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A Hybrid SIR-Fuzzy Model for Epidemic Dynamics:A Numerical Study

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Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences 2024年第6期139卷 3417-3434页

作者： Muhammad Shoaib Arif Kamaleldin Abodayeh Yasir Nawaz Department of Mathematics and Sciences College of Humanities and SciencesPrince Sultan UniversityRiyadh11586Saudi Arabia Department of Mathematics Air UniversityIslamabad44000Pakistan

This study focuses on the urgent requirement for improved accuracy in diseasemodeling by introducing a newcomputational framework called the Hybrid SIR-Fuzzy Model.By integrating the traditional Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered(SIR)modelwith fuzzy logic,ourmethod effectively addresses the complex nature of epidemic dynamics by accurately accounting for uncertainties and imprecisions in both data and model parameters.The main aim of this research is to provide a model for disease transmission using fuzzy theory,which can successfully address uncertainty in mathematical modeling.Our main emphasis is on the imprecise transmission rate parameter,utilizing a three-part description of its membership level.This enhances the representation of disease processes with greater complexity and tackles the difficulties related to quantifying uncertainty in mathematical models.We investigate equilibrium points for three separate scenarios and perform a comprehensive sensitivity analysis,providing insight into the complex correlation betweenmodel parameters and epidemic results.In order to facilitate a quantitative analysis of the fuzzy model,we propose the implementation of a resilient numerical scheme.The convergence study of the scheme demonstrates its trustworthiness,providing a conditionally positive solution,which represents a significant improvement compared to current forward Euler schemes.The numerical findings demonstrate themodel’s effectiveness in accurately representing the dynamics of disease transmission.Significantly,when the mortality coefficient rises,both the susceptible and infected populations decrease,highlighting the model’s sensitivity to important epidemiological factors.Moreover,there is a direct relationship between higher Holling type rate values and a decrease in the number of individuals who are infected,as well as an increase in the number of susceptible individuals.This correlation offers a significant understanding of how many elements affect the consequences of an epidemic.Our objective is to enh

关键词： Fuzzy-based model sensitivity equilibriumpoints proposed numerical scheme convergence and stability analysis

Characteristics of soil quality attributes under different agroecosystems and its implications for agriculture in the Choke Mountain watershed in Ethiopia

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Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering 2024年第2期11卷 303-313页

作者： Demeku MESFIN Engdawork ASSEFA Belay SIMANE college of Development Studies Center for Environment and Development Addis Ababa University college of Social Science and humanities Department of Geography and Environmental Studies Wolaita Sodo University

Awareness of how soil properties vary over agroecosystems(AES) is essential for understanding soil potentials and improving site-specific agricultural management strategies for a sustainable ecosystem. This study examined the characteristics of soil quality attributes and implications for agriculture in the Choke Mountain watershed in Ethiopia. Forty-seven composite soil samples(0–20 cm deep) were collected from lowland and valley fragmented(AES 1),midland plain with black soil(AES 2), midland plain with brown soil(AES 3),sloppy midland land(AES 4), and hilly and mountainous highlands(AES 5).Ten of 15 soil quality properties were significant(P < 0.05 or 0.01), including silt, exchangeable bases, cation exchange capacity, percent base saturation,p H, organic matter, total nitrogen and available phosphorous(P) across the five AES. However, all properties were variable with coefficients of variation from 7%(total porosity) to 169%(available P) across the AES. Although AES 2and 3 are affected by waterlogging and acidity, these two have better prospects for agriculture, but AES 1, 4, and 5 are unsuitable for agriculture because of soil erosion. Therefore, appropriate and applicable soil management strategies, particularly lime application and organic fertilizer, are fundamental to reversing soil acidity and improving soil fertility.

关键词： agroecosystem Choke Mountain watershed coefficients of variation Ethiopia soil quality indicator

A Brief Overview of the Development and Significance of Modern Scientific Medicine in China:Take Chinese Academy of Medical Science and Peking Union Medical college as an Example

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Chinese Medical Sciences Journal 2024年第2期39卷 140-143页

作者： Pu-An Cui Zhe-Xi Gong Zhong He School of humanities and Social Sciences Chinese Academy of Medical Science&Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijing 100730China

Since the early 20th century,China has gradually established a clinical,educational,and research system centered around modern scientific medicine,which has now become the dominant force in China's medical and health system and services,with the construction and development of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical college as the most prominent symbol.The scientific medicine in the new era requires close cooperation across multiple disciplines and fields to build a high-quality and efficient medical and health service system.It also involves combining the excellent traditional Chinese culture with Western medicine to explore a unique path of modern scientific medicine with Chinese characteristics.

关键词： modern scientific medicine cultural confidence multiple view

Construction of a Computational Scheme for the Fuzzy HIV/AIDS Epidemic Model with a Nonlinear Saturated Incidence Rate

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Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences 2024年第2期138卷 1405-1425页

This work aimed to construct an epidemic model with fuzzy parameters.Since the classical epidemic model doesnot elaborate on the successful interaction of susceptible and infective people,the constructed fuzzy epidemicmodel discusses the more detailed versions of the interactions between infective and susceptible people.Thenext-generation matrix approach is employed to find the reproduction number of a deterministic model.Thesensitivity analysis and local stability analysis of the systemare also provided.For solving the fuzzy epidemic model,a numerical scheme is constructed which consists of three time levels.The numerical scheme has an advantage overthe existing forward Euler scheme for determining the conditions of getting the positive solution.The establishedscheme also has an advantage over existing non-standard finite difference methods in terms of order of accuracy.The stability of the scheme for the considered fuzzy model is also provided.From the plotted results,it can beobserved that susceptible people decay by rising interaction parameters.

关键词： Epidemic model fuzzy rate parameters next generation matrix local stability proposed numerical scheme

Problems and Strategies:A Case Study of Translation of the Introduction of Xianda college of Economics and humanities,SISU

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文学与艺术研究:英文版 2023年第9期13卷 687-691页

作者： ZHANG Qi ZHANG Shun-sheng Xianda college of Economics and humanities SISUShanghaiChina

The present paper takes the English translation of the introduction of Xianda college of Economics and humanities,SISU as an example to explore the translation problems of proper nouns and differences in English and Chinese language expressions in the construction of English introductions in Chinese institutions of higher education with the intention to propose corresponding solutions.It is hoped that this paper will provide some tips for the English translation of international publicity materials for other institutions of higher education.

关键词： A brief introduction of Xianda college of Economics and humanities SISU translation problems translation strategies

Dynamics of a delay-induced prey-predator system with interaction between immature prey and predators

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International Journal of Biomathematics 2024年第2期17卷 139-176页

作者： Soumik Pandey Abhijit Sarkar Debashis Das Sarbani Chakraborty Department of Mathematics West Bengal State University Barasat-7000126West BengalIndia Department of Basic Science&humanities JIS college of Engineering Kalyani-741235West BengalIndia

In biological pest control systems,several pests(including insects,mites,weeds,etc.)are controlled by biocontrol agents that rely primarily on predation.Following this biocontrol management ecology,we have created a three-tier prey-predator model with prey phase structure and predator gestation delay.Several studies have demonstrated that predators with Holling type-II functional responses sometimes consume immature prey.A study of the well-posedness and local bifurcation(such as saddle-node and transcritical)near the trivial and planer equilibrium points is carried out.Without any time lag,the prey development coeficient has a stabilizing impact,while increasing attack rate accelerates instability.Energy transformation rate and handling time are shown to cause multiple stability switches in the system.Numerical results demonstrate time delay is the key destabilizer that destroys stability.Our model can replicate more realistic events by including time-dependent factors and exploring the dynamic behavior of nonautonomous systems.In the presence of time delay,sufficient conditions of permanence and global attractivity of the nonautonomous system are derived.Finally,MATLAB simulations are performed to validate the analytical findings.

关键词： Holling type-II functional response stage-structure bifurcation time delay seasonality

Assessment of vegetation cover changes and the contributing factors in the Al-Ahsa Oasis using Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)

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Regional Sustainability 2024年第1期5卷 42-53页

作者： Walid CHOUARI Department of Geography College of ArtsKing Faisal UniversityAl-Ahsa31982Saudi Arabia Laboratory Syfacte Faculty of Arts and Humanities of SfaxUniversity of SfaxSfax1168-3000Tunisia

The abandonment of date palm grove of the former Al-Ahsa Oasis in the eastern region of Saudi Arabia has resulted in the conversion of delicate agricultural area into urban area.The current state of the oasis is influenced by both expansion and degradation factors.Therefore,it is important to study the spatiotemporal variation of vegetation cover for the sustainable management of oasis resources.This study used Landsat satellite images in 1987,2002,and 2021 to monitor the spatiotemporal variation of vegetation cover in the Al-Ahsa Oasis,applied multi-temporal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)data spanning from 1987 to 2021 to assess environmental and spatiotemporal variations that have occurred in the Al-Ahsa Oasis,and investigated the factors influencing these variation.This study reveals that there is a significant improvement in the ecological environment of the oasis during 1987–2021,with increase of NDVI values being higher than 0.10.In 2021,the highest NDVI value is generally above 0.70,while the lowest value remains largely unchanged.However,there is a remarkable increase in NDVI values between 0.20 and 0.30.The area of low NDVI values(0.00–0.20)has remained almost stable,but the region with high NDVI values(above 0.70)expands during 1987–2021.Furthermore,this study finds that in 1987–2002,the increase of vegetation cover is most notable in the northern region of the study area,whereas from 2002 to 2021,the increase of vegetation cover is mainly concentrated in the northern and southern regions of the study area.From 1987 to 2021,NDVI values exhibit the most pronounced variation,with a significant increase in the“green”zone(characterized by NDVI values exceeding 0.40),indicating a substantial enhancement in the ecological environment of the oasis.The NDVI classification is validated through 50 ground validation points in the study area,demonstrating a mean accuracy of 92.00%in the detection of vegetation cover.In general,both the user’s and producer’s accuracies of NDVI classification are extrem

关键词： Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) Vegetation cover Ecological environment Land use and land cover(LULC) Urban expansion Al-Ahsa Oasis

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An Effective Hybrid Model of ELM and Enhanced GWO for Estimating Compressive Strength of Metakaolin-Contained Cemented Materials

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Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences 2024年第5期139卷 1521-1555页

作者： Abidhan Bardhan Raushan Kumar Singh Mohammed Alatiyyah Sulaiman Abdullah Alateyah Department of Civil Engineering National Institute of Technology PatnaPatnaIndia Department of Computer Engineering and Applications GLA UniversityMathuraIndia Department of Computer Science College of Sciences and Humanities-AflajPrince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz UniversityAl-KharjSaudi Arabia Department of Computer Science College of Science and ArtsQassim UniversityUnaizahSaudi Arabia

This research proposes a highly effective soft computing paradigm for estimating the compressive strength(CS)of metakaolin-contained cemented materials.The proposed approach is a combination of an enhanced grey wolf optimizer(EGWO)and an extreme learning machine(ELM).EGWO is an augmented form of the classic grey wolf optimizer(GWO).Compared to standard GWO,EGWO has a better hunting mechanism and produces an optimal performance.The EGWO was used to optimize the ELM structure and a hybrid model,ELM-EGWO,was built.To train and validate the proposed ELM-EGWO model,a sum of 361 experimental results featuring five influencing factors was collected.Based on sensitivity analysis,three distinct cases of influencing parameters were considered to investigate the effect of influencing factors on predictive precision.Experimental consequences show that the constructed ELM-EGWO achieved the most accurate precision in both training(RMSE=0.0959)and testing(RMSE=0.0912)phases.The outcomes of the ELM-EGWO are significantly superior to those of deep neural networks(DNN),k-nearest neighbors(KNN),long short-term memory(LSTM),and other hybrid ELMs constructed with GWO,particle swarm optimization(PSO),harris hawks optimization(HHO),salp swarm algorithm(SSA),marine predators algorithm(MPA),and colony predation algorithm(CPA).The overall results demonstrate that the newly suggested ELM-EGWO has the potential to estimate the CS of metakaolin-contained cemented materials with a high degree of precision and robustness.

关键词： Metakaolin-contained cemented materials compressive strength extreme learning machine grey wolf optimizer swarm intelligence uncertainty analysis artificial intelligence

Magnesium oxide(MgO) nanoadsorbents in wastewater treatment: A comprehensive review

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Journal of Magnesium and Alloys 2024年第5期12卷 1709-1773页

作者： H.C.S.Perera V.Gurunanthanan Anoop Singh M.M.M.G.P.G.Mantilaka G.Das Sandeep Arya Department of Physics Khalifa University Postgraduate Institute of Science University of Peradeniya Department of humanities and Sciences Guru Nanak Institutions Technical Campus Centre for Global Health Research Saveetha Medical College and Hospitals Saveetha Institute of Medical and Technical Sciences Department of Physics University of Jammu

Wastewater contamination by heavy metals and synthetic dyes presents a significant environmental challenge, necessitating effective and sustainable separation techniques. This review article provides a detailed examination of magnesium oxide(MgO) nanoparticles as an innovative nanoadsorbent for wastewater treatment, with a specific focus on heavy metal and dye removal. The review comprehensively explores various aspects of MgO nanoparticles, including their structural characteristics and synthesis techniques. The article delves into the morphology and crystallographic arrangement of MgO nanoparticles, offering insights into their structural attributes. Given the complexity of adsorption processes, the review identifies and analyzes parameters influencing the adsorption efficiency of MgO nanoparticles, such as temperature, pH, contact time, initial concentration, and co-existing ions. The interplay between these parameters and the adsorption capability of MgO nanoparticles emphasizes the importance of optimizing operational conditions. Furthermore, the review assesses various synthesis methods for MgO nanoparticles, including sol-gel, hydrothermal, precipitation, green synthesis, solvothermal, and template-assisted techniques. It discusses the advantages, limitations, and resulting nanoparticle characteristics of each method, enabling readers to grasp the implications of synthesis processes on adsorption efficiency. This comprehensive review consolidates current insights into the effectiveness of MgO nanoparticles as a potent nanoadsorbent for removing heavy metals and dyes from wastewater covering a wide spectrum of aspects related to MgO nanoparticles. Moreover, there is a need to investigate the use of MgO in the treatment of actual wastewater or river water,in order to leverage its cost-effectiveness and high efficiency for practical water treatment applications in real-time.

关键词： MgO nanoparticles Nanoadsorbent Wastewater treatment Heavy metals Dye separation Adsorption Synthesis methods