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Inner-City Neighbourhood Changes Predicted from house prices in Windsor, Ontario, since the Early- or Mid-1980s

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Journal of Building Construction and Planning Research 2020年第2期8卷 138-160页

作者： Alan G. Phipps Department of Sociology Anthropology and Criminology University of Windsor Windsor Canada

Changes in prices of homes are hypothesized as correlated with the times of their sale and resale and the attributes of their dwelling unit and neighbourhood and those of neighbouring homes. They may also be correlated with the occurrences of events inside the neighbourhoods caused by the activities of individuals and organizations outside the neighbourhoods, such as whether the local economy is in a recession or has a high unemployment rate. Calibrated hybrid housing price models predict precipitous decreases in house prices of approximately 2900 sold and resold homes in two inner-city neighbourhoods in Windsor, Ontario, during those events since 1981 or 1986. Overall modest predicted percentage increases in houses’ prices during more than 30 years therefore subsumed periods of inner-city neighbourhood deterioration in dispersed locations of unimproved and disimproved homes. Compensatory predictions however are of increasing prices for minorities of homes with improvements to several attributes of the dwelling unit and neighbourhood.

关键词： Neighbourhood Change house price Local Event Hybrid Housing price Model Inner-City Neighbourhood

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预期冲击、房价波动与经济波动

国民经济管理 2017年第8期 48-63页

作者：王频侯成琪

本文通过在一个包含耐心家庭和缺乏耐心家庭两类家庭、包含消费品部门和房地产部门的DSGE模型中引入住房交易成本和住房价格加成的预期冲击，研究预期对住房价格和宏观经济的影响。研究发现：(1)参数识别检验和方差分解的结果表明，本... 详细信息

本文通过在一个包含耐心家庭和缺乏耐心家庭两类家庭、包含消费品部门和房地产部门的DSGE模型中引入住房交易成本和住房价格加成的预期冲击，研究预期对住房价格和宏观经济的影响。研究发现：(1)参数识别检验和方差分解的结果表明，本文引入的预期冲击，尤其是住房交易成本和住房价格加成的预期冲击，不仅具有理论上的合理性，而且具有经验上的识别性和重要性。(2)虽然当期住房价格上涨会增加住房使用者成本，但是如果预期未来住房价格会大幅上涨，家庭的住房使用者成本也会下降，从而出现越涨越买的现象。(3)如果政府因为房价上涨过快而实施增加住房交易成本等房地产业的紧缩政策，但是公众预期未来政府会因为宏观经济下行转而采取房地产业的扩张政策，则这种预期会使当前的紧缩政策失效。(4)如果政府能够引导公众形成正确的预期，则能够改善房地产业调控政策的经济效果；而公众的错误预期会增加经济的波动，因为必须进行反向修正来抵消错误预期对经济的影响。

关键词：预期冲击住房价格住房交易成本住房使用者成本经济波动 Anticipated Shock house price house Transaction Cost house User Cost Economic Fluctuation

The Impact of Green Building Labels on the price of Housing:Evidence from China

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Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities 2018年第4期13卷 635-654页

作者： Fang Fang Xuesong Li Ximing Chen Yahong Zhou School of Public Economics and Administration Shanghai University of Finance and EconomicsShanghai 200433China School of Economics Shanghai University of Finance and EconomicsShanghai 200433China School of Finance Shanghai University of Finance and EconomicsShanghai 200433China

This paper focuses on the willingness to pay for green housing in China. First, we introduce green building related labels in China and briefly discuss the consumers’ incentives to buy this kind of building. Second, with the available transaction data in Shanghai, a hedonic regression model is applied to investigate whether or not a price premium in the residential market exists. Furthermore, we use the nonparametric matching model under a treatment framework to see the robustness of our results. The empirical result shows there exists a significant price premium in China. However, the premium does not increase with quality certification tiers. That may imply that homebuyers in China are not sensitive to the differences among green buildings although they are willing to pay a higher price for this newly emerging energy-saving building. And we also give the explanation why this has happened.

关键词： Green Building Evaluation Label (GBEL) hedonic model treatment effect matching model house price

Testing of relationships among spatial accessibility,property characteristics and property value

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Journal of Southeast University(English Edition) 2022年第3期38卷 309-314页

作者： Wang Jiayu Jia Mengyuan Chen Tian School of Architecture Tianjin UniversityTianjin 300072China School of Architecture and Urban Planning Beijing University of Civil Engineering and ArchitectureBeijing 100044China

A novel hedonic model based on spatial accessibility is *** model changes the traditional planar hedonic model from two dimensional to three dimensional(3 D).A 3 D model through space syntax and quantum geographic information system platform was ***,this model was tested through an analysis of 174 residential areas in Tianjin’s central ***,the impact of 3 D location characteristics on the property value was *** results suggest a positive correlation between spatial accessibility and property value on a city-wide *** transit may exert negative influences,such as traffic noise and air *** submarket scales,the property value may be influenced by urban functions,historical background,and street *** negative correlation between the bedroom number and price reflects a higher real estate market investment value in the Heping District and the high demand for small and medium-sized houses in the Hongqiao and Hedong *** study provides insights for improving neighborhood plans and housing design,and policy making concerned with promoting balanced progress of social,economic,and spatial priorities.

关键词： hedonic model space syntax spatial accessibility house price

Study on the roles and acting mechanism of the real estate brokerage in China second-hand housing market

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Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series) 2006年第2期13卷 237-241页

作者：黄英刘洪玉刘琳 Institute of Real Estate Studies Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China Institute of Investment Studies National Development and Reform Commission Beijing 100038 China

As China housing reform deepens, the second-hand housing transactions become more and more popular and real estate brokerages, as an intermediary of the transactions, become an undeniable important part of this market. This article mainly explores the roles and the acting mechanism of real estate brokerages in the second-hand housing market. The results show that the participation of real estate brokers in the second-hand housing market may have positive and negative influences. On one side, brokers ease the housing transaction process and benefits buyers and sellers by shortening the sale time on the market. On the other side, if brokers are the only participants in the housing transaction, acting as buyer and seller like some firms do, housing prices will increase and this negative effect will become even stronger as the participation of many more brokers increases. Therefore, the regulation and management of the industry is vital for the long and healthy development of the housing market in China.

关键词： real estate brokerage mechanism time on the market house price

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大学生未毕业先置业背后的理性思考

青少年导刊 2008年第7期 48-51页

作者：朱秀茹

大学生未毕业先置业已成为当前房地产市场上的一大特色。房价攀升、炫耀性消费心态和盲从心理是大学生提前置业的主要驱动力。因此，政府要稳定房产市场，引导大学生树立正确的消费观，真正做到理性消费。

关键词：大学生房价购房消费 undergraduates house price house-buying consumption

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地价与房价关系的理论与实证探讨

区域与城市经济 2009年第10期

作者：杨继瑞何雄浪

地价与房价的关系争论由来已久，其研究不仅是房地产市场的基础与源头，而且是推进房地产市场健康、有序与协调发展的关键。土地作为房地产不可分割的关键部分，地价与房价的关系存在依附和承载的特殊关系，不能脱离出来单独分析。在短... 详细信息

地价与房价的关系争论由来已久，其研究不仅是房地产市场的基础与源头，而且是推进房地产市场健康、有序与协调发展的关键。土地作为房地产不可分割的关键部分，地价与房价的关系存在依附和承载的特殊关系，不能脱离出来单独分析。在短期，对住房的需求在一定程度会促进对土地的需求，在长期，地价与房价相互作用、相互影响，但不能说完全循环相关。在全球金融危机肆虐背景下，要建立更科学合理的土地供给机制，土地出让金管理要透明化、公开化及长期化，加强房地产市场管理、优化市场供应结构，以促进房地产市场的可持续发展和我国社会和谐与稳定。

关键词：地价房价房地产市场 land price house price real property market

中国城市住房价格的地理扩散及其区域外部性问题

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地理 2012年第4期

作者：方晓萍丁四保

通过对1998-2009年间、国家发改委所监测的国内35个大中城市房屋销售价格指数面板数据，进行单位根和Granger因果检验，表明中国城市居民的住房价格在经济地位最重要的城市之间存在波动的传递。表现出：一，在传递的水平方向上具有地理... 详细信息

通过对1998-2009年间、国家发改委所监测的国内35个大中城市房屋销售价格指数面板数据，进行单位根和Granger因果检验，表明中国城市居民的住房价格在经济地位最重要的城市之间存在波动的传递。表现出：一，在传递的水平方向上具有地理方向性；二，在传递的垂直方向上具有“4-4-9-9-9”的层级结构性。研究认为中国城市房价的波动是一个地理扩散过程，并且具有邻里扩散与等级扩散相并存的特征。这与国外相关文献的研究成果基本一致。房价的地理扩散属于“发展的地理扩散”，具有区域外部性的性质，可以从一个侧面揭示区域外部性传递的过程和形成的格局。

关键词：区域外部性房价地理扩散扩散模式 Granger因果 regional externality house price geographical spread diffusion form Granger causality

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异质性政策效应分析

统计与精算 2021年第6期

作者：张征宇孙广亚杨超周亚虹

传统分位数回归方法（QR）可以揭示解释变量对因变量的异质性边际影响，因而在实证研究中具有广泛的应用。但QR方法的缺点是估计结果的阐释依赖于不可观察扰动项的经济学含义。本文提出一种新的因变量条件分位数回归（outcome condition... 详细信息

传统分位数回归方法（QR）可以揭示解释变量对因变量的异质性边际影响，因而在实证研究中具有广泛的应用。但QR方法的缺点是估计结果的阐释依赖于不可观察扰动项的经济学含义。本文提出一种新的因变量条件分位数回归（outcome conditioned QR，简称OC-QR）方法，用于分析政策效应的异质性。OC-QR的优点是能够直接识别并估计因变量位于其无条件分布的某一分位点（区间）时，解释变量对因变量的平均边际影响。新方法不仅能够刻画关键解释变量对因变量的异质性影响，并且具有更清晰的经济学解释。本文研究了OC-QR的识别、估计与推断步骤，还进一步讨论了OC-QR与OLS、QR以及Firpo et al.（2009）提出的无条件分位数回归（UQR）之间的区别和联系。最后，运用该方法研究了房价上涨对家庭消费的异质性影响，以及最低工资标准提高对不同工资水平人群的作用。结果表明OC-QR方法能较好地捕捉政策效应的异质性。

关键词：分位数回归平均处理效应异质性房价最低工资 quantile regression average treatment effect heterogeneity house price minimum wage