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Journal of Mathematics and System Science 2013年第8期3卷 395-408页

作者： Christodoulos Nikou Socrates J. Moschuris PhD Student Department of lndustrial Management and Technology University of Piraeus Piraeus 18534 Greece. Associate Professor of Logistics and Supply Management Department of Industrial Management and Technology University of Piraeus Piraeus 18534 Greece.

＂Besides an evaluation of an overseas supplier by using normal methods, some enterprises start their collaboration with him by assigning a small trial order and if supplier＇s performance is considered to be satisfactory then a full order capable of sufficing all the appeared demand comes from the enterprise＂[50]. This could be one of the practices followed by an organization/company that procures Military Critical Items-MCIs, items with a major impact to the safety and the accomplishment of a mission. In our conceptual approach, we will try to propose a tool for a quick and simple supplier selection under the method mentioned above. Furthermore, in almost every procurement scenario, major critical success factors for supplier selection, such as Quality and Delivery, considered also as military criteria [46], play an extremely important role [5]. Based on this, we argue that final decision for the approved supplier could be based on what we call Coefficient of Total Trial Performance-CTTP, constituted by the following factors： P＆G perfect order concept of each trial order [50], Prediction Intervals/Confidence Intervals for achieved delivery times as a statistical estimator of future delivery times, A suggested factor, called the Management Trial Score-MTS.

关键词： Military critical items confidence interval business intelligence perfect order quality.

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