomic microbial profiles of landfill sites remain poorly characterized. In this study, we used a combination of physicochemical analysis, ultraviolet-visible spectrophotometry, and high-throughput Illumina shotgun sequencing to systematically investigate the changes in soil enzyme activities, microbial community structure, and functional attributes in aged refuse collected from the Xingou Municipal Solid Waste Landfill in Taiyuan, China, with ordinary topsoil from an area within 5 km of the landfill as control soil. Except for neutral phosphatase (P=0.065), the activities of urease, laccase, dehydrogenase, sucrase, neutral protease, and β-glucosidase were all significantly reduced (P <0.05) in the aged refuse compared with the control soil. Contrastingly, catalase activity was found to be significantly elevated in the aged refuse. Compared with the control soil, aged refuse was characterized by higher richness and diversity of microbial communities, as reflected by the higher values of community richness estimators (Chao 1 and ACE) and diversity indices (Shannon and Simpson). In total, 186 phyla, 4 354 genera, and 34 459 species were identified, with 132 phyla, 1 914 genera, and7 369 species showing significantly different abundances between the aged refuse and the control soil. Actinobacteria and Acidobacteria were identified as the dominant phyla in the control soil, whereas Proteobacteria, Euryarchaeota (archaea), and Firmicutes were found to predominate in the aged ***, Euryarchaeota and Methanoculleus were the major taxa detected in the aged refuse, but were almost completely absent in the control soil. Xenobiotic biodegradation and bacterial chemotaxis were the main functions of the microflora in the aged refuse, whereas the carbohydrate, amino acid,

关键词： functional attribute metabolism pathway municipal solid waste landfill resource utilization soil microflora

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