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GA-Stacking:A New Stacking-Based Ensemble Learning Method to Forecast the COVID-19 Outbreak

Computers, Materials & Continua 2023年第2期74卷 3945-3976页

作者： Walaa N.Ismail Hessah A.Alsalamah Ebtesam Mohamed Department of Management Information Systems College of Business AdministrationAl Yamamah UniversityRiyadh11512Saudi Arabia Faculty of Computers and Information Minia UniversityMinia61519Egypt Information Systems Department College of Computer and Information SciencesKing Saud UniversityRiyadh4545Saudi Arabia Computer Engineering Department College of Engineering and ArchitectureAl Yamamah UniversityRiyadh11512Saudi Arabia

As a result of the increased number of COVID-19 cases,Ensemble Machine Learning(EML)would be an effective tool for combatting this pandemic *** ensemble of classifiers can improve the performance of single machine learning(ML)classifiers,especially stacking-based ensemble *** utilizes heterogeneous-base learners trained in parallel and combines their predictions using a meta-model to determine the final prediction ***,building an ensemble often causes the model performance to decrease due to the increasing number of learners that are not being properly ***,the goal of this paper is to develop and evaluate a generic,data-independent predictive method using stacked-based ensemble learning(GA-Stacking)optimized by aGenetic Algorithm(GA)for outbreak prediction and health decision aided ***-Stacking utilizes five well-known classifiers,including Decision Tree(DT),Random Forest(RF),RIGID regression,Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator(LASSO),and eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),at its first *** also introduces GA to identify comparisons to forecast the number,combination,and trust of these base classifiers based on theMean Squared Error(MSE)as a fitness *** the second level of the stacked ensemblemodel,a Linear Regression(LR)classifier is used to produce the final *** performance of the model was evaluated using a publicly available dataset from the Center for Systems Science and Engineering,Johns Hopkins University,which consisted of 10,722 data *** experimental results indicated that the GA-Stacking model achieved outstanding performance with an overall accuracy of 99.99%for the three selected ***,the proposed model achieved good performance when compared with existing baggingbased *** proposed model can be used to predict the pandemic outbreak correctly and may be applied as a generic data-independent model 3946 CMC,2023,vol.74,no.2 to pre

关键词： COVID-19 ensemble machine learning genetic algorithm machine learning stacking ensemble unbalanced dataset vaccine

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