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What Role Does the political environment Play in Economic Development？ --A Case Study of Fujian Province

Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities 2012年第4期7卷 544-559页

作者： Jingwen Yu Chunchao Wang School of Economics Fudan University Shanghai 200433 China Department of Economics Jinan University Guangzhou 510632 China

Uncertainty induced by the political environment affects investment risk, and thus affects investment decisions, which have a close relationship with economic development. This paper investigates the economic cost of political instability using the case study of the tense relationship across-Strait in China. We use a synthetic control method to better model the counterfactual analysis of this case study. The intense situation of the relations across-Strait has great influence on the economic development of Fujian province. Fujian province is the closest province in proximity to Taiwan and also possesses the greatest preferential policies for Taiwan Residents direct investment. The empirical results of this study reveal that during 2001-2008 Fujian province＇s average annual loss in GDP per capita was 682.54 yuan. In other words, GDP per capita in Fujian has declined about 12.1 percent annually during this period compared with GDP per capita as calculated by the synthetic control method.

关键词： political environment economic development synthetic controlmethod cross-straits relations

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political and Economic Analysis on SWFs of Saudi Arabia

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Asian Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies 2012年第3期6卷 28-57,I0002页

作者： YANG Li ZHANG Jin College of International Finance&Commerce Shanghai International Studies University

Sovereign Wealth Funds established by Middle Eastern countries occupy an important position in world capital markets in terms of size or ***,regarding the establishment and operation of the funds,Saudi Arabia pursues a conservative investment strategy as a regional power,which is quite different from other Gulf *** is found that the economic conditions in Saudi Arabia,such as money supply,foreign exchange reserves,external debt and domestic economic development,which are generally considered to be the determining factors for the establishment of SWFs,were not favorable compared with those in the other GCC states in the last ***,even when those conditions have been improved since the beginning of this century,the performance of SWFs in Saudi Arabia still lags behind compared with other Gulf *** the economic indicators of the country will be studied,so will a political analysis be conducted in three specific perspectives:the significance of US dollar reserve for Saudi-US diplomatic relations,the deterioration of political environment of FDI in western countries after 9/11 and a mix of public and private ownership systems brought by the royal *** the end,one can conclude that Saudi Arabia is a conservative investor on SWFs.

关键词： Saudi Arabia Sovereign Wealth Funds Foreign Exchange Reserves political environment

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