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China International Business 2009年第2期 54-55页

作者： ANDY XIE Analyst and former MorganStanley chief asia economist

China Economic Outlook——Third quarter

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China Economic Outlook——Third quarter

Sharing China’s Bank Restructuring Bill

作者： DONG JINYUE XIA LE BBVA IMI chief economist for asia

*** growth but with certain signs of moderation and intensification of risks The international economy continues to be subject to tensions of disparate forces between the good economic performance in recent quarters, now prolonged by the fiscal stimulus of the US economy and the stability of the Chinese economy, and several potentially negative factors that have been generated gradually in the first

关键词： China Economic Outlook Third quarter Outlook

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China & World Economy 2006年第3期14卷 19-37页

作者： Guonan Ma Senior economist the Representative Office for Asia and the Pacific of Bank for International Settlements （BIS）

This paper addresses the questions related to the cost of China＇s bank restructuring and how it has been financed. We first propose a framework for recognizing losses. Then, we examine the recent major moves by the Chinese Government to repair the country. ＇s bank balance sheets. Finally, we explore the implications of the Chinese Government＇s methods offunding bank restructuring. We find that the Chinese Government has been decisive in confronting the costly task of bank restructuring. So far, Chinese taxpayers have paid most of the bill for bank restructuring.

关键词： China bank restructuring non-performing loans recapitalization

Russia＇s Vision of the Belt and Road Initiative：From the Rivalry of the Great Powers to Forging a New Cooperation Model in Eurasia

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China & World Economy 2017年第5期25卷 62-77页

作者： Ivan Timofeev Yaroslav Lissovolik Liudmila Filippova Associate Professor Moscow State Institute of International Relations of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia Russia chief economist Eurasian Development Bank Russia Program Manager the Arctic and Asia Pacific Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) Russia

The article aims to highlight Russian approaches to Chinese One Belt-One Roadinitiative. It examines possible opportunities and challenges for co-development of theEurasian Economic Union and the Belt project. Both projects and their co-developmentmay reduce the uncertainty in Eurasia, caused by significant structural changes ininternational relations and the world economy, the emergence of new trade regimesand the erosion of leadership in international affairs. Russian interests in this regardare determined by the need for modernization and long-term development, which couldalso help to address acute security issues. These particular factors encouraged Russiato come up with an ambitious plan of the Extensive Eurasian Partnership, although theprospects of its implementation currently are uncertain. The present article argues thatthe success of Russia-China collaboration in Eurasia will depend crucially on the futuredynamics of the Eurasian integration, as well as on the agreement to co-develop theEurasian Economic Union and the Belt Initiative with concrete and mutually beneficialprojects.

关键词： China, co-development, Eurasia, Eurasian Economic Union, integration, Russia, The Belt Initiative

asia Confronts Its Inflation Challenge

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China's Foreign Trade 2011年第6期 8-9页

作者： Gerard Lyons chief economist and Group Head of Global Research at Standard Chartered Bank

asia is finally waking up to its inflation *** weeks have seen a further round of monetary tightening, with a succession of central banks raising interest rates,or taking other measures to put a cap on rising prices. India,in particular,has taken tougher action than before,with a large rate hike,whilst others such as China have again pushed up reserve requirements. The policy challenge is never easy. Is this a case of too little,too late:taking action after inflation has already taken off and when there are expectations of more to come? Or is it,too much,too soon—as there are tentative signs the world economy has started to slow,in turn taking the heat out of commodity markets,with food and energy prices easing off? The world is two years into an economic *** in many

关键词：亚洲中央银行货币政策

China's Changing Trade Elasticities

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China & World Economy 2008年第3期16卷 1-21页

作者： Jahangir Aziz Xiangming Li Division chief of China Division Asia Pacific Department International Monetary Fund Washington DC USA International Monetary Fund Washington DC USA

China ＇s sectoral trade composition, product quality mix, and the import content of processing exports have all changed substantially during the past decade. This has rendered trade elasticities estimated using aggregate data highly unstable, with more recent data pointing to significantly higher demand and price elasticities. Sectoral differences in these parameters are also very wide. All this suggests greater caution should be exercised when using historical data to simulate the response of China＇s economy to external shocks and exchange rate changes. Analyses based on models with estimated coefficients largely representative of China in the 1980s and 1990s are likely to turn out to be wrong, perhaps even dramatically.

关键词： elasticity exchange rate trade trade balance

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中国和印度的投资策略——殊途同归

金融发展评论 2011年第3期 5-25页

作者：沈明高 Aditya Narain Daniel Lam Rohini Malkani Grace Lam Jitender Tokas 花旗集团 Pan-asia Derivatives/Multi Strategist India economist

两国共舞——中国和印度两国似乎越来越被认为是全球的动荡因素。长期来看,中国必须依赖于消费增长,而印度则必须加强其基础设施和制造业的发展。这两个新兴巨人能否取得最终成功的关键,均在于如何管理经济增长和进一步完善政府机制。... 详细信息

两国共舞——中国和印度两国似乎越来越被认为是全球的动荡因素。长期来看,中国必须依赖于消费增长,而印度则必须加强其基础设施和制造业的发展。这两个新兴巨人能否取得最终成功的关键,均在于如何管理经济增长和进一步完善政府机制。短期来看,中国和印度是两个不同的经济体。首先,中国更加依赖于全球消费。

关键词：印度经济花旗集团投资策略研究与分析资料来源投资研究股票市场中国政府基础设施外国直接投资

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Storm Clouds Ahead

China International Business 2006年第9期 31-31页

作者： ANDY XIE asia Pacific economist of Morgan Stanley

The global macro environment looks to be evolving in the least favorable direction for asia. United States retail sales are surprising on the downside, and oil prices are surprising on the upside. The US is the biggest market for exportoriented asia, and oil prices are the biggest input for the manufacturing-heavy region. If the current trend continues for another six months, I think it could push several economies in the region into recession.

关键词：中东冲突石油问题石油价格美国因素金融市场

Regional Constraints on Macro Management

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China International Business 2006年第10期 31-31页

作者： ANDY XIE asia Pacific economist of Morgan Stanley

The five coastal provinces of Guangdong, Fujian, Zhejiang, Shanghai and Jiangsu account for one fifth of the country's population and dominate China's international competitiveness.

关键词：宏观管理沿海城市城市经济中国贸易

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Beyond the Boom

China International Business 2006年第7期 31-31页

作者： ANDY XIE asia Pacific economist of Morgan Stanley

Annual GDP growth has averaged 10 percent in China in the past three years and 8 percent in India. During the same period,the global economy has enjoyed the biggest boom in decades,averaging 4.5 percent growth a year.

关键词： GDP 中国经济印度经济发展模式