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Holt-Winters Algorithm to Predict the stock Value Using Recurrent Neural Network

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing 2023年第1期35卷 1151-1163页

作者： M.Mohan P.C.Kishore Raja P.Velmurugan A.Kulothungan Department of Computer Science&Engineering SRM UniversitySonepatHaryanaIndia Department of Electronics&Communication Engineering SRM UniversitySonepatHaryanaIndia Department of Computing Technologies SRM Institute of Science and TechnologyChennaiIndia Department of Computer Science&Engineering SRM Institute of Science and TechnologyModinagarGhaziabadIndia

Prediction of stock market value is highly risky because it is based on the concept of Time Series forecasting system that can be used for investments in a safe environment with minimized chances of *** proposed model uses a real time dataset offifteen stocks as input into the system and based on the data,predicts or forecast future stock prices of different companies belonging to different *** dataset includes approximatelyfifteen companies from different sectors and forecasts their results based on which the user can decide whether to invest in the particular company or not;the forecasting is done for the next *** model uses 3 main concepts for forecasting *** one is for stocks that show periodic change throughout the season,the‘Holt-Winters Triple Exponential Smoothing’.3 basic things taken into conclusion by this algorithm are Base Level,Trend Level and Seasoning *** value of all these are calculated by us and then decomposition of all these factors is done by the Holt-Winters *** second concept is‘Recurrent Neural Network’.The specific model of recurrent neural network that is being used is Long-Short Term Memory and it’s the same as the Normal Neural Network,the only difference is that each intermediate cell is a memory cell and retails its value till the next feedback *** third concept is Recommendation System whichfilters and predict the rating based on the different factors.

关键词： stock market stock market prediction time series forecasting efficient market hypothesis national stock exchange india smoothing observation trend level seasonal factor

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