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Construction of Prediction Model of Foodborne Disease Outbreaks and Its Trend Prediction—Guizhou Province,china,2023-2025

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china cdc weekly 2024年第18期6卷 408-408,I0009,409-412,I0010-I0015页

作者： Li Zhang Sufang Xiong Shu Zhu Jigui Tian Qingyuan Chen Xiaobo Luo Hua Guo Institute of public health surveillance and Evaluation Guizhou Center for Disease Control and PreventionGuiyang CityGuizhou ProvinceChina School of public health Guizhou Medical University.Guiyang CityGuizhou ProvinceChina

Objective:Foodborne diseases pose a significant public health concern *** study aims to analyze the correlation between disease prevalence and climatic conditions,forecast the pattern of foodborne disease outbreaks,and offer insights for effective prevention and control strategies and optimizing health resource allocation policies in Guizhou ***:This study utilized theχ^(2) test and four comprehensive prediction models to analyze foodborne disease outbreaks recorded in the Guizhou Foodborne Disease Outbreak system between 2012 and *** best-performing model was chosen to forecast the trend of foodborne disease outbreaks in Guizhou Province,***:Significant variations were observed in the incidence of foodborne disease outbreaks in Guizhou Province concerning various meteorological factors(all P≤0.05).Among all models,the SARIMA-ARIMAX combined model demonstrated the most accurate predictive performance(RMSE:Prophet model=67.645,SARIMA model=3.953,ARIMAX model=26.544,SARIMA-ARIMAX model=26.196;MAPE:Prophet model=42.357%,SARIMA model=37.740%,ARIMAX model=15.289%,SARIMA-ARIMAX model=13.961%).Conclusion:The analysis indicates that foodborne disease outbreaks in Guizhou Province demonstrate distinct seasonal *** is recommended to concentrate prevention efforts during peak *** SARIMA-ARIMAX hybrid model enhances the precision of monthly forecasts for foodborne disease outbreaks,offering valuable insights for future prevention and control strategies.

关键词： Guizhou prevention offering

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Establishing and Validating Refractive Error Reference Values for Myopia Prediction Among Children Aged 6–12 Years-Jiangsu Province,china,2018-2023

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china cdc weekly 2024年第32期6卷 804-810页

作者： Xiyan Zhang Chen-Wei Pan Wei Du Yonglin Zhou Jie Yang Yan Wang Yiliang Xin Wei Lu Hongxia Ma School of public health Nanjing Medical UniversityNanjing CityJiangsu ProvinceChina Jiangsu Provincial center for Disease Control and Prevention Nanjing CityJiangsu ProvinceChina School of public health Suzhou Medical College of Soochow UniversitySuzhou CityJiangsu ProvinceChina School of public health Southeast UniversityNanjing CityJiangsu ProvinceChina

Summary What is already known about this topic?Previously,it has been proved that a simplified model that uses refraction error value provides a robust and efficient means of predicting myopia for non-myopic *** targeting non-myopic children with alert refraction errors(or insufficient hyperopia reserve)holds significant importance in reducing the incidence rate of *** is added by this report?This study,comprising two phases(surveillance and cohort studies),was aiming to pinpoint the precise refractive error value for the onset of myopia prediction among non-myopic children in Jiangsu *** are the implications for public health practice?First,when conducting myopia screenings using pupil dilation for non-myopic populations:the cycloplegic 50th percentile refractive error emerges as a more precise predictive ***,when conducting myopia screenings without pupil dilation:this study advocates for the incorporation of axial length(AL)and corneal curvature(CC)values as supplementary indicators in screenings.

关键词： precise dating holds

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Drawing on the Development Experiences of Infectious Disease surveillance Systems Around the World

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china cdc weekly 2024年第41期6卷 1065-1074页

作者： Huimin Sun Weihua Hu Yongyue Wei Yuantao Hao Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics School of Public HealthPeking UniversityBeijingChina Peking University center for public health and Epidemic Preparedness&Response BeijingChina Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases(Peking University) Ministry of EducationBeijingChina.

High-quality infectious disease surveillance systems are foundational to infectious disease prevention and *** major infectious disease surveillance systems globally can be categorized as either indicatorbased,which are more specific,or event-based,which are more *** surveillance systems commonly utilize multi-source data,strengthened information sharing,advanced technology,and improved early warning accuracy and *** experience may provide valuable insights for ***’s existing infectious disease surveillance systems require urgent enhancements to monitor emerging infectious diseases and improve the integration and learning capabilities of early warning *** such as establishing multi-stage surveillance systems,promoting cross-sectoral and cross-provincial data sharing,applying advanced technologies like artificial intelligence,and cultivating professional talent should be adopted to enhance the development of intelligent and multipoint-triggered infectious disease surveillance systems in china.

关键词： china. strengthened utilize

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The 2022 report of synergetic roadmap on carbon neutrality and clean air for china:Accelerating transition in key sectors

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Environmental Science and Ecotechnology 2024年第3期19卷 4-18页

作者： Yu Lei Zhicong Yin Xi Lu Qiang Zhang Jicheng Gong Bofeng Cai Cilan Cai Qimin Chai Huopo Chen Renjie Chen Shi Chen Wenhui Chen Jing Cheng Xiyuan Chi Hancheng Dai Xiangzhao Feng Guannan Geng Jianlin Hu Shan Hu Cunrui Huang Tiantian Li Wei Li Xiaomei Li Jun Liu Xin Liu Zhu Liu Jinghui Ma Yue Qin Dan Tong Xuhui Wang Xuying Wang Rui Wu Qingyang Xiao Yang Xie Xiaolong Xu Tao Xue Haipeng Yu Da Zhang Ning Zhang Shaohui Zhang Shaojun Zhang Xian Zhang Xin Zhang Zengkai Zhang Bo Zheng Yixuan Zheng Jian Zhou Tong Zhu Jinnan Wang Kebin He center of Air Quality Simulation and System Analysis Chinese Academy of Environmental PlanningBeijing100041China center for Carbon Neutrality Chinese Academy of Environmental PlanningBeijing100041China Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Ministry of Education/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change(ILCEC)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters(CIC-FEMD)Nanjing University of Information Science&TechnologyNanjing210044China State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control School of EnvironmentTsinghua UniversityBeijing100084China Institute for Carbon Neutrality Tsinghua UniversityBeijing100084China Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling Department of Earth System ScienceTsinghua UniversityBeijing100084China State Key Joint Laboratory for Environment Simulation and Pollution Control College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering and Center for Environment and HealthPeking UniversityBeijing100871China National center for Climate Change Strategy and International CooperationBeijing100035China Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing100029China School of public health Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment of the Ministry of HealthFudan UniversityShanghai200032China School of Economics and Management Beijing University of Chemical TechnologyBeijing100029China Department of Earth System Science University of CaliforniaIrvineCA92697USA National Meteorological center China Meteorological AdministrationBeijing100081China College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering Peking UniversityBeijing100871China Policy Research center for Environment and Economy Ministry of Ecology and Environment of the People's Republic of ChinaBeijing100029China Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring

china is now confronting the intertwined challenges of air pollution and climate *** the high synergies between air pollution abatement and climate change mitigation,the Chinese government is actively promoting synergetic control of these two *** Synergetic Roadmap project was launched in 2021 to track and analyze the progress of synergetic control in china by developing and monitoring key *** Synergetic Roadmap 2022 report is the first annual update,featuring 20 indicators across five aspects:synergetic governance system and practices,progress in structural transition,air pollution and associated weather-climate interactions,sources,sinks,and mitigation pathway of atmospheric composition,and health impacts and benefits of coordinated *** to the comprehensive review presented in the 2021 report,the Synergetic Roadmap 2022 report places particular emphasis on progress in 2021 with highlights on actions in key sectors and the relevant *** milestones include the proportion of non-fossil power generation capacity surpassing coal-fired capacity for the first time,a decline in the production of crude steel and cement after years of growth,and the surging penetration of electric ***,in 2022,china issued the first national policy that synergizes abatements of pollution and carbon emissions,marking a new era for china's pollution-carbon *** changes highlight china's efforts to reshape its energy,economic,and transportation structures to meet the demand for synergetic control and sustainable ***,the country has witnessed a slowdown in carbon emission growth,improved air quality,and increased health benefits in recent years.

关键词： Synergetic roadmap Carbon neutrality Clean air

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Situational Analysis of Malaria Incidence Under Integrated Malaria service in Hotspot Township-Minbya Township,Rakhine State,Myanmar,2017–2020

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china cdc weekly 2024年第17期6卷 374-377页

作者： Aung Than Oo Hong Chen ASEAN Centre for Biodiversity Ringgold standard institution D.M.Lantican AvenueUniversity of the Philippines Los Baños LagunaLos BañosPhilippines center for Global public health Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijingChina

Introduction:Malaria is a significant public health concern and tropical disease,particularly affecting Myanmar within the Greater Mekong *** annual parasite index(API)exceeds 1 per 10,000 population in the northern seven townships of Rakhine State,with Minbya Township designated as a highburden area for malaria by the World health Organization(WHO)Myanmar and the National Malaria Control Programme(NMCP).Since 2017,the Malaria reduction intensification plan has been in place in this township to combat the high disease transmission *** study aims to assess the malaria epidemiology in Minbya Township from 2017 to 2020 under the intensification plan for elimination,as well as to evaluate the effectiveness of the integrated strategy in reducing cases in hotspot ***:The study utilized a surveillance study design to collect secondary data from the Malaria surveillance system(MSS)and the epidemiologic monitoring dashboard of Minbya Township,Maruk-U District,located in Rakhine ***:Since 2017,the Malaria prevention and control(P&C)Program in Minbya Township has successfully decreased malaria morbidity,eliminated malaria-related deaths,and bolstered malaria testing capabilities through the participation of village health volunteers(VHVs).Approximately 87%of malaria prevention and control services are executed by the township’s malaria elimination and disease control programs,with additional support from *** API dropped from 13 in 2017 to 2.5 in 2020,with Plasmodium vivax being the most prevalent malaria species,accounting for 55%of ***:The study suggests that early diagnosis and promotion of artemisinin-based combination treatment(ACT),along with strategic planning including expanding active case detection in rural health centers and implementing a communitybasedcommunitybased integrated healthcare approach,are effective and efficient strategies for malaria elimination.

关键词： Malaria prevention epidemiology

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National Data of Class A, B, and C Communicable Diseases in December 2013 in china

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Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2014年第1期27卷 74-75页

作者： center for public health surveillance information service china cdc center for public health surveillance information service china cdc

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Comparison of Three Influenza surveillance Data Sources for Timely Detection of Epidemic Onset — Chengdu City, Sichuan Province and Beijing Municipality, china, 2017–2023

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china cdc weekly 2024年第36期6卷 918-923,I0004-I0006页

作者： Mingyue Pan Ying Shen Yao Wang Lu Long Xunbo Du Ying Sun Daitao Zhang Hui Yao Yonghong Liu Peng Yang Quanyi Wang Xiaoli Wang Liang Wang Beijing center for Disease Prevention and Control BeijingChina Beijing Research center for Respiratory Infectious Diseases BeijingChina Chengdu center for Disease Control and Prevention Chengdu CitySichuan ProvinceChina

What is already known about this topic?The syndromic surveillance system,exemplified by the influenza-like illness(ILI)surveillance system,has long been crucial in providing early warnings of influenza *** is added by this report?The analysis revealed that employing reported influenza case data from the nationwide Notifiable Infectious Diseases Reporting information System(NIDRIS)enhanced the early detection of influenza epidemics,particularly within the context of multiple respiratory pathogens circulating *** are the implications for public health practice?The NIDRIS,characterized by its extensive coverage,obligatory reporting,high specificity,and real-time data transmission,offers a valuable tool for the effective early detection of influenza *** this system could enhance preparedness and responses to such health crises,potentially mitigating their impact on public health.

关键词： nationwide system specificity

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Mobile device-based Reporting System for Sichuan Earthquake-affected Areas Infectious Disease Reporting in china

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Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2012年第6期25卷 724-729页

作者： GUO Yan SU Xue Mei National center for public health surveillance and information service Chinese Center for Disease Control andPrevention Beijing 102206 China

Objective To describe the experience of the china cdc in rebuilding reporting capacity and response to the Sichuan earthquake through use of mobile phones. Methods Software engineering and business modeling are used to design and develop a cell phone-based reporting system. The PDA-based system used by the Field Adapted Survey Toolkit （FAST） was deployed Results Approximately one week after deployment of the mobile phone-based reporting system, the cumulative reporting rate reached the same level （81%） as the same period in 2007. In the Sichuan provincial pilot investigation for infectious disease, 1339 records were collected using PDAs developed and deployed by FAST. Conclusion The mobile-based system is recognized as a quick and effective response solution to this public health challenge. Our experience suggests that mobile-based data collection tools provide faster, cleaner, standardized, and shareable data for critical decision making. This system could be adapted as complementary to national infectious disease reporting systems after natural disaster occurrences.

关键词： Mobile Earthquake surveillances

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Socioeconomic Impact and Response Strategies to the Multifaceted Respiratory Illness Outbreak in Northern china:Beyond Influenza A and Mycoplasma Pneumoniae

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china cdc weekly 2024年第36期6卷 934-938页

作者： Xi Wang Rongfeng Zhou Ting Li Shuai Du Ayan Mao Wuqi Qiu Hongzhou Lu Institute of Medical information Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina Department of Infectious Diseases National Clinical Research Center for Infectious DiseasesThe Third People’s Hospital of ShenzhenShenzhen CityGuangdong ProvinceChina.

This study examines the socioeconomic and public health effects of a recent respiratory illness outbreak in northern china,focusing on Beijing following the lifting of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)*** analyzes the implications of increased influenza A(H3N2)and Mycoplasma pneumoniae cases on urban health systems and economic *** mixed-methods study integrated a review of academic and governmental literature,a quantitative analysis of public health data,and a qualitative assessment of response *** indicate a significant increase in respiratory illnesses in late 2023,prompting a proactive response from health authorities that involved expanded hospital capacity and intensified ***,including resource limitations and public health fatigue,persisted,affecting response *** outbreak management was achieved through immediate health responses,although the event highlighted the need for improved infrastructure,surveillance,and policy *** emphasize the importance of international collaboration and comprehensive preparedness plans to strengthen global health security for future epidemics.

关键词： intensified lifting prompt

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National Data of Class A, B, and C Communicable Diseases in September 2013 in china

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Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2013年第10期26卷 874-874页

作者： center for public health surveillance and information service,china cdc center for public health surveillance and information service China CDC

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