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Assessing Social Vulnerability to Flood Hazards in the Dutch Province of zeeland

International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 2019年第2期10卷 233-243页

作者： Ryan H.Kirby Margaret A.Reams Nina S.N.Lam Lei Zou Gerben G.J.Dekker D.Q.P.Fundter Department of Environmental Sciences Louisiana StateUniversityBaton RougeLA70803USA Climate Studies Wageningen University&ResearchWageningen6708PBGelderlandThe Netherlands Delta Management University of Applied SciencesVlissingen4382NWZeelandThe Netherlands

The 2007 European Union Floods Directive encouraged member nations to pursue a more integrated view of flood risks and management strategies, taking into account social vulnerabilities of residents. To date, most flood-risk analyses conducted by the Dutch government have focused on physical risk. This study utilizes fine-scale data to construct a social vulnerability index for 147 districts of the Dutch province of zeeland, located in the Southwestern Delta and the scene of widespread devastation following the 1953 North Sea Flood. Factor analysis of 25 indicators of social vulnerability selected from related research in Europe and the United States results in seven factors explaining roughly 66% of the total variance. These factors of social vulnerability in zeeland are urban density,low-income households, recent population change, female gender, train access, and self-employed and service-sector employment. The index was constructed using the toploading variable in each of these factors, with weights determined by the variance explained by each *** range from a low of 0.20 in Schore, municipality of Kapelle, to the highest score of 0.64 in Oudelandse Hoeve of Terneuzen. The most vulnerable districts are located in South zeeland, with eight of the 10 found in *** majority of less vulnerable districts are located in zeeland’s central region.

关键词： Factor analysis Flood hazards Netherlands Social vulnerability index Southwest Delta zeeland

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