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A New Model to Evaluate the Economic Effects of Floods and Its Application to China

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Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences 2016年第4期9卷 627-641页

作者： Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrad Ibrahim Ndoma Donghyun Park Faculty of Economics and Administration (FEA) University of Malaya 50603 Kuala LumpurMalaysia Principal economist Asian Development Bank (ADB) 6 ADB Avenue1550 Mandaluyong City Metro Manila Philippines

We set forth the macroeconomics evaluation of floods （MEF） model, a new model to assess and evaluate the impact of floods on GNP growth. This model points to a new, more concrete approach to measure the economic impact of floods. Up to now, the measurement has been subject to a great deal of uncertainty. The main contribution of the model is to significantly reduce this uncertainty by mea- suring the impact with four well-defined, economically intuitive indicators. To illuminate and demonstrate its promise, we employ the model to evaluate and analyze the impact of two major floods on the economy of the People＇s Republic of China. Our MEF-model analysis indicates that the floods of Zhangshu and Jiangxi in 2010 caused greater economic damage than the floods of Central South China in 1931. Going forward, MEF-model simulations are a valuable tool for estimating the effect of potential future floods in the PRC and elsewhere.

关键词： Floods Economic impact Economic evaluation MEF-model China

China's Changing Trade Elasticities

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China & World Economy 2008年第3期16卷 1-21页

作者： Jahangir Aziz Xiangming Li Division chief of China Division Asia Pacific Department International Monetary Fund Washington DC USA International Monetary Fund Washington DC USA

China ＇s sectoral trade composition, product quality mix, and the import content of processing exports have all changed substantially during the past decade. This has rendered trade elasticities estimated using aggregate data highly unstable, with more recent data pointing to significantly higher demand and price elasticities. Sectoral differences in these parameters are also very wide. All this suggests greater caution should be exercised when using historical data to simulate the response of China＇s economy to external shocks and exchange rate changes. Analyses based on models with estimated coefficients largely representative of China in the 1980s and 1990s are likely to turn out to be wrong, perhaps even dramatically.

关键词： elasticity exchange rate trade trade balance

On the Characteristics of Chinese Life Insurance Market

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Chinese Business Review 2004年第1期3卷 75-77页

作者： Zhiqing Deng School in Huazhong University for Science and Technology and senior economist of Pinan Insurance Company of China Shenzhen Guangdong518029

The Chinese life insurance market is developing on the road to join in WTO in the new millennium. The rate of increase in the first six months in 2003 reached 41.1%, and the market takes on some characteristics as fol...

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观察世界的窗口——2002年诺贝尔科学奖评述

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世界科学 2003年第1期 34-21页

作者：江泽淳 The economist编辑部

诺贝尔奖评审委员会作出的决定常常使人怀疑在过去的几十年里 ,这些人是否居住在其他星球上。他们所表彰的科学成就往往在当时极具价值 ,而历经时间的洗涤就大为褪色。然而 2 0 0 2年掌握诺贝尔生理学或医学奖评审大权的斯德哥尔摩卡罗... 详细信息

诺贝尔奖评审委员会作出的决定常常使人怀疑在过去的几十年里 ,这些人是否居住在其他星球上。他们所表彰的科学成就往往在当时极具价值 ,而历经时间的洗涤就大为褪色。然而 2 0 0 2年掌握诺贝尔生理学或医学奖评审大权的斯德哥尔摩卡罗林斯卡医学院 ,终于表现出了令人钦佩的把握现实能力。面对这样一个“无法逃避”的话题 :谁将因为人类基因组计划而获奖———它做出的回答似乎是 :一个也不给。以上是对 2 0 0 2年评奖结果的一种诠释。 2 0 0 2年的诺贝尔生理学或医学奖授予了约翰·苏尔斯顿(ＪｏｈｎＳｕｌｓｔｏｎ)、悉尼·布雷内 (ＳｙｄｎｅｙＢｒｅｎｎｅｒ)和罗伯特·霍维茨 (ＲｏｂｅｒｔＨｏｒｖｉｔｚ) ,以表彰他们利用秀丽隐杆线虫对胚胎学所做的贡献。苏尔斯顿应于 1 2月赴斯德哥尔摩领取奖金 ,但他恐怕无法成行———因为他是英国剑桥桑格研究中心实验室的负责人 ,该实验室为由公众筹资的人类基因组测序工程做了许多基础性工作。这的确是聪明的一着。人类基因组计划是一项巨大的成就 ,其中科学与管理占有同等重要的地位 ,但诺贝尔奖并没有设立管理学奖。相形之下 ,苏尔斯顿等的工作是纯科学性的 ,毫无疑问具有诺贝尔奖水准的 ...

关键词：诺贝尔科学奖中微子天文学中微子天体物理学贾科尼

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A Tale of Two Worlds

China's Foreign Trade 2010年第18期000卷 32-32页

作者： Gerard Lyons Dr. Gerard Lyons isHead of Global Research and chief economist at Standard Chartered Bank

The global economy is currently a tale of two worlds. A buoyant East contrasts with a fragile West. The difference is highlighted not just in the economic data but also in the monetary policies being pursued around th... 详细信息

关键词：世界故事全球经济经济数据货币政策

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做善事:付出时间还是金钱?

疯狂英语（阅读版） 2010年第1期 25-27页

作者： Allison Schrager 笑笑 economist basedin New York

有一次，有个朋友邀请我在某个寒冷的冬日去公园里捡垃圾。那是她所在的慈善机构组织的一次社区服务活动。我立刻对她说，我没兴趣。

关键词：金钱时间社区服务活动机构组织朋友

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丛林法则:经济抑或环保?

资源与人居环境 2011年第9期 59-61页

作者：哲伦 The economist编辑部

在婆罗洲丛林里一块空旷的泥泞地上,一名环保主义者正在观察刚刚被砍伐的硬木,这是一种很耐用的热带木材。超过1米的直径、10余米长的巨大原木成堆地躺在他周围。深红色的泥地里扇形的车轮印向周围的森林延伸,那是伐木工和他们的大型载... 详细信息

在婆罗洲丛林里一块空旷的泥泞地上,一名环保主义者正在观察刚刚被砍伐的硬木,这是一种很耐用的热带木材。超过1米的直径、10余米长的巨大原木成堆地躺在他周围。深红色的泥地里扇形的车轮印向周围的森林延伸,那是伐木工和他们的大型载重卡车所留下的。看起来这像是一场环保事业的噩梦,然而这位绿色活动家却满意地笑了。原来,他识别出了这种类型的伐木将会有助于保护日益缩小的印度尼西亚森林。启发环保人士新理念的是订在木材一头的条形码。有扫描仪并能登录数据库的人立刻能发现这棵树属于哪片森林,它目前的状态和最终的命运会怎样,它的品

关键词：木材公司林业纸业美元银行本位币金融机构丛林法则经济

Analysis of soil management and water conservation practices adoption among crop and pasture farmers in humid-south of the United States

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International Soil and Water Conservation Research 2018年第2期6卷 79-86页

作者： Naveen Adusumilli Hua Wang Extension economist Louisiana State University Agricultural Center230Martin D.Woodin HallBaton RougeLA70803USA Center for Natural Resource Economics&Policy Louisiana State UniversityDepartment of Agricultural Economics254B Woodin HallBaton RougeLA70803USA

Nutrient management, water quality protection, and irrigation efficiency top the list of on-farm resource concerns indicating a need to address them through conservation strategies. A suite of Best Management Practices (BMPs) has been identified and recommended, through several outlets, to farmers to ameliorate these concerns. This research examines the adoption of strategies that ameliorate the resource concerns as a joint decision, using a bivariate model. Data from the 2016 Nutrient Management Survey, conducted by the Louisiana Master Farmer Program, are used to examine the factors affecting adoption of these conservation practices. A bivariate probit regression found significant results for explanatory variables and emphasize the effect of perception regarding the role of on-farm practices, ownership of land, participation in conservation programs in the past, and producers educational attainment on the like-lihood of adopting the conservation practices. Implications for policy development and educational programs are discussed.

关键词： Conservation Best management practices Resource concerns Adoption Probit

Guangdong Companies Talk Wages

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China's Foreign Trade 2010年第7期000卷 26-27页

作者： Kelvin Lau Stephen Green Standard Chartered Bank Hong Kong Regional Economist Standard Chartered Bank(China) Limited Head of Research Greater China

Wages are up by 10%in nominal terms in Guangdong province,our survey suggests That is roughly 6-8%in real terms,which is not inflationary,in our view Rising wages add to the list of challenges already faced by PRD manufacturers Factory workers are the winners,though,further supporting consumption growth Wages are on the rise again in Guangdong,a big exporting province,and across much of the rest of *** recent months,there

关键词：工资广东东部沿海沿海地区劳动力中国