检索结果-南通市图书馆

peak Metals, Minerals, Energy, Wealth, Food and Population： Urgent Policy Considerations for a Sustainable Society

Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering(B) 2013年第4期2卷 189-222页

作者： Harald Ulrik Sverdrup Deniz Koca Kristln Vala Ragnarsdottir Department of Chemical Engineering University of Lund Lund SE-221 00 Sweden Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology Stockholm University Stockholm SE-106 91 Sweden Institutes of Earth Sciences and Sustainable Development University of Iceland Reykjavik IS-I O I Iceland

Several strategic metals, elements and energy resources are about to run into scarcity in the near future under the present paradigm of use. A global systems model has been developed （WORLD） to assess the issue of scarcity and its implications for society. We show that scarcity may lead to ＂peak wealth＂, ＂peak population＂, ＂peak waste＂ and ＂peak civilization＂, unless urgent counter-measures are systematically undertaken. Materials that underpin modern society may become unavailable for global mass production of goods. The material volumes that can be supplied from fossil reserves will be reduced with respect to today and resources will go up in price. The future resource supply is unsustainable without comprehensive recycling. The creation of wealth from conversion of resources and work, as well as the current extensive borrowing from the future, cause concerns that peaking energy and materials production may lead to ＂peak wealth＂ and the end of the golden age we live in. Our policy recommendations are that governments must take this issue seriously and must immediately start preparing legislations to close material cycles, optimize energy use and minimize irreversible material losses. Research efforts need to be based on systems thinking and a concerted effort is needed.

关键词： Sustainability scarcity integrated modelling burn-off time peak resources peak phosphorus peak wealth.

来源：

维普期刊数据库评论

在线全文

维普期刊数据库

学校读者我要写书评

暂无评论

欢迎您,

建议与咨询留下您的常用邮箱和电话号码，以便我们向您反馈解决方案和替代方法

时间限定

文献类型

馆藏选择

核心期刊

语言

文献类型

帮助

文字说明：

检索规则说明：

检索范例：

分类表

所选分类

限定检索结果

文献类型

馆藏范围

日期分布

学科分类号

主题

机构

作者

语言

在线全文

请选择保存的检索档案：

请选择收藏分类：

通借通还

欢迎您,

建议与咨询 留下您的常用邮箱和电话号码，以便我们向您反馈解决方案和替代方法

时间限定

文献类型

馆藏选择

核心期刊

语言

文献类型

帮助

文字说明：

检索规则说明：

检索范例：

分类表

所选分类

限定检索结果

文献类型

馆藏范围

日期分布

学科分类号

主题

机构

作者

语言

在线全文

请选择保存的检索档案： 新增检索档案 确定 取消

请选择收藏分类： 新增自定义分类 确定 取消

通借通还

建议与咨询留下您的常用邮箱和电话号码，以便我们向您反馈解决方案和替代方法

请选择保存的检索档案：

请选择收藏分类：