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Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression in Assessing Dengue Fever Spread Factors in Yunnan Border Regions

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Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024年第5期37卷 511-520页

作者： ZHU Xiao Xiang WANG Song Wang LI Yan Fei ZHANG Ye Wu SU Xue Mei ZHAO Xiao Tao National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious diseases Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 102211China Yunnan Institute of Parasitic diseases Pu’er 665000YunnanChina

Objective This study employs the Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression(GTWR)model to assess the impact of meteorological elements and imported cases on dengue fever outbreaks,emphasizing the spatial-temporal variability of these factors in border *** We conducted a descriptive analysis of dengue fever’s temporal-spatial distribution in Yunnan border *** annual data from 2013 to 2019,with each county in the Yunnan border serving as a spatial unit,we constructed a GTWR model to investigate the determinants of dengue fever and their spatio-temporal heterogeneity in this *** The GTWR model,proving more effective than Ordinary Least Squares(OLS)analysis,identified significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity in factors influencing dengue fever’s spread along the Yunnan ***,the GTWR model revealed a substantial variation in the relationship between indigenous dengue fever incidence,meteorological variables,and imported cases across different *** In the Yunnan border areas,local dengue incidence is affected by temperature,humidity,precipitation,wind speed,and imported cases,with these factors’influence exhibiting notable spatial and temporal variation.

关键词： Dengue fever Meteorological factor Geographically and temporally weighted regression

The Relationship Between the Atmospheric Environment and Road Traffic Fatalities — Shandong Province, China, 2012–2021

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China CDC weekly 2024年第13期6卷 267-271页

作者： Tao Wang Jie Chu Zhiying Yao Li Yang Zilong Lu Ge Tian Xiaolei Guo Cunxian Jia Department of Epidemiology School of Public HealthCheeloo College of MedicineShandong UniversityJinanShandong ProvinceChina Department for Chronic and Non-communicable Disease control and Prevention Shandong Center for Disease Control and PreventionJinanShandong ProvinceChina

Introduction:This study aims to analyze the potential impact of the meteorological environment and air pollutants on road traffic ***:Road traffic fatality data in Shandong Province from 2012 to 2021 were obtained from the Population Death Information Registration Management *** and air pollutant data for the same period were collected from the *** Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Ecological Environment Monitoring center of Shandong Province,***’s correlation and ridge regression were used to analyze the impact of the meteorological environment and air pollutants on road traffic ***:From 2012 to 2021,there were 163,863 road traffic fatality *** results of the ridge regression analysis showed that the daily average temperature was negatively correlated with total fatalities and passengers and positively correlated with pedestrians,nonmotorized drivers,and motorized *** daily minimum temperature was negatively correlated with total fatalities and positively correlated with motorized *** daily maximum temperature was positively correlated with both pedestrian and nonmotorized *** daily accumulated precipitation was negatively correlated with *** duration was positively correlated with both nonmotorized and motorized *** particulate matter(PM_(10))and nitrogen dioxide(NO_(2))were positively correlated with total fatalities,pedestrians,and nonmotorized *** dioxide(SO_(2))was positively correlated with total fatalities but negatively correlated with nonmotorized drivers,passengers,and motorized ***:Atmospheric factors associated with the occurrence of road traffic fatalities include air temperature,daily accumulated precipitation,sunshine duration,and air pollutants such as PM_(10),NO_(2),and SO_(2).

关键词： Ecological dioxide sunshine

Epidemiological characteristics of centenarian deaths in China during 2013-2020:A trend and subnational analysis

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Chinese Medical Journal 2024年第13期137卷 1544-1552页

作者： Fan Mao Weiwei Zhang Peng Yin Lijun Wang Jinling You Jiangmei Liu Yunning Liu Maigeng Zhou National center for Chronic and Non-communicable Disease control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 100050China

Background:Studies that comprehensively address the characteristics of centenarian deaths are *** present study aimed to depict the characteristics of centenarian deaths in China and their changing ***:Data on centenarian deaths between 2013 and 2020 were obtained from the national mortality surveillance system of China,including date,place of death(PoD),and underlying cause of death(CoD).Descriptive analyses were performed to understand the epidemiological characteristics,and a joinpoint regression model was adopted to examine the changing trends in the proportions of different PoDs,CoDs among centenarians,and centenarian deaths accounting for all deaths and deaths among people aged 65 years and ***:There were 46,938 registered centenarian deaths between 2013 and 2020 that included 34,311 females(73.10%)and 12,627 males(26.90%).January(12.05%),February(9.99%),and December(9.74%)were the top three months with the highest number of *** proportions of deaths that occurred in homes,hospitals,and nursing homes were 81.71%,13.63%,and 2.68%,*** proportion of deaths in nursing homes increased by 9.60%(95%confidence intervals[CIs],6.4-12.9%)from 2014 to *** disease(35.72%)was the leading cause of death,followed by respiratory diseases(17.63%),cerebrovascular disease(15.60%),and old age(11.22%).The proportion of respiratory diseases decreased by 4.8%(95%CI,-8.8 to-0.7%),and the proportion of deaths from old age decreased by 2.3%(95%CI,-4.4 to-0.1%)per *** had the highest proportions of deaths in hospitals(39.38%)and nursing homes(14.68%).Sichuan had the highest proportion of deaths attributed to respiratory diseases(32.30%),while Jiangsu(26.58%)and Zhejiang(23.61%)had the highest proportions of deaths from old ***:Unlike other countries,centenarian deaths in China are characterized by a higher proportion of home and heart disease deaths,and this death pattern differs across provinces.

关键词： Centenarians Death Aging Cardiovascular diseases Respiratory tract diseases Place of death Cause of death

A Review of the Latest control Strategies for Mosquito-Borne diseases

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China CDC weekly 2024年第33期6卷 852-856页

作者： Jing Ni Jinna Wang Chunfu Fang Wenrong Zhang Zhenyu Gong School of Public Health Hangzhou Medical CollegeHangzhou CityZhejiang ProvinceChina Department of communicable Disease control and Prevention Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and PreventionHangzhou CityZhejiang ProvinceChina Quzhou center for Disease control and Prevention Quzhou CityZhejiang ProvinceChina

Mosquito-borne diseases are persistent and potentially severe posing a threat to global pandemic *** risk of mosquito-borne virus transmission is rapidly increasing due to the unprecedented spread of viruses such as dengue and chikungunya,the disruption of global mosquito-borne disease control efforts following the emergence of coronavirus diseases 2019(COVID-19)in 2019,global warming,and human *** address this global challenge,various innovative mosquito control technologies are being developed *** paper summarizes the latest advances in mosquito vector control,focusing on China’s latest mosquito control strategies,to provide insights into implementing novel mosquito-borne disease control measures.

关键词： diseases warming insight

Trends in Incidence of HIV and Syphilis Among Men Who Have Sex with Men—Tianjin Municipality,China,2013-2022

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China CDC weekly 2024年第27期6卷 651-657页

作者： Yan Guo Fangfang Chen Hui Gong Ziming Wu Xinying Zhang Tielin Ning Zhongquan Liu Jianyun Bai Long Li Jie Yang Fangning Zhao Jinyu Hou Maohe Yu Houlin Tang STD&AIDS control and Prevention Section Tianjin Center for Disease Control and PreventionTianjinChina National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious diseases National Center for AIDS/STD Control and PreventionChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina STD&AIDS control and Prevention department Tianjin Hongqiao District Center for Disease Control and PreventionTianjinChina Tianjin Shenlan Public Health Counseling Service center TianjinChina Tianjin Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbiology of Infectious Disease Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and PreventionTianjinChina

Summary What is already known about this topic?Given the common modes of transmission,outbreaks of both human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)and syphilis are primarily observed in men who have sex with men(MSM).However,minimal research has been conducted to concurrently evaluate the rates and trends of HIV and syphilis incidence within this community in *** is added by this report?

关键词： Incidence primarily immunodeficiency

The Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Clustering of Measles—China,2005-2022

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China CDC weekly 2024年第27期6卷 665-669页

作者： Qianqian Liu Jiuhong Li Siyu Liu Lin Tang Xiaoqi Wang Aodi Huang Xia Xu Yuexin Xiu Hong Yang Ning Wen Lance Rodewald Fuzhen Wang Zundong Yin National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious diseases National Immunization ProgramChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina

Introduction:In recent years,the incidence of measles in China has consistently remained below 1 per 100,000 population,yet the disease has not been *** study aims to comprehensively analyze the epidemiological characteristics of measles from 2005 to 2022,identify high-risk populations and areas,and propose targeted ***:We utilized data from the China Disease Prevention and control Information System for our comprehensive *** autocorrelation was employed to examine the spatial clustering of measles,while spatiotemporal scanning analysis was used to detect spatiotemporal clustering to describe measles epidemiology during the study ***:Between 2005 and 2022,732,218 measles cases were reported in ***,the incidence of measles exhibited a downward trend,particularly during the periods of 2008-2011 and *** 2022,the incidence rate reached its historical low at 0.039 per 100,000 *** predominantly affects young *** 2017,global spatial clustering has diminished,although hotspot areas persist in the western ***-temporal scanning identified a high-incidence cluster from 2005 to 2008,comprising 15 provinces in the western,central,and northern regions of ***,from 2016 to 2022,a low-incidence cluster was detected in the southern and central ***:China has made significant progress in measles prevention and *** recent low incidence and absence of substantial spatiotemporal clustering indicate that China is nearing measles ***,there is a continuing need to enhance prevention and control efforts among very young children and in historic incidence hotspots in western ***,improving the diagnosis of vaccine-associated rash illnesses is essential.

关键词： prevention Spatial utilized

Application of wastewater-based epidemiological monitoring of COVID-19 for disease surveillance in the city

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Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2024年第8期18卷 81-87页

作者： Heng Chen Zhenhua Chen Liwen Hu Fengzhu Tang Dan Kuang Jiayi Han Yao Wang Xiao Zhang Yue Cheng Jiantong Meng Rong Lu Lan Zhang Chengdu Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease control and Prevention Chinese Academy of Medical SciencesChengdu 610047China Chengdu center for Disease control and Prevention Chengdu 610047China National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious diseases Beijing 100050China National Institute of Environmental Health Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 100050China

Wastewater-based surveillance serves as a supplementary approach to clinical surveillance of COVID-19 during the *** study aimed to track the prevalence of the disease and the viral genetic variability through wastewater-based surveillance in the post-epidemic *** January to December 2023,samples were collected from the influent lines of two wastewater treatment plants(WWTPs),concentrated using PEG8000,and subjected to detection of the target genes ORF 1ab and N of SARS-CoV-2 via reverse transcriptional quantitative PCR(RT-qPCR).For next-generation sequencing(NGS),high-quality samples from both wastewater and clinical patients were *** analysis were performed using R software to evaluate the correlation between the SARSCoV-2 RNA concentrations in wastewater and positive rate of reported cases,indicating a positive *** diversity patterns of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater resembled those in the patient source based on Principal Coordinates Analysis(PCoA)with three clusters for different *** rise of RNA concentration in wastewater indicates the growth of cases and the emergence of new variants,serving as an early warning of potential viral mutations,disease outbreaks even possible ***,the genomic surveillance of wastewater could help identify new variants that may not be captured through population monitoring,especially when sample sizes are ***,surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in municipal wastewater has emerged as a reliable,earlywarning monitoring system for COVID-19 in the post-epidemic era.

关键词： Wastewater-based epidemiology Monitoring COVID-19 Post-epidemic era

Relationships Between Meteorological Factors and Mongolian Gerbils and Its Flea Burdens—Xilingol League,Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,China,2012–2021

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China CDC weekly 2024年第23期6卷 547-552,I0012-I0018页

作者： Ke Li Zhenxu Wang Xiaohui Wei Haoqiang Ji Meng Shang Nan Chang Zihao Wang Chenran Guo Lei Xu Ning Zhao Qiyong Liu National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious diseases National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and PreventionChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina School of Public Health Nanjing Medical UniversityNanjing CityJiangsu ProvinceChina Cheeloo College of Medicine Shandong UniversitySchool of Public HealthJinan CityShandong ProvinceChina Vanke School of Public Health Tsinghua UniversityBeijingChina

Introduction:Plague is a significant global infectious disease,its spread is linked to host and flea *** conditions can impact flea populations and host densities,hence influencing plague *** the connection between meteorological factors,flea populations,and rodent densities in Inner Mongolia’s natural plague foci can aid in predicting and managing plague ***:Monthly data on flea index,rodent density,meteorological factors,and normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)were collected for the study *** additive modeling(GAM)was used to analyze the non-linear and lag effects of meteorological factors on flea index and rodent *** equation modeling(SEM)was employed to investigate the relationships among meteorological factors,NDVI,flea index,and rodent ***:GAM analysis revealed that temperature,precipitation,relative humidity,and NDVI had significant linear,non-linear,and time-lagged impacts on the density of Mongolian gerbils and the flea *** analysis indicated that meteorological factors could directly influence the density and flea index of Mongolian gerbils,or indirectly impact NDVI,subsequently influencing gerbil density and the flea ***:Meteorological factors primarily influence gerbil density and flea index indirectly by affecting NDVI and the relationship between flea index and gerbil *** study offers additional support for the significance of meteorological factors and NDVI in influencing the vector-rodent system,offering valuable insights for predicting and managing plague outbreaks.

关键词： meteorological offering humidity

Establishment and Application of a Radiation Dose Rate Model for Nuclear Medicine Examinees

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China CDC weekly 2024年第23期6卷 553-557,I0019-I0025页

作者： Yuehua Hu Xinyu He Wenjia Zhao Lixin Ding Meiying You Zihan Li Xinyu Liu Miaomiao Wang Siyi Chen Ziwei Lu Lei Qu Kuke Ding Li Zhang Qiuxian Fu Office of Epidemiology Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina Department of Oncology Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical UniversityJinan CityShandong ProvinceChina National Institute for Radiological Protection Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina National center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina Laboratory Animal center Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina National Institute of Parasitic diseases Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionShanghaiChina Office of Public Health Management Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina Hainan Medical University Haikou CityHainan ProvinceChina

Introduction:Traditional methods for determining radiation dose in nuclear medicine include the Monte Carlo method,the discrete ordinate method,and the point kernel integration *** study presents a new mathematical model for predicting the radiation dose rate in the vicinity of nuclear medicine ***:A new algorithm was created by combining the physical model of“cylinder superposition”of the human body with integral analysis to assess the radiation dose rate in the vicinity of nuclear medicine ***:The model accurately predicted radiation dose rates within distances of 0.1–3.0 m,with a deviation of less than 11%compared to observed *** model demonstrated greater accuracy at shorter distances from the radiation source,with a deviation of only 1.55%from observed values at 0.1 ***:The model proposed in this study effectively represents the spatial and temporal distribution of the radiation field around nuclear medicine patients and demonstrates good agreement with actual *** model has the potential to serve as a radiation dose rate alert system in hospital environments.

关键词： method. deviation cylinder