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Prediction of the burden of road traffic injuries in Iran by 2030: Prevalence, death,and disability-adjusted life years

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Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2024年第4期27卷 242-248页

作者： Mozhgan Seif Sedigheh Edalat Ali Majidpour Azad Shirazi Somayeh Alipouri Mohsen Bayati Non-communicable Diseases Research Center Department of EpidemiologySchool of HealthShiraz University of Medical SciencesShirazIran health Human Resources Research Center School of Health Management and Information SciencesShiraz University of Medical SciencesShirazIran health Policy Research Center Institute of HealthShiraz University of Medical SciencesShirazIran

Purpose:Road traffic accidents pose a global challenge with substantial human and economic *** a high incidence of road traffic injuries,leading to a significant burden on *** studyaims to predict the future burden of road traffic injuries in Iran until 2030,providing valuable insights forpolicy-making and interventions to improve road safety and reduce the associated human and ***:This analytical study utilized time series models,specifically autoregressive integrated movingaverage(ARIMA)and artificial neural networks(ANNs),to predict the burden of road traffic accidents byanalyzing past data to identify patterns and trends in Iran until *** required data related toprevalence,death,and disability-adjusted life years(DALYs)rates were collected from the Institute forhealth Metrics and Evaluation database and analyzed using R software and relevant modeling andstatistical analysis ***:Both prediction models,ARIMA and ANNs indicate that the prevalence rates(per 100,000)of allroad traffic injuries,except for motorcyclist road injuries which have an almost flat trend,remaining ataround 430,increase by *** on estimations of both models,the rates of death and DALYs due tomotor vehicle and pedestrian road traffic injuries *** motor vehicle road injuries,estimatedtrends decrease to approximately 520 DALYs and 10 ***,for pedestrian road injuries these ratesreached approximately 300 DALYs and 6 deaths,according to the *** cyclists and other roadtraffic injuries,the predicted DALY rates by the ANN model increase to almost 50 and 8,while predictionsconducted by the ARIMA model show a static trend,remaining at 40 and approximately ***,these rates for the prediction of death rate by the ANN model increased to 0.6 and 0.1,while predictionsconducted by the ARIMA model show a static trend,remaining at 0.43 and *** to the ANNmodel,the predicted rates of DALY and death for m

关键词： Accidents Traffic Accident prevention Motorcycles Road injury Forecasting

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Physical activity volume,frequency,and intensity:Associations with hypertension and obesity over 21 years in Australian women

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Journal of Sport and health Science 2024年第5期13卷 631-641页

作者： Gregore I.Mielke Ding Ding Shelley E.Keating Bruno P.Nunes Ruth Brady Wendy J.Brown School of public health The University of QueenslandBrisbaneQLD 4006Australia Sydney School of public health Faculty of Medicine and HealthThe University of SydneySydneyNSW 2006Australia The Charles Perkins Centre The University of SydneySydneyNSW 2006Australia School of Human Movement and Nutrition sciences The University of QueenslandBrisbaneQLD 4072Australia School of Nursing Federal University of PelotasPelotasRio Grande do Sul 96010-610Brazil Faculty of health sciences and Medicine Bond UniversityGold CoastQLD 4226Australia

Background:Optimal patterns of accrual of recommended levels of physical activity(PA)for prevention of hypertension and obesity are not *** overall aim of this study was to investigate whether different patterns of accumulation of PA are differentially associated with hypertension and obesity in Australian women over 21 ***,we investigated whether,for the same weekly volume of PA,the number of sessions(frequency)and vigorousness of PA(intensity)were associated with a reduction in the occurrence of hypertension and obesity in ***:Data from the 1973-1978 and 1946-1951 cohorts of the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's health were analyzed(n=20,588;12%-16%with a Bachelor's or higher degree).Self-reported PA,hypertension,height,and weight were collected using mail surveys every 3 years from 1998/2000 to 2019/*** Estimating Equation models with a 3-year lag model were used to investigate the association of PA volume(metabolic equivalent min/week)(none;33-499;500-999;≥1000,weekly frequency(none;1-2 times;3-4times;5-7 times;≥8 times),and the proportion of vigorous PA to total volume of PA(none;0%;1%-33%;34%-66%;67%-100%)with odds of hypertension and obesity from 2000 to ***:The cumulative incidence of hypertension was 6%in the 1973-1978 and 23%in the 1946-1951 cohort;27%of women in the 1973-1978;and 15%in the 1946-1951 cohort developed obesity over the ***,a higher volume of PA was associated with reduced odds of hypertension and *** the volume of PA was considered,the odds of hypertension did not vary according to the frequency or intensity of ***,increased proportion of vigorous PA to the total volume of PA was associated with a small additional reduction in the risk of obe ***:PA volume appears to be more important than the pattern of accumulation for the prevention of hypertension and *** more sessions,particularly of vigorous-intensity PA,may provide extr

关键词： Physical activity Frequency Intensity Incidences Epidemiology Women

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Effect of Maternal DEHP Exposure on Lipid Metabolism in Adult Male Rats and the Antagonistic Effect of Genistein

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Biomedical and Environmental sciences 2024年第3期37卷 315-319页

作者： ZHANG Yun Bo LI Jiang Li TIAN Jie NA Xiao Lin department of Environmental Hygiene Public Health CollegeHarbin Medical UniversityHarbin 150081HeilongjiangChina

Lipid metabolism refers to the biochemical processes involved in synthesising,storing,utilising,and breaking down lipids in living *** are essential for various physiological functions,including energy storage,insulation,protection of organs,and the formation of cell *** in lipid metabolism can lead to a number of health issues,such as atherosclerosis,obesity,and type 2 diabetes,etc.[1].Environmental factors,genetics,and lifestyle factors are some of the factors that can contribute to the development of ***,there is a growing academic interest in the impact of environmental factors.

关键词： Lipid metabolism organs

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Nitrate reduction capacity of the oral microbiota is impaired in periodontitis:potential implications for systemic nitric oxide availability

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International Journal of Oral Science 2024年第1期16卷 52-61页

作者： Bob T.Rosier William Johnston Miguel Carda-Diéguez Annabel Simpson Elena Cabello-Yeves Krystyna Piela Robert Reilly Alejandro Artacho Chris Easton Mia Burleigh Shauna Culshaw Alex Mira department of Genomics and health FISABIO FoundationCenter for Advanced Research in Public HealthValenciaSpain department of Biological and Biomedical sciences Glasgow Caledonian UniversityGlasgowUK Oral sciences University of Glasgow Dental SchoolSchool of MedicineDentistry and NursingCollege of MedicalVeterinary and Life SciencesUniversity of GlasgowGlasgowUK Sport and Physical Activity Research Institute University of the West of ScotlandBlantyreScotland Instituto de Biomedicina de Valencia Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas(IBV-CSIC)ValenciaSpain CIBER Center for Epidemiology and public health MadridSpain

The reduction of nitrate to nitrite by the oral microbiota has been proposed to be important for oral health and results in nitric oxide formation that can improve cardiometabolic conditions. Studies of bacterial composition in subgingival plaque suggest that nitrate-reducing bacteria are associated with periodontal health, but the impact of periodontitis on nitrate-reducing capacity(NRC)and, therefore, nitric oxide availability has not been evaluated. The current study aimed to evaluate how periodontitis affects the NRC of the oral microbiota. First, 16S rRNA sequencing data from five different countries were analyzed, revealing that nitratereducing bacteria were significantly lower in subgingival plaque of periodontitis patients compared with healthy individuals(P healthy individuals. Salivary NRC was found to be diminished in periodontal patients before treatment(P healthy levels 90 days post-treatment. Additionally, the subgingival levels of nitrate-reducing bacteria increased after treatment and correlated negatively with periodontitis-associated bacteria(P health should be explored in future studies.

关键词： impaired intake nitrate

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Pregnancy and the disease recurrence of patients previously treated for differentiated thyroid cancer:A systematic review and meta analysis

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Chinese Medical Journal 2024年第5期137卷 547-555页

作者： Rui Shan Xin Li Ming Tao Wucai Xiao Jing Chen Fang Mei Shibing Song Bangkai Sun Chunhui Yuan Zheng Liu department of Maternal and Child health School of Public HealthPeking UniversityBeijing 100191China department of General Surgery Peking University Third HospitalBeijing 100191China department of Pathology Peking University Third HospitalSchool of Basic Medical SciencesPeking University Health Science CenterBeijing 100191China Information Management and Big Data Center Peking University Third HospitalBeijing 100191China

Background:Differentiated thyroid cancer(DTC)is commonly diagnosed in women of child-bearing age,but whether pregnancy influences the prognosis of DTC remains *** study aimed to summarize existing evidence regarding the association of pregnancy with recurrence risk in patients previously treated for ***:We searched PubMed,Embase,Web of Science,Cochrane,and Scopus based on the prespecified protocol registered at PROSPERO(CRD42022367896).After study selection,two researchers independently extracted data from the included *** quantitative data synthesis,we used random-effects meta-analysis models to pool the proportion of recurrence(for pregnant women only)and odds ratio(OR;comparing the risk of recurrence between the pregnancy group and the nonpregnancy group),*** we conducted subgroup analyses to explore whether risk of recurrence differed by response to therapy status or duration of follow-up *** also assessed quality of the included ***:A total of ten studies were *** sample size ranged from 8 to 235,with participants’age at pregnancy or delivery ranging from 28 to 35 *** follow-up time varied from 0.1 to 36.0 *** pooled proportion of recurrence in all pregnant patients was 0.13(95%confidence intervals[CI]:0.06-0.25;I^(2):0.58).Among six included studies reporting response to therapy status before pregnancy,we observed a trend for increasingly higher risk of recurrence from excellent,indeterminate,and biochemically incomplete to structurally incomplete response to therapy(P trend0.05)or the OR of recurrence in studies with a comparison group(P>0.05).Two included studies t

关键词： Thyroid cancer Pregnancy Recurrence Women Systematic review Meta-analysis

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Prioritizing Strategies for Building the Resilience of public health Systems to Disasters Across Multiple Communities and Countries

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International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 2024年第1期15卷 1-17页

作者： Benjamin J.Ryan Mayumi Kako Shelby Garner Rok Fink Ismail Tayfur Jonathan Abrahams Sanjaya Bhatia Adriana Campelo Matthew Fendt Alicia Fontenot Nahuel Arenas Garcia Tim Hatch Ryoma Kayano LaShonda Malrey‑Horne Makiko MacDermot Md Moshiur Rahman Chaverle Noel Shuhei Nomura Jeremy P.Novak Maria Opazo Kendell Oliver Luciana Peters Sohel Rahman PerihanŞimşek Andrew Stricklin Raymond Swienton Bryan W.Brooks Frist College of Medicine Belmont UniversityNashvilleTN 37212USA department of Environmental Science Environmental Health Science ProgramCollege of Arts and SciencesBaylor UniversityWacoTX 76798USA Division of Nursing Science School of Biomedical and Health SciencesHiroshima UniversityHiroshima 734-8553Japan Gordon E.Inman College of health sciences and Nursing Belmont UniversityNashvilleTN 37212USA Faculty of health sciences University of Ljubljana1000 LjubljanaSlovenia department of Emergency Medicine University of Health Sciences34668 IstanbulTurkey Monash University Accident Research Center MelbourneVIC 3800Australia Global Education and Training Institute United Nations Ofce for Disaster Risk ReductionIncheon 22004Republic of Korea Regional Ofce for the Americas and Caribbean United Nations Ofce for Disaster Risk ReductionPanama City 0843-03441Panama Engineering and Computer Science Baylor UniversityWacoTX 76798USA department of public health Robbins College of Health and Human SciencesBaylor UniversityWacoTX 76798USA Alabama department of public health MontgomeryAL 36092USA World health Organization Centre for health Development(WHO Kobe Centre) Kobe 651-0073Japan Waco-McLennan County public health District WacoTX 76707USA department of health Policy and Management School of MedicineKeio UniversityTokyo 160-8582Japan department of Global health Policy Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyo 113-0033Japan Tokyo Foundation for Policy Research Tokyo 106-6234Japan Global Development College BrisbaneQLD 4000Australia Municipality of Pudahuel 13124 PudahuelChile City Hall of Porto Alegre Porto Alegre 90010-170Brazil Ministry of health and Family Welfare Government of the People’s Republic of BangladeshDhaka 1000Bangladesh department of Emergency Aid and Disaster Management Trabzon University61335 TrabzonTurkey department of Emergency Medicine UT SouthwesternDallasTX 75390USA

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the urgent need to strengthen public health *** response,the United Nations Disaster Risk Reduction(UNDRR) public health System Resilience Scorecard(Scorecard) was applied in workshops across multiple *** aim of our research was to explore the workshop findings to develop priority strategies for strengthening public health system *** conducted a workshop from 14 to 16 March 2023,at the UNDRR Global Education and Training Institute in Incheon,Republic of Korea.A sequential modified Delphi method was utilized to develop a set of prioritized resilience *** were drawn from 70 strategies identified from 13 distinct workshops in eight *** two surveys,23 strategies were *** received ratings of "High" or Very High" from89% of *** related to the inclusion of public health risks in emergency plans,integrating multidisciplinary teams into public health,enabling local transport mechanisms,and improving the ability to manage an influx of *** Scorecard provides an adaptable framework to identify and prioritize strategies for strengthening public health system *** leveraging this methodology,our study demonstrated how resilience strategies could inform disaster risk reduction funding,policies,and actions.

关键词： health system resilience public policy Resilience scorecard Workshops

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Witness for resolution: post-conflict quadratic affiliation in semi-free ranging pigs

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Current Zoology 2024年第2期70卷 233-243页

作者： Ivan Norscia Edoardo Collarini Carlo Robino Elena Chierto Giada Cordoni department of Life sciences and Systems Biology University of TorinoVia Accademia Albertina 1310123 TorinoItaly department of public health sciences and Pediatric s University of TorinoC.So Galileo Galilei 2210126 TorinoItaly

In social mammals,post-conflict resolution can involve the reunion of former opponents(reconciliation),spontaneous/solicited post-conflict affliation of a third party with either opponent(triadic contacts),and affiliation between other individuals(hereafter bystanders;quadratic contacts).Quadratic contacts-possibly informing complex cognitive abilities-have been neglected in post-conflict *** investi-gated quadratic affliation in semi-free ranging pigs Sus scrofa,at the ethical farm Parva-Domus(Cavagnolo,Italy).Kinship was *** collected behavioral data on adult pigs(n=104)via video recordings(43 h)followed by video *** and anxiety behaviors between bystanders were collected under post-conflict(PC;following a conflict between non-bystanders)and matched-control(MC;no conflict)*** affiliation was present in pigs,as bystanders affliated more in PC than MC,and such affiliation was followed by a decrease in the anxiety behaviors of both the interacting ***,quadratic contacts may be partly aimed at reducing one's own anxiety(intrinsic regulation).Quadratic affiliation was highest between closely related bystanders,which suggests that such affiliation may be most effective when close kin is *** affiliation was lowest after reconciliation and spontaneous triadic *** suggests that direct peacemaking between opponents and spontaneous triadic contacts with close kin may most likely replace quadratic ***,pigs can be influenced by the negative events that affect other pigs-but not themselves-and their response may be modulated by social *** non-random quadratic affiliation may point toward the presence of elements of social appraisal abilities inpigs.

关键词： anxiety reduction emotional regulation reconciliation social appraisal triadic contacts.

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Impact of tourism on the vigilance behavior of the Cyprus rock agama(Laudakia cypriaca)

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Integrative Zoology 2024年第3期19卷 577-583页

作者： Artur GOLAWSKI Iris CHARALAMBIDOU Sylwia GOLAWSKA Faculty of sciences Siedlce University of Natural Sciences and HumanitiesSiedlcePolandand department of Life sciences School of Life and Health SciencesUniversity of NicosiaNicosiaCyprus

Escape behavior is a common antipredator strategy among wild ***,we investigated the effect of four factors on the vigilance behavior of the endemic Cyprus rock agama(Laudakia cypriaca).Flight initiation distance(FID,the minimum distance to which an observer can approach a lizard before it flees)was measured in relation to the type of location(tourist *** area),the observer’s starting distance,air temperature,and substrate *** collected data for 39 agamas in tourist areas and 34 of these lizards in nontourist *** a whole,the mean starting distance was 10.5 m and the FID was 3.6 *** average substrate temperature was 34.0℃ and the average air temperature 29.6℃.Only the type of area affected the agamas’escape decisions with FID being 1.8 m shorter in tourist areas than in nontourist areas(2.7 m vs.4.5 m).This is probably due to the habituation of lizards to the presence of humans in the former *** study shows that tourism strongly affects the behavior of lizards,which may have consequences for the functioning of the *** can increase the safety of lizards by creating a human shield to deter *** the tourist season is over,lizards may become more vulnerable to predators.

关键词： anthropogenic disturbance flight initiation distance lizards tourism vigilance behavior

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A Systematic Analysis of Early Life Exposure to the Chinese Famine(1959-1961)and the health of Older Adults-China,2008-2023

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China CDC weekly 2024年第11期6卷 203-207,I0001-I0003页

作者： Chi Shen Xi Chen School of public Policy and Administration Xi’an Jiaotong UniversityXi’an CityShaanxi ProvinceChina department of health Policy and Management Yale School of Public HealthNew HavenCTU.S department of Economics Yale UniversityNew HavenCTU.S

What is already known about this topic?There is mounting evidence indicating that the aging process initiates during early life stages,with in utero the individual’s environment playing a significant ***,it is crucial to comprehend the enduring effects of early life circumstances on health in old *** is added by this report?In this study,we conducted a meta-analysis to examine the effects of the Chinese Famine(1959–1961)on the health of older *** also explored potential mechanisms underlying these *** are the implications for public health practice?The complex interplay between early life circumstances,multiple health-related sectors,and healthy aging necessitates a comprehensive life-course approach and strategic interventions to enhance public health in an aging society.

关键词： life aging mount

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Ambulance Records as an Information Source to Document and Prevent Fall Injuries in Sweden

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health 2024年第7期16卷 615-625页

作者： Stefan Backe department of public health sciences Faculty of Health Sciences University of Skvde Skvde Sweden

In Sweden, there has been only limited documentation for injuries requiring ambulance responses. The main objective of this study is, through the use of historic data, to assess the suitability of ambulance records to describe circumstances with fall injuries. Methods: The injury events data around patients were sourced from the ambulance data register. Descriptive statistics were used to describe injured patients based on age group, type of injury, place of injury, injury mechanism and consequence of an injury event. Two-group comparison was performed with Pearson’s chi-squared. Predictors of transport to hospital were identified using logistic regression analyses. Result: Ambulance provides unique data on all injury events, with direct implications for translational research, public policy and clinical practice (safety promotion). In 2002 ambulance attended 3964 injured people which represents 14% of ambulance attended workload in Värmland county, Sweden. The most common trauma location was the traffic area followed by residential area and nursing home. These three injury sites account for 2320 cases (61.6%). The most common cause of injury was falls (63.9%) followed by contact with another person (26.5%). Contact with another person is the most common site of injury in the traffic area (79.5%), and men aged 25-66 years are overrepresented. Conclusion: Logistic regression found that, age-group and place code were significant predictor for being attended by ambulance. Traffic, home and nursing homes were over-represented injury environments (61.6%) that require special attention. Most injury cases occur in the home and nursing homes among people over 67 years of age. Surprisingly, most of the injury events in the traffic environment are about hitting another person. Paramedics can provide rich and valuable data on injury events. Registration of such data is entirely possible and desirable, and can be used in preventive work.

关键词： Injury Surveillance Paramedics Falls Hit with the First Injury

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