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Evaluation and Forecasting of wind Energy Investment Risk along the Belt and Road Based on a Novel Hybrid Intelligent Model

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Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences 2021年第9期128卷 1069-1102页

作者： Liping Yan Wei-Chiang Hong Department of Economic Management North China Electric Power UniversityBaoding071000China Department of Industrial and Business Management Chang Gung UniversityTaoyuanTaiwan

The timely and effective investment risk assessment and forecasting are of great significance to ensure the investment safety and sustainable development of wind energy along the Belt and *** order to obtain the scientific and real-time forecasting result,this paper constructs a novel hybrid intelligent model based on improved cloud model combined with GRA-TOPSIS and ***,the factors influencing investment risk of wind energy along the Belt and Road are identified fromthree dimensions:endogenous risk,exogenous risk and process *** the fuzzy threshold method,the final input index system is ***,the risk evaluation method based on improved cloud model andGRA-TOPSIS is ***,a modern intelligent model based on MBA-WLSSVMis *** modified bat algorithm(MBA),tent chaotic map is utilized to improve the basic bat algorithm,while weighted least squares support vector machine(WLSSVM)adopts wavelet kernel function to replace the traditional radial basis function to complete the model ***,an example is given to verify the scientificity and accuracy of themodel,which is helpful for investors tomake fast and effective investment risk forecasting of wind energy along the Belt and *** example analysis proves that the proposedmodel can provide reference and basis for investment corpus to formulate the investment strategy in wind energy along the Belt and Road.

关键词： The belt and road wind power industry investment risk evaluation improved cloud model GRA TOPSIS WLSSVM MBA

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Industrial Arrangement of Large-scale,Non-grid-connected wind power Industrial Zones in Coastal Areas of China

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Chinese Geographical Science 2012年第1期22卷 109-118页

作者： JIN Pingbin FU Zhiwei BAN Maosheng Department of Earth Sciences Zhejiang University Hangzhou 310027 China Beijing Tsinghua Urban Planning ＆ DesignInstitute Beijing 100085 China China Academy of West Region Development Zhejiang University Hangzhou 310028 China

Constructing an industrial system for a large-scale,non-grid-connected wind power industry is a key step towards the diverse utilization of wind ***,wind power exploitation is not only a technical challenge but an industrial problem as *** objective of this study is to introduce a concept of large-scale,non-grid-connected wind power(LSNGCWP) industrial zones and establish an evaluation model to assess their industrial *** data of wind energy,industry,nature resources and socio-economy were collected in this *** spatial overlay analysis of geographic information system,this study proposes a spatial arrangement of the LSNGCWP indus-trial zones in the coastal areas of China,which could be summarized as the 'one line and three circles' structure,which will contribute to the optimization of the industrial structure,advance the wind power technology,coordinate the multi-industrial cooperation,and upgrade the industrial transformation of China's coastal areas.

关键词： coastal areas in China wind energy resources large-scale non-grid-connected wind power industry industrial arrangement

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市场均衡、效应锁定和控制权拿捏：由我国风电产业生发

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产业经济 2012年第2期

作者：王子龙许箫迪

对风电产业发展路径依赖效应的研究表明，传统资源模式下对原有经济制度、能源禀赋、传统技术和现有产业结构的路径依赖严重制约我国风电产业的推广和发展。应尽快制定科学、合理的风电产业政策体系，按照市场经济规律的要求，运用法律... 详细信息

对风电产业发展路径依赖效应的研究表明，传统资源模式下对原有经济制度、能源禀赋、传统技术和现有产业结构的路径依赖严重制约我国风电产业的推广和发展。应尽快制定科学、合理的风电产业政策体系，按照市场经济规律的要求，运用法律、财政、税收、信贷等手段调节或影响市场主体的行为，破解我国风电产业发展难题。

关键词：风电产业路径依赖锁定效应制度安排 wind power industry path dependence lock-in effect system arrangement

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