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Phase transitions between tropical,subtropical,and extratropical cyclones:A review from IWTC-10

tropical Cyclone Research and Review 2023年第4期12卷 294-308页

作者： Kimberly Wood Wataru Yanase Jack Beven Suzana J.Camargo Joseph B.Courtney Chris Fogarty Junya Fukuda Naoko Kitabatake Matthew Kucas Ron McTaggart-Cowan Michelle Simoes Reboita Jacopo Riboldi The University of Arizona ArizonaUSA Meteorological Research Institute IbarakiJapan National Hurricane Center MiamiUSA Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory Columbia UniversityPalisadesUSA Bureau of Meteorology MelbourneAustralia Canadian Hurricane Center Nova ScotiaCanada Japan Meteorological Agency TokyoJapan Meteorological College ChibaJapan Joint Typhoon Warning Center HonoluluUSA Environment and Climate Change Gatineau QuebecCanada Federal University of Itajuba ItajubaBrazil ETH Zurich ZurichSwitzerland

This review,which was adapted from a Tenth International Workshop on tropical Cyclones(IWTC-10)report,discusses research findings and operational practices relevant to cyclone types and phase transitions(extratropical,subtropical,and tropical).The cyclone phase space(CPS)method is widely used in both historical investigations and real-time evaluation of cyclone type and transition;however,CPS parameter values depend on input data resolution,and universal thresholds do not currently exist to delineate when a cyclone transitions from one type to *** of phase transitions in a changing climate highlight potential latitude shifts in extratropical transition and increased potential for tropical transition,but realistic projections of future trends likely require high-resolution simulations that can capture the cyclone warm *** meteorological centers apply varied approaches to cyclone classification via CPS parameters and other criteria,some of which depend on the tropical basin,yet these approaches cannot fully address challenges in operational classification and subsequently in communicating risks associated with these phase *** recommend a multivariate historical assessment of tropical and subtropical cyclones across all basins in which they occur,including the South Atlantic Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea,to identify the potential for a more universal cyclone classification approach that meets operational needs.

关键词： tropical cyclone Subtropical cyclone Extratropical transition tropical transition

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