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Increased population exposures to extreme precipitation in Central Asia under 1.5℃and 2℃global warming scenarios

Geography and Sustainability 2024年第3期5卷 343-356页

作者： Wei Wei Shan Zou Weili Duan Yaning Chen Shuai Li Takahiro Sayama Jianyu Zhu State Key Laboratory of Desert and oasis Ecology Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid LandsXinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesÜrümqi 830011China University of Chinese Academy of Science Beijing 100049China Aksu national station of observation and research for oasis agro-ecosystem Aksu 843017China Disaster Prevention research Institute Kyoto UniversityKyoto 6110011Japan

The increase in extreme precipitation(EP)may pose a serious threat to the health and safety of population in arid and semi-arid *** current research on the impact of EP on population in Central Asia(CA)is insufficient and there is an urgent need for a comprehensive ***,we opted for precipitation and temperature data under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways(SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5)from ten Global Climate Models(GCMs),which were obtained from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections(NEX-GDDP-CMIP6).By integrating population data in 2020 and 2050(SSP2 and SSP5),we investigated the future changes in EP and population exposure in CA under 1.5℃and 2℃global warming scenarios(GWSs).Our analysis indicates that EP in CA is projected to increase with global *** the SSP5-8.5,the maximum daily precipitation(Rx1day)exhibits an average response rate to global warming of 3.58%/K(1.99-4.06%/K).With rising temperatures,an increasing number of areas and populations in CA will be impacted by EP,especially in the Fergana *** 25%of the population(land area)in CA is exposed to Rx1day with increases of more than 8.31%(9.32%)under 1.5℃GWS and 14.18%(13.25%)under 2℃*** temperature rise can be effective in reducing population exposures to *** instance,limiting the temperature increase to 1.5℃instead of 2℃results in a 2.79%(1.75%-4.59%)reduction in population exposure to ***,we found that climate change serves as the predominant factor influencing the population exposure to EP,while the role of population redistribution,although relatively minor,should not be *** for prolonged drought,the role of population redistribution manifests negatively.

关键词： Extreme precipitation Global warming Population exposure Central Asia

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Impacts of climate change and human activities on vegetation dynamics on the Mongolian Plateau, East Asia from 2000 to 2023

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Journal of Arid Land 2024年第8期16卷 1062-1079页

作者： YAN Yujie CHENG Yiben XIN Zhiming ZHOU Junyu ZHOU Mengyao WANG Xiaoyu School of Soil and Water Conservation Beijing Forestry UniversityBeijing 100083China Experimental Center of Desert Forestry Chinese Academy of ForestryDengkou 015200China Inner Mongolia Dengkou Desert ecosystem national observation research station National Forestry and Grassland AdministrationDengkou 015200China

The Mongolian Plateau in East Asia is one of the largest contingent arid and semi-arid areas of the *** the impacts of climate change and human activities,desertification is becoming increasingly severe on the Mongolian *** the vegetation dynamics in this region can better characterize its ecological *** this study,based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)images,we calculated the kernel normalized difference vegetation index(kNDVI)on the Mongolian Plateau from 2000 to 2023,and analyzed the changes in kNDVI using the Theil-Sen median trend analysis and Mann-Kendall significance *** further investigated the impact of climate change on kNDVI change using partial correlation analysis and composite correlation analysis,and quantified the effects of climate change and human activities on kNDVI change by residual *** results showed that kNDVI on the Mongolian Plateau was increasing overall,and the vegetation recovery area in the southern region was significantly larger than that in the northern *** 50.99%of the plateau showed dominant climate-driven effects of temperature,precipitation,and wind speed on kNDVI *** analysis showed that climate change and human activities together contributed to 94.79%of the areas with vegetation *** human activities promoted the recovery of local vegetation,and climate change inhibited vegetation growth in the northern part of the Mongolian *** study provides scientific data for understanding the regional ecological environment status and future changes and developing effective ecological protection measures on the Mongolian Plateau.

关键词： kernel normalized difference vegetation index(kNDVI) human activities climate change partial correlation analysis composite correlation analysis residual analysis Mongolian Plateau

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Host plant traits play a crucial role in shaping the composition of epiphytic microbiota in the arid desert,Northwest China

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Journal of Arid Land 2024年第5期16卷 699-724页

作者： ZHANG Jun ZHANG Yuanming ZHANG Qi State Key Laboratory of Desert and oasis Ecology Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid LandsXinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Biodiversity Conservation and Application in Arid Lands Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China Xinjiang Field Scientific observation research station of Tianshan Wild Fruit Forest ecosystem Yili Botanical GardenXinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China College of Life Sciences Shihezi UniversityShihezi 832003China

Phyllosphere microorganisms are a crucial component of environmental microorganisms,highly influenced by host characteristics,and play a significant role in plant health and ***,the impact of host characteristics on shaping phyllosphere microbial communities of plants with different life forms remains *** high-throughput sequencing technology,this study analyzed the diversity and community composition of phyllosphere epiphytic microorganisms(e.g.,bacteria and fungi)of various plant life forms in the hinterland of the Gurbantunggut Desert,Northwest *** annotation of prokaryotic taxa(FAPROTAX)and fungi function guild(FUNGuild)were employed to assess the ecological functions of microorganisms and to investigate the role of stochastic and deterministic processes in shaping phyllosphere microbial *** showed a diverse array of phyllosphere epiphytic microorganisms in the desert plants,with Proteobacteria,Cyanobacteria,and Actinobacteriota dominating bacterial community,while Ascomycota and Basidiomycota were prevalent in fungal *** across different plant life forms highlighted distinct microbial communities,indicating strong filtering effects by plant *** prediction identified intracellular parasites(accounting for 27.44%of bacterial community abundance),chemoheterotrophy(10.12%),and phototrophy(17.41%)as the main functions of epiphytic bacteria on leaves of different life form *** prediction indicated that phyllosphere epiphytic fungi primarily served as Saprotrophs(81.77%),Pathotrophs(17.41%),and Symbiotrophs(0.82%).Co-occurrence network analysis demonstrated a predominance of positive correlations among different microbial ***-Crick dissimilarity index analysis revealed that deterministic processes predominantly influenced phyllosphere bacterial and fungal community *** partitioning analysis and random forest modeling suggested that pla

关键词： phyllosphere epiphytic bacteria phyllosphere epiphytic fungi community structure community diversity functional diversity plant life form plant functional traits

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Snowpack variations and their hazardous effects under climate warming in the central Tianshan Mountains

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Advances in Climate Change research 2024年第3期15卷 442-451页

作者： Jian-Sheng HAO Yan WANG Lan-Hai LI Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources ResearchChinese Academy of Sciences(CAS)Beijing 100101China Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Utilization in Arid Zone Urumqi 830011China State Key Laboratory of Desert and oasis Ecology Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China Tianshan Snowcover and Avalanche observation and research station of Xinjiang Xinyuan 835800China CAS research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia Urumqi 830011China

Climate change alters snowpack evolution,which in turn influences the likelihood of snow avalanches and flood *** lack of systemic observational data on key snow characteristics in high mountains remains a scientific challenge in terms of systematically elucidating the dynamic chain of variations in climate-snowpack-snow *** restricts our understanding and poses challenges in the prediction of snow-related disaster *** such,this study analysed the variations of temperature and snowfall and the physical characteristics of snowpacks based on ground-based observations from the Kunse River Valley situated in the Tianshan Mountains from 1967 to *** results reveal that the temperature increased significantly by 0.32°C per decade(p<0.01)during the snow season,along with more extreme snowfall *** snow-cover duration was observed to have been shortened by 4.77 d per decade(p<0.01)from 1967 to 2021,which is characterised by later snow-cover onset and earlier ***,average and maximum snow depths increased along with an increase in peak snow water equivalent,thus indicating a higher frequency of extremely scarce or abundant snow *** low snowpack temperature gradient and earlier snowmelt dates in spring lead to earlier occurrences of snowmelt floods and wet *** the risks of these events increase,they pose greater threats to farmlands,road transportation,water-electricity infrastructure and several other human ***,these insights are critical for providing vital information that can deepen our understanding of the impact of climate change on snowpack characteristics and improve management strategies for snow-related disaster prevention and mitigation.

关键词： Climate change Snowpack variations Snow-related disaster Tianshan Mountains

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Characteristics and drivers of the soil multifunctionality under different land use and land cover types in the drylands of China

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Regional Sustainability 2024年第3期5卷 99-110页

作者： SONG Boyi ZHANG Shihang LU Yongxing GUO Hao GUO Xing WANG Mingming ZHANG Yuanming ZHOU Xiaobing ZHUANG Weiwei College of Life Sciences Xinjiang Normal UniversityUrumqi830054China State Key Laboratory of Desert and oasis Ecology Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid LandsXinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi830011China Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Biodiversity Conservation and Application in Arid Lands Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi830011China Xinjiang Field Scientific observation research station of Tianshan Wild Fruit Forest ecosystem Ili Botanical GardenXinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesIli844900China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100049China

The drylands of China cover approximately 6.6×106 km2 and are home to approximately 5.8×10^(8)people,providing important ecosystem services for human survival and ***,dryland ecosystems are extremely fragile and sensitive to external environmental *** use and land cover(LULC)changes significantly impact soil structure and function,thus affecting the soil multifunctionality(SMF).However,the effect of LULC changes on the SMF in the drylands of China has rarely been *** this study,we investigated the characteristics of the SMF changes based on soil data in the 1980s from the national Tibetan Plateau Data *** explored the drivers of the SMF changes under different LULC types(including forest,grassland,shrubland,and desert)and used structural equation modeling to explore the main driver of the SMF *** results showed that the SMF under the four LULC types decreased in the following descending order:forest,grassland,shrubland,and *** main driver of the SMF changes under different LULC types was mean annual temperature(MAT).In addition to MAT,pH in forest,soil moisture(SM)and soil biodiversity index in grassland,SM in shrubland,and aridity index in desert are crucial factors for the SMF ***,the SMF in the drylands of China is regulated mainly by MAT and pH,and comprehensive assessments of the SMF in drylands need to be performed regarding LULC *** results are beneficial for evaluating the SMF among different LULC types and predicting the SMF under global climate change.

关键词： Soil multifunctionality(SMF) Land use and land cover(LULC)changes Structural equation modeling(SEM) Climate change Dryland ecosystems

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Comparison of the water consumption levels of four shelterbelt tree species in a typical arid oasis in Northwest China

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International Journal of Agricultural and Biological Engineering 2024年第2期17卷 169-176页

作者： Shuai Fu Bingxian Xu Yufang Leng Yuxin Peng Guogen Tao Lanhai Li School of Taxation and Public Administration Jiangxi University of Finance and EconomicsNanchang 330013China research team of International price analysis and prediction of bulk commodities Jiangxi University of Finance and EconomicsNanchang 330013China School of Foreign Languages Jiangxi University of Finance and EconomicsNanchang 330013China Laboratory of Water Cycle and Water Use in Arid Region Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China Tianshan Snow Cover and Avalanche observation and research station of Xinjiang Xinyuan 835800XinjiangChina

The shelterbelt is an indispensable barrier to the ecological and economic development of an *** moisture,groundwater and irrigation greatly affect the shelterbelt water consumption and *** this study,the transpiration rate of shelterbelt trees,soil moisture and meteorological data were collected to determine the effects of soil moisture and meteorological factors on the water consumption of different shelterbelt tree species via multivariate statistical *** results showed that the water consumption rate was positively correlated with solar radiation,air temperature and ***,the leaf transpiration rate exhibited the trend of *** Jabl.˃***˃*** Carr.>***,while the average daily water consumption decreased in the order of ***>*** Jabl.>*** Carr.>*** average daily water consumption levels of ***,*** Jabl.,*** *** *** were(9.15±0.92)kg/(tree∙d),(6.95±1.41)kg/(tree∙d),(4.43±1.32)kg/(tree∙d),and(1.58±0.18)kg/(tree∙d),*** the growing season,the soil water consumption levels of ***,*** Jabl.,*** Carr.,and *** in each shelterbelt tree stand reached 674.8,336.9,358.1 and 161.7 kg,*** than 96%of the soil moisture lost was provided by the upper 120-cm soil *** the influence and contribution of soil water and meteorological factors to shelterbelt water consumption is beneficial for shelterbelt management and protection.

关键词： water consumption irrigation management shelterbelts soil moisture climatic factors

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Monitoring and analysis of snow cover change in an alpine mountainous area in the Tianshan Mountains,China

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Journal of Arid Land 2022年第9期14卷 962-977页

作者： ZHANG Yin GULIMIRE Hanati SULITAN Danierhan HU Keke State Key Laboratory of Desert and oasis Ecology Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China Aksu national station of observation and research for oasis agro-ecosystem Aksu 843017China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China Xinjiang Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower research Urumqi 830049China

Estimating the snow cover change in alpine mountainous areas(in which meteorological stations are typically lacking)is crucial for managing local water resources and constitutes the first step in evaluating the contribution of snowmelt to runoff and the water *** this paper,taking the Jingou River Basin on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains,China as an example,we combined a new moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer(MODIS)snow cover extent product over China spanning from 2000 to 2020 with digital elevation model(DEM)data to study the change in snow cover and the hydrological response of runoff to snow cover change in the Jingou River Basin under the background of climate change through trend analysis,sensitivity analysis and other *** results indicate that from 2000 to 2020,the annual average temperature and annual precipitation in the study area increased and snow cover fraction(SCF)showed obvious signs of ***,there were significant regional differences in the spatial distribution of snow cover days(SCDs),which were numerous in the south of the basin and sparse in the central of the *** affecting the change in snow cover mainly included temperature,precipitation,elevation,slope and *** to precipitation,temperature had a greater impact on *** annual variation in SCF was limited above the elevation of 4200 m,but it fluctuated greatly below the elevation of 4200 *** results can be used to establish prediction models of snowmelt and runoff for alpine mountainous areas with limited hydrological data,which can provide a scientific basis for the management and protection of water resources in alpine mountainous areas.

关键词： snow cover fraction snow cover days snowmelt runoff sensitivity analysis climate change Jingou River Basin Tianshan Mountains

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Spatio-temporal variation of soil moisture in a fixed dune at the southern edge of the Gurbantunggut Desert in Xinjiang, China

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Journal of Arid Land 2019年第5期11卷 685-700页

作者： ZHU Hai HU Shunjun YANG Jingsong Fidele KARAMAGE LI Hao FUSihua State Key Laboratory of Soil and Sustainable Agriculture Institute of Soil ScienceChinese Academy of SciencesNanjing 210008China State Key Laboratory of Desert and oasis Ecology Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and GeographyChinese Academy of SciencesUrumqi 830011China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China akesu national station of observation and research for oasis agro-ecosystem Aksu 843017China Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology Chinese Academy of SciencesNanjing 210008China

Soil moisture is critical for vegetation growth in ***,detailed data regarding the soil moisture distribution in space and time in the Gurbantunggut Desert of China have not yet been *** this study,we conducted a series of in situ observation experiments in a fixed sand dune at the southern edge of the Gurbantunggut Desert from February 2014 to October 2016,to explore the spatio-temporal variation of soil moisture content,investigate the impact of Haloxylon ammodendron(***.)Bungeon soil moisture content in its root zone,and examine the factors influencing the soil moisture spatial ***-way analysis of variance,least significant difference tests and correlation analysis were used to analyze the *** results revealed that the soil moisture content exhibited annual periodicity and the temporal variation of soil moisture content throughout a year could be divided into three periods,namely,a moisturegaining period,a moisture-losing period and a moisture-stable *** to the temporal and spatial variability,the 0–400 cm soil profile could be divided into two layers:an active layer with moderate variability and a stable layer with weak *** temporal variability was larger than the spatial variability in the active layer,and the mean profile soil moisture content at different slope positions displayed the trend of decreasing with increasing relative height and mainly followed the order of interdune area>west and east slopes>slope *** mean profile soil moisture content in the root zone of dead *** individuals was significantly higher than that in the root zones of adult and young individuals,while the soil moisture content in the root zone of adult individuals was slightly higher than that in the root zone of young individuals with no significant *** spatial pattern of soil moisture was attributable to the combined effects of snowfall,vegetation and soil texture,whereas the effects of rainfall a

关键词： fixed sand dune soil moisture root zone Haloxylon ammodendron Gurbantunggut Desert

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Relations between soil heterogeneity and common reed(Phragmites australis *** Steud.) colonization in the Keriya River Basin,Xinjiang of China

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Journal of Arid Land 2014年第6期6卷 753-761页

作者： Lu GONG ChangJun LI Tashpolat TIYIP College of Resources and Environment Science Xinjiang University Key Laboratory of oasis Ecology Ministry of Education Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography Chinese Academy of Sciences Cele national station of observation & research for Desert-Grassland ecosystem in Xinjiang

How common reed （Phragmites australis Trin. ex Steud.） colonization correlates to soil heterogeneity and environmental determinants remains unclear in arid areas. We conducted a field investigation and soil sampling in 100 plots along Keriya River Basin to uncover the relationship between common reed and heterogeneous soils. Reed colonization variables and its soil properties were measured and recorded for the analysis of their relationship using Pearson correlation and redundancy analysis methods. The comparison results of common reed characteris- tics among 100 plots showed that common reeds performed strong tolerance and ecophysiological plasticity to edaphic stresses. Common reed colonization was tightly connected to soil heterogeneity according to the correla- tion analysis between its colonization characteristics and soil properties. Common reed colonization got feedbacks on soil properties as well, including the increase of soil organic matter and the alleviation of salt uplifting. The main limiting environmental determinant of common reed colonization was soil salt, followed by pH and soil water content.

关键词： soil heterogeneity plant colonization common reed plasticity determinant

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Responses of root growth of Alhagi sparsifolia Shap. (Fabaceae) to different simulated groundwater depths in the southern fringe of the Taklimakan Desert, China

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Journal of Arid Land 2013年第2期5卷 220-232页

作者： FanJiang ZENG Cong SONG HaiFeng GUO Bo LIU WeiCheng LUO DongWei GUI Stefan ARNDT DaLi GUO State Key Laboratory of Desert and oasis Ecology Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography Chinese Academy of Sciences Cele national station of observation and research for Desert-Grassland ecosystem University of Chinese Academy of Sciences School of Forest and ecosystem Science University of Melbourne Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources research Chinese Academy of Sciences

Alhagi sparsifolia Shap. （Fabaceae） is a spiny, perennial herb. The species grows in the salinized, arid regions in North China. This study investigated the response characteristics of the root growth and the dis- tribution of one-year-old A. sparsifolia seedlings to different groundwater depths in controlled plots. The eco- logical adaptability of the root systems of A. sparsifolia seedlings was examined using the artificial digging method. Results showed that：（1） A. sparsifolia seedlings adapted to an increase in groundwater depth mainly through increasing the penetration depth and growth rate of vertical roots. The vertical roots grew rapidly when soil moisture content reached 3%-9%, but slowly when soil moisture content was 13%-20%. The vertical roots stopped growing when soil moisture content reached 30% （the critical soil moisture point）. （2） The morphological plasticity of roots is an important strategy used by A. sparsifolia seedlings to obtain water and adapt to dry soil conditions. When the groundwater table was shallow, horizontal roots quickly expanded and tillering increased in order to compete for light resources, whereas when the groundwater table was deeper, vertical roots developed quickly to exploit space in the deeper soil layers. （3） The decrease in groundwater depth was probably respon- sible for the root distribution in the shallow soil layers. Root biomass and surface area both decreased with soil depth. One strategy of A. sparsifolia seedlings in dealing with the increase in groundwater depth is to increase root biomass in the deep soil layers. The relationship between the root growth/distribution of A. sparsifolia and the depth of groundwater table can be used as guidance for harvesting A. sparsifolia biomass and managing water resources for forage grasses. It is also of ecological significance as it reveals how desert plants adapt to arid environments.

关键词： Alhagi sparsifolia Shap. simulated groundwater depth root system growth and distribution ecological adaptability root morphological plasticity

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