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How has COVID-19 changed trip patterns by purpose in China?

Transportation Safety and Environment 2022年第4期4卷 76-87页

作者： Enru Zhou Jaeyoung Lee School of Traffic&Transportation Engineering Central South UniversityChangsha 410075HunanChina Department of Civil Environmental&Construction EngineeringUniversity of Central FloridaOrlandoFL 32816USA.

COVID-19 has upended the whole world. Due to travel restrictions by governments and increased perceived risks of the disease, therehave been significant changes in social activities and travel patterns. This paper investigates the effects of COVID-19 on changes toindividuals’ travel patterns, particularly for travel purposes. An online questionnaire survey was conducted in China, which incorporatesquestions about individuals’ sociodemographic and travel characteristics in three different periods of COVID-19 (i.e. before theoutbreak, at the peak and after the peak;the peak here refers to the peak of the pandemic in China, between the end of January and1 May, 2020). The results show that trip frequency decreased sharply from the outbreak until the peak, and drastically increased afterthe peak. Nevertheless, the data fromthis study suggests that it has not fully recovered to the level before the outbreak. Subsequently,a series of random parameters bivariate Probit models for changes in travel patterns were estimated with personal characteristics.The findings demonstrate that during the peak of the pandemic, residents who did not live in more developed cities reached lowfrequencytravel patterns more quickly. For travel purposes, residents of Wuhan, China resumed travelling for work, entertainmentand buy necessities at a much higher rate than other cities. After the peak, students’ travel for work, entertainment and to buy necessitiesrecovered significantly faster than for other occupations. The findings would be helpful for establishing effective policies tocontrol individual travel and minimize disease spread in a possible future pandemic.

关键词： COVID-19 trip purpose travel pattern questionnaire survey bivariate Probit model

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trip purposes of Automobile Users Inference Using Multi-day Traffic Monitoring Data

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哈尔滨工业大学学报:英文版 2023年第5期30卷 1-11页

作者： Wen Zheng Wenquan Li Qian Chen Yan Zheng Chenhao Zhang School of Transportation Southeast UniversityNanjing211189China

Determining trip purpose is an important link to explore travel rules. In this paper,we takea utomobile users in urban areas as the research object,combine unsupervised learning and supervised learningm ethods to analyze their travel characteristics,and focus on the classification and prediction of automobileu sers’trip purposes. However,previous studies on trip purposes mainly focused on questionnaires and GPSd ata,which cannot well reflect the characteristics of automobile travel. In order to avoid the multi-dayb ehavior variability and unobservable heterogeneity of individual characteristics ignored in traditional traffic questionnaires,traffic monitoring data from the Northern District of Qingdao are used,and the K-meansc lustering method is applied to estimate the trip purposes of automobile users. Then,Adaptive Boosting(AdaBoost)and Random Forest(RF)methods are used to classify and predict trip purposes. Finally,ther esult shows:(1)the purpose of automobile users can be mainly divided into four clusters,which includeC ommuting trips,Flexible life demand travel in daytime,Evening entertainment and leisure shopping,andT axi-based trips for the first three types of purposes,respectively;(2)the Random Forest method performss ignificantly better than AdaBoost in trip purpose prediction for higher accuracy;(3)the average predictiona ccuracy of Random Forest under hyper-parameters optimization reaches96.25%,which proves the feasibilitya nd rationality of the above clustering results.

关键词： trip purpose automobile users traffic monitoring data K-means clustering AdaBoost random forest

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