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Shifting of summertime weather extremes in Western Europe during 2012-2020

Advances in Climate Change Research 2022年第2期13卷 218-227页

作者： Kai-Qiang DENG Cesar AZORIN-MOLINA Song YANG Chun-Di HU Gang-Feng ZHANG Lorenzo MINOLA Sergio VICENTE-SERRANO Deliang CHEN School of Atmospheric Sciences and Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies Sun Yat-sen UniversityZhuhai 519082China Regional Climate Group Department of Earth SciencesUniversity of GothenburgGothenburg 40530Sweden Centro de Investigaciones Sobre Desertificación Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas(CIDE-CSIC)Moncada 46113Spain Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai) Zhuhai 519082China State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management Ministry of Emergency Management and Ministry of EducationBeijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas(IPE–CSIC)Zaragoza 50059Spain

Over the past decades,droughts and heatwaves frequently appeared in Western Europe(45°-65°N,10°W-20°E)during boreal summer,causing huge impacts on human society and ecosystems.Although these extremes are projected to increase in both frequency and intensity under a warming climate,our knowledge of their interdecadal variations and causes is relatively limited.Here we show that the droughts and heatwaves in Western Europe have shifted in their trends in the last decade:for 1979-2012,wind speed and precipitation have both strengthened in Western Europe;for 2012-2020,however,Western Europe have experienced declined wind speed,decreased precipitation,and higher air temperature,leading to more frequent droughts and heatwaves there.Recent changes in the WE climate and extremes are related to the variations of the North Atlantic westerly jet stream.In 1979-2012(2012-2020),the westerly jet stream shifted equatorward(poleward),which enhanced(reduced)transportation of water vapor fluxes from the North Atlantic Ocean to the European land areas,resulting in wetter(drier)surface in Western Europe.Further analysis suggests that phase changes in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation could have played a key role in regulating the position of the jet stream,providing important implications for decadal predictions of the Western Europe summertime climate and weather extremes.

关键词： Extremes Western Europe westerly jet stream Pacific decadal oscillation

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Alternation of the Atmospheric Teleconnections Associated with the Northeast China Spring Rainfall during a Recent 60-Year Period

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2023年第1期40卷 168-176页

作者： Zhiwei ZHU Rui LU Shanshan FU Hua CHEN Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Ministry of Education(KLME)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters(CIC-FEMD)/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change(ILCEC)Nanjing University of Information Science and TechnologyNanjing 210044China

Northeast China(NEC)is China’s national grain production base,and the local precipitation is vital for agriculture during the springtime.Therefore,understanding the dynamic origins of the NEC spring rainfall(NECSR)variability is of socioeconomic importance.This study reveals an interdecadal change in the atmospheric teleconnections associated with the NECSR during a recent 60-year period(1961-2020).Before the mid-1980s,NECSR had been related to a Rossby wave train that is coupled with extratropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature(SST),whereas,since the mid-1980s,NECSR has been linked to a quite different Rossby wave train that is coupled with tropical North Atlantic SST.Both Rossby wave trains could lead to enhanced NECSR through anomalous cyclones over East Asia.The weakening of the westerly jet over North America is found to be mainly responsible for the alternation of the atmospheric teleconnections associated with NECSR during two epochs.

关键词： Northeast China spring rainfall Rossby wave train interdecadal change westerly jet stream

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Variations of Winter Precipitation over Southeastern China in Association with the North Atlantic Oscillation

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Journal of Meteorological Research 2017年第3期31卷 476-489页

作者： Maoyuan LOU Chao LI Shifeng HAO Juan LIU Zhejiang Provincial Meteorological Observatory Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences Zhejiang Meteorological Service Center

The synoptic-scale winter precipitation variations over southeastem China （22°-32°N, 105°-125°E） and their asso- ciation with the North Atlantic Oscillation （NAO） during 1951-2007 are investigated in this paper. The variability of wintertime precipitation is characterized by meridional displacement of its maximum center. Two precipitation re- gimes, with maximum centers located over the Yangtze and Pearl River basins, are identified via cluster analysis. Time-lagged analyses suggest that the two precipitation regimes are connected with the decaying phases of positive NAO （NAO＋） events of different amplitudes. A strong （medium） NAO＋ event is defined as one when the maximum amplitude of the NAO index exceeds 1.0 （in the range of 0.7-1.0） for at least 4 consecutive days and drops to less than 0.3 within 7 days following the peak index. After the peak of a strong NAO＋, southerly winds expand north- ward to the Yangtze River （about 30°N）, a northeast-southwest-tilted trough migrates to east of Lake Baikal, and cold air intrudes into central eastern China; thus, precipitation is strengthened over the Yangtze River basin where warm and cold air masses converge. In comparison, during the decaying phase of medium NAO＋ events, the south- erly winds are relatively weak, and precipitation tends to be enhanced at lower latitudes （around 25°N）. Further ana- lysis indicates that downstream Rossby-wave propagation may account for the latitudinal expansion of the southerly wind anomalies over the eastern coastal area of China during the decaying phase of NAO＋ events of different strengths.

关键词： precipitation regime North Atlantic Oscillation （NA0） cluster analysis westerly jet stream

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