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Prediction of the burden of road traffic injuries in Iran by 2030: Prevalence, death,and disability-adjusted life years

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Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2024年第4期27卷 242-248页

作者： Mozhgan Seif Sedigheh Edalat Ali Majidpour Azad Shirazi Somayeh Alipouri Mohsen Bayati Non-communicable Diseases research Center Department of EpidemiologySchool of HealthShiraz University of Medical SciencesShirazIran health Human Resources research Center School of Health Management and Information SciencesShiraz University of Medical SciencesShirazIran health policy research Center Institute of HealthShiraz University of Medical SciencesShirazIran

Purpose:Road traffic accidents pose a global challenge with substantial human and economic *** a high incidence of road traffic injuries,leading to a significant burden on *** studyaims to predict the future burden of road traffic injuries in Iran until 2030,providing valuable insights forpolicy-making and interventions to improve road safety and reduce the associated human and ***:This analytical study utilized time series models,specifically autoregressive integrated movingaverage(ARIMA)and artificial neural networks(ANNs),to predict the burden of road traffic accidents byanalyzing past data to identify patterns and trends in Iran until *** required data related toprevalence,death,and disability-adjusted life years(DALYs)rates were collected from the institute forhealth Metrics and Evaluation database and analyzed using R software and relevant modeling andstatistical analysis ***:Both prediction models,ARIMA and ANNs indicate that the prevalence rates(per 100,000)of allroad traffic injuries,except for motorcyclist road injuries which have an almost flat trend,remaining ataround 430,increase by *** on estimations of both models,the rates of death and DALYs due tomotor vehicle and pedestrian road traffic injuries *** motor vehicle road injuries,estimatedtrends decrease to approximately 520 DALYs and 10 ***,for pedestrian road injuries these ratesreached approximately 300 DALYs and 6 deaths,according to the *** cyclists and other roadtraffic injuries,the predicted DALY rates by the ANN model increase to almost 50 and 8,while predictionsconducted by the ARIMA model show a static trend,remaining at 40 and approximately ***,these rates for the prediction of death rate by the ANN model increased to 0.6 and 0.1,while predictionsconducted by the ARIMA model show a static trend,remaining at 0.43 and *** to the ANNmodel,the predicted rates of DALY and death for m

关键词： Accidents Traffic Accident prevention Motorcycles Road injury Forecasting

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Are school uniforms associated with gender inequalities in physical activity? A pooled analysis of population-level data from 135 countries/regions

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Journal of Sport and health Science 2024年第4期13卷 590-598页

作者： Mairead Ryan Luiza I.C.Ricardo Nicole Nathan Riikka Hofmann Esther van Sluijs Medical research Council epidemiology Unit University of CambridgeCambridge CB20QQUK Faculty of Education University of CambridgeCambridge CB28PQUK Hunter New England Population health WallsendNSW 2287Australia School of Medicine and Public health College of HealthMedicine and WellbeingUniversity of NewcastleCallaghanNSW 2308Australia Hunter Medical research institute New Lambton HeightsNSW 2305Australia National Centre of Implementation Science University of NewcastleCallaghanNSW 2308Australia

Purpose:It is aimed to assess whether school uniforms are associated with population-level gender inequalities in physical activity,and whether associations differ by school level,country/region income,and assessment ***:An ecological study design was *** collected data about global uniform practices using an online *** searched for country/region-level estimates of school-aged youth meeting physical activity guidelines from international surveillance *** selection was conducted in duplicate using a systematic process,and a random sample of all data was checked to ensure extraction and pooling processes were *** calculated absolute and relative gender inequalities in physical activity for each *** regression examined associations between country/region-level uniform practices(binary yes/no exposure variable) and country/region-level gender inequalities in physical activity guideline compliance(absolute and relative inequalities).We investigated moderation by school level,stratified analyses by income group,and repeated primary analyses using device-measured ***:Pooling data from 135 countries/regions(n=1,089,852),we found no association between population-level uniform practices and gender inequalities in physical activity across all ages(absolute:β=-0.2;95% confidence interval(95%CI):-1.7 to 1.3,p=0.74;relative:β=0.1;95%CI:-0.1 to 0.2,p=0.51).Subgroup analysis suggested a positive association in primary school settings(absolute:β=4.3;95%CI:-0.0 to 8.6,p=0.05).Among high-income countries,absolute inequalities were significantly greater in countries/regions with uniform practices(N=37) compared to those without(N=48)(9.1(SD=3.6) vs.7.8 percentage points(SD=4.3)).Repeating analyses using device-measured data(n=32,130;N=24) did not alter our primary *** initial descriptive statistics,we found that in countries/regions where a maj ority of schools(>50%) reportedly use uniforms,there was lower compli

关键词： School policy Clothing Child Adolescent Accelerometer

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Combatting anthrax outbreaks across Nigeria's national land borders: need to optimize surveillance with epidemiological surveys

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Infectious Diseases of Poverty 2024年第1期13卷 100-100页

作者： Hammed O.Mogaji Babatunde Adewale Stella I.Smith Ehimario U.Igumbor Chidumebi J.Idemili Andrew W.Taylor-Robinson Yale School of Public health Yale University New Haven USA Parasitology and epidemiology Unit Federal University Oye-Ekiti Oye-Ekiti Nigeria Department of Public health and epidemiology Nigerian Institute of Medical Research Lagos Nigeria Department of Molecular Biology and Biotechnology Nigerian Institute of Medical Research Lagos Nigeria Centre for Infectious Disease research Nigerian Institute of Medical Research Lagos Nigeria Department of Public health Walter Sisulu University Mthatha South Africa institute of health policy Management and Evaluation University of Toronto Toronto Canada College of health Sciences Vin University Hanoi Vietnam Center for Global health Perelman School of Medicine University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia USA

Background Anthrax is a non-contagious zoonotic disease caused by the Gram-positive,spore-forming bac-terium Bacillus *** is common in livestock and wild animals such as cattle,goats,sheep,camels,and *** humans,anthrax may occur after contact with contaminated carcasses or animal products like milk and *** best method to prevent anthrax in people is to ensure livestock are vaccinated,which significantly limits the risk of zoonotic spread to ***,the rate of vaccination of domesticated animals kept by nomadic pastoralists in West Africa is *** groups regularly cross over national boundaries with their grazing *** is a country that historically has done comparatively well to contain this public health ***,in 2023 several outbreaks of human disease appear linked to the consumption of anthrax-contaminated animal products brought into Nigeria by pastoralists from neighboring *** manifestations include skin sores or ulcers,nausea,vomiting,and *** article aims to raise awareness of recent outbreaks of anthrax in West Africa and to callfor a renewed focus on measures to combat this neglected public health concern to the *** body The imperative to pinpoint pivotal issues relating to the ongoing emergence of anthrax cases in Nigeria cannot be *** delving into the prevalence of anthrax in both livestock and human populations residing along Nigeria's borders,unraveling the genetic diversity and potential sources of *** strains,and identify-ing the primary animal host(s)responsible for transmission,we stand to enhance our understanding of this critical ***,investigating the multifaceted factors contributing to anthrax transmission,assessing community knowledge and practices,mapping common migratory routes of pastoralists,and formulating targeted interven-tion strategies tailored to the challenges of border communities,are each crucial steps towards eff

关键词： border Combat doubt

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Considerable impact of major air pollutants on hypertension in Guizhou province,southwest China

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Chinese Medical Journal 2024年第4期137卷 496-498页

作者： Ping Yuan Guojia Qi Xiu Dai Xiangyuan Chu Zhijun Liu Guoqin Liu Xiuquan Shi Department of epidemiology and health Statistics School of Public HealthZunyi Medical UniversityZunyiGuizhou 563006China School of Management Zunyi Medical UniversityZunyiGuizhou 563006China Center for Injury research and policy&Center for Pediatric Trauma research The Research Institute at Nationwide Children’s HospitalThe Ohio State University College of MedicineColumbusOH 43210USA

To the Editor:Air pollution can lead to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases(CVDs),and its impact on human health is very *** particles less than 0.1µm can pass through the blood brain barrier,reach the brain,and enter the central nervous system,causing physiological and pathological changes.A study shows that long-term exposure to fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5))will increase the risk of CVDs among Chinese residents.^([1])Another study found that a short time exposure to low concentrations of air pollutants may also lead to the onset of acute coronary syndrome within one hour.^([2])A meta-analysis based on seven databases showed that environmental air pollution was positively correlated with elevated blood pressure and hypertension.^([3])Mounting evidence indicates that air pollution can cause cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases and affect human health furtherly.

关键词： pollution impact Guizhou

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晚发性结直肠癌患者亲属的结肠镜筛查时间间隔:一项全国性匹配队列研究

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Science Bulletin 2024年第6期69卷 732-736页

作者：梁群风 Kristina Sundquist Jan Sundquist Hermann Brenner Elham Kharazmi Mahdi Fallah Division of Preventive Oncology National Center for Tumor DiseasesGerman Cancer Research CenterHeidelberg 69120Germany Medical Faculty Heidelberg Heidelberg UniversityHeidelberg 69120Germany Center for Primary health Care research Lund UniversityMalmö20213Sweden Department of Family Medicine and Community health Department of Population Health Science and PolicyIcahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiNew YorkNY10029USA Center for Community-based healthcare research and Education Department of Functional PathologySchool of MedicineShimane UniversityIzumo 693-8501Japan Division of Clinical epidemiology and Aging research German Cancer Research CenterHeidelberg 69120Germany German Cancer Consortium German Cancer Research CenterHeidelberg 69120Germany institute of Primary health Care University of BernBern 3012Switzerland

Colorectal cancer(CRC)is a major global cancer burden,ranking third in terms of incidence,but second in terms of mortality[1].Early detection of CRC through screening combined with subsequent removal of polyps remains a predominant strategy for CRC *** history is a known risk factor for CRC[2-4].However,only a few screening guidelines provide recommendations for individuals with familial CRC risk[5].

关键词：队列研究时间间隔晚发性

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Promoting higher-valent pediatric combination vaccines in China: challenges and recommendations for action

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Infectious Diseases of Poverty 2024年第1期13卷 74-84页

作者： Jiuling Li Shu Chen dwin Asturias Shenglan Tang Fuqiang Cui Global health research Center Duke Kunshan UniversityKunshanJiangsuChina ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing research(CEPAR) Universityof New SouthWalesSydneyAustralia School of Risk and Actuarial Studies University of New South WalesSydneyAustralia Department of Pediatrics University of Colorado School of MedicineAuroraCOUSA Center for Global health Colorado School of Public HealthAuroraCOUSA Department of epidemiology Colorado School of Public HealthAuroraCOUSA Duke Global health institute Duke UniversityDurhamNCUSA Singhealth Duke-NUS Global health institute Duke-NUSSingaporeSingapore Department of Laboratorial Science and Technology School of Public HealthPeking UniversityBeijingChina Vaccine research Center School of Public HealthPeking UniversityBeijingChina

Many countries have adopted higher-valent pediatric combination vaccines to simplify vaccination schedules and minimize health expenditures and social ***,China is conservative in the use of pediatric combina-tion *** reviewing and synthesizing quantitative and qualitative data,in this commentary we identify gaps and challenges to combination vaccine use and make recommendations for promoting use of higher-valent pediatric combination vaccines in *** are in four dimensions:(1)legislation and regulation,(2)immunization schedule design,(3)vaccine awareness and price,and(4)research and development *** optimize the use of combination vaccines to reduce vaccine-preventable disease burden,we make recommendations that address key challenges:(1)develop policies and regulations to strengthen enforcement of the Vaccine Administration Law and remove regulatory hurdles that hinder combination vaccine research and development,(2)establish an evi-dence-informed policy-making mechanism for combination vaccines,(3)resolve immunization schedule conflicts between monovalent and combination vaccines,and(4)implement effective interventions to increase vaccine awareness and reduce price.

关键词： Combination vaccine National immunization program Childhood immunization Vaccine-preventable disease

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Treatment and prevention of epilepsy in onchocerciasis-endemic areas is urgently needed

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Infectious Diseases of Poverty 2024年第1期13卷 85-89页

作者： Robert Colebunders Joseph Nelson Siewe Fodjo Olivia Kamoen Luis-Jorge Amaral Amber Hadermann Chiara Trevisan Mark J.Taylor Julia Gauglitz Achim Hoerauf Yasuaki Sato Katja Polman Maria-Gloria Basanez Dan Bhwana Thomson Lakwo Gasim Abd-Elfarag Sebastien D.Pion Global health institute University of AntwerpAntwerpBelgium Department of Neurology Heilig Hart ZiekenhuisLierBelgium Department of Public health Institute of Tropical MedicineAntwerpBelgium Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine LiverpoolUK Department of Computer Science University of AntwerpAntwerpBelgium institute of Medical Microbiology Immunology and ParasitologyUniversity Hospital BonnBonnGermany German Center for Infection research(DZIF) Partner Site Bonn-CologneBonnGermany School of Global Humanities and Social Sciences Nagasaki UniversityNagasakiJapan MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and London Centre for Neglected TropicalDisease research Department of Infectious Disease EpidemiologySchool of Public HealthImperial College LondonLondonUK National institute for Medical research TangaTanzania Vector Control Division Ministry of HealthKampalaUganda School of Public health University of JubaJubaSouth Sudan Access for Humanity JubaSouth Sudan French National research institute for Sustainable Development MontpellierFrance

Background There is increasing epidemiological evidence supporting the association between onchocerciasis and seizures, reinforcing the concept of onchocerciasis-associated epilepsy (OAE). The aim of this paper is to provide an update on the new knowledge about OAE and to propose recommendations to the World health Organization how to address this public health *** text During the 2nd International Workshop on OAE held on 19-21 September, 2023, in Antwerp, Belgium, participants recognised OAE as a substantial yet neglected public health problem, particularly in areas of sub-Saharan Africa where onchocerciasis remains hyperendemic. Evidence from prospective population-based studies suggest that strengthening onchocerciasis elimination efforts leads to a significant reduction of OAE incidence. There is a need to validate an OAE case definition to estimate the burden of disease and identify onchocerciasis-endemic areas requiring intensification of onchocerciasis elimination programmes and integration of epilepsy care. It is expected that raising awareness about OAE will boost the population uptake of ivermectin. The implementation of a community-based epilepsy treatment programme offering free anti-seizure medications (ASMs) has shown high effectiveness in reducing the frequency of seizures and improving the overall quality of life of people with *** To reduce OAE burden, enhanced collaboration between onchocerciasis and mental health programmes at community, national, and international levels is required. Urgent efforts are needed to ensure the uninterrupted provision of free ASMs in onchocerciasis-endemic areas. Furthermore, OAE should be included in the quantification of the onchocerciasis disease burden.

关键词： Onchocerciasis Morbidity Burden of disease Prevention Ivermectin Epilepsy Nodding syndrome Treatment Children policy

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On the formation and use of calibration equations in nutritionalepidemiology–Discussion of the Paper by *** and ***

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Statistical Theory and Related Fields 2018年第1期2卷 11-13页

作者： Laurence S.Freedman Pamela A.Shaw gertner institute for epidemiology and health policy research Tel HashomerIsrael Perelman School of Medicine University of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA

Prentice and Huang(2018)provide an interesting review of the current and future challenges facing the field of nutritional *** fully concur with their stress on the importance of statistical concepts and methods in meeting these *** welcome the opportunity here to expand in two directions on the approaches suggested in their review:first,to show that in implementing their approach extra statistical steps may be required;and second to highlight some dangers of misuse of the estimator,^(-)x(t),of true dietary intake that is central to their approach.

关键词： steps directions estimator

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Post-discharge follow-up of patients with spine trauma in the National Spinal Cord Injury Registry of Iran during the COVID-19 pandemic:Challenges and lessons learned

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Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2024年第3期27卷 173-179页

作者： Zahra Azadmanjir Moein Khormali Mohsen Sadeghi-Naini Vali Baigi Habibollah Pirnejad Mohammad Dashtkoohi Zahra Ghodsi Seyed Behnam Jazayeri Aidin Shakeri Mahdi Mohammadzadeh Laleh Bagheri Mohammad-Sajad Lotfi Salman Daliri Amir Azarhomayoun Homayoun Sadeghi-Bazargani Gerard O'reilly Vafa Rahimi-Movaghai health Information Management Department School of Allied Medical SciencesTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran Sina Trauma and Surgery research Center Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran Department of Neurosurgery Lorestan University of Medical SciencesKhoram-AbadIran Department of epidemiology and Biostatistics School of Public HealthTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran Patient Safety research Center Clinical Rsearch institute Urma Universty of Medical SciencesUrmaIran Erasmus School of health policy&Management(ESHPM) Erasmus University RotterdamRoterdamthe Netherlands Brain and Spinal Cord Injury research Center Neuroscience InstituteTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran Students Scientifc research Center(SSRC) Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran Department of Neurosurgery Arak University of Medical SciencesArakIran Trauma research Center Kashan University of Medical SciencesKashanIran Shahid Rahnemoun Hospital Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical SciencesYazdIran Trauma Nuring Rearch entre Faculty of Nursing and Midwifry Kahan Universty of Medical Sciences Kahan Iran Clinical research Development Unit Imam Hossein HospitalShahroud University of Medical SciencesShahroudIran research Center for Evidence Based Medicine Faculty of MedicineTabriz University of Medical SciencesTabrizIran Road Trafic Injury research Center Tabriz University of Medical SciencesTabrizIran School of Public health and Preventive Medicine Monash UniversityMelbourneAustralia National Trauma research institute The AlfredMelbourneAustralia Department of Neurosurgery Shariati HospitalTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran Universal Scientific Education and research Network(USERN) TehranIran institute of Biochemistry and Biophysics University of TehranTehranIran

Purpose:The purpose of the National Spinal Cord Injury Registry of Iran(NSCIR-IR)is to create an infrastructure to assess the quality of care for spine trauma and in this study,we aim to investigate whether the NSCIR-IR successfully provides necessary post-discharge follow-up data for these ***:An observational prospective study was conducted from April 11,2021 to April 22,2022 in 8 centers enrolled in NSCIR-IR,respectively Arak,Rasht,Urmia,Shahroud,Yazd,Kashan,Tabriz,and *** were classified into 3 groups based on their need for care resources,respectively:(1)non-spinal cord injury(SCI)patients without surgery(group 1),(2)non-SCI patients with surgery(group 2),and(3)SCI patients(group 3).The assessment tool was a self-designed questionnaire to evaluate the care quality in 3 phases:pre-hospital,in-hospital,and *** data from the first 2 phases were collected through the *** post-hospital data were collected by conducting follow-up *** follow-ups were conducted for groups 1 and 2(non-SCI patients),while group 3(SCI patients)had a face-to-face *** study took place during the COVID-19 *** on age and time interval from injury to follow-up were expressed as mean±standard deviation(SD)and response rate and follow-up loss as a ***:Altogether 1538 telephone follow-up records related to 1292 patients were registered in the *** the total calls,918(71.05%)were related to successful follow-ups,but 38 cases died and thus were excluded from data *** the end,post-hospital data from 880 patients alive were *** success rate of follow-ups by telephone for groups 1 and 2 was 73.38%and 67.05%respectively,compared to 66.67%by face-to-face visits for group 3,which was very hard during the COVID-19 *** data completion rate after discharge ranged from 48%-100%,22%-100%and 29%-100%for groups ***:To improve patient accessibility,NSCIR-IR should take me

关键词： Follow-up studies Spinal injuries Spinal cord injuries COVID-19 NSCIR-IR

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Violence study of healthcare workers and systems in the Caribbean:ViSHWaS-Caribbean study

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World Journal of Methodology 2024年第3期14卷 106-118页

作者： Reshon Hadmon Daniella Myriam Pierre Akshat Banga Jacques W Clerville Hans Mautong Precious Akinsanya Rajat Das Gupta Sama Soliman Tolupe M Hunjah Bamidele A Hunjah Hafeez Hamza Ruman Khurshid Qasba Faisal A Nawaz Salim Surani Rahul Kashyap Department of Medicine St.George University School of MedicineGrenada FZ818West Indies Department of research Global Remote Research Scholar ProgramSt PaulMN 55101United States Department of Public health Cuny Graduate School of Public Health and Health PolicyNew YorkNY 10027United States Department of Internal Medicine Sawai Man Singh Medical CollegeJaipur 302004India School of Public health Georgia State UniversityAtlantaGA 30302United States Department of Sociology and Demography School of HealthUniversidad de Especialidades Espiritu SantoSamborondon 092301Ecuador Department of Medicine Holy Name Medical CenterTeaneckNJ 07666United States Department of epidemiology and Biostatistics University of South CarolinaColumbiaSC 29208United States Department of Medicine Pavlov First State Medical University of St PetersburgSankt-Peterburg 197022Russia Department of Medicine University of SuffolkIpswich IP41QJUnited Kingdom Department of Medicine Unicaf University of ZambiaLusaka 20842Zambia Department of Pharmacy School of PharmacyGirne 99428Cyprus Department of Medicine Sher-i-KashmirInstitute of Medical ScienceSrinagar 190011India Department of Psychiatry Al Amal Psychiatric HospitalEmirates Health ServicesDubaiUnited Arab Emirates Department of Medicine and Pharmacology Texas A and M UniversityCollege StationTX 77843United States Anesthesiology and Critical Care Mayo ClinicRochesterMN 55905United States Department of research Wellspan HealthYorkPA 17403United States

BACKGROUND Violence against healthcare workers(HCWs)in the Caribbean continues to prevail yet remains *** aim is to determine the cause,traits,and consequences of violence on HCWs in the *** To determine the cause,traits,and consequences of violence on HCWs in the *** This research adopted an online cross-sectional survey approach,spanning over eight weeks(between June 6th and August 9th,2022).The survey was generated using research Electronic Data Capture forms and followed a snowballing strategy to contact individuals using emails,social media,text messages,*** regression analysis was performed to evaluate the variables that influence violence,including gender,age,years of experience,institution type,and night shift *** The survey was completed by 225 *** comprised 61%.Over 51%of respondents belonged to the 21 to 35 age ***(n=61),Haiti(n=50),and Grenada(n=31)had the most *** HCWs(49%)worked for government academic institutions,followed by community hospitals(23%).Medical students(32%),followed by attending physicians(22%),and others(16%)comprised the most common cadre of *** 39%of the participants reported experiencing violence themselves,and 18%reported violence against colleague(s).Verbal violence(48%),emotional abuse(24%),and physical misconduct(14%)were the most common types of *** 63%of respondents identified patients or their relatives as the most frequent *** logistic regression analyses demonstrated that female gender(OR=2.08;95%CI:1.16-3.76,P=0.014)and higher frequency of night shifts(OR=2.22;95%CI:1.08-4.58,P=0.030)were associated with significantly higher odds of experiencing *** than 50%of HCWs felt less motivated and had decreased job satisfaction post-violent *** A large proportion of HCWS in the Caribbean are exposed to violence,yet the phenomenon remains *** a result,HCWs’job s

关键词： ViSHWaS healthcare workers Violence Survey Workplace violence Caribbean Cross-sectional study

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