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Uncertainties of ENSO-related Regional Hadley Circulation Anomalies within Eight Reanalysis Datasets

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第1期41卷 115-140页

作者： Yadi LI Xichen LI Juan FENG Yi ZHOU Wenzhu WANG Yurong HOU International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences(icces) Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 101408China College of Global Change and Earth System Science(GCESS) Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China

El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),the leading mode of global interannual variability,usually intensifies the Hadley Circulation(HC),and meanwhile constrains its meridional extension,leading to an equatorward movement of the jet system.Previous studies have investigated the response of HC to ENSO events using different reanalysis datasets and evaluated their capability in capturing the main features of ENSO-associated HC anomalies.However,these studies mainly focused on the global HC,represented by a zonal-mean mass stream function(MSF).Comparatively fewer studies have evaluated HC responses from a regional perspective,partly due to the prerequisite of the Stokes MSF,which prevents us from integrating a regional HC.In this study,we adopt a recently developed technique to construct the three-dimensional structure of HC and evaluate the capability of eight state-of-the-art reanalyses in reproducing the regional HC response to ENSO events.Results show that all eight reanalyses reproduce the spatial structure of HC responses well,with an intensified HC around the central-eastern Pacific but weakened circulations around the Indo-Pacific warm pool and tropical Atlantic.The spatial correlation coefficient of the three-dimensional HC anomalies among the different datasets is always larger than 0.93.However,these datasets may not capture the amplitudes of the HC responses well.This uncertainty is especially large for ENSO-associated equatorially asymmetric HC anomalies,with the maximum amplitude in Climate Forecast System Reanalysis(CFSR)being about 2.7 times the minimum value in the Twentieth Century Reanalysis(20CR).One should be careful when using reanalysis data to evaluate the intensity of ENSO-associated HC anomalies.

关键词： regional Hadley circulation ENSO atmosphere-ocean interaction reanalysis data

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The Impact of the Numbers of Monitoring Stations on the National and Regional Air Quality Assessment in China During 2013-18

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2022年第10期39卷 1709-1720页

作者： Hongyan LUO Xiao TANG Huangjian WU Lei KONG Qian WU Kai CAO Yating SONG Xuechun LUO Yao WANG Jiang ZHU Zifa WANG lapc&icces Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China Center for Excellence in Regional Atmospheric Environment Institute of Urban EnvironmentChinese Academy of SciencesXiamen 361021China

China national air quality monitoring network has become the core data source for air quality assessment and management in China.However,during network construction,the significant change in numbers of monitoring sites with time is easily ignored,which brings uncertainty to air quality assessments.This study aims to analyze the impact of change in numbers of stations on national and regional air quality assessments in China during 2013-18.The results indicate that the change in numbers of stations has different impacts on fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5))and ozone concentration assessments.The increasing number of sites makes the estimated national and regional PM_(2.5) concentration slightly lower by 0.6−2.2μg m^(−3) and 1.4−6.0μg m^(−3) respectively from 2013 to 2018.The main reason is that over time,the monitoring network expands from the urban centers to the suburban areas with low population densities and pollutant emissions.For ozone,the increasing number of stations affects the long-term trends of the estimated concentration,especially the national trends,which changed from a slight upward trend to a downward trend in 2014−15.Besides,the impact of the increasing number of sites on ozone assessment exhibits a seasonal difference at the 0.05 significance level in that the added sites make the estimated concentration higher in winter and lower in summer.These results suggest that the change in numbers of monitoring sites is an important uncertainty factor in national and regional air quality assessments,that needs to be considered in long-term concentration assessment,trend analysis,and trend driving force analysis.

关键词： monitoring network newly added sites PM_(2.5) ozone

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Investigating the Changes in Air Pollutant Emissions over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region in February from 2014 to 2019 through an Inverse Emission Method

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2023年第4期40卷 601-618页

作者： Xuechun LUO Xiao TANG Haoyue WANG Lei KONG Huangjian WU Weiguo WANG Yating SONG Hongyan LUO Yao WANG Jiang ZHU Zifa WANG School of Earth Sciences Yunnan UniversityKunming 650500China lapc&icces Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China Center for Excellence in Regional Atmospheric Environment Institute of Urban EnvironmentChinese Academy of SciencesXiamen 361021China

In recent years,China has implemented several measures to improve air quality.The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH)region is one area that has suffered from the most serious air pollution in China and has undergone huge changes in air quality in the past few years.How to scientifically assess these change processes remain the key issue in further improving the air quality over this region in the future.To evaluate the changes in major air pollutant emissions over this region,this paper employs ensemble Kalman filtering(EnKF)for integrating the national ground monitoring pollutant observation data and the Nested Air Quality Prediction Modeling System(NAQPMS)simulation data to inversely estimate the emission rates of SO_(2),NOX,CO,and primary PM_(2.5)over BTH region in February from 2014 to 2019.The results show that SO_(2),NOX,CO,and primary PM_(2.5)emissions in the BTH region decreased in February from 2014 to 2019 by 83%,37%,41%,and 42%,while decreases in Beijing during this period were 86%,67%,59%,and 65%,respectively.Compared with the prior emission inventory,the inversion emission inventory reduces the uncertainty of multi-pollutant simulation in the BTH region,with simulated root mean square errors of the monthly average concentrations of SO_(2),NOX,PM_(2.5),and CO reduced by 41%,30%,31%,and 22%,respectively.The average uncertainties of SO_(2),NOX,PM_(2.5),and CO inversion emissions in2014-19 are±14.03%yr^(-1),±28.91%yr^(-1),±126.15%yr^(-1),and±43.58%yr^(-1).Compared with the uncertainty of MEIC emission,the uncertainties of all species changed by+2%yr^(-1),-2%yr^(-1),-26%yr^(-1),and-4%yr^(-1),respectively.The spatial distribution results illustrate that air pollutant emissions are mainly distributed over the eastern and southern BTH regions.The spatial gap between the inversion emissions and MEIC emissions was further closed in 2019 compared to 2014.The results of this paper can provide a new reference for assessing changes in air pollution emissions over the BTH region in recent years and validating a bottom-up e

关键词： emission inversion emission trend air pollutants Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei

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Will the Globe Encounter the Warmest Winter after the Hottest Summer in 2023?

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第4期41卷 581-586页

作者： Fei ZHENG Shuai HU Jiehua MA Lin WANG Kexin LI Bo WU Qing BAO Jingbei PENG Chaofan LI Haifeng ZONG Yao YAO Baoqiang TIAN Hong CHEN Xianmei LANG Fangxing FAN Xiao DONG Yanling ZHAN Tao ZHU Tianjun ZHOU Jiang ZHU International Center for Climate and Environment Science(icces) Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics(LASG) Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre(NZC) Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China Center for Monsoon System Research(CMSR) Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China CAS Key Lab of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia(RCE-TEA) Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China

In the boreal summer and autumn of 2023,the globe experienced an extremely hot period across both oceans and continents.The consecutive record-breaking mean surface temperature has caused many to speculate upon how the global temperature will evolve in the coming 2023/24 boreal winter.In this report,as shown in the multi-model ensemble mean(MME)prediction released by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics at the Chinese Academy of Sciences,a medium-to-strong eastern Pacific El Niño event will reach its mature phase in the following 2−3 months,which tends to excite an anomalous anticyclone over the western North Pacific and the Pacific-North American teleconnection,thus serving to modulate the winter climate in East Asia and North America.Despite some uncertainty due to unpredictable internal atmospheric variability,the global mean surface temperature(GMST)in the 2023/24 winter will likely be the warmest in recorded history as a consequence of both the El Niño event and the long-term global warming trend.Specifically,the middle and low latitudes of Eurasia are expected to experience an anomalously warm winter,and the surface air temperature anomaly in China will likely exceed 2.4 standard deviations above climatology and subsequently be recorded as the warmest winter since 1991.Moreover,the necessary early warnings are still reliable in the timely updated mediumterm numerical weather forecasts and sub-seasonal-to-seasonal prediction.

关键词： winter climate El Niño seasonal forecast GMST

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西太平洋暖池海洋热浪在2020~2022三年拉尼娜事件爆发背景下的演变特征、爆发机制及其影响研究

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大气科学 2024年第1期48卷 376-390页

作者：郑飞张小娟曹庭伟中国科学院大气物理研究所国际气候与环境研究中心(icces) 北京100029 甘肃省水利水电勘测设计研究院有限责任公司兰州730000 中国科学院大学北京100049

在全球变暖的影响下,持续增长的海洋热浪事件(marine heat waves,MHW)对气候系统和社会经济产生了严重影响,其中西太平洋暖池区域是MHW特征显著变化的典型区域。本文基于已建立的MHW高分辨率数据、美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)提供的大... 详细信息

在全球变暖的影响下,持续增长的海洋热浪事件(marine heat waves,MHW)对气候系统和社会经济产生了严重影响,其中西太平洋暖池区域是MHW特征显著变化的典型区域。本文基于已建立的MHW高分辨率数据、美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)提供的大气海洋再分析资料、美国宇航局(NASA)Aqua卫星和生物地球化学Argo浮标提供的叶绿素-a浓度资料,利用统计分析和奇异值分解(SVD)等方法,探讨了2020~2022年西太平洋暖池MHW的演变特征、爆发机制及其生态影响。结果表明,西太平洋暖池MHW的爆发频率和强度等在近30年显著增加,其特征属性的变化与连续La Ni?a事件的爆发密切相关。尤其在2020~2022年连续三年La Ni?a事件背景下,西太平洋暖池区MHW爆发频次达到全球最高,且其覆盖面积、爆发频次、总天数、累积强度均是1982年以来最显著的。通过对西太平洋暖池区域混合层热收支的分析,2020~2022年期间MHW爆发主要是净海表热通量中的向下短波辐射项和海洋动力过程中的纬向平流项共同主导。此外,研究也揭示了在西太平洋暖池区域,MHW与海洋生态指标叶绿素-a浓度时空尺度上呈现负相关协同变化的特征,尤其是2020~2022年的MHW事件使该区域海洋上层浮游生物量整体呈显著下降趋势。

关键词：海洋热浪三年拉尼娜西太平洋暖池爆发机制海洋生态影响

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Variability of turbulence dispersion characteristics during heavy haze process: A case study in Beijing

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Journal of Environmental Sciences 2023年第2期124卷 440-450页

作者： Lei Liu Yu Shi Zhe Zhang Fei Hu lapc Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China

The turbulent standard deviations and the turbulent third-order and fourth-order moments are the key turbulence dispersion parameters in Lagrangian dispersion models.However,the characteristics of these parameters under heavy haze conditions in urban areas have not been fully investigated,and the commonly used similarity relations of these parameters in modelswere based on observations in highly flat and sparsely populated areas.In this paper,the vertical profiles of these parameters and their local similarity relations under heavy haze conditions in the wintertime of Beijing have been analyzed by using data collected at a 325-m meteorological tower.The heavy haze process has been divided into three stages:transport stage(TS),cumulative stage(CS),and dispersion stage(DS).Results show that the turbulent dispersion parameters behave differently during three stages.In the TS and DS,the maxima appear in the profiles of the turbulent standard deviations above the urban canopy;in the CS,the turbulent standard deviation are almost constant with height.The analysis of the third and fourth order moments shows that the wind velocities above the urban canopy in the TS deviate from the Gaussian distribution more significantly than those in the CS and DS.The local similarity relations of the turbulent dispersion parameters in the TS,especially for the longitudinal wind components,are normally different from those in the CS and DS.Thus,different from the common assumptions in Lagrangian models,the turbulence dispersion in horizontal directions is anisotropic and should be parameterized by multiple similarity relations under heavy haze conditions.

关键词： Heavy haze Turbulence dispersion Local similarity Lagrangian model

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Variations and drivers of aerosol vertical characterization after clean air policy in China based on 7-years consecutive observations

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Journal of Environmental Sciences 2023年第3期125卷 499-512页

作者： Xi Chen Ting Yang Haibo Wang Futing Wang Zifa Wang State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry(lapc) Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China

Understanding the aerosol vertical characterization is of great importance to both climate and atmospheric environment. This study investigated the variations of aerosol profiles over eight regions of interest in China after clean air policy(2013-2019) and discussed the drivers of the vertical aerosol structure, using observations from active satellite measurements(CALIPSO). From the annual variation, the amplitude of extinction coefficient profiles showed a decreasing trend with fluctuations, and the maximum was 0.21 km-1in BeijingTianjin-Hebei(JJJ). For regions suffered from air pollution, the variation was greatest below 0.45 km, while it was between 1-1.5 km for Sichuan Basin. The correlation coefficient between the relative humidity(RH) and the extinction coefficient indicated that the increase of RH inhibited the decrease of the extinction coefficient in the Yangtze River Delta. In most regions, the main aerosol subtypes were polluted dust and polluted continental, but they were coarser in JJJ and North West. The frequency of concurrency of dust and polluted dust aerosols decreased in JJJ, but polluted continental aerosols occurred more frequently. Further, the aerosol extinction coefficient profiles under different pollution conditions showed that it changed most during heavy pollution periods in JJJ, especially in 2017, with a significant aerosol loading between700 and 1200 m. The atmospheric reanalysis data revealed that the weak convergence at low level and the divergence at high level supported the upward transport of aerosols in 2017. Overall, the differences in divergence allocation, RH, and wind filed were the main meteorological drivers.

关键词： Aerosol Vertical characteristic China CALIPSO Pollution period

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A Dataset of Global Ocean Surface Currents for 1999-2007 Derived from Argo Float Trajectories: A Comparison with Surface Drifter and TAO Measurements

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Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters 2009年第2期2卷 97-102页

作者： XIE Jiping ZHU Jiang icces Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China lapc Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China

A dataset of surface current vectors with error estimate from 1999 to 2007 is derived from the trajectories of the Array for Real-time Geostrophic Oceanography (Argo) drifting on surface over the global ocean. The error of the estimated surface currents is about 4.7 cm s-1 which is equivalent to the accuracy of the currents determined from the surface drifters. Geographically, the Argo-derived surface currents can fill many gaps left by the Global Drifter Program due to the greater number of floats, and can provide a complementary in situ observational system for monitoring global ocean surface currents. The surface currents from the Argo floats are compared with the surface drifter-derived currents and the Tropical Atmosphere Ocean program (TAO) measurements. The comparisons show good agreement for both the current amplitude and the direction of surface currents. Results indicate the feasibility of obtaining ocean surface currents from the Argo array and of combining the surface currents from Argo and the ocean surface drifters for in situ mapping of the global surface currents. The authors also make the dataset available to users of interest for many types of applications.

关键词： Argo浮标 DataSet 表面电流全球海洋测量浮法误差估计电流矢量

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Analysis of Nonstationary Wind Fluctuations Using the Hilbert-Huang Transform

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Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters 2014年第5期7卷 428-433页

作者： XU Jing-Jing HU Fei International Center for Climate and Environment Science (icces) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Science State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry (lapc) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences

Climatological patterns in wind fluctuations on time scales of 1–10 h are analyzed at a meteorological mast at the Yangmeishan wind farm, Yunnan Province,China, using a 2-yr time series of 10-min wind speed observations. For analyzing the spectral properties of nonstationary wind fluctuations in mountain terrain, the Hilbert-Huang transform(HHT) is applied to investigate climatological patterns between wind variability and several variables including time of year, time of day, wind direction, and pressure tendency. Compared with that for offshore sites, the wind variability at Yangmeishan wind farm has a more distinct diurnal cycle, but the seasonal discrepancies and the differences according to directions are not distinct, and the synoptic influences on wind variability are weaker. There is enhanced variability in spring and winter compared with summer and autumn. For flow from the main direction sector, the maximum wind variability is observed in spring. And the severe wind fluctuations are more common when the pressure tendency is rising.

关键词：非平稳波动希尔伯特黄变时间尺度最大风速气候模式观测资料

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Multifractal Characteristics of Intermittent Turbulence in the Urban Canopy Layer

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Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters 2015年第2期8卷 72-77页

The multifractality of energy and thermal dissipation of fully developed intermittent turbulence is investigated in the urban canopy layer under unstable conditions by the singularity spectrum for the fractal dimensions of sets of singularities characterizing multifractals. In order to obtain high-order moment properties of smallscale turbulent dissipation in the inertial range, an ultrasonic anemometer with a high sampling frequency of 100 Hz was used. The authors found that the turbulent signal could be singular everywhere. Moreover, the singular exponents of energy and thermal dissipation rates are most frequently encountered at around 0.2, which is significantly smaller than the singular exponents for a wind tunnel at a moderate Reynolds number. The evidence indicates a higher intermittency of turbulence in the urban canopy layer at a high Reynolds number, which is demonstrated by the data with high temporal resolution. Furthermore, the temperature field is more intermittent than the velocity field. In addition, a large amount of samples could be used for verification of the results.

关键词：多重分形分形特征间歇性冠层城市奇异指数高时间分辨率湍流耗散

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