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Role of anthropogenic forcing and atmospheric circulation in a lowtemperature event in February 2022 in eastern China

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Advances in Climate Change Research 2023年第6期14卷 921-929页

作者： Zhi-Fan CHEN Ying SUN Xuebin ZHANG Tim LI Jin-Hua YU Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Ministry of Education(KLME)/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change(ILCEC)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters(CIC-FEMD)Nanjing University of Information Science and TechnologyNanjing 210044China Climate Studies Key Laboratory National Climate CenterChina Meteorological AdministrationBeijing 10008lChina Climate Research Division Environment and Climate Change CanadaToronto M3H 5T4Canada Department of atmospheric Sciences University of Hawai at ManoaHonolulu HI 96822USA

In February 2022,eastern China experienced prolonged low temperatures,with significant impacts on agriculture,transportation,and power *** regional average temperature anomaly for February 2022 was-0.65℃,making it the third coldest February from 2000 to *** the influence of anthropogenic forcing and atmospheric circulation on low-temperature events is important for climate change adaptation and mitigation in the *** study used observational and model data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 to conduct an extreme event attribution *** results showed that anthropogenic forcing led to a 1.5-fold decrease in the probability of 2022-like events,with anthropogenic greenhouse gases being the primary contributors to this ***,aerosols slightly increased the likelihood of such *** evaluate the role of atmospheric circulation in this event,we chose Siberian High as the key circulation system and employed circulation similarity,intensity classification,and regression methods to estimate the impacts of circulation patterns,circulation in-tensity,and human-induced circulation *** results demonstrated that under the influence of the same anthropogenic forcing,the presence of an anomalous Siberian High and anomalously enhanced intensity of the Siberian High both increased the likelihood of such a cold event ***,anthropogenic forcing exerts a negligible effect on such cold events via anomalous circulation.

关键词： Low-temperature event Attribution Intensity of the Siberian high Anthropogenic forcing atmospheric circulation

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Buoyancy and turbulence-driven atmospheric circulation over urban areas

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Journal of Environmental Sciences 2017年第9期29卷 63-71页

作者： Yifan Fan Julian Charles Roland Hunt Yuguo Li Department of Mechanical Engineering The University of Hong KongHong KongChina Department of Earth Sciences University College LondonLondonWC1E6BTUK Malaysian Commonwealth Studies Centre CambridgeCB23RFUK

In the buoyancy and turbulence-driven atmospheric circulations（BTDAC） that occur over urban areas where the approach means wind speeds are very low（less than turbulent fluctuations and typically 3 m/sec）, the surface temperatures are significantly higher than those in the external rural areas, and the atmosphere above the mixing layer is stably stratified. In this paper, the mechanisms of BTDAC formation are studied through laboratory experiments and modelling, with additional low-level inflow from external rural areas and a divergent outflow in the opposite direction in the upper part of the mixed layer. Strong turbulent plumes in the central region mix the flow between lower and higher levels up to the inversion height. There are shear-driven turbulent eddies and weaker buoyant plumes around the periphery of the urban area. As the approach flow is very weak,the recirculating streamlines within the dome restrict the ventilation, and the dispersion of pollution emitted from sources below the inversion height leading to a rise in the mean concentration. Low-level air entrained from rural areas can, however, improve ventilation and lower this concentration. This trend can also be improved if the recirculating structure of the BTDAC flow pattern over urban areas breaks down as a result of the surface temperature distribution not being symmetrical, or as the approach wind speed increases to a level comparable with the mean velocity of circulation, or（except near the equator） the urban area is large enough that the Coriolis acceleration is significant.

关键词： Urban heat island Buoyancy and turbulence-driven Eddy structures atmospheric circulation Pollutant dispersion

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Effects of atmospheric circulation on summertime precipitation variability and glacier mass balance over the Tuyuksu Glacier in Tianshan Mountains, Kazakhstan

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Journal of Arid Land 2015年第5期7卷 687-695页

作者： Nina K KONONOVA Nina V PIMANKINA Lyudmila A YERISKOVSKAYA LI Jing BAO Weijia LIU Shiyin Institute of Geography Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of Geography Ministry of Education and Science State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research InstituteChinese Academy of Sciences

The amount and the form of precipitation have significant effects on glacier mass balances in high al- titude mountain areas by controlling the accumulation, the ablation and the energy balance of a glacier through impact on the surface albedo. The liquid precipitation has negative effects on glacier accumulation and may in- crease the ablation of surface ice through the heat input for melting. The timing and the forms of precipitation over glacierized regions depend on the weather processes both locally and regionally. Early studies showed that regional to large-scale atmospheric circulation processes play a key role in affecting the precipitation events over glaciers. This paper analyzed the relationship between the inter-annual variability of the summertime precipitation over the Tuyuksu Glacier and the atmospheric circulation types, which related to various atmospheric circulation types in the Northern Hemisphere. Results indicated that the decrease in the duration of zonal processes and the increase in the meridional northern processes were observed in the last decade. The total summer precipitation associated with these processes also increased along with an increase of summertime solid precipitation. Although the decadal fluctuation of glaciological parameters were found in dependent of the above large-scale atmospheric circulation processes, global warming was a dominant factor leading to the mass loss in the recent decades under the back- ground of the increase in precipitation over the Tuyuksu Glacier.

关键词： atmospheric circulation precipitation glacier mass balance

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Climate-Induced Variability of Sea Level in Stockholm: Influence of Air Temperature and atmospheric circulation

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Advances in atmospheric Sciences 2005年第5期22卷 655-664页

作者： Deliang CHEN Anders OMSTEDT Earth Sciences Centre Goteborg University Sweden Laboratory for Climate Studies/National Climate Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081

This study is focused on climate-induced variation of sea level in Stockholm during 1873-1995. After the effect of the land uplift, is removed, the residual is characterized and related to large-scale temperature and atmospheric circulation. The residual shows an overall upward trend, although this result depends on the uplift rate used. However, the seasonal distribution of the trend is uneven. There are even two months （June and August） that show a negative trend. The significant trend in August may be linked to fresh water input that is controlled by precipitation. The influence of the atmospheric conditions on the sea level is mainly manifested through zonal winds, vorticity and temperature. While the wind is important in the period January-May, the vorticity plays a main role during June and December. A successful linear multiple-regression model linking the climatic variables （zonal winds, vorticity and mean air temperature during the previous two months） and the sea level is established for each month. An independent verification of the model shows that it has considerable skill in simulating the variability.

关键词： sea level Baltic sea atmospheric circulation temperature Stockholm

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Covarying modes of the Pacific SST and northern hemispheric midlatitude atmospheric circulation anomalies during winter

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2008年第10期18卷 1261-1270页

作者： Yimin Zhu~(a,b,*) Xiuqun Yang~a Qian Xie~b Yongqiang Yu~c ~a Department of A tmospheric Science,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China ~b Institute of Meteorology,PLA University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 211101,China ~c LASG,Institute of atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China Department of atmospheric Science Nanjing University Nanjing 210093 China Institute of Meteorology PLA University of Science and Technology Nanjing 211101 China LASG Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China

The interannual-to-interdecadal relationship between the Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) and the northern hemispheric midlati- tude’s atmosphere represented by the circumpolar vortex was documented with the global oceanic and atmospheric reanalysis data of recent 50 *** covarying modes of the Pacific SST and northern circumpolar vortex anomalies during winter were examined using the sin- gular value decomposition and wavelet analysis *** is the interannual,ENSO-related mode and the other is the interdecadal, North Pacific SST-related mode with a period of around 20 *** two modes exhibit distinct spatial *** the interannual mode,the SST anomaly is characterized by a typical ENSO pattern with the principal signature in the tropical eastern Pacific and secondary one in the central North Pacific,while the atmospheric anomaly is regional,characterized by a Pacific-North American *** the inter- decadal mode,large SST anomaly is located in the central North Pacific,while the atmospheric anomaly is zonally global,associated with the midlatitute’s standing long-wave *** the central North Pacific is colder,the long-wave is stronger,and vice *** investigations suggest that the interdecadal mode could involve an interaction between "two oceans and an atmosphere".

关键词： Sea surface temperature atmospheric circulation ENSO Decadal variability

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Impacts of Two Types of El Nio on atmospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere

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Advances in atmospheric Sciences 2013年第6期30卷 1732-1742页

作者：孙丹薛峰周天军 State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing Meteorological Bureau

Based on NCEP/NCAR （National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmo- spheric Research） reanalysis data from 1979 to 2010, the impacts of two types of E1 Nino on atmospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere （SH） are analyzed. It is shown thaL when a warming event occurs in the equatorial eastern Pacific （EP E1 Nino）, there is a negative sea level pressure （SLP） anomaly in the east- ern Pacific and a positive one in the western Pacific. Besides, there exists a negative anomaly between 40°S and 60°S and a positive anomaly to the south of 60°S. When a warming event in the central Pacific （CP E1 Nino） occurs, there appears a negative SLP anomaly in the central Pacific and a positive SLP anomaly in the eastern and western Pacific, but the SLP anomalies are not so evident in the SH extratropics. In particular, the Pacific-South America （PSA） pattern induced by the CP E1 Nino is located more northwestward, with a weaker anomaly compared with the EP E1 Nino. This difference is directly related with the different position of heating centers associated with the two types of E1 Nino events. Because the SST anomaly associated with CP E1 Nino is located more westward than that associated with EP El Nino, the related heating center tends to move westward and the response of SH atmospheric circulation to the tropical heating changes accordingly, thus exciting a different position of the PSA pattern. It is also noted that the local meridional cell plays a role in the SH high latitudes during EP E1 Nino. The anomalous ascending motion due to the enhancement of convection over the eastern Pacific leads to an enhancement of the local Hadley cell and the meridional cell in the middle and high latitudes, which in turn induces an anomalous descending motion and the related positive anomaly of geopotential height over the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Sea.

关键词： eastern Pacific E1 Nifio central Pacific E1 Nino atmospheric circulation Southern Hemisphere,Pacific-South America pattern

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27.3-day and 13.6-day atmospheric Tide and Lunar Forcing on atmospheric circulation

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Advances in atmospheric Sciences 2005年第3期22卷 359-374页

作者：李国庆 Institute of atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029

An analysis of time variations of the earth’s length of day (LOD) versus atmospheric geopotential height fields and lunar phase is presented. A strong correlation is found between LOD and geopotential height from which a close relationship is inferred and found between atmospheric circulation and the lunar cycle around the earth. It is found that there is a 27.3-day and 13.6-day east-west oscillation in the atmospheric circulation following the lunar phase change. The lunar revolution around the earth strongly influences the atmospheric circulation. During each lunar cycle around the earth there is, on average, an alternating change of 6.8-day-decrease, 6.8-day-increase, 6.8-day-decrease and 6.8-day-increase in atmospheric zonal wind, atmospheric angular momentum and LOD. The dominant factor producing such an oscillation in atmospheric circulation is the periodic change of lunar declination during the lunar revolution around the earth. The 27.3- day and 13.6-day atmospheric oscillatory phenomenon is akin

关键词： atmospheric tide subseasonal oscillation lunar influence atmospheric circulation

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Taiwan Yushan Snowfall Activity and Its Association with atmospheric circulation from 1979 to 2009

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Advances in atmospheric Sciences 2011年第6期28卷 1423-1432页

作者：蔡梨敏刘广英王自发 Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Institute of atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Graduate Institute of Earth Sciences Chinese Culture University

Yushan is the most famous location for snow in Taiwan Willie snowIali in the subtropical zone is rare. When it is snowing in Yushan, people are experiencing unusually cold and wet weather elsewhere in Taiwan. In this study, Yushan snowfall activity from 1979 to 2009 and the related atmosphere circulation were examined with the Taiwan Central Weather Bureau＇s Yushan weather station observations and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Department of Energy （NCEP/DOE） reanalysis atmospheric data. To provide a quantitative measure of snowfall events, a snowfall activity index （SAI） was defined in this study. The time series of yearly SAIs shows that Yushan snowfall activity for an active year, such as 1983 （SAI =39 153） was ~118 times larger than for an inactive year, such as 1999 （SAI=331）. Our analyses show that snowfall activity is closely related to the position of the East Asian Trough （EAT） and the strength of the West Pacific High （WPH）. In active years, when the EAT shifted eastward and the strength of WPH increased, an anomalous anticyclone occurred in the West Pacific. This anticyclone introduced anomalous southwesterly flows along the southeastern cost of China's Mainland and over Taiwan, resulting in a wetter-than-normal atmosphere that favored snowfall. Alternatively, in inactive years, a drierhan-normal atmosphere resulted in sluggish snowfall seasons.

关键词： Yushan snowfall activity atmospheric circulation

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A 290-a record of atmospheric circulation over the North Pacific from a Mt. Logan ice core, Yukon Territory

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Acta Oceanologica Sinica 2005年第4期24卷 81-90页

作者： KANG Shichang MAYEWSKI Paul A YAN Yuping Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100085 China Climate Change Institute University of Maine Orono ME 04469 USA Laboratory of Cryosphere and Environment Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou 730000 China National Climate Center Beijing 100081 China

Calibrations between sodium （Na^＋） concentrations from a Mt. Logan ice core and sea level pressure （SLP） series show that Na^＋ concentrations are closely correlated with the autumn-time （September-October-November） Aleutian low （AleuLow）. A deepening of the AleuLow strengthens the transport of sea-salt aerosols from the North Pacific to the Mt. Logan region. The Mt. Logan Na^＋ record is used to develop a 292 a （1688-1979） reconstruction of the AleuLow revealing a dramatic intensification of atmospheric circulation over the North Pacific region since the 20th century. Mean SLP of the AleuLow was about 1 hPa lower during the 20th century than during prior periods. The strongest deepening of the AleuLow appeared in the 1950s. Significant correlations are also found between the Mt. Logan AleuLow proxy series and the Pacific decadal oscillation （PDO） and Pacific circulation （PC） index during the 20th century. Evolutionary spectral analysis of the proxy record shows significant periodicities from 15 to 30 a consistent with PDO fluctuations and the bidecadal oscillation of North Pacific atmosphere-ocean circulation. A period of 11 a in the AleuLow record may be associated with the Schwabe 11-a cycle of sunspot activity. Additional longer ice core records from this region will aid in the efforts to further understand the climatic change over the North Pacific region.

关键词： atmospheric circulation ice core records North Pacific

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Autumn Snow Cover Variability over Northern Eurasia and Roles of atmospheric circulation

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Advances in atmospheric Sciences 2017年第7期34卷 847-858页

作者： Kunhui YE Renguang WU Institute of Space and Earth Information Science The Chinese University of Hong Kong Hong Kong China Center for Monsoon System Research/State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China

This study analyzes the variability of northern Eurasian snow cover（SC） in autumn and the impacts of atmospheric circulation changes. The region of large SC variability displays a southward shift from September to November, following the seasonal progression of the transition zones of surface air temperature（SAT）. The dominant pattern of SC variability in September and October features a zonal distribution, and that in November displays an obvious west-east contrast. Surface air cooling and snowfall increase are two factors for larger SC. The relative contribution of SAT and snowfall changes to SC, however, varies with the region and depends upon the season. The downward longwave radiation and atmospheric heat advection play important roles in SAT changes. Anomalous convergence of water vapor flux contributes to enhanced *** changes in downward longwave radiation are associated with those in atmospheric water content and column *** in snowfall and the transport of atmospheric moisture determine the atmospheric moisture content in September and October, and the snowfall appears to be a main factor for atmospheric moisture change in November. These results indicate that atmospheric circulation changes play an important role in snow variability over northern Eurasia in autumn. Overall, the coupling between autumn Eurasian snow and atmospheric circulation may not be driven by external forcing.

关键词： Autumn Eurasian snow cover surface air temperature surface heat fluxes atmospheric circulation water vaportransport

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