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Evaluating impacts of different car-following types on rear-end crashes at freeway weaving section

Journal of Southeast University(English Edition) 2017年第3期33卷 335-340页

作者： Li Ye Xing Lu Wang Wei Dong Changyin School of Transportation Southeast University Nanjing 210096 China

The impacts of four different car-following types on rear-end crash risks at a freeway weaving section were evaluated using trajectory data, in which Type 1 represents car following car, Type 2 represents car following truck, Type 3represents truck following car and Type 4 represents truck following truck. The time to collision( TTC) was introduced as the surrogate safety measure to determine the rear-end crash risks. Then, the trajectory data at a freeway weaving section was used for the case-controlled analysis. Three logistic regression models were developed with different TTC thresholds to quantify the impacts of different car-following types. The explanatory factors were also analyzed to investigate possible reasons for the results of logistic regressions. Results showthat the rear-end crash risk of Type3 is 3. 167 times higher than that of Type 1 when the TTC threshold is 2 s. However, the odds ratios of Type 2 and Type4 are both smaller than 1, which indicates a safer *** analysis of explanatory factors also shows that Type 3 has the largest speed differences and the smallest net gaps. This is consistent with vehicle operation features at a weaving section and is also the reason for the larger rear-end crash risks. The results of this study reflect the mechanism of rear-end crash risks of different car-following types at the freeway weaving section.

关键词： freeway safety logistic regression time tocollision risk

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