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Journal of Management Science & Engineering Research 2021年第2期4卷 16-27页

作者： Jênifer Ribeiro Dona Istefani Carisio de Paula Alceu Terra do Nascimento Aline Cafruni Gularte Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul Brazil Intelligence core for projects and systems research group Brazil Mãos Verdes Work Cooperative Brazil

Brazilian public managers have been structuring and updating policies to support workers’employment and income strategies.However,when the vulnerable individual has social,emotional,or technical limitations,success in this operation becomes uncertain.This research aim was to propose a methodology to identify profiles in vulnerable populations,viewing to promote the efficient elaboration of employment and income strategies.The unit of analysis was vulnerable population of waste pickers,in a large city from South Brazil,in the scope of a municipal program named"All of us are Porto Alegre".A literature review allowed the identification of tools from marketing,economy and design adequate to profile analysis.A workshop with social educators responsible for giving support to the individuals.Insights from workshop and the literature allowed the proposition of a methodology including cluster analysis and the creative tool named personas.The methodological approach suggests it is adequate in confirming the differences in profiles.The theoretical contribution lies in the use of quantitative-creativity tools to support policymaking.The practical contribution is to provide consistent information for governmental decision-making at the labor access market.

关键词： Labor policy vulnerable population Persona Cluster analysis

Health risks from non-optimal temperatures in different populations and regions in China:Tailored intervention strategies are needed

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Advances in Climate Change Research 2023年第3期14卷 416-419页

作者： Yong-Hong LI Peng BI Shilu TONG Xiao-Yuan YAO China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and population Health National Institute of Environmental HealthChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 100021China School of Public Health University of AdelaideAdelaide 5005Australia School of Public Health and Social Work Queensland University of Technology BrisbaneBrisbane 4006Australia

Identifying temperature-sensitive diseases,vulnerable populations and attributable disease burden is crucial for the development and implementation of tailored climate change adaptation strategies in the context of climate change,especially through both mortality and morbidity analysis by using the data from same regions and populations.We re-analyzed and outlined the whole picture of the impacts of extreme temperatures on both mortality and morbidity among various populations and regions,based on the researches from a well-planned national project of Scientific Survey of Regional Meteorological Sensitive Diseases(SRMSD)with consistent methodology in China.The twenty-four representative regions of the SRMSD project cover all eleven geographical meteorological divisions in the country,including urban and rural areas.In addition to circulatory and respiratory diseases,we found that neurological diseases,injuries,digestive diseases,endocrine diseases,genitourinary diseases,skin and subcutaneous tissue diseases were sensitive to extreme heat,while digestive diseases were sensitive to extreme cold.The extreme temperature-sensitive diseases and the attributable disease burden varied by region.Females and the elderly people(65 years old and above)were more vulnerable to extreme heat when using mortality as a health outcome,whereas males and the young and middle-aged adults were more vulnerable to morbidity risk from heat.Our findings provide important scientific evidence for regional distribution of temperature-sensitive diseases and identification of vulnerable populations in China.It provides evidence and implications of developing regional heat/cold-exposure intervention policies,especially for hospital emergency departments and ambulance services during hot seasons.

关键词： Climate change Temperature Sensitive disease vulnerable population Tailored intervention

The main and added effects of heat on mortality in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013

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Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2023年第7期17卷 35-46页

作者： Yanlin Niu Jun Yang Qi Zhao Yuan Gao Tao Xue Qian Yin Peng Yin Jinfeng Wang Maigeng Zhou Qiyong Liu Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control Institute for Nutrition and Food HygieneBeijing 100013China State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and PreventionChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 102206China University College London LondonWC1H ONNUK School of Public Health Guangzhou Medical UniversityGuangzhou 511436China Department of Epidemiology School of Public HealthCheeloo College of MedicineShandong UniversityJinan 250012China Shandong University Climate Change and Health Center Shandong UniversityJinan 250100China Department of Epidemiology IUF-Leibniz Research Institute for Environmental MedicineDiusseldorf 40225Germany School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash UniversityMelbourneVIC 3004Australia Institute of Reproductive and Child Health Ministry of Health Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health and Department of Epidemiology and BiostatisticsSchool of Public HealthPeking UniversityBeijing 100191China State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System Institute of Geographical Sciences and Nature Resources ResearchChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100101China National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 100050China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China

Increases in ambient temperatures and the frequency of extreme heat events constitute important burdens on global public health.However,evidence on their effects on public health is limited and inconclusive in China.In this study,data on daily deaths recorded in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013 was used to evaluate the effect of heat on mortality in China.In addition to the definition of a heatwave established by the China Meteorological Administration,we combined four city-specific relative thresholds(90th,92.5th,95th,and 97.5th percentiles)of the daily mean temperature during the study period and three durations of≽2,≽3,and≽4 days,from which 13 heatwave definitions were developed.Then,we estimated the main and added effects of heat at the city level using a quasi-Poisson generalized additive model combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model.Next,the estimates for the effects were pooled at the national level using a multivariable meta-analysis.Subgroup analysis was performed according to sex,age,educational attainment,and spatially stratified heterogeneity.The results showed that the mortality risk increased from 22.3%to 37.1%due to the effects of the different heatwave definitions.The added effects were much lower,with the highest increase of 3.9%(95%CI:1.7%–6.1%)in mortality risk.Females,the elderly,populations with low educational levels,and populations living inland in China were found to be the most vulnerable to the detrimental effects of heat.These findings have important implications for the improvement of early warning systems for heatwaves.

关键词： Heat Main effect Added effect Mortality vulnerable population

Evaluation of Climatic Comfort of Living Environment based on Age Differentials in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Area

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Ecosystem Health and Sustainability 2020年第1期6卷 252-263,251页

作者： Siyu Liu Buju Long Zhihua Pan Fei Lun Yu Song Weiying Yuan Na Huang Ziyuan Zhang Shangqian Ma Department of Meteorology College of Resources and Environmental SciencesChina Agricultural UniversityBeijingChina Department of Land Resources Management College of Land Science and TechnologyChina Agricultural UniversityBeijingChina

Somatosensory comfort is mainly determined by the Temperature and Humidity Index(THI)with Wind Efficiency Index(WEI),but this conventional usage of these indicators does not capture the age-related differentials.Here we resolved this gap with a modification of the climatic comfort definition and method in a national standard,denoted as the Relative Climate Sensitive Index(RCSI),which incorporated the age-related vulnerability scores determined through online questionnaires with a scoring method,for each of the age-related and adaptive climatic comfort responses to changes in residence with Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH)region as an example.First,the result showed that the human comfort of living environment decreased with age in the BTH region,implicating age obviously impacted comfort,and weak adaptability made the elderly the relatively most high-risk group-their suitable region was less than a quarter of the whole study region.Second the adverse effects of persistent hot weather on comfort,indicating global warming as the leading driver of dwindling comfort over recent years.As the warming was more significant in the southeastern part,all these forces combined had there a hotspot,appealing for extra attention.Last this improved evaluation accorded with actual situation to captured high-risk groups with their distributions.

关键词： Global climate change climatic comfort vulnerable population the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region