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Agent-based modeling approach for evaluating underground logistics system benefits and long-term development in megacities

引用

Journal of Management Science and Engineering 2022年第2期7卷 266-286页

作者： Wanjie Hu Jianjun Dong Jingfeng Yuan Rui Ren ZHIlong Chen Helan Cheng College of Architecture and Civil Engineering Beijing University of TechnologyBeijing100124China College of Civil Engineering Nanjing Tech UniversityNanjing211800China Department of Construction Management and Real Estate Southeast UniversityNanjing210096China College of Defense Engineering Army Engineering University of PLANanjing210001China Nanjing KENTOP Civil Engineering CO. LTDNanjing210041China

Mobility,pollution,and other barriers against sustainable goods movement are pushing local administrators to seek innovations in urban transportation *** urban underground logistics system(ULS)has been recognized as a prospective alternative to realize large-scale automated freight distribution within and around *** paper proposes an integrated approach combing system dynamics and agent-based modeling to evaluate the long-term development and operating status of a city-wide ULS *** project boundaries regarding underground network expansion,stakeholders’attributes,and social-environmental benefit metrics were structured as eight highly-interacted agent *** decision variables of agents in terms of supply-demand equilibrium,investment plan,pricing-to-market and willingness-to-pay were incorporated into three formulized subsystem *** empirical perspective,the urban territory of Beijing,China,was taken as a case to simulate the development footprints of ULS project under different funding options and market acceptance *** show that ULS has significant competence with respect to service capacity and profitability,while enabling billions of dollars of external cost-saving ***,the comprehensive performance of ULS project regarding economic incomes,benefits,market demand,and construction schedule can reach satisfactory trade-offs through adaptively adjusting the funding policies,incentives and pricing portfolios during project development.

关键词： Underground logistics system sustainabletransport Project development Cost-and-benefit System dynamics Agent-based modeling

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