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Fertility Effects of labor market conditions at Graduation

China & World Economy 2023年第4期31卷 120-152页

作者： Yue Yin Ye Jiang School of Economics University of BristolUnited Kingdom National School of Agricultural Institution and Development South China Agricultural UniversityChina

This study examines how individuals'fertility outcomes were affected by the labor market conditions they experienced at *** data from the Chinese General Social Survey,it finds that poor labor market conditions at graduation delayed individuals'entry into *** unemployment rates at graduation reduced the probability of having at least one child in the survey year for both men and *** negative fertility effects generally followed a U-shape,reached the maximum around average childbearing ages,and faded out within 15 years after ***-skilled workers mainly contribute to the negative fertility effects observed in the whole *** and marital outcomes are also analyzed as potential *** results indicate that individuals who experienced poor labor market conditions at graduation delayed marriage and the birth of the first child due to a lower probability of being employed,reduced working hours,and adverse income *** negative long-term fertility effects should be brought to policymakers'attention,especially when China's low fertility issue *** are expected to create more favorable employment conditions for labor market entrants to encourage fertility and expand the future working-age population.

关键词： fertility graduation labor market conditions unemployment

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